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3
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1answer
79 views

What is the probability that a Brownian Bridge hits an upper barrier $U$ before a lower barrier $L$?

The probability that an arithmetic Brownian motion process $dt = \mu dt + \sigma dW$ hits an upper Barrier $U$ before it hits a lower barrier $L$ is given by $$ \mathbb{P}(\tau_U\leq \tau_L) = \frac{\...
4
votes
1answer
126 views

What is the probability that a OU process hits an upper barrier U before a lower barrier L?

What is the probability that the arithmetic OU process $dx_t= \theta(\mu-x_t)dt+\sigma dW_t$ hits barrier $U$ before hitting barrier $L$ when $L<x_0<U$ ?
0
votes
1answer
121 views

Probability of Brownian motion particle touching barrier given path starts at $X_0$ and ends at a known $X_t$

I have been reading Su and Rieger's paper on barriers and from there have been able to work out the unconditional probability of the process $dXt = μ dt + σ dWt$ touching a down barrier $α$ to be $\...
2
votes
1answer
57 views

Why is H always* the letter used to describe the level of a barrier?

A quick and (hopefully) easy question. Why? *(always / often / when it's not B)
4
votes
2answers
78 views

What is the effect of mean-reversion on an upper barrier knock-out call option?

Consider a mean-reverting normal model for an underlying $dX^{(1)}_t=-\kappa X^{(1)}_tdt+\sigma^{(1)} dW^{(1)}_t$, for fixed time-independent constants, $\kappa$ (mean-reversion) and $\sigma^{(1)}$ (...
3
votes
1answer
136 views

How to hedge a barrier option with vanilla options?

I want to hedge a barrier option, say a knock-out call with strike K and barrier B out-of-the-money. My idea was to start from the payoff diagram of this option, and try to accomodate it with vanilla ...
1
vote
2answers
80 views

Counting random paths

Assume the path of a certain stock can be modeled using a binomial tree. The initial price of the stock at time $t=0$ is 1024. The upstage factor of the stock price is $x=1.25$ and downstage factor of ...
1
vote
2answers
344 views

Barrier option : Monte carlo simulation

I am trying to price a Down-and-Out Call using Monte Carlo simulation. The problem is that I get the right price for the vanilla option (same price as the analytic formula of Black and Scholes) but I ...
3
votes
0answers
59 views

Range options in BS

I know how barrier options are priced in Black-Scholes scheme. I'm wondering if an analytical formula exists also for range (corridor) digital options i.e. options paying only if the price remains ...
1
vote
2answers
191 views

Importance sampling for barrier option like pricing by Monte carlo

I would like to know some references regarding importance sampling algorithms for variance reduction of Monte Carlo barrier options pricing. Please could someone help me leaving some references? If ...
3
votes
0answers
382 views

Law of a geometric brownian motion first hitting time (formula dont match Monte Carlo Simulation)

I posted this question before on MSE I need to use it in a small step in the middle of a simulation and I think I'm not getting correct results to this probabilities and so for my all ...
3
votes
2answers
295 views

Valuation of barrier options in Jump diffusion model

I am trying to evaluate the value of a Barrier option using Monte carlo method. The stock follows a jump diffusion model. I am using the method described in Metwally and Atiya. The authors describe ...
4
votes
0answers
119 views

Simple way to get the crossing probabilities of a moving barrier

Hello Quant Finance StackExchange, Is there a simple way to find the crossing probabilities of a moving barrier, namely a barrier written in the form $U(t)=\alpha_1t^2 + \beta_1t + \gamma_1$ and $L(t)...