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Estimating Number of “Day Trades” from Total Volume of Commodity Futures Contract

Looking at futures data I am trying to calculate/estimate the number of "day trades", i.e. positions that were initiated and closed during the same day, as distinct from those positions that were ...
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1answer
40 views

ICE oil Future Markers

i have seen Brent oil future singapore marker many times. however, i wonder what is the reason for introducing different markers in the future market. FYI - LINK
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1answer
72 views

Which quantitative tools are actually used for hedging energy price and volume risk?

I'm a finance professor and I am looking for someone with actual trading and risk management knowledge within the energy sector who can tell me about pricing and hedging energy (especially electricity ...
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1answer
49 views

Methods for “prompt month equivalent” exposure in commodities forwards/futures markets

It is common in commodities markets to hold many positions, both long and short, across a range of contract months beginning in the prompt month (today, September) to five or more years out. In ...
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1answer
133 views

Natural gas forward price modelling

I'm looking to learn about gas price modeling, in particular models of forward prices. I've studied "classical" mathematical finance, fixed income theory et cetera. I'm looking for good references ...
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79 views

How to de-seasonalize natural gas term structure data?

I need to de-seasonalize Nat Gas futures data for a project and am hoping to get good suggestions. As we all know natural gas futures are priced higher for the winter months and to analyze/model the ...
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19 views

Commodity prices on Yahoo finance [duplicate]

I tried looking for some decent way to get stock data for general commodities. I went looking on Yahoo Finance and found https://nz.finance.yahoo.com/q?p=finance.yahoo.com&s=GCN14.CMX. But this ...
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2answers
90 views

Why does Futures contract credit and debit a position daily, if it has “locked” the price?

I thought I had understood futures contract. But it seems the daily settlements betray my understanding. Futures contract provides price & product safety to involved two parties. E.g. Wheat ...
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49 views

What is the main reasons to use Miltersen & Schartz (1998) model for commodity futures options

versus a standard Generalised Black and Scholes model (if there are any?) I have read the paper but I am not to sure about its practical implications as would people with more experience using this ...
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27 views

Having trouble finding PPI for commodity using NAICS code

Is there a way to find the Producer price index for a commodity during two different years by using the NAICS code of the commodity. For example, I know the NAICS code for cast iron steel bearings ...
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0answers
47 views

How to interpret CME's specification regarding grains options expirations?

Looking at the contract specifications for Soybean Meal and Soybean Oil (same for Corn, Wheat, and other major stuff I checked) serial options on CME I see the following expiration rule: the last ...
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1answer
86 views

Where can I find monthly/weekly historical data for gold and silver [duplicate]

Preferably in monthly or weekly denomination, for at least 20 years. Preferably in Excel format, but csv, or other format is fine too. I try to google but couldn't find anything, maybe I just wasn't ...
2
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1answer
384 views

How does the CME set margin requirements on commodity Futures

I am trying to model margin requirements on various commodity futures, however it doesn't seem that the CME has released the formula they use to set these performance bonds. I am sure that they use ...
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3answers
478 views

How to implement a long-term trade on oil?

I believe that one of the most compelling case of long-term trade is the long position on oil. Fundamentally, it seems quite clear that demands is going to grow in the future as emerging markets start ...
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2answers
252 views

How to think about pricing this weather call option

So as opposed to the normal structure using a reference temperature and HDD/CDD, I'm looking at pricing a call option with a structure similar to the following: Daily option on maximum daily ...
6
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3answers
386 views

Should the average investor hold commodities as part of a broadly diversified portfolio?

Many mutual funds sell "asset allocation" products which include appropriately sized investments in a variety of asset classes meant for a prototypical investor. Some of these, such as PIMCO, even ...
6
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1answer
6k views

What is a Heat Rate Option?

I tried a search with google but I can't find a clear definition of what a Heat Rate Option is. I would appreciate if someone could explain to me what this type of option is. My understanding is that ...
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1answer
208 views

What would be the impact of the US Credit Rating downgrade on Crude Oil Prices? [closed]

From a modeling point of view, here are my primary assumptions for Monday: a) I would expect the US$ to depreciate and crude oil to rise in the long term. b) Expect crude oil to dip in the short run ...
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2answers
330 views

Commodity hedging in non-financial companies - any literature available?

Seems like the vast majority of all the Hedging literature is dedicated to the speculative side of it. I am searching for quality papers that deal with the link between financial and physical markets ...