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5
votes
0answers
72 views

Estimating Number of “Day Trades” from Total Volume of Commodity Futures Contract

Looking at futures data I am trying to calculate/estimate the number of "day trades", i.e. positions that were initiated and closed during the same day, as distinct from those positions that were ...
4
votes
0answers
163 views

How to de-seasonalize natural gas term structure data?

I need to de-seasonalize Nat Gas futures data for a project and am hoping to get good suggestions. As we all know natural gas futures are priced higher for the winter months and to analyze/model the ...
2
votes
0answers
73 views

Why do leveraged and inverse leveraged WTI ETNs have this price relationship?

UWTI: 3x leveraged exposure to WTI DWTI: 3x leveraged inverse exposure to WTI The inverse relationship between these two symbols seems to trend toward the origin on a log-log plot (using log base 2)....
2
votes
0answers
60 views

suitable benchmark to use for Sharpe ratio of power trading strategy

I have a algo which is trading a certain power contract. For calculating the Sharpe ration what would be a suitable benchmark to use?
2
votes
0answers
59 views

What is the main reasons to use Miltersen & Schartz (1998) model for commodity futures options

versus a standard Generalised Black and Scholes model (if there are any?) I have read the paper but I am not to sure about its practical implications as would people with more experience using this ...
2
votes
0answers
61 views

How to interpret CME's specification regarding grains options expirations?

Looking at the contract specifications for Soybean Meal and Soybean Oil (same for Corn, Wheat, and other major stuff I checked) serial options on CME I see the following expiration rule: the last ...
1
vote
0answers
27 views

Finding metal price data from LME

Does anyone know any sites that allows you to download free historical monthly metal (copper and aluminium) price data, the best would be LME data. I need historical spot prices, inventory, ...
1
vote
0answers
52 views

Having trouble finding PPI for commodity using NAICS code

Is there a way to find the Producer price index for a commodity during two different years by using the NAICS code of the commodity. For example, I know the NAICS code for cast iron steel bearings ...
0
votes
0answers
15 views

How to reduce variance of mean reversion estimator with maximum likelihood?

I estimate the parameters of an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with Maximum Likelihood. The mean reversion speed estimator is well known to be biased. There are methods to reduce the value of the expected ...
0
votes
0answers
26 views

How to fit model implied forward curve with market forward curve for Ornstein-Uhlebeck?

I have a spread option model of 2 correlated Ornstein-Uhlenbeck commodity prices that I estimate the parameters of with Maximum Likelihood. What is the formula for introducing the additional ...
0
votes
0answers
69 views

Modelling prepaid commodity swaps

I'm somewhat new to derivatives, so please forgive a potentially silly q: Suppose there is a VPP agreement (volumetric production payment) which is basically a prepaid commodity swap. The financier ...
0
votes
0answers
12 views

Modified average swap

I have an instrument that is a swap over the SMK6 that at expiry (it has only one cashflow) pays the difference between the average daily Price of the underlying and the actual Price. The average ...