0
votes
3answers
78 views

Why is it enough to know the expected present value of cash flow in risk-neutral framework to price derivatives?

Wilmott book states that its enough to know the expected present value of all cash flow in risk-neutral framework to price derivatives. As I know, to obtain arbitrage-free market we need our ...
7
votes
3answers
1k views

How to estimate real-world probabilities

In the world of finance, Risk-neutral pricing allow us to estimate the fair value of derivatives using the risk free rate as the expected return of the underlyings. However, the behavior of ...
2
votes
2answers
158 views

Pricing forward contract on a stock

Please tell me where I've gone wrong (if I did in fact make a mistake). I'm pricing a long forward on a stock. The usual setup applies: This has payoff $S(T) - K$ at time $T$. We are at $t$ now. ...