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82 views

Analysis of exercising a call option early

Most options traders sell their call options early instead of exercising them, as you would make a bigger profit this way due to being able to salvage some remaining extrinsic value. For example: ...
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1answer
69 views

Information on Weather Derivatives

I am looking for relevant information on the organization of the Weather Derivatives market. How is it organized? How information is shared? Where can we find historical database? I am aware of the ...
3
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1answer
22 views

Equivalency of FX forwards and FX fixed for fixed swaps? Are they still the same under multiple curves environment?

I am encountering two approaches for valuation of FX swaps (fixed for fixed, e.g. fixed USD payments for fixed EUR payments) which seem to result into different values although in theory they should ...
0
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1answer
25 views

Is an FX forward with delayed settlement still a derivative?

As an example: Trade date: 1/1/16 Maturity date: 2/29/16 Settlement (exchange of currencies) 3/31/16 Is the instrument between 2/29 and 3/31 still deemed a forward? The forward rate is determined so ...
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3answers
2k views

How to estimate real-world probabilities

In the world of finance, Risk-neutral pricing allow us to estimate the fair value of derivatives using the risk free rate as the expected return of the underlyings. However, the behavior of ...
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0answers
31 views

Hedging portfolio of options with different underlyings

Suppose i have call options for 90 of the 100 stocks of NASDAQ100. How can i hedge the risk using NASDAQ futures? Also, how can I get rid of the residual risk?
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1answer
97 views

Question in “Computational Methods in Finance” by Ali Hirsa - Chapter 2: Derivatives Pricing via Transform Techniques"

Reference: "Computational Methods in Finance" by Ali Hirsa - Chapter 2: Derivatives Pricing via Transform Techniques" - Page 37* Background: The author prices call option using the Fourier Transform. ...
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1answer
64 views

Derivatives (Forex Forward) [closed]

Good day, Please, consult me about Forex Forward Swap (Ex. pair USD/RUB). I am trying to calculate and cant understand, how it works. For example: I have: USD/RUB Fwd points 3M - 19650/19950 IR - ...
6
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1answer
312 views

How to estimate CVA by valuing a CDS of the counterparty?

I'm trying to estimate CVA of one of my derivatives by valuing a credit default swap (CDS) of my counterparty. However, I don't know how to set up the CDS deal (notional amount, maturity, etc.). ...
2
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1answer
48 views

decompose correlation swap pnl

For a Variance swap we can split the pnl into a realized part and a "forward going" part. To be more precise: Assume we enter the trade at t0, and the variance swap has tenor T and a strike $Kvar$. ...
0
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1answer
70 views

Does presence of arbitrage necessarily make all derivatives have zero value?

Spin-off from: Pricing when arbitrage is possible through Negative Probabilities or something else I mean in a theoretical sense: If we have a particular market model with some fancy assumptions such ...
2
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3answers
97 views

How are referenced asset gains routed in a credit derivative?

Lets assume for the sake of the example that we are talking about a Total Return Swap. The flow diagram is something like this. Lets assume the Payer in this instance is a Hedge Fund, and the ...
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3answers
188 views

Present and future role of pricing quants

While looking up on quants, I came across many sources that cited 'pricing quants' as one of the biggest chunks among all quant positions. But then I also came across many software companies providing ...
2
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1answer
40 views

How do derivatives affect capital structures?

Yesterday, I was at a lecture where the speaker said that the impact of derivatives was often to make senior debt, in effect, subordinated debt (in terms of priority, recovery rates, etc.)? How do ...
10
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1answer
634 views

Probability distribution of maximum value of binary option?

A binary option with payout \$0/\$100 is trading at \$30 with 12 hours to expiration. Assuming the underlying follows a geometric Brownian motion (hence volatility remains constant), what ...
59
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13answers
12k views

Innovative ways of visualizing financial data

Finance is drowning in a deluge of data. Humans are not very good at comprehending large amounts of data. One way out may be visualization. Traditional ways of visualizing patterns, complexities and ...
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0answers
36 views

Fair Price CDS Spread for a Bank

I have been using CreditGrades to calculate fair one year CDS spreads for firms. However, the authors of the model explicitly say that the model does not hold for banks or financial firms. If I need ...
2
votes
2answers
432 views

How to use the stock as a numeraire to price a derivative with payoff of the form $(S_T f(S_T))^+$?

I have $\frac{dS_t}{S_t} = rdt + \sigma dW_t$ as usual under the money-market numéraire and I need to price options with payoffs $$(S_T f(S_T))^+$$ How do I express the stock dynamics using the ...
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1answer
117 views

Conversion of SPY prices to ES prices

I have a system that I use intraday that works great on SPY. Due to the extra leverage available plus other benefits I am thinking about trading the system using ES. Is there a conversion factor ...
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0answers
24 views

Volatility Skew for Put and Call options [closed]

Given that the implied volatility follows volatility skew, which one has higher implied volatility? At-the-money put 40 (spot = strike = 40) or at-the-money call 160 (spot = strike = 160)? I am not ...
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1answer
47 views

Calculating portfolio weights of derivatives

A rather simple question. You have a portfolio of USD100 in cash. You now take USD10 and buy a derivative that gives you exposure of USD200 to something. What is the weighting of cash in the ...
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1answer
111 views
1
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2answers
65 views

put call parity for futures options derivation in Hull

In Hull, the following derivation of PCP for futures options: What confuses me is that it is stated that the payoff of the long futures is $F_t-F_0$. The footnote states: the analysis assumes that ...
1
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1answer
44 views

the cash flows behind closing out futures positions

I always get confused about the cashflows occurring when a futures position is closed out. For example, say it is January and I enter into a long December Futures position with a futures price F(jan). ...
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1answer
60 views

Why does increased stock borrow costs decrease a stock's forward price?

The author in this article -- http://streetwiseprofessor.com/?p=7294 -- states that an increase in stock borrowing costs decreases a stock's forward price: In the absence of manipulation, the ...
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0answers
42 views

Calculate Forward Rate under CIP - differs from qouted rates, why?

Hello everyone out there, I am quite new here, but hope you are helping me out, nevertheless. By assuming that we have CIP I want to calculate the 3M Forward rate for EURUSD. I use the known formula ...
0
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1answer
118 views

Gamma derivation from the expectation

I am trying to derive Gamma from the expectation principle (differentiating under expectation sign). I understand these steps $\frac{d^2 C}{d x^2} = e^{-r\tau} \mathbb{E} [ \frac{\partial}{\partial ...
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1answer
88 views

Jump-Diffusion Processes

This last quarter of college for senior project, I will be doing research on the application of jump-diffusion processes to pricing derivatives. I was wondering if anyone could recommend any resources ...
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0answers
68 views

why many option contract price less than minimum boundary price?

I downloaded data from NSE(National Stock Exchange) website regarding closing price of European Call Option written on Index. From standard textbook, I read that option contract must satisfy $C(t) ...
6
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2answers
97 views

How to price an European Call/Put Option of a jump difussion Process?

Lets have the next jump difussion Stochastic Process: $$S_t = S_0 e^{\sigma W_t + (v-\frac{\sigma ^2}{2})t}\prod_{i=1}^{N_t}(1+J_i)$$ where $W_t$ is the Brownian Motion, hence $G_t \equiv e^{\sigma ...
1
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2answers
151 views

Variable Drift Ornstein–Uhlenbeck Process

The Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process is defined as the stochastic process that solves the following SDE: $dx_t = \theta (\mu-x_t)\,dt + \sigma\, dW_t$ where $\theta>0$, $\mu$ and $\sigma>0$ are ...
3
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2answers
671 views

What is a standard credit default swap contract and where can I find spread data? What alternatives exist to judge creditworthiness?

I'm doing some work for a company and one of my tasks is to research credit default swaps on banks and to write a page about them explaining what they are and how they're used to evaluate the banks' ...
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3answers
231 views

New ways of communicating risk

One of the scapegoats of the financial crisis was value at risk. Still communicating risks effectively to clients is a big challenge and hugely important (also to keep your job as a quant!) In this ...
3
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0answers
234 views

Bloomberg scripting language (BLAN)

Did anyone work with Bloomberg scripting language (BLAN is the name I guess). If so is it really flexible and is it competitive with other valuation services (say Super Derivatives). Does it enable ...
6
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1answer
134 views

Why Must Dividends Be Reinvested to Use Risk-Neutral Pricing?

Assume the price of a stock $S_t$ paying continuous dividend $a$ satisfies $$ dS_t = S_t\left((\mu - a)dt + \sigma dW_t\right). $$ The risk-neutral pricing formula states that if $\mathbb{Q}$ is any ...
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1answer
101 views

Option Pricing under Jump Diffusion Models

I was wondering what the overall approach/intuition behind how to price options under Jump Diffusion Models. My understanding is under Diffusion models such as Geometric Brownian Motion (Black ...
1
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1answer
104 views

Why we consider second derivative w.rt price but only first derivative w.r.t time and volatility

What is the reason (better if it is intuitive, and not too math heavy), that when we talk of Greeks, we consider second derivative with respect to price (gamma), but only first derivative with respect ...
2
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1answer
68 views

remove seasonality in future contracts

very new to commodities. I have raw agriculture future data, and I need to remove the seasonality (de-seasonalize) from the data, what is the general approach ? Thanks for the help!
1
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1answer
261 views

Market data for options

Looking for recommendations on places to get market data for options. I'm looking at NYSE and NASDAQ only. My current solution is my broker, Tradeking. I can request realtime data for 700 option ...
1
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1answer
69 views

Delta derivation from the expectation

I'm trying to understand the following transformation leading to Delta $\frac{dC}{dx} = e^{-r\tau} \mathbb{E}[ \frac{\partial}{\partial x}\text{max}(xY-K,0)] = e^{-r\tau} \mathbb{E}[Y ...
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0answers
43 views

FX rollover swaps rates based on LIBOR rates

I am trying to calculate FX swaps overnight rates based on LIBOR rates Example: Libor rate for TRY crosses is 12.00 Libor rate for USD crosses is .19 How do we get to these number? USDTRY swaps ...
1
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1answer
46 views

Stock price is a martingale if the riskless interest rate is zero?

I came across a question as such: Suppose company IBC is trading at \$75 per share. What does it cost to construct a derivative security that pays exactly one dollar when IBC hits $100 for the ...
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2answers
113 views

Braess's paradox in quantitative finance: When optionality leads to lower value…?

One of the standard tenets of quantitative finance is that options should have an intrinsic value because optionality as such (in the sense of having more choices) should bring about value. This ...
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2answers
85 views

Numerical delta of Bond Options

I'm trying to calculate the delta for bond Call options. I'm using the vasicek model which gives the following solution for a Zero-coupon bond call option: $Z = N P(t,S) \Phi(d_1) - K P(t,T) ...
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3answers
126 views

Price of an asian option with squared of average payoff

Is there a closed form solution of the following price formula? Assuming $dS_t=rSdt+\sigma S_t dW_t$ under the Q dynamics $e^{-r(T-t)}\mathbb{E}_t^\mathcal{Q}[(\frac{(\int_0^T S_u du)}{T})^2]$ I ...
1
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1answer
140 views

Lease Accounting / FX Embedded Derivatives: How to Value Floor / Cap Optionality Features

Suppose you have a lease agreement where the functional/domestic currency is RUB and the currency on which the lease is written USD. Let $S$ be the USD/RUB exchange rate (# of rubles per 1 dollar). ...
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1answer
69 views

What is the filtration described?

What is the filtration $(\mathfrak{F}_t)$ encircled below? Is it $(\mathfrak{F}_t) = (\sigma(W_t)) = (\sigma(\tilde{W_t})), t \in [0,T]$? Or is it $(\mathfrak{F}_t) = (\sigma(\hat{W_t})), t \in ...
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1answer
49 views

Desperate for help with simple derivative

Can someone help explain how differentiating the following with respect to $x$: $$ \frac{1}{2} \alpha \mathbf{x}^T \Sigma \mathbf{x} + (\mathbf{\mu} - R\mathbf{1})\mathbf{x} $$ Yields the following: ...
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1answer
72 views

Calibration of nested pricing models consistently on two different classes of derivatives

Hi everyone, I'm programming in MATLAB and I have the following optimization problem in calibrating several nested specifications of pricing models. Summary: I have two pricing models ($1$ and $2$, ...
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1answer
229 views

Obtaining logical lists of Bloomberg security codes in Excel

I am using Bloomberg's BDP and BDH functions in excel to retrieve data for a set of options. The problem is that (as underlying prices move and expiration dates come and go) option strikes are ...