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12
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4answers
2k views

How to estimate real-world probabilities

In the world of finance, Risk-neutral pricing allow us to estimate the fair value of derivatives using the risk free rate as the expected return of the underlyings. However, the behavior of ...
1
vote
1answer
54 views

Derivative: Delta of a Down and Out Call Option with Barrier=Debt(K)

I am trying to compute the derivative of this function with respect to V0: This is the price of a down and out call option, assuming the barrier equal to the level of debt K. In other terms, I need ...
1
vote
1answer
32 views

derive vega for black schole call from this formula?

Is it possible to get the right formula for vega of a call option under the black scholes model from this formula? ...
0
votes
1answer
31 views

Pricing Cancelable swap

Consider a first hypothetical, a swap. Party 1 is paying 6 month Libor, semi-annually. Party 2. pays $1+3*(\frac{Index_\color{red}{T}}{Index_0}-1) $ only at maturity. Say the notional is 1. $Index_t$ ...
3
votes
1answer
49 views

Equivalency of FX forwards and FX fixed for fixed swaps? Are they still the same under multiple curves environment?

I am encountering two approaches for valuation of FX swaps (fixed for fixed, e.g. fixed USD payments for fixed EUR payments) which seem to result into different values although in theory they should ...
3
votes
1answer
39 views

Fees on derivatives

Since it's obviously not at their fair value that derivatives are priced, how do investment banks compute the fees that they add on top of the risk neutral price ?
6
votes
2answers
2k views

Why is the SABR volatility model not good at pricing a constant maturity swap (CMS)?

I have heard that the SABR volatility model was not good at pricing a constant maturity swap (CMS). How is that?
1
vote
1answer
103 views

Relations between Call and Put

I am trying to solve a question in finance but I am pretty much stuck and would need your help :) Suppose you know the following information about a market: Future is at 66 70 strike straddle is ...
0
votes
0answers
32 views

NDF Formula for Implied Yield

Good day, I have inputs: Spot Rate USD/UAH - 26.40. Term - 1M Bid 26.90 Ask 27.70 Bid Yield 23.40 % Ask Yield 58.90 % I have no idea how yield is computing, what formula should I use ? Thanks
1
vote
1answer
57 views

What is the Difference Between a Credit Default Swap and a Bet

Reading the wikipedia page for derivatives on 00:02 E.S.T March 21 2016, a credit default swap (CDS) is summarized as being "A credit default swap (CDS) is a financial swap agreement that the seller ...
4
votes
2answers
771 views

Is there any gamma in basis (i.e., floating for floating) interest rates swaps?

It is well known that vanilla fixed for floating swaps usually have a bit of gamma, but does a floating for floating (basis) swap have any? For the sake of simplicity, let's assume that both legs of ...
0
votes
2answers
65 views

What is a Constant Maturity Swap (CMS) rate?

I have been searching in books and on the internet for a basic definition and explanation of CMS rates, but I cannot find anything clear and simple. Can you explain (maybe with an example) what a CMS ...
3
votes
1answer
64 views

Using Market Gamma to Predict FX Trading Environments

I want to test a hypothesis about using gamma to predict FX movements. Suppose that market makers will seek to be delta neutral given their portfolio of FX options. At any given time, market makers ...
0
votes
0answers
17 views

FFT spread option price

Hurd and Zhou (2010) proposed a FFT-based method to calculate the spread option price. $\Phi$ is the characteristic function of $\log$-return and But I did not implement it successfully. Who has ...
4
votes
7answers
443 views

How is this financial product called?

I have only basic limited knowledge about financial derivatives and I did not find exactly what I was searching for. I found open end turbo call, knock outs, but I am searching for this: Underlying ...
2
votes
0answers
35 views

Literature to Learn about Different Instruments

What is a good source of literature to learn about the specifics of various instruments that are traded? For example, suppose I wanted to know more about MBS's, i.e. how exactly they are securitized, ...
1
vote
2answers
63 views

How to price jumps in payoffs

I specifically want to know how to model a jump condition while valuing a derivative.Example :- the jumps which are observed in digital product payoffs, or barriers and knockouts. Although a ...
2
votes
6answers
343 views

What is the Benefit of holding a short option?

i am new to corporate finance and ask myself why a investor is interested in being short on a Option? The only he can win is a premium but he can loose much more. I understand with being a short I can ...
2
votes
2answers
251 views

Greeks and Option Premium

If a linear sum of options is constructed such that the premium payout is zero, then does it mean that resultant greeks of the cumulated options positions will be nearly zero. For simplicity, lets ...
1
vote
2answers
96 views

Analysis of exercising a call option early

Most options traders sell their call options early instead of exercising them, as you would make a bigger profit this way due to being able to salvage some remaining extrinsic value. For example: ...
3
votes
1answer
80 views

Information on Weather Derivatives

I am looking for relevant information on the organization of the Weather Derivatives market. How is it organized? How information is shared? Where can we find historical database? I am aware of the ...
1
vote
1answer
35 views

Is an FX forward with delayed settlement still a derivative?

As an example: Trade date: 1/1/16 Maturity date: 2/29/16 Settlement (exchange of currencies) 3/31/16 Is the instrument between 2/29 and 3/31 still deemed a forward? The forward rate is determined so ...
0
votes
0answers
43 views

Hedging portfolio of options with different underlyings

Suppose i have call options for 90 of the 100 stocks of NASDAQ100. How can i hedge the risk using NASDAQ futures? Also, how can I get rid of the residual risk?
3
votes
1answer
127 views

Question in “Computational Methods in Finance” by Ali Hirsa - Chapter 2: Derivatives Pricing via Transform Techniques"

Reference: "Computational Methods in Finance" by Ali Hirsa - Chapter 2: Derivatives Pricing via Transform Techniques" - Page 37* Background: The author prices call option using the Fourier Transform. ...
0
votes
1answer
74 views

Derivatives (Forex Forward) [closed]

Good day, Please, consult me about Forex Forward Swap (Ex. pair USD/RUB). I am trying to calculate and cant understand, how it works. For example: I have: USD/RUB Fwd points 3M - 19650/19950 IR - ...
6
votes
1answer
376 views

How to estimate CVA by valuing a CDS of the counterparty?

I'm trying to estimate CVA of one of my derivatives by valuing a credit default swap (CDS) of my counterparty. However, I don't know how to set up the CDS deal (notional amount, maturity, etc.). ...
2
votes
1answer
69 views

decompose correlation swap pnl

For a Variance swap we can split the pnl into a realized part and a "forward going" part. To be more precise: Assume we enter the trade at t0, and the variance swap has tenor T and a strike $Kvar$. ...
0
votes
1answer
76 views

Does presence of arbitrage necessarily make all derivatives have zero value?

Spin-off from: Pricing when arbitrage is possible through Negative Probabilities or something else I mean in a theoretical sense: If we have a particular market model with some fancy assumptions such ...
2
votes
3answers
124 views

How are referenced asset gains routed in a credit derivative?

Lets assume for the sake of the example that we are talking about a Total Return Swap. The flow diagram is something like this. Lets assume the Payer in this instance is a Hedge Fund, and the ...
5
votes
3answers
240 views

Present and future role of pricing quants

While looking up on quants, I came across many sources that cited 'pricing quants' as one of the biggest chunks among all quant positions. But then I also came across many software companies providing ...
2
votes
1answer
43 views

How do derivatives affect capital structures?

Yesterday, I was at a lecture where the speaker said that the impact of derivatives was often to make senior debt, in effect, subordinated debt (in terms of priority, recovery rates, etc.)? How do ...
11
votes
1answer
678 views

Probability distribution of maximum value of binary option?

A binary option with payout \$0/\$100 is trading at \$30 with 12 hours to expiration. Assuming the underlying follows a geometric Brownian motion (hence volatility remains constant), what ...
61
votes
13answers
12k views

Innovative ways of visualizing financial data

Finance is drowning in a deluge of data. Humans are not very good at comprehending large amounts of data. One way out may be visualization. Traditional ways of visualizing patterns, complexities and ...
1
vote
0answers
44 views

Fair Price CDS Spread for a Bank

I have been using CreditGrades to calculate fair one year CDS spreads for firms. However, the authors of the model explicitly say that the model does not hold for banks or financial firms. If I need ...
2
votes
2answers
573 views

How to use the stock as a numeraire to price a derivative with payoff of the form $(S_T f(S_T))^+$?

I have $\frac{dS_t}{S_t} = rdt + \sigma dW_t$ as usual under the money-market numéraire and I need to price options with payoffs $$(S_T f(S_T))^+$$ How do I express the stock dynamics using the ...
1
vote
1answer
166 views

Conversion of SPY prices to ES prices

I have a system that I use intraday that works great on SPY. Due to the extra leverage available plus other benefits I am thinking about trading the system using ES. Is there a conversion factor ...
1
vote
0answers
29 views

Volatility Skew for Put and Call options [closed]

Given that the implied volatility follows volatility skew, which one has higher implied volatility? At-the-money put 40 (spot = strike = 40) or at-the-money call 160 (spot = strike = 160)? I am not ...
4
votes
1answer
55 views

Calculating portfolio weights of derivatives

A rather simple question. You have a portfolio of USD100 in cash. You now take USD10 and buy a derivative that gives you exposure of USD200 to something. What is the weighting of cash in the ...
-1
votes
1answer
167 views
1
vote
2answers
81 views

put call parity for futures options derivation in Hull

In Hull, the following derivation of PCP for futures options: What confuses me is that it is stated that the payoff of the long futures is $F_t-F_0$. The footnote states: the analysis assumes that ...
1
vote
1answer
60 views

the cash flows behind closing out futures positions

I always get confused about the cashflows occurring when a futures position is closed out. For example, say it is January and I enter into a long December Futures position with a futures price F(jan). ...
0
votes
1answer
96 views

Why does increased stock borrow costs decrease a stock's forward price?

The author in this article -- http://streetwiseprofessor.com/?p=7294 -- states that an increase in stock borrowing costs decreases a stock's forward price: In the absence of manipulation, the ...
0
votes
0answers
42 views

Calculate Forward Rate under CIP - differs from qouted rates, why?

Hello everyone out there, I am quite new here, but hope you are helping me out, nevertheless. By assuming that we have CIP I want to calculate the 3M Forward rate for EURUSD. I use the known formula ...
0
votes
1answer
123 views

Gamma derivation from the expectation

I am trying to derive Gamma from the expectation principle (differentiating under expectation sign). I understand these steps $\frac{d^2 C}{d x^2} = e^{-r\tau} \mathbb{E} [ \frac{\partial}{\partial ...
1
vote
1answer
103 views

Jump-Diffusion Processes

This last quarter of college for senior project, I will be doing research on the application of jump-diffusion processes to pricing derivatives. I was wondering if anyone could recommend any resources ...
3
votes
0answers
72 views

why many option contract price less than minimum boundary price?

I downloaded data from NSE(National Stock Exchange) website regarding closing price of European Call Option written on Index. From standard textbook, I read that option contract must satisfy $C(t) ...
6
votes
2answers
110 views

How to price an European Call/Put Option of a jump difussion Process?

Lets have the next jump difussion Stochastic Process: $$S_t = S_0 e^{\sigma W_t + (v-\frac{\sigma ^2}{2})t}\prod_{i=1}^{N_t}(1+J_i)$$ where $W_t$ is the Brownian Motion, hence $G_t \equiv e^{\sigma ...
1
vote
2answers
179 views

Variable Drift Ornstein–Uhlenbeck Process

The Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process is defined as the stochastic process that solves the following SDE: $dx_t = \theta (\mu-x_t)\,dt + \sigma\, dW_t$ where $\theta>0$, $\mu$ and $\sigma>0$ are ...
3
votes
2answers
714 views

What is a standard credit default swap contract and where can I find spread data? What alternatives exist to judge creditworthiness?

I'm doing some work for a company and one of my tasks is to research credit default swaps on banks and to write a page about them explaining what they are and how they're used to evaluate the banks' ...
7
votes
3answers
234 views

New ways of communicating risk

One of the scapegoats of the financial crisis was value at risk. Still communicating risks effectively to clients is a big challenge and hugely important (also to keep your job as a quant!) In this ...