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Quantitative fraud detection techniques

I am trying to develop a short equity strategy that dedicates some, currently arbitrary, percentage of short capital to potential frauds. I am aware of Benford's Law, but this is not my specialty. ...
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Smoothing Term Curve

Assume that we have current month term curve and the curves from the two previous months. The current curve may be shifted from the average of the previous two curve by some value (a parallel shift). ...