# Tagged Questions

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210 views

### Machine learning to build top 3 price scenarios over n days

I have a time series of closing prices for a given stock. I would like to formulate possible future scenarios for the price. My intention is not to use these "likely" scenarios to take any position. ...
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I am writing my Thesis about hedge funds performance measurement and I want to use the seven factor model proposed by Fung & Hsieh (2004). Now, I am struggling to find out how to calculate the ...
217 views

### High correlation will help detect spurious regression over cointegration?

I'm analyzing two financial time series with Johansen method. A high Correlation coefficient using the Pearson method will help me to detect spurious cointegration models to avoid? If this is not ...
436 views

### Proxy for Expected Economic Growth

Can anyone help me understand how expected economic growth is usually measured? I've read several papers that talk about using breakeven inflation as a proxy for expected inflation, and then the ...
58 views

### Standard Stochastic Volatility Models VS Moving Average Stochastic Volatility Model

Hi... I am comparing the log-volatility of two SV models with an application to MATLAB. Since I am a rookie in this field, I do not know if I am wrong in interpreting the graph. In my opinion the only ...
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### Machine Learning Munging - order of transforms? + adding in econometric tests?

I have a list of possible transforms, and I've read some confusing/contradictory stuff about the preferred order in which these operations are performed. Maybe 1) the order is sometimes amorphous, ...
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### How to enter to economics/finance sector [closed]

Although my question is a general question, I would appreciate your suggestions or help me to find a proper "stack exchange" in order to ask my question: I am a Ph.D student in (Pure)Mathematics and ...
67 views

### How to fit exogenous + GARCH Model In Python?

I am studying a textbook of statistics / econometrics, using Python for my computational needs. I have encountered GARCH models and my understanding is that this is a commonly used model. In an ...
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I am trying to find a good database for Spatial Data. What are the examples of this kind of data? IS it always related to geography? Any Spatial data related to finance, economics and statistics? ...
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### How to decide if the ARCH coefficient is necessary in the GJR-GARCH model?

I did some analysis for CAC 40, the French market benchmark, for the period 2005-2014, and I tried to fit the data with a GJR(1,1) model in MATLAB. Then some warning showed Lower bound ...
64 views

### MLE estimate of normal distribution

Probably a naive question. I am quoting this from Greene's econometrics book: "The occasional statement that the properties of the MLE are only optimal in large samples is not true, however. It can ...
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### Standard errors clustered along the time dimension in pooled panel logit model

I'm trying to estimate a logit model on pooled panel data set (unit of observation is firm-year). My dependant variable is default indicator and I have several macro variables as independant variables....
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### How to value a portfolio of non-mature consumer loans?

I'm looking for the best way to value a portfolio of consumer loans that have NOT reached maturity and for which I do observe the payment/default history to date? I'm working with a large database of ...
391 views

### Autoregressive distributed lag models ADL(p,q) howto in preferably matlab (stata/R/python/C# etc)

Could anyone provide me the details of how to determine the lag order of the distributed lags for an ADL(p,q) model in Matlab or another statistical package (and very much preferably in combination ...
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### Max Likelihood via Marquardt Optimisation

I asked a related question here: How to apply Levenberg Marquardt to Max Likelihood Estimation I tried the approach suggested it works for some of the parameters but not the variances. I spoke to ...
194 views

### Cobb - Douglas Production Function

let's say that we have complete data on the sample of companies about their capital (K), labor (L) and materials used in the production (M) and the total output of each company. Let's have Cobb-...
396 views

### Cointegration results interpretation validation?

Here is how I am interpreting results of a Johansen Cointegration Test and Engel-Granger Test for A and B. The results:(Using matlab) ...
135 views

### Combining BHHH and Levenberg Marquardt

I already asked a question related to this here: How to apply Levenberg Marquardt to Max Likelihood Estimation I know understand how Levenberg Marquardt (LM) can be applied to the objective function....
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### LSTM w/dropout Peer-reviewed or other authoritative lit for time-series/financial econometrics/Teh stock price/volatility/etc

So, I've been looking on Google Scholar for stuff using Long Short-Term Memory neural nets for time series. I was inspired by the interview with this 2nd place finisher in a recent Kaggle major: http:...
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### VAR(1) - GARCH(1,1) model estimation in R

Can someone please help in explaining the steps involved to estimate the parameters of VAR(1)-GARCH(1,1) model of Mcaleer 2003 in r. It is a multivariate GARCH model where the mean equation is ...
38 views

### White's reality check p-value

I am running a hypothesis test based on White's reality check p-value. I am getting a weird result for my univariate time series of returns. In essence, I am following a code on MATlab to run the test ...
By performing the following OLS time series regression, $y_t$ = $\beta_0$ + $\beta_1$*$y_{t-1}$ + $\beta_0$*$y_{t-1}^2$ + $\epsilon$ I cannot reject the null hypothesis that b1=b2=0. However, ...