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0
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2answers
150 views

Step By Step method to calculating VaR using MonteCarlo Simulations

In trying to find VaR for 5 financial assets with prices over a long period of time(2000 days worth of data) how would I do the following: Carry out monte-carlo simulation in order to find a VaR ...
12
votes
1answer
644 views

Models crumbling down due to negative (nominal) interest rates

Given that the negative interest rates on a lot of sovereign bonds with maturity under 10 years are trading in the negative (nominal) interest rate territory (recently also the short term EURIBOR has ...
5
votes
1answer
98 views

The Relation Between the Ricci flow and the Black-Scholes-Merton Equation

Grisha Perelman once wrote that The Ricci-flow equation, a type of heat equation, is a distant relative of the Black-Scholes equation that bond traders around the world use to price stock and ...
1
vote
1answer
91 views

Is it possible to download stock-data countrywise with quantmod package for R?

Is it possible to download stock-data countrywise with quantmod package for R ? Hi, I'm wondering if it's possible to download equities countrywise. Let's say i want all data from the Finnish market....
0
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1answer
53 views

what % of stocks with +$1b market cap will double in 3 years on average historically?

If I'm looking to pick stocks that will double in 3 years, how do I figure out what is the likely universe that I'm choosing from? I just want a rough estimate of the universe given the market cap ...
-1
votes
1answer
27 views

How does Fed Qe affect the housing sales in the US? Why does it happen to be that way?

From my research, Fed's Qe should encourage house sales, however the graph shows houses price in the state seem to gradually go down after 2009. Isn't that contradicting itself? Ain't the increase in ...
5
votes
0answers
767 views

Asymmetric Volatility Modeling (Interpretation)

I am currently writing a paper on asymmetric volatility modeling of brent, gold, silver, wheat, soybean and corn from 1986-2012 and divided them into 4 sub-sample periods (i.e. 1986-1991, 1991-1997, ...
4
votes
0answers
59 views

How do I calculate the present value of a credit default swap?

I am paid 20 million every time a bond drops to a new low over a 120 month period. I need to know how to find the present value of such an arrangement if there is a continuously compound interest of 5 ...
4
votes
0answers
838 views

Hasbrouck's information share

Given a cointegrated set of price series, I am trying to compute the Hasbrouck's information share, as described in page 12-13 of this article. page 7-8 of this article I have the vector error ...
3
votes
0answers
68 views

What is the most stable, non-trivial dependence structure in finance?

The highest rated answer to the question on What concepts are the most dangerous ones in quantitative finance work? is this one: Correlation Correlations are notoriously unstable in ...
3
votes
0answers
72 views

How to simulate stock price with support and resistance level

I couldn't find good resources on how to simulate a stock price data sequence including some basic effects. The basis might be a Brownian motion model; but in real stock prices, there are additional ...
3
votes
0answers
55 views

What are your list of concept or model in standard textbooks that are always reliable to used in working?

What are your list of concept or model in standard textbooks that are always reliable to used in working? As opposed back to this: What concepts are the most dangerous ones in quantitative finance ...
3
votes
0answers
148 views

A doubt about Evans and Jovanovic (1989) economic model for entrepreneurs with credit constraints

[I already posted this question on the math forum of stackexchange and I was advised that I should post this question here] In Evans and Jovanovic (1989) you will find a model for entrepreneurs with ...
2
votes
0answers
42 views

Want to understand the links and relationship between all the risk metrics?

For Example : if Risk weighted asset (RWA) increased or decreased this month, which other risk metrics could have influenced RWA to increase or decrease. Also in different situations like, upward ...
2
votes
0answers
813 views

Philips-Ouliaris test for cointegration

I'm trying to implement cointegration tests using the R urca package. I've figured out the Johansen test (ca.jo), but I'm having trouble with the Philips-Ouliaris test (ca.po). I have two questions: ...
1
vote
0answers
45 views

How can we observe volatility smile from the market. Drawbacks of Heston Stochastic Volatility Model

Here are two questions related to implied volatilities. a) The set up here is for an European option. We can get its implied volatility smile from calibration, the question is why could we also ...
1
vote
0answers
13 views

How to calculate optimal monthly withdrawals from an investment with compound interest

I have 1.25M dollars. I want to put it in an investment with 60% annual return paid monthly and re-invest the interest to achieve compound interest. After 15 years, my principal would have grown to ...
1
vote
0answers
16 views

How to calculate the initial payment of a graduated payment mortgage (GPM). Real estate Mortgage analysis

My professor used this: 12%, monthly-pmt, 30-yr GPM with 4 annual step- ups of 7.5% each, then constant after year 4: ...
1
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0answers
19 views

what do metrics and indicatives mean in the finance context? Like trading of MBS products

it's often heard in my daily work as a programmer in an investment bank, supporting mortgage backed securities desks (passthrough, agency cmo, cmbs, etc). My take is that the terms describe the ...
1
vote
0answers
27 views

What is the difference between a three month return and a quarterly return?

I am looking at VGENX, and this product has first-quarter and three-month returns of 7.8% and 20.3%, respectively, according to zacks.com. I take it as the three month return is calculated taking into ...
1
vote
0answers
146 views

How to backtest Value at Risk Models using Conditional and Unconditional tests?

I am trying to carry out backtesting on a number of Value at Risk figures i obtained using var/covar, historical, and monte carlo simulation. The two methods im using are the Kupiec test (...
1
vote
0answers
90 views

Generating financial data

I am trying to generate monthly stock data using a one-factor model: $$R_{a,t} = \alpha + BR_{b,t}+\epsilon_{t}$$ The description says: $R_{a,t}$ is the excess asset returns vector, $\alpha$ is the ...
1
vote
0answers
100 views

How to calculate break-even point of merged plant/company?

The question goes like this : ...
1
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0answers
35 views

Calculate and compare IRR among products and companies

I am trying to calculate return on investment for a couple of companies and their respective products. I have two main products: credit card installment loan Owners would like to be able to ...
1
vote
0answers
38 views

Shrinkage Estimator giving unrealistic portfolio variances

I have a historical covariance matrix which is invertible for daily and monthly returns. I used the Ledoit,Wolf shrinkage estimator for the covariance matrix and now I get really small portfolio ...
1
vote
0answers
89 views

GARCH estimation does not work, error in my returns?

Hey everyone and I hope that there are some smarter people out here that can help me out with my problem...: I have trouble with my implementation of a GARCH(1,1) model and I do not know how to move ...
1
vote
0answers
712 views

How can I convert Yahoo Ticker Symbols into ISIN Codes?

I have a list of all Yahoo Ticker Symbols and I want to convert them into ISIN Codes. I have been researching and found out that finance.yahoo in the US does not ...
1
vote
0answers
31 views

Annuities problem

First problem is like this: loan amount: 20,000,000.00 First six months: There is no payment but there are interest (grace period) Next six months: payment of 600,000.00 Since 13 month: payment of ...
1
vote
0answers
75 views

Confused on interpretation of betas/alphas in regression in finance

I ran a regression on two stocks. I don't have the data in front of me, but it is a more conceptual question. Let's say SP500 returned a total 23% return over this time period and MSFT returned 9%...
1
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0answers
27 views

What is the future value of a growing annuity with different periods for payment growth and monthly payments?

How can I modify the formula in this answer so that the frequency of payment growth is also a variable? For example, instead of payments growing by 2% each year I would like them to grow 2% every two ...
1
vote
0answers
58 views

how to find CVaR/AVaR for triangular fuzzy no

While going through different methods of risk measure i came across AVaR/CVaR, while i was calculating AVaR/CVaR in credibilistic environment using VaR, i got stuck in the calculations eg. For ...
1
vote
0answers
49 views

Intensity Function of Stochastic Processes

I'm fitting some financial data to a model based on a stochastic process and evaluating the fit of it by looking at the compensator. However, I cannot understand well what does it mean to take the ...
1
vote
0answers
249 views

Quadratic utility function

May you can help me undertanding the following conclusion: Suppose we have an agent who has preferences over contingent claims, represented by a concave function $U$. This simply means that $\mathbb{E}...
1
vote
0answers
541 views

portfolio optimization with a loop

I am attempting to minimize the variance of a 3 stock portfolio using optimization within a loop. What I have done is calculated the stock returns and cov matrix from dates 1980-01-01 to 1989-12-31 ...
0
votes
0answers
30 views

Calculating returns when number of securities in a timeseries varies over time?

I have a timeseries of security returns in which the number of securities in the timeseries varies over time. More specifically, I have a universe of events where securities(their returns) are added ...
0
votes
0answers
39 views

How to solve this system of ODEs?

Im trying to replicate the procedure of the Hackbarth et al. 2006 paper. Im trying to solve the ODEs (12) and (13) on page 525 in the paper, following the solution by the authors given in appendix A. ...
0
votes
0answers
27 views

Risky securities combining with risky free security problem

So the question asks : (1a) Given risk/standard deviation ˜σ = 1.5, find the corresponding expected return ˜µ on the efficient frontier. (2a) In addtion to the three risky securities therein, assume ...
0
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0answers
76 views

Risk-neutral probabilities

I will use this theorem 3.2 from the book "Quantitative modeling of Derivative Securities" by Marco Avellandea: Theorem 3.2 - Assume that there is no arbitrage, i.e. there exists a risk neutral ...
0
votes
0answers
22 views

Academic definition of portfolio turnover

I'm looking for an academic reference on how compute the standard portfolio turnover used in finance. I found a definition by Barroso and Santa-Clara, however their definition is based on both the ...
0
votes
0answers
24 views

Find all possible permutations of asset weights in a given portfolio?

I need to find all possible asset weight combinations for an 8 asset portfolio. Each weight is a multiple of 10 (0, 0.1, 0.2, 0.3, 0.4, 0.5, 0.6, 0.7, 0.8, 0.9, 1) Some assets can be weighted with ...
0
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0answers
35 views

What do you think of refining and testing your strategy over the same period

What do you think of refining and testing your trading strategy over the same 2 years? Is it good to do this, or is it not?
0
votes
0answers
51 views

where can I get the intraday data for S&P 500

I am trying to analysis the price of S&P 500 during the flash crash in 2010. Where can I get the data?
0
votes
0answers
20 views

Overstating Interest Rates?

I'm fact checking my analysis, so there's only one possible answer in that I'm either right or way out in left field (wrong). A friend of mine mentioned this bitcoin lending site and I looked at it ...
0
votes
0answers
134 views

Seeking Advice for Exam FM regarding Derivatives Markets

I am taking Exam FM in a week and I was wondering if I could get any advice from people who have recently passed this exam. How much of the derivatives markets question did show up? I am using the ...
0
votes
0answers
40 views

How to prove following order?

Consider a consol bond, i.e. a bond which will forever pay one unit of cash at $t = 1, 2, . . ..$ Suppose that the market yield $ y$ is constant for all maturities. (a) Compute the price, at $t = 0$, ...