Tagged Questions
0
votes
1answer
150 views
Selecting timeframe for time series analysis
In technical analysis, we may use confluence of direction for 3 timeframes to roughly gauge bias of market now.
Similarly, if we use time series forecasting methods to predict(say daily data-whether ...
1
vote
1answer
420 views
Oscillatory time-series forecasting
I was wondering if this mean(160)-reverting/oscillatory time series "SUM" can be considered chaotic & forecastable to some extend short-term?
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6
votes
2answers
312 views
The T+H Problem in Factor model forecasts
Suppose we train on M individuals consisting of T observations (i.e. TxM design matrix). The dependent variable is one-year return for each security (H = horizon of one year). In a factor model ...
10
votes
4answers
2k views
Using linear regression on (lagged) returns of one stock to predict returns of another
Suppose I want to build a linear regression to see if returns of one stock can predict returns of another. For example, let's say I want to see if the VIX return on day X is predictive of the S&P ...
16
votes
4answers
1k views
Any research on how natural language processing can be used to forecast stocks?
Is there any published research of decent quality linking news or unstructured information to asset returns? I know that Thomson Reuters offers its Machine Readable news (MRN), so somebody must use ...