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21 views

How to fit model implied forward curve with market forward curve for Ornstein-Uhlebeck?

I have a spread option model of 2 correlated Ornstein-Uhlenbeck commodity prices that I estimate the parameters of with Maximum Likelihood. What is the formula for introducing the additional ...
3
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2answers
101 views

A proof that the final payoff on a futures contract is twice that on a forward contract

Following is an argument demonstrating that the final payoff on a futures contract is twice that on a forward contract, contrary to what I believe is the accepted truth that the two payoffs are the ...
3
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3answers
92 views

Construct option and stock portfolio

If a riskless security costs 100 today and will cost 120 at time T, a stock costs 50 today and will either be 70 or 30 at time T, and call options on the stock have strike price 50 expiring at time T, ...
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1answer
58 views

Faster way to backtest/Walkforward

I am currently using Ninja Trader to program and test my strategies and the forward testing in very time intensive. I am thinking of writing my own code in either c++ or c#. The question I have is ...
5
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1answer
83 views

Prove arbitrage opportunity

The continuously compounded interest rate is $r$. The current price of the underlying asset is $S(0)$ and the forward price with delivery time in 1 year is $F(0,1)$. Short selling of the stock ...
4
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2answers
187 views

How to derive Black's formula for the valuation of an option on a future?

I've got a question about 1976 Black Model and Bachelier model. I know that a geometric brownian motion in the P measure $dS_{t}=\mu S_{t}dt+\sigma S_{t} dW_{t}^{P}$ for a stock price $S_{t}$ leads ...
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1answer
61 views

the difference between forward price and future price

In Hull's book 'Options, Futures and Other derivatives', author said that when price of underlying asset S is strongly positively correlated with the interest rate, future price is slightly larger ...
3
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4answers
169 views

Calculate theoretical forward price of a stock

The current price of a stock is USD400 per share and it pays no dividends. Assuming a constant interest rate of 8% compounded quarterly, what is the stock's theoretical forward price for delivery in 9 ...
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1answer
34 views

Is an FX forward with delayed settlement still a derivative?

As an example: Trade date: 1/1/16 Maturity date: 2/29/16 Settlement (exchange of currencies) 3/31/16 Is the instrument between 2/29 and 3/31 still deemed a forward? The forward rate is determined so ...
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1answer
53 views

Delta of a Commodity Future

Generally the price of a future is $ F(t,T) = S(t)e^{r(T-t)}, $ and it's delta is: $ \frac{\partial F}{\partial S} = e^{r(T-t)}. $ (As opposed to the delta of a forward which is always one.) In ...
0
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1answer
72 views

Derivatives (Forex Forward) [closed]

Good day, Please, consult me about Forex Forward Swap (Ex. pair USD/RUB). I am trying to calculate and cant understand, how it works. For example: I have: USD/RUB Fwd points 3M - 19650/19950 IR - ...
0
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1answer
42 views

Why is the forward rate used for the underlying in Black's model?

Why is the forward rate suitable for being used as the underlying in Black's model? Thanks
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2answers
113 views

Pricing Forward Start Option with PDE

I am looking for references (books and papers) or suggestions on how to price forward starting calls using a PDE approach typically in the Heston model (In the BS world, the computation is trivial), ...
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1answer
47 views

How to Calculate Return Option with Forward Measure

I am trying to computing the price of an option at time $t$, with payoff $X = \frac{S_{T_2}}{S_{T_1}}$, at time $T_2$, where $t < T_1 < T_2$. Here how I compute it: Using the forward measure ...
0
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1answer
79 views

Zero Coupon Bond Forward Price

I'm currently working on the Coursera Financial Engineering and Risk Management course. In one of the questions I was asked to build a binomial pricing model for fixed-income securities. Specifically ...
0
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1answer
64 views

Finding circumstances for price of call = price of put

Here is a problem in Hull's book and the given solution: My approach was to compute the profit $\pi = \pi_{SP} + \pi_{LC}$ (short put, long call). One can show that $\pi = \pi_{SP} + \pi_{LC} = ...
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0answers
20 views

Why is the forward price set to make the value of the forward contract to 0 when it is signed? [closed]

When I study the forward contract, I read that the forward price must be the price that makes the the value of the contract zero. I searched for the answer, but there are many versions. Some say it ...
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1answer
1k views

How to calculate a forward-starting swap with forward equations?

I have been trying to resolve this problem for some time but I cannot get the correct answer. The problem is the following one. Compute the initial value of a forward-starting swap that begins at ...
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3answers
1k views

Simple value of a Forward contract at an intermediate time question

I am taking "Financial Engineering and Risk Management Part I" from Columbia University on coursera and I got a seemingly simple question wrong on the first quiz. This is all based on the no-arbitrage ...
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0answers
37 views

The calculation of NIBID rate from 2013 by using NIBOR rate (UIP)

I need to calculate the NIBID rates from 2013. I have the NIBOR as a starting point and some indications but I am still quite confused. I found some advices online, but it does not seem to get me the ...
5
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2answers
519 views

VaR mapping - Forward Foreign Currency Contract

I have a question about VaR mapping for FX forwards. Please bear with me while I outline the problem. Philippe Jorion's book discusses VaR mapping; a means to break down complex instruments into ...
0
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1answer
85 views

Why does increased stock borrow costs decrease a stock's forward price?

The author in this article -- http://streetwiseprofessor.com/?p=7294 -- states that an increase in stock borrowing costs decreases a stock's forward price: In the absence of manipulation, the ...
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0answers
42 views

Calculate Forward Rate under CIP - differs from qouted rates, why?

Hello everyone out there, I am quite new here, but hope you are helping me out, nevertheless. By assuming that we have CIP I want to calculate the 3M Forward rate for EURUSD. I use the known formula ...
2
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1answer
95 views

Why AREN'T forward rates what the market expects of the spot rates?

I know that for a swap for example, the swap rate is just what adopts equilibrium for both legs by no arbitrage, on the other hand for a FRA its just the same only with one period of time. Considering ...
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3answers
101 views

Why is the spot price not used as the forward price when a forward contract is created?

If the initial value of a forward contract is zero, surely the forward price used would be the spot price at the time the contract was created? However, my notes tell me that the forward price F, at ...
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2answers
127 views

Future spot price versus current forward price

Which are the two conditions necessary to claim that the future spot price will have as many chances to be above or below the current forward price?
2
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1answer
68 views

Forward parity in fixed income

In stock and index we have a beautiful forward-spot parity $$ F(t,T) = S(t)\cdot B(t,T) \tag{1} $$ which tells us that to price a forward contract at time $t$ with expiry $T$ we can just borrow ...
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1answer
172 views

Forward Curves and Par Yield Curves

I'm recently reading a research paper on the yield curve by Salomon brothers and in it it states that when the forward curve is above the par yield curve, it is seen as cheaper. If for example, the ...
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0answers
39 views

How should I use central banks rates in order to compute 2-day forward exchange rate on EURUSD

Good morning, I would like to compute a 2-day forward exchange rate on EURUSD. For that, I have historical data on EURUSD spot price, and I know that theoretically, when maturity is T we have : ...
2
votes
1answer
59 views

forward option, stochastic calculus

I encounter a problem to understand this: The price of a forward option is : $C(K,t,T)=\mathbb{E}[((S_{T}/S_{t})-K)+]$ OK The option should only depend on $T-t$ because the yield randomness (for a ...
0
votes
2answers
236 views

Does a forward price have a drift component in any measure?

Going by intuition, a forward price should already take into account the drift in the underlying price process. Further, assuming interest rates are deterministic, the stochasticity in the forward ...
1
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0answers
85 views

Forward Credit Spreads

I have a beginner question in credit quantitative modelling. I would like to know how we can derive forward credit spread curve, i.e the counterparty of forward yield curves. Indeed, for deriving a ...
2
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1answer
69 views

What is the filtration described?

What is the filtration $(\mathfrak{F}_t)$ encircled below? Is it $(\mathfrak{F}_t) = (\sigma(W_t)) = (\sigma(\tilde{W_t})), t \in [0,T]$? Or is it $(\mathfrak{F}_t) = (\sigma(\hat{W_t})), t \in ...
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0answers
65 views

forward curve and cap/floors in nowadays environment

I'm currently trying to get the implied volatility of a vanilla Euro floor with maturity 1Y with data from bloom. I have the price ( which is not supposed to take into account the first floorlet ...
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1answer
49 views

Differential equation involving bond price and forward rate

Given forward rate f(t,T) and bond price P(t,T) where $f(t,T) = - \frac{\partial}{\partial T} \ln P(t,T)$, $P(T,T) = 1 = P(t,t)$, T>0 and $t \in [0,T]$ Does it follow that $P(t,T) = ...
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1answer
726 views

How can an FRA create arbitrage opportunities?

I'm working through Options, Futures and Other Derivatives (beginner trying to understand investment banking). I've more or less followed the discussion of interest rates, forward rates and forward ...
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1answer
86 views

BlackProcess' constructor $x_{0}$ argument in QuantLib

I am currently using BlackProcess to price options and I have a doubt related to the $x_{0}$ argument of the constructor: I've figured out it should be the forward ...
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1answer
106 views

Replicate by Arbitrage price of a forward

Given market(Mid): 1- USD Swap market (fixed for float). Float leg pays 3MLibor quarterly, act360. Fixed Leg pays annually, act360. Market is trading mid at 1.125%. 2- TIIE market. Fixed for ...
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1answer
63 views

Bond Interest Rate Swap Growth Rate [closed]

this should not be here because it shouldn't be here forever and eve
1
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1answer
43 views

Interest rate on loan for purchasing Sterling bond

I am struggling trying to find out where they get the $8$% interest rate for the loan you make to purchase the Sterling Bond in the following strategy: Problem: Suppose that $A(0)$ = $100$ and ...
0
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1answer
423 views

Hedging future USD cost using different IR and forwards

I am facing a problem where I suppose an expense in 6 months from now of 2,500USD. My home currency shall be EUR, and I am trying to hedge given the following information. ...
2
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1answer
152 views

hedging with a 3 month fx forward every month

I think this is a bit odd question. Let us say I want to hedge my fx exposure every month but using 3 month forwards . How can I do that ? Is it not easy just to use 1 month forwards ? I recalculate ...
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2answers
312 views

Impact of NZD mid-day EST Roll forward

Was taking a look at an NZD spot deal that was traded on a Friday for value the following Tuesday (t+2). Somehow this trade became classified as a forward by our back office systems (dealer says they ...
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2answers
300 views

Forward rates formulae

I am now working with forward rates and have somehow been asked to use an "intuitive" formula for forward rates. $$ \frac{F(0,s,T)}{F(0,t,T)} = \frac{F(s,s,T)}{F(s,t,T)} $$ I can understand the ...
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2answers
919 views

IMM Swaps vs. Forward Swaps

Could we think of IMM dated swaps as forward swaps (since they trade only on specified dates and they might not be the current date)? For example, today is June 2nd, the next IMM swap is June 14 (not ...
3
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1answer
164 views

meaning of discount term in FRA value

Consider a forward rate agreement on LIBOR (say), which starts 2 months from now, expires after 3 months and has strike $K$, and is based on $3M$ LIBOR -- $FRA_{2\times 5}$. Now the present value of ...
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0answers
46 views

What is the main point in the Forward contracts definition?

In Islamic Finance there is a contract called "Salaf" or "Salam" which is similar to Forwards except in time of payment which happens in the entering contract day (exactly unlike the Forwards). Some ...
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1answer
132 views

Forward rates diffusion

I used a simple market model (Black 76) to price an american swaption. It's a formula similar to B&S, with another numeraire and forward rate as underlying. I used the SDE: $$ dF = \sigma * ...
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1answer
149 views

Where can I find historical data for volatility estimation?

I'm trying to estimate volatility following Shreve book, so I need observations of $f(t_j,t_j+\tau_k)$ and $f(t_j+\delta,t_j+\tau_k)$, where $t_J<t_{J-1}<\dots<0$ and $\tau_k$ are relative ...
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0answers
123 views

Bond pricing with HJM simulation

I'm using Glasserman 3.16 and 3.17 algorithm to price bonds. The algorithms evaluates the forward rates and the discount factor $B(0,t_j)$. My question is: How can I price bonds in a future time? I ...