The foreign exchange market (forex, FX, or currency market) is a global, worldwide-decentralized financial market for trading currencies. Commonly traded instruments include spot, forward, swaps, futures, and options. The FX market is the most liquid financial market in the world. There is no ...

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FX Modeling references

I would like to have some sugestions of reference books on FX modeling with strong mathematical approach, preferably combined with market pratictioner quant perspective. All sugesting are welcome! ...
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16 views

What is the data quality of ask (offer) versus bid quotes in FX markets?

I'm working with high frequency FX data. Because the FX market is a decentralized market, different traders often have slightly different prices at the same moment. I can see how this would ...
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24 views

Initiating new orders with active “order-session” only?

Is it a must to establish "quote-session" & subscribing to quotes/market data before initiating a "New Order-single(Market-GTC)"? I actually can't see any use of quote-session for trading ...
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30 views

The relation between exchange rate SDE and respective interest rates

The exchange rate between a domestic currency money market and a foreign currency money market can be expressed as $$ dQ(t) = (r_d - r_f)Q(t)dt + \sigma Q(t)d\tilde{W}(t) $$ where $r_d$ is the ...
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20 views

Validation of unrealized P&L calculation [closed]

Given I am long EUR/USD $10$m (in EUR) at $1.3500$ and if now the marked to market value is $1.3470$, then would the unrealized P&L be \$ $30,000$? The initial position in dollars is EUR $10$ ...
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16 views

Validation of an outright bid/ask computation

Given that the spot USD/CAD (for example) is $1.6120/25$ and six month forward swaps are $27/26$. What would the outright price be? I notice that bid of swap is larger than ask, that implies that is ...
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46 views

How to work out the forward outright price from the bid/ask quotes?

I'm facing this problem: Spot AUD/USD is quoted at 0.7634/39; six-months swaps are 112.1/111.1; at what forward outright rate can a price taker sell USD value spot/6 months? On the spot ...
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22 views

Pricing foreign currency bonds - which approach is more theoretically “sound”?

You own a fixed rate corporate bond in foreign currency (let's say JPY). Your domestic currency is USD. Which of the these two approaches do you consider theoretically better? Discount JPY cash ...
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25 views

What does it mean when a risk reversal is near choice?

I'm currently reading Kathy Lien's 'Day Trading and Swing Trading the Currency Market' and I came across this phrase on risk reversals: "near choice". What does it mean when risk reversals are near ...
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71 views

Predicting the Future FX Spot Rates

Say I need to predict what the spot rate between USD and CAD will be in 3 months. What will be the most accurate measure or model that I could possibly use? Does the 3 month forward rate necessarily ...
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22 views

FX Counterparty Risk Modeling

We are building PFE model for FX derivatives including but not limited to outright and barrier options. For counterparty risk purpose, we are assessing whether black karasinski would be good for fx ...
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14 views

Hedging non-deliverable forward

For a non-deliverable forward, the payoff at maturity is $N(1-\frac{F}{S_T})$, where $N$ is the notional, $F$ is the forward rate predetermined at $t=0$, $S_T$ is the spot exchange rate at maturity ...
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15 views

Forward Exchange Rate Data: Germany x US

Would anyone know where I can find historical forward exchange rate data between germany and US, yen and US to download? In Bank of England website i already found. Thanks
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62 views

hedge a USD index into EUR

Say I have the daily index levels for the S&P. It is then very simple to calculate the daily returns. I however want to calculate the hedged returns into Euros. I have the daily exchange rates ...
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46 views

What does it mean to 'receive outright'?

What does the following statement mean: "after accounting for levels of market volatility, we favor receiving outright in 6-month forward-starting 2-year swaps."? Specifically, what does "receiving ...
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42 views

Equivalency of FX forwards and FX fixed for fixed swaps? Are they still the same under multiple curves environment?

I am encountering two approaches for valuation of FX swaps (fixed for fixed, e.g. fixed USD payments for fixed EUR payments) which seem to result into different values although in theory they should ...
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1answer
90 views

FIX latency and clock syncronization

We are trying to see latency from our server to different LPs . For that we are checking sendingtime value (from them) and current clock in our server. What we saw is difference of +-20ms between ...
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2answers
51 views

Calculating floating P&L of a FIX-order [closed]

How to fetch floating p/l(current) of a "filled" FIX-Order (either buy/sell)?(by its FIX-ID/order ID) I asked my FIX provider(Integral) & they said, there's no specific tag for that/not a ...
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47 views

Getting quote stream via fix-api 4.3

I'm new to FIX api,so far i did following (on QUICKFIX) logged on to quote-session subscribed to market data sent "single-message" quote-request for an instrument (EUR/USD for example) ...
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40 views

Where can I get json currency data feeds every millisecond?

I have been looking for free or paid json data feeds on currencies for long. I have come across: currencylayer.com Oanda XE The problem is that I really need millisecond based updates. Can ...
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32 views

EUR issuance using forwards to hedge FX risk

Trying to think about the right way to hedge a EUR denominated issuance from FX risk only. Say I have an annual pay 20-year EUR bond and I want to hedge the FX risk but take the interest rate risk. I ...
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0answers
56 views

FX Statistical Arbitrage Strategy [closed]

I have had experience creating stat arb strategies for equities and etfs, but haven't dabbled much into FX trading. I was wondering if anyone knew any resources online they would suggest, or could ...
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74 views

Pricing of swaps

I have a (hopefully) elementary question about forex swaps. Most feeds will have a near and a far leg (or more legs for more exotic swaps). I appreciate that "buying the swap" involves locking in ...
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107 views

Why do we usually use normal distribution and not Laplace distribution to generate stochastic process?

When working with a stochastic process based on brownian motion, the increments have normal (gaussian) distribution. However, it seems that a Laplace distribution, with density: $$f(t) = ...
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44 views

Where and how can I get FX intraday data for use it in R?

I need FX data (the most accurate possible) for use in R. Right now I have developed a script in Java to download the CSV file (from Oanda) and use this file to read it in R, but I think that is a ...
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59 views

Using Market Gamma to Predict FX Trading Environments

I want to test a hypothesis about using gamma to predict FX movements. Suppose that market makers will seek to be delta neutral given their portfolio of FX options. At any given time, market makers ...
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32 views

What is Toxic FX Flow debate!

So, basically i want to debate and find out the real reason behind being flag by ECNs and venues as "toxic". How to avoid being flag? What kind of strategies are toxic and why? Below is an article ...
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65 views

Latency Arbitrage in forex [closed]

(I've been downgraded on this question, and it's because most people don't understand what I mean. If you ever did hft arb, you will understand what I mean. If not, please do not answer) Everybody ...
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432 views

Processes used in quant finance

What are the main stochastic processes (and their SDE) used in quant finance? For example to model currency prices, stock prices, etc.
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63 views

Optimal approach for finding a profitable trading strategy to automate? [closed]

I am currently searching for an optimal approach for finding profitable forex trading strategies to automate. Currently, I just try to combine various indicators and build an automated trading system ...
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1answer
116 views

How to use the Black-Scholes formula with LIBOR rates?

I want to price an FX option using the Black-Scholes model, but I don't know the risk free rate, nor the volatility. I only know the LIBOR rates, the strike, and that the expiration day is 87 days ...
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1answer
37 views

construct portfolio offering risk free profit

Have trouble understanding this question, seems quite open ended. Assume that $S(0)$ is the current rate of exchange for foreign currency. Assume that and $K_n$ and $K_f$ are rates of return on home ...
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1answer
34 views

Is an FX forward with delayed settlement still a derivative?

As an example: Trade date: 1/1/16 Maturity date: 2/29/16 Settlement (exchange of currencies) 3/31/16 Is the instrument between 2/29 and 3/31 still deemed a forward? The forward rate is determined so ...
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24 views

Data on interest rate differentials (lending on own vs. foreign currency)

I'm looking for data on (inner country) interest rate differentials between lending in own and foreign currency. Is there any data publicly available? If yes, where? If not, which non-free sources are ...
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2answers
93 views

Longer term average probabilities of fills at fx ECNs?

I am wondering whether anyone can share experiences and longer term average probabilities of fills when quoting inside the spread at various fx ECNs. I need to make an assumption of the probability of ...
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1answer
73 views

Fx Firm market making

I've been doing market making on forex using the last look feature so far. Now we are moving to do on firm making, but I'm kind of lost. To do firm making we need to post resting orders (currenex ...
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72 views

Derivatives (Forex Forward) [closed]

Good day, Please, consult me about Forex Forward Swap (Ex. pair USD/RUB). I am trying to calculate and cant understand, how it works. For example: I have: USD/RUB Fwd points 3M - 19650/19950 IR - ...
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65 views

Why does graphic of log first difference of renminbi look similar to hkd?

This is CNY to US$: This is HKD to US$: Below are the log of the first difference of both graphs above: You can see that apparent similarity on the middle of graph. I thought that they were ...
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26 views

Silvio Gesell's theory of value of money can it work?

Silvio Gesell was an economist. The scope of science of economy is the value of money. His theory is basically there is one source of money and one sink, source and sink is the same. Thus the value of ...
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96 views

Calculating probability of Yuan's slump from options market

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-01-06/if-options-traders-are-right-the-yuan-s-slump-is-far-from-over Contract prices indicate a 79 percent probability that the currency will weaken ...
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82 views

Volatility of EUR/USD: is this correct?

Let x be the closeBid price of EUR/USD, sampled every 5 minutes during year 2015 (historical data). This is the variation (is it ...
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2answers
150 views

what data to use to compare the interest rate among different currencies?

Very new to fixed income signals. I am a little confused about which data to use to compare interest rate among different currencies. For example, I am interested in compare interest rate in the ...
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2answers
300 views

Forex P&l Attribution on Physical Forward position

Please validate my unrealized Fx P&L calculation on the commodity forward contract e.g. consider i have bought 1 MT of wheat at 300 EURO my financial currency for company is USD. I am using below ...
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113 views

Is that a good way to work with the ARMA model?

I would like to share with you what I am doing to get your point of view, and to make a better trading system in collaboration. I am working on EURUSD forex, and I am trying to find a way to place ...
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1answer
72 views

Should a strategy backtested against three years of tick data continue to produce positive results?

Let's say we have a Binary Options 5-minute trading strategy that relies on multiple indicators and exploits price reversals in currency pairs. Now let's say there is a combination of inputs for the ...
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7 views

Is there a free Source for currency forward rates into Excel? [duplicate]

Is there a free (or at least very cheap) service/api out there I might be able use to get yesterday's closing currency forward rates (and spot) into excel/csv without having to copy paste values from ...
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Are COFER unallocated resource changes meaningful?

I've been looking at the currency reserves (COFER) data on the IMF site: http://data.imf.org/?sk=E6A5F467-C14B-4AA8-9F6D-5A09EC4E62A4&ss=1408202647052 What caught my eye was the 5% drop in ...
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41 views

What's the problem with simple EMA-crossover strategies?

I'm looking at charts of bitcoin here: https://bitcoinwisdom.com/markets/kraken/btceur with the option of displaying a short term as well as a long term EMA. It seems to me that if I were to buy ...
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2answers
51 views

Trying to understand how to convert profit to home currency

I'm looking at example 2 here: http://fxtrade.oanda.ca/analysis/profit-calculator/how ...
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87 views

Triangular Arbitrage with CFD

I cannot understand how the triangular arbitrage fits with CFD. Assuming there is an arbitrage opportunity: EUR/USD < USD/GBP * GBP/EUR If I do this strategy: 1 Long on EUR/USD at Ask price 1 ...