The foreign exchange market (forex, FX, or currency market) is a global, worldwide-decentralized financial market for trading currencies. Commonly traded instruments include spot, forward, swaps, futures, and options. The FX market is the most liquid financial market in the world. There is no ...

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66 views

Why does graphic of log first difference of renminbi look similar to hkd?

This is CNY to US$: This is HKD to US$: Below are the log of the first difference of both graphs above: You can see that apparent similarity on the middle of graph. I thought that they were ...
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0answers
27 views

Silvio Gesell's theory of value of money can it work?

Silvio Gesell was an economist. The scope of science of economy is the value of money. His theory is basically there is one source of money and one sink, source and sink is the same. Thus the value of ...
5
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2answers
102 views

Calculating probability of Yuan's slump from options market

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-01-06/if-options-traders-are-right-the-yuan-s-slump-is-far-from-over Contract prices indicate a 79 percent probability that the currency will weaken ...
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2answers
91 views

Volatility of EUR/USD: is this correct?

Let x be the closeBid price of EUR/USD, sampled every 5 minutes during year 2015 (historical data). This is the variation (is it ...
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2answers
155 views

what data to use to compare the interest rate among different currencies?

Very new to fixed income signals. I am a little confused about which data to use to compare interest rate among different currencies. For example, I am interested in compare interest rate in the ...
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2answers
320 views

Forex P&l Attribution on Physical Forward position

Please validate my unrealized Fx P&L calculation on the commodity forward contract e.g. consider i have bought 1 MT of wheat at 300 EURO my financial currency for company is USD. I am using below ...
4
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1answer
123 views

Is that a good way to work with the ARMA model?

I would like to share with you what I am doing to get your point of view, and to make a better trading system in collaboration. I am working on EURUSD forex, and I am trying to find a way to place ...
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1answer
76 views

Should a strategy backtested against three years of tick data continue to produce positive results?

Let's say we have a Binary Options 5-minute trading strategy that relies on multiple indicators and exploits price reversals in currency pairs. Now let's say there is a combination of inputs for the ...
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0answers
7 views

Is there a free Source for currency forward rates into Excel? [duplicate]

Is there a free (or at least very cheap) service/api out there I might be able use to get yesterday's closing currency forward rates (and spot) into excel/csv without having to copy paste values from ...
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0answers
16 views

Are COFER unallocated resource changes meaningful?

I've been looking at the currency reserves (COFER) data on the IMF site: http://data.imf.org/?sk=E6A5F467-C14B-4AA8-9F6D-5A09EC4E62A4&ss=1408202647052 What caught my eye was the 5% drop in ...
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0answers
43 views

What's the problem with simple EMA-crossover strategies?

I'm looking at charts of bitcoin here: https://bitcoinwisdom.com/markets/kraken/btceur with the option of displaying a short term as well as a long term EMA. It seems to me that if I were to buy ...
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2answers
54 views

Trying to understand how to convert profit to home currency

I'm looking at example 2 here: http://fxtrade.oanda.ca/analysis/profit-calculator/how ...
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0answers
101 views

Triangular Arbitrage with CFD

I cannot understand how the triangular arbitrage fits with CFD. Assuming there is an arbitrage opportunity: EUR/USD < USD/GBP * GBP/EUR If I do this strategy: 1 Long on EUR/USD at Ask price 1 ...
2
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1answer
298 views

How to create a basket of currency pairs with the lowest correlation in R?

My strategy is designed to buy and sell all assets of a universe and rebalance periodically. It goes either long or short. To limit risk exposure to a single currency I would like the assets in the ...
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1answer
52 views

Implied inverse forex pair bid/ask spread

I just wanted to make sure this was correct: If AUD/USD has bid ask of 0.71999/ 0.72032, that implies there is another (theoretical) pair USD/AUD which has a bid ask of (1/aud_usd_ask) / (1/...
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1answer
1k views

Are there Python algorithmic trading libraries supporting forex?

I know about zipline and ultrafinance, but as far as I know, they don't support fx trading. Which libraries do?
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1answer
77 views

How to distinguish trending/consolidating market conditions programatically?

Can someone please suggest me a method to programatically identify trending/consolidating market condition by reading ohlc data? Currently I'm thinking of checking the current price within last n ...
6
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1answer
130 views

How to compute returns and daily VaR of a currency position?

I have a Forex trading account with a base currency USD. I am holding a position in EUR/JPY and would like to estimate my daily VaR. If I compute the EUR/JPY returns using the historic prices this ...
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1answer
45 views

Implied exchange rate

The EUR/JPY exchange rate increased by 20%. The USD/JPY exchange rate increased by 25%. By how much will the EUR/USD exchange rate decrease?
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3answers
65 views

What information should be delivered to the client so they have enough information to manage their exchange rate risks? [closed]

The client can be a CFO or CEO. The information can indicators, charts, graphs, statistics, ratios, etc. I know the VaR is one of them.
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1answer
76 views

can an fx forward price simply be divided into 1 to quote the inverse?

Qu 1. Say I ask for EURUSD 1 week and get prices: 1.120986 / 1.120216 Does that mean to price USDEUR 1 week I can divide 1 / 1.120216 and 1 / 1.120986 and get rates: 0.8921 / 0.8927 Or is that ...
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1answer
54 views

Lease Accounting / FX Embedded Derivatives [closed]

I have a lease agreement where the functional currency is USD, domestic currency is UAH. Lease agreement is written in EUR (rent rate) and payments are to be done in UAH in the amount of rent rate (...
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1answer
73 views

Exchange rate conversion [closed]

If the EUR/USD exchangerate fell by -0,96%, how much has the USD/EUR exchange rate increased? According to the below charts the number would be +0,97% (currently) but I cant figure out how these ...
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2answers
135 views

Simple question about FX carry trade

I have been reading online about the FX carry trade and how this can be profitable (in general). From my understanding, the idea is to be long (lend) the currency with higher interest rate and short (...
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0answers
39 views

The calculation of NIBID rate from 2013 by using NIBOR rate (UIP)

I need to calculate the NIBID rates from 2013. I have the NIBOR as a starting point and some indications but I am still quite confused. I found some advices online, but it does not seem to get me the ...
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2answers
560 views

VaR mapping - Forward Foreign Currency Contract

I have a question about VaR mapping for FX forwards. Please bear with me while I outline the problem. Philippe Jorion's book discusses VaR mapping; a means to break down complex instruments into ...
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3answers
212 views

Realtime Exchange Rate Data API

There are various sources for real-time exchange rate data, e.g. Ariva EUR/USD. Is there also an API or other source which enables to automatically retrieve real-time exchange rates as a data stream ...
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2answers
156 views

How to handle currency change in exchange rate volatility measurement

I am trying to measure exchange rate volatility in some countries and I am using their currencies against euro. Problem is that one of them is Slovakia which has changed the currency in 2009 from ...
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2answers
871 views

Forex ECN for Algorithmic Trading

I'm looking for a forex brokerage that allows me to: add limit orders to the order book and trade against other clients However, when I look at the looks of fxcm, alpari, robofx, ... it appears all ...
4
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1answer
184 views

U.S. Rate Hike Prediction

In a recent ft.com video an analyst mentioned that markets postponed their Fed rate hike expectation from September to around November 2015 due to the CNY devaluation, based on the "shift" of some "...
5
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1answer
176 views

CNY Devaluation: Why EUR up, USD down?

The second unexpected devaluation of the Chinese currency CNY caused some turbulent market movements in currencies today. I was surprised that the EUR went to a 1-week high against the USD up by ...
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0answers
44 views

Calculate Forward Rate under CIP - differs from qouted rates, why?

Hello everyone out there, I am quite new here, but hope you are helping me out, nevertheless. By assuming that we have CIP I want to calculate the 3M Forward rate for EURUSD. I use the known formula ...
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1answer
87 views

Futures vs. spot for currencies - who is the leader

What is known about interrelation between the currency (say EURUSD) spot prices vs. futures on the the same currencies (traded at Chicago CME) ? I mean what is typical situation - the main price ...
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1answer
244 views

Factoring risk premium in to Forward Rate calculation

This is a self study question. I'm calculating a forward rate. Specifically, I have that in a country X, the Spot Rate is 5X/1US. I also have that the 1 year interest rate is 13% in country X and ...
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3answers
126 views

To currency hedge or not to currency hedge (ETFs)?

When is it preferable to use a currency hedged ETF over a none currency hedged ETF? There has been studies which have shown over the longer term currency hedging does not make a difference. "...
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0answers
182 views

Carry Trade vs synthetic Carry Trade using forward contracts

When it comes to foreign exchange carry trade strategy, the definition is straightforward: an investor borrows 1 USD in the US (low interest country) and invests that $1 to AU (high interest country). ...
2
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1answer
149 views

Test .mql4 (meta trader 4 editor) when the fx market offline

I am coding some simple .mql4 program, you know, the fx market is offline on weekend, and the market will be not shown in Meta trader 4 platform. I wanna test my program in meta trader 4 on weekend. ...
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1answer
124 views

Why is Indian rupee is stable against the USD even though most other currencies weakening?

The Indian Rupee (INR) seems fairly stable against the USD (1 USD = 62-64 INR) in the recent times even though most other currencies have weakened against USD, some by 20-30%. Apparently, INR is ...
3
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1answer
265 views

what is a typical way forex brokerages can provide cheap leverage for their customers?

I'm not very well read in the area of high finance but I'm curious how forex brokerages are able to provide the backing for leverage that they can provide to customers. Is it possible to do this ...
6
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0answers
261 views

Markov-Switching Multifractal and FX Rates

Is there a better model than Markov-Switching Multifractal (MSM) for detecting regime shifts in FX rates across multiple time horizons? I am especially interested in the different aspects of the ...
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0answers
53 views

Where I can find the conventions used in building an FX volatility surface?

Here are some conventions used in building the EUR/USD volatility surface. I need to validate these fields: Base Currency: EUR Term Currency: USD Spot Lag: 2bd Interpolation Variable: ...
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2answers
2k views

Forex brokers with free API compatible with Node.js

I have a Forex trading signal generator written in Node.js and now I am looking for a Forex broker with a free Node.js compatible API. The requirements are simple: be able to send new trade orders ...
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1answer
42 views

How to effectively hedge a Fixed-Term deal in a foreign currency?

Assume my firm is based in USD and agrees with some counterparty to buy, at time $T$, some quantity $Q$ of asset $A$ for a fixed price $K$. Assume also that $A$ prices and $K$ are denominated in EUR. ...
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1answer
85 views

Apply CAPM using returns on a foreign currency as the market returns

I want to analize Bitcoin returns using the CAPM. I was thinking if it makes sense to compare returns of (BTC/USD) against (EUR/USD), taking the latter as the market returns. However, since EUR is ...
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2answers
495 views

FX Delta Conventions

I'm currently reading Iain Clark's book Foreign Exchange Option Pricing and I got stuck at one sentence in the beginning of Section 3.3 that I feel is important to understand. He writes: FX ...
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1answer
156 views

Why is “Deferred revenue” a non-monetary liability?

Why is "Deferred revenue" treated as a non-monetary liability during temporal method FX translation while "Accrued Expenses" is treated as a monetary liability?
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1answer
453 views

Using FX ATM/RR/BF Volatility to Estimate Smile

Suppose $S$ is some FX rate, EUR/USD say, and $\sigma_{S}(K,T)$ is the implied volatility for some option written on $S$, sourced from the surface $\sigma_{S}(\cdot,\cdot)$ (alternatively, consider ...
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2answers
2k views

Historical Data on $/yen forward exchange rates

Would anyone happen to know where I can find historical forward exchange rate data between the yen and dollar?
3
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1answer
495 views

How trading in currency pair works, underlying techniques and mechanisms

I am somewhat experienced in Forex trading, but I have a question which has bothered me for quite some time. If we for instance go back in time four months, to before the beginning of value loss the ...
2
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2answers
181 views

Forex trading scenarios - calculating units

I'm trying to build an automated forex trading system and I'm trying to understand how to calculate the number of units I should specify for each trade in different scenarios. Say for example I have ...