The foreign exchange market (forex, FX, or currency market) is a global, worldwide-decentralized financial market for trading currencies. Commonly traded instruments include spot, forward, swaps, futures, and options. The FX market is the most liquid financial market in the world. There is no ...

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Pricing foreign currency bonds - which approach is more theoretically “sound”?

You own a fixed rate corporate bond in foreign currency (let's say JPY). Your domestic currency is USD. Which of the these two approaches do you consider theoretically better? Discount JPY cash ...
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25 views

Changing timezones with historic forex data (Interactive Brokers API IBPy)

I would like to be able to change the timezone for my requests to the IB API, how can I do this? I am writing in Python, and thus use the IBPy wrapper found here. Supposedly, the third argument of ...
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1answer
105 views

What is Toxic FX Flow debate!

So, basically i want to debate and find out the real reason behind being flag by ECNs and venues as "toxic". How to avoid being flag? What kind of strategies are toxic and why? Below is an article ...
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86 views

Cross Currency Swap pricing

I have seen two methods for calculating the value of a xccy swap - 1) Convert the future foreign payments to the base currency using forward FX rates, net with the base currency payments and ...
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34 views

Choosing an exchange rate in a macroeconomic panel data set

I am constructing an investor sentiment index to determine the impact of investor sentiment on stock market crises. I am following the methodology in this paper, http://121.192.176.75/repec/upload/...
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18 views

What is “swap rate differentials” in relation to currency exchange?

So I'm working on a excel spreadsheet that relates relevant drivers for the FX market. In particular, I was told to look into swap rate differentials. I've read that the interest rate differential is ...
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27 views

Sovereign credit default risk

so I'm tasked with trying to calculate the sovereign credit risk based on a 1 year default probability, and I know that Bloomberg already has a model for the 1 year default probability under the ...
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2answers
139 views

FX forward with stochastic interest rates pricing

I would like to extend the following question about FX Forward rates in stochastic interest rate setup: "Expectation" of a FX Forward We consider a FX process $X_t = X_0 \exp( \int_0^t(r^...
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32 views

The best process for foreign exchange rate

I have a simple research project and I need to explain a behavior of a foreign exchange rate. Could you propose a stochastic process without jumps so that it could be estimated with QMLE? Is GBM ...
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69 views

What is the data quality of ask (offer) versus bid quotes in FX markets?

I'm working with high frequency FX data. Because the FX market is a decentralized market, different traders often have slightly different prices at the same moment. I can see how this would ...
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56 views

Equivalency of FX forwards and FX fixed for fixed swaps? Are they still the same under multiple curves environment?

I am encountering two approaches for valuation of FX swaps (fixed for fixed, e.g. fixed USD payments for fixed EUR payments) which seem to result into different values although in theory they should ...
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1answer
101 views

FIX latency and clock syncronization

We are trying to see latency from our server to different LPs . For that we are checking sendingtime value (from them) and current clock in our server. What we saw is difference of +-20ms between ...
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2answers
26 views

Initiating new orders with active “order-session” only?

Is it a must to establish "quote-session" & subscribing to quotes/market data before initiating a "New Order-single(Market-GTC)"? I actually can't see any use of quote-session for trading ...
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99 views

How to work out the forward outright price from the bid/ask quotes?

I'm facing this problem: Spot AUD/USD is quoted at 0.7634/39; six-months swaps are 112.1/111.1; at what forward outright rate can a price taker sell USD value spot/6 months? On the spot side,...
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21 views

How do I build a cross currency basis swap pricer using implied levels generated from fx forwards? [closed]

I'm building a strategy where I would take positions depending on whether the basis swap looks rich or cheap relative to the forwards, inside 1yr maturity. Depending on liquidity the market in ...
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0answers
64 views

Cointegration for forex using ARMA model to forecast the spread

I am working on an automatized quantitative strategy that use cointegration in Forex. I am backtesting this strategy in Python. Please see below the python file: https://drive.google.com/file/d/...
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0answers
15 views

Toxic FX Flow - how to avoid it [duplicate]

So, basically i want to debate and find out the real reason behind being flag by ECNs and venues as "toxic". How to avoid being flag? What kind of strategies are toxic and why? Below is an article ...
0
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1answer
37 views

Does the starting currency matter in triangle arbitrage?

Say I have an FX arbitrage opportunity by doing a transaction like: EUR -> USD -> YEN -> EUR It seems to me like the (exact) same profit can be realized by starting the transaction in USD and doing: ...
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41 views

Murex and Calypso framework

I have been working on Murex and Calypso trading system for several years , front to back , I am facing a lot of question kind of : which software is better ? I can confirm to anyone interested in ...
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3answers
129 views

Cross Currency Swap

1) What is the difference between Cross Currency Swap and Cross Currency Basis Swap? Appreciate if this can be explained in layman's terms. 2) Could you advise me which swap rate to be used for the ...
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1answer
73 views

FX Modeling references

I would like to have some sugestions of reference books on FX modeling with strong mathematical approach, preferably combined with market pratictioner quant perspective. All sugesting are welcome! ...
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35 views

The relation between exchange rate SDE and respective interest rates

The exchange rate between a domestic currency money market and a foreign currency money market can be expressed as $$ dQ(t) = (r_d - r_f)Q(t)dt + \sigma Q(t)d\tilde{W}(t) $$ where $r_d$ is the ...
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19 views

Validation of an outright bid/ask computation

Given that the spot USD/CAD (for example) is $1.6120/25$ and six month forward swaps are $27/26$. What would the outright price be? I notice that bid of swap is larger than ask, that implies that is ...
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1answer
26 views

What does it mean when a risk reversal is near choice?

I'm currently reading Kathy Lien's 'Day Trading and Swing Trading the Currency Market' and I came across this phrase on risk reversals: "near choice". What does it mean when risk reversals are near ...
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1answer
86 views

Predicting the Future FX Spot Rates

Say I need to predict what the spot rate between USD and CAD will be in 3 months. What will be the most accurate measure or model that I could possibly use? Does the 3 month forward rate necessarily ...
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25 views

FX Counterparty Risk Modeling

We are building PFE model for FX derivatives including but not limited to outright and barrier options. For counterparty risk purpose, we are assessing whether black karasinski would be good for fx ...
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16 views

Hedging non-deliverable forward

For a non-deliverable forward, the payoff at maturity is $N(1-\frac{F}{S_T})$, where $N$ is the notional, $F$ is the forward rate predetermined at $t=0$, $S_T$ is the spot exchange rate at maturity $T$...
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16 views

Forward Exchange Rate Data: Germany x US

Would anyone know where I can find historical forward exchange rate data between germany and US, yen and US to download? In Bank of England website i already found. Thanks
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2answers
71 views

hedge a USD index into EUR

Say I have the daily index levels for the S&P. It is then very simple to calculate the daily returns. I however want to calculate the hedged returns into Euros. I have the daily exchange rates ...
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2answers
49 views

What does it mean to 'receive outright'?

What does the following statement mean: "after accounting for levels of market volatility, we favor receiving outright in 6-month forward-starting 2-year swaps."? Specifically, what does "receiving ...
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2answers
61 views

Calculating floating P&L of a FIX-order [closed]

How to fetch floating p/l(current) of a "filled" FIX-Order (either buy/sell)?(by its FIX-ID/order ID) I asked my FIX provider(Integral) & they said, there's no specific tag for that/not a ...
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1answer
56 views

Getting quote stream via fix-api 4.3

I'm new to FIX api,so far i did following (on QUICKFIX) logged on to quote-session subscribed to market data sent "single-message" quote-request for an instrument (EUR/USD for example) ...
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3answers
44 views

Where can I get json currency data feeds every millisecond?

I have been looking for free or paid json data feeds on currencies for long. I have come across: currencylayer.com Oanda XE The problem is that I really need millisecond based updates. Can ...
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2answers
35 views

EUR issuance using forwards to hedge FX risk

Trying to think about the right way to hedge a EUR denominated issuance from FX risk only. Say I have an annual pay 20-year EUR bond and I want to hedge the FX risk but take the interest rate risk. I ...
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0answers
73 views

FX Statistical Arbitrage Strategy [closed]

I have had experience creating stat arb strategies for equities and etfs, but haven't dabbled much into FX trading. I was wondering if anyone knew any resources online they would suggest, or could ...
3
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1answer
89 views

Pricing of swaps

I have a (hopefully) elementary question about forex swaps. Most feeds will have a near and a far leg (or more legs for more exotic swaps). I appreciate that "buying the swap" involves locking in ...
3
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1answer
124 views

Why do we usually use normal distribution and not Laplace distribution to generate stochastic process?

When working with a stochastic process based on brownian motion, the increments have normal (gaussian) distribution. However, it seems that a Laplace distribution, with density: $$f(t) = \frac{\...
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52 views

Where and how can I get FX intraday data for use it in R?

I need FX data (the most accurate possible) for use in R. Right now I have developed a script in Java to download the CSV file (from Oanda) and use this file to read it in R, but I think that is a ...
3
votes
1answer
77 views

Using Market Gamma to Predict FX Trading Environments

I want to test a hypothesis about using gamma to predict FX movements. Suppose that market makers will seek to be delta neutral given their portfolio of FX options. At any given time, market makers ...
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0answers
79 views

Latency Arbitrage in forex [closed]

(I've been downgraded on this question, and it's because most people don't understand what I mean. If you ever did hft arb, you will understand what I mean. If not, please do not answer) Everybody ...
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1answer
448 views

Processes used in quant finance

What are the main stochastic processes (and their SDE) used in quant finance? For example to model currency prices, stock prices, etc.
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75 views

Optimal approach for finding a profitable trading strategy to automate? [closed]

I am currently searching for an optimal approach for finding profitable forex trading strategies to automate. Currently, I just try to combine various indicators and build an automated trading system ...
4
votes
1answer
146 views

How to use the Black-Scholes formula with LIBOR rates?

I want to price an FX option using the Black-Scholes model, but I don't know the risk free rate, nor the volatility. I only know the LIBOR rates, the strike, and that the expiration day is 87 days ...
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1answer
38 views

construct portfolio offering risk free profit

Have trouble understanding this question, seems quite open ended. Assume that $S(0)$ is the current rate of exchange for foreign currency. Assume that and $K_n$ and $K_f$ are rates of return on home ...
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1answer
35 views

Is an FX forward with delayed settlement still a derivative?

As an example: Trade date: 1/1/16 Maturity date: 2/29/16 Settlement (exchange of currencies) 3/31/16 Is the instrument between 2/29 and 3/31 still deemed a forward? The forward rate is determined so ...
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0answers
24 views

Data on interest rate differentials (lending on own vs. foreign currency)

I'm looking for data on (inner country) interest rate differentials between lending in own and foreign currency. Is there any data publicly available? If yes, where? If not, which non-free sources are ...
3
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2answers
96 views

Longer term average probabilities of fills at fx ECNs?

I am wondering whether anyone can share experiences and longer term average probabilities of fills when quoting inside the spread at various fx ECNs. I need to make an assumption of the probability of ...
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1answer
85 views

Fx Firm market making

I've been doing market making on forex using the last look feature so far. Now we are moving to do on firm making, but I'm kind of lost. To do firm making we need to post resting orders (currenex ...
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1answer
75 views

Derivatives (Forex Forward) [closed]

Good day, Please, consult me about Forex Forward Swap (Ex. pair USD/RUB). I am trying to calculate and cant understand, how it works. For example: I have: USD/RUB Fwd points 3M - 19650/19950 IR - 10....