I am reading this paper(Stock market forecasting using hidden Markov model: a new approach) and get confused about how they predict the next day's close price. Below is what the authors say about how ...
Is it possible to the extract the latent factor f from the following equations using kalman smoothing? f is the unobserved state value while z is observed series. From the literature i could read ...
I am trying to estimate covariance in multiple time series. However, I want to do this using a regime-switching framework. So, I start with fitting a GARCH(1,1) model and then de-volatalize the ...
I want to solve the following optimization problem: What is the optimal general trading strategy (in the sense of the highest Sharpe ratio) on a time series which is the result of a Hidden Markov ...
Package RHmm (R) I have a vector which I fit into a hmm model in an attempt to select an optimal number of states for a hidden markov model. ...
We are testing Markov switching models to forecast risk regimes, similar to the paper by Kritzman, Page and Turkington. We find that in some cases the Baum-Welch algorithm converges very slowly or not ...