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8
votes
1answer
245 views

Inflation modelling

I am trying to price an option on the Spanish CPI. The option is a European call with a single observation date. However, I am fairly new to inflation modelling, so there are two areas in which I ...
3
votes
2answers
334 views

How to calculate discounted inflation and growth?

Given the nominal bond yield and the inflation index bond yield (earning yield), how would one calculate the discounted inflation rate (discounted earning growth rates)? These two factor seems to ...
2
votes
1answer
163 views

Do bond credit ratings suffer from “ratings inflation”?

A friend of mine who studies game theory suggested that credit ratings from the bond ratings agencies, such as Moody's, S&P, and Fitch, may suffer from a sort of "ratings inflation" similar to the ...
2
votes
1answer
225 views

Risk Decomposition of Index linked Bonds

Do you know how to decompose the risk of index linked bonds? To value a inflation linked bond, one plugs the real zero curve into the bond PV calculation, the real interest rate is as the fisher ...
2
votes
1answer
176 views

Inflation swap liquidity versus inflation-linked bonds

In which markets are inflation swaps considered liquid enough to be the primary instrument for measuring market inflation expectations (compared to say, inflation-linked bonds)? Are there specific ...
2
votes
1answer
70 views

Accounting for Withdrawals

I am trying to wrap my head around the proper way to do this. I would like to simulate the portfolio value adjusted for inflation with a fixed withdrawal rate. To simulate withdrawal rate, I will ...
1
vote
2answers
36 views

How To Account For Inflation Over Historical Data

I believe inflation is greatly affecting my sample data, even when using percent-changes for movements. I have read this post, which recommends the formula ((Current-Base Year CPI) * Price) / ...
0
votes
0answers
24 views

Real returns vs. inflation as an independent variable

Assume a model like this, basically explaining stock market returns with a bunch of stuff: ...
-4
votes
1answer
199 views

inflation > interest rate? [closed]

Currently, the federal reserve interest rate is 0-0.25%, and the inflation is 2-3%. Does this contradict the no-arbitrage principle? (The arbitrage being: borrow money at 0.25% and invest it in the ...