An interest rate is the rate at which interest is paid by a borrower (debtor) for the use of money that they borrow from a lender (creditor).

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334 views

Where can I get equivalent of 3 months libor or swap historical data?

Please note: I have already checked your standard "Historical data sources" link, but it does not have the data I need: I am looking for 5 years of libor/swap data for major currencies. Daily, or ...
-2
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0answers
22 views

Matlab interest rates calibration script [on hold]

I've got a matlab script from a Matlab webinar about calibration of the G2++ model. This should give the parameters of the G2++ model based on historical yield curves (I know you can use swaption vols ...
12
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1answer
678 views

Models crumbling down due to negative (nominal) interest rates

Given that the negative interest rates on a lot of sovereign bonds with maturity under 10 years are trading in the negative (nominal) interest rate territory (recently also the short term EURIBOR has ...
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1answer
73 views

How to measure the real interest rate using the consumer price index

I am examining how investor sentiment affects the probability of stock market crises. I am using methodology similar to this paper https://ideas.repec.org/p/dij/wpfarg/1110304.html. One of the ...
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1answer
115 views

Monetary Policy and the Yield Curve PART TWO

The Fed has a number of tools/targets with which they manage monetary policy. I'm looking to refine a concise summary of them and looking for guidance/correction/validation. Think I understand these ...
1
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1answer
65 views

Pricing a Vanilla swap between coupons; What rates to use?

Vanilla Swap question. Entered into a 5Y fixed for floating HUF swap. Fixed is annual coupons, Float is semi-annual coupons. 1 month later I want to price it. I set up my future values for Fixed ...
2
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1answer
75 views

How can extract parameters in the CIR model from data?

I want extract CIR parameters from monthly LIBOR data in the EULER-MARYAMA method in MATLAB languge. I find data but I cant extract parametrs form that! what is the process? what is the formula?
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0answers
38 views

Using CME DV01 to predict Futures price at 0.00% Yield

DV01 is published at CME Group for the cheapest-to-deliver bond here: http://www.cmegroup.com/trading/interest-rates/invoice-spread-calculator.html. If my goal is to get an approximation where the ...
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1answer
40 views

Impact of the interest rate volatility in the valuation of a bond

I am currently valuating a bond whose cupons have the following structure: $\left\{ \begin{array}{rcl} H_j-2\% & \mbox{if} & R_j<H_j-2\% \\ R_j & \mbox{if} & H_j-2\%\leq R_j\leq ...
1
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1answer
267 views

Weights Blowing up in PCA

I'm using daily settlement data to get yield levels for a couple of products. From this data I am doing PCA on a rolling collection of the yield levels. I have been using sci-kit learn's PCA function, ...
2
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2answers
73 views

Does LIBOR in USD reflect short term interest rates in the U.S.?

The London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR) is an indicative average interest rate at which a selection of banks (the panel banks) are prepared to lend one another unsecured funds on the London money ...
4
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1answer
86 views

What if: Negative interest on an overdrawn bank account?

Theoretical question: Consider if a bank account had a -12% yearly interest rate, and an account was currently overdrawn to a balance of -$100. What would the bank do to the -$100 balance after one ...
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0answers
29 views

Introducing 1bp shocks to yield curve (and interpolation consequences)

Let us assume we have a LIBOR 3M curve and that I would like to introduce a small shock up/down of 1bp at a certain point along the curve. I am trying to find out what the best and most efficient way ...
7
votes
1answer
411 views

How does one estimate theta in the Ho-Lee model from a yield curve?

I have a yield curve constructed using linear interpolation with data points every 3-months for US treasuries. I would like to use that calibrate a Ho-Lee model, but I can't wrap my head around how ...
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0answers
48 views

Exploding Libor Rates in Libor Market Model

I have implemented the Libor Market Model in Matlab. When I generate a number of paths, I notice that some of them explode. Does anybody have an idea what could cause this? I already tried solving ...
2
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2answers
147 views

How to price a stock under Q and stochastic interest rates?

I am interested in pricing a stock under $\mathbb{Q}$ when I assume that $$dS(t) = \mu(S(t))dt + \sigma(S(t))dW(t)$$ where $W(t)$ is a Wiener process under $\mathbb{P}$ and $$dr(t) = a(b-r(t))dt +...
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1answer
100 views

LIBOR 3M and 1M from Vasicek model

I would like to discuss my approach toward modelling of interest rates with respect to its downsides and advantages. My problem is to forecast daily LIBOR 3M and LIBOR 1M over a particular time ...
2
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1answer
2k views

Calculate the “ten year zero rate” given two bonds with two prices

I have a little question and need some help with the notation. So, the question goes as follows: A bond with a maturity of ten years that pays annual coupons of 8% has a price of \$90. A bond with ...
2
votes
1answer
164 views

Monte Carlo, convexity and Risk-Neutral ZCB Pricing

I've built a simplistic Excel monte carlo model to price a zero-coupon bond, but it came up with a slightly unepxected result so I wanted to confirm whether my maths is just a little rusty or my model ...
4
votes
2answers
464 views

Black-Scholes under stochastic interest rates

I'm trying to implement the Black-Scholes formula to price a call option under stochastic interest rates. Following the book of McLeish (2005), the formula is given by (assuming interest rates are ...
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1answer
54 views

Why does the correlation between r and V in Longstaff and Schwartz 1992 model is positive?

I am reading the Longstaff and Schwartz's 1992 and 1993. From $r = \alpha x + \beta y$ and $V = \alpha^2 x + \beta^2 y$. It was mentioned in the paper that the $r$ is positive correlated with $V$. ...
0
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1answer
69 views

SABR Calibration: Normal vs Log-Normal Market Data

This question is about getting some clarification as to how to understand market quotes for normal & log-normal vols together with certain model assumptions. So let us define $C_{BS}(F_0,K,T,\...
2
votes
1answer
83 views

Valuing derivatives under stochastic interest rates

I would like to price a European option with maturity equals to 5 years. To do this, I'm using the Black-Scholes model with stochastic interest rates. Suppose I choose the CIR model for the risk-...
3
votes
1answer
148 views

Consequence of negative mean reversion of hull white one factor model

I tried to calibrate the data for hull-white one-factor model. Sometimes, I get negative estimate of mean reversion factor after the calibration process. When I plug the negative mean reversion factor ...
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1answer
62 views

How to build a cross currency swap pricer?

We're looking to build a pricer to convert a funding spread in a given currency over a specific funding basis e.g. 20 bps EUR 3m€ and convert it to a funding spread to a different currency with a ...
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0answers
35 views

Pricing back swaptions corresponding to underlying swaps of Bermudan Swaption in calibrated LMM

I do not know to which swaption volatility matrix I have to calibrate the LMM in order to price back correctly the swaptions corresponding to the underlying swaps of a Bermudan Swaption. My problem: ...
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2answers
76 views

Relationship between interest rate and corporate bond yield?

I have been reading articles on liability driven investing, a technique used to increase the correlation b/w assets and liabilities of a pension plan. It appears that they use AA rated corporate bond ...
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0answers
19 views

Are forward rates starting at observation date spot rates?

In part 3.2 of Lu and Neftci (2003) "Convexity Adjustments and Forward Libor Model: Case of Constant Maturity Swaps", the authors propose a new way of pricing CMS swaps, with Monte Carlo simulations. ...
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0answers
20 views

Modeling the distrubution of future swap rates

I'm interested in better understanding the unwind cost/value of a swap at various points in the future. Suppose that we have entered a 7Y swap (paying fixed) and want to understand the unwind cost/...
0
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2answers
88 views

Accuracy Rebonato Swaption Approximation Formula among Different Strikes

Can somebody explain me if the Rebonato swaption volatility approximation formula is accurate for only ATM strikes, and if yes why? Can it also be used for ITM and OTM strikes? My foundings: Let $0 &...
3
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0answers
148 views

A doubt about Evans and Jovanovic (1989) economic model for entrepreneurs with credit constraints

[I already posted this question on the math forum of stackexchange and I was advised that I should post this question here] In Evans and Jovanovic (1989) you will find a model for entrepreneurs with ...
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1answer
65 views

HJM framework problem - showing that HJM drift condition implies that $b(z)=b+βz$ and $(ρ)^2=α$

Hi I am looking for some general clarification to Heath–Jarrow–Morton framework. I am analyzing a problem where the forward rate is modeled as $$ f(t,T)=e^{\beta(T-t)} Z_t+h(T-t) \tag{1}$$ for some ...
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2answers
60 views

Pricing a physical commodity forward contract

I have just started reading Options Volatility and Pricing 2nd edition and I'm a little confused on forward contract pricing. The book states ...
3
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2answers
110 views

CIR model problem - deriving PDE, Feynman-Kac

I am reviewing a CIR model problem, where $r_t$ has following dynamics $$dr_t=a(b-r_t)dt+\sigma \sqrt{r_t} dW_t^* \quad \quad (1)$$ for some constants $ab>\frac{\sigma^2}{2} \quad$ Letting T ...
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2answers
89 views

How to show that the exponential Vasicek model is not an affine term-structure model?

From the pricing formula, we know that the value at time $t\in [0,T]$ of a zero coupon bond maturing at time $T$ is $$ B(t,T)=E\left(\exp{\left(-\int_{t}^{T}r_sds\right)}\bigg|\mathcal{F}_t\right). $$...
0
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1answer
65 views

Ho-Lee model - A and B derivation for $P(t,T)=e^{-A(t,T)-B(t,T)r_t}$

I am analyzing the transition of the bond prices in the affine models in the form of $P(t,T)=e^{-A(t,T)-B(t,T)r_t}$ using the property that the diffusion and the drift of an affine model can be ...
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1answer
63 views

Vasicek model problem

I am analyzing a problem where the below is given Vasicek model with risk-neutral dynamics $$dr_t = \kappa (\theta - r_t)dt + \sqrt{r_t} dW_t \quad \quad (1) $$ bond prices $$P(t,T)=e^{A(t,T)-B(t,T)...
3
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0answers
65 views

Interpolation of forward zeros-coupons bonds simulations for missing maturities (ESG data)

I have a set of economic scenarios simulated with Barrie and Hibbert ESG. The stochastic model for interest rates used is Libor Market Model Shifted. I am facing a problem with zeros-coupons prices. ...
0
votes
1answer
53 views

shifted SABR - ATM vol

quick question guys. I know that for Shifted SABR (or any other Shifted model), we simply model the underlying price process (lets say the forward interest rate F), as F' = F + x, x being the shift. ...
3
votes
2answers
42 views

Integration to calculate expected value of swap rate

In Hagan's paper on valuing CMS swaps (Convexity Conundrums: Pricing CMS Swaps, Caps, and Floors), there is: So the swap rate must also be a Martingale, and $$E \big[ R_s(\tau) \big| \...
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0answers
23 views

Why does the forward rate curve lies above the spot rate curve and the yield to maturity curve?

I saw a picture of 3 different yield curves, a spot rate curve, a forward curve, and a yield to maturity curve. The forward curve was at the top, the YTM curve at the bottom. I don't understand why.
0
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2answers
49 views

Can we derive 5 year zero coupon interest rate by using 1, 2 and 3 year zero coupon interest rate?

Given that the 1 year zero coupon bond interest rate is 5%, 2 year zero coupon bond interest rate is 6% and 3 year zero coupon bond interest rate is 7%. 4 year coupon bond price and interest rate are ...
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0answers
12 views

EMTA Guidelines

Does EMTA guidelines are only for Non-Deliverable trades? IF yes, then why this is applicable for Deliverable Option trades? EMTA Site - http://www.emta.org/ndftt.aspx
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1answer
84 views

How do you model yield curves for interest rates that have hardly moved?

I have a model which I use to simulate future yield curves. The model uses some standard concepts, like PCA and ARMA models, and it creates some nice-looking yield curves. The simulated curves are ...
4
votes
1answer
149 views

Libor Market Model Calibration

Currently I am doing a research on the plain vanilla multi-curve framework Libor Market Model meaning that no stochastic volatility is involved. I had the idea to calibrate to the swaption market. In ...
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0answers
16 views

Forward Exchange Rate Data: Germany x US

Would anyone know where I can find historical forward exchange rate data between germany and US, yen and US to download? In Bank of England website i already found. Thanks
4
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1answer
38 views

Analytical Bond Price under Rendlemen-Bartter?

Assuming the short rate $r_t$ follows the risk-neutral (so $W_t$ is a $Q$-Brownian motion) process $$ dr_t = ar_t dt + \sigma r_t dW_t, $$ does anyone know of an analytical bond price formula? We ...
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0answers
54 views

Modeling Interest-only Mortgages

First post on this forum - happy to be here. Please give feedback if this is off-topic so I can more meaningfully contribute moving forward. Can we infer a range of future all-in costs for I/O ARMs ...
6
votes
2answers
2k views

Why is the SABR volatility model not good at pricing a constant maturity swap (CMS)?

I have heard that the SABR volatility model was not good at pricing a constant maturity swap (CMS). How is that?
2
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1answer
29 views

how to compute the risk free rate for a given maturity of an option contract?

i'm working on options with different maturities. I need to correspond a risk free rate for each maturity. What rate should i consider as risk free rate? thank you.