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2answers
92 views

Intuition behind interest rate models

I am modelling the 3M yield of US Treasuries using an ARMA/ GARCH approach. Most interest rate models (e.g. Vasicek) describe the process as follows: $r_{t}-r_{t-1} = some ARMA+ \epsilon_t $ ...
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1answer
233 views

Is inverted Japanese style curve persistent when negative rates are real / market - observed?

Are the inverted (Japanese style) governmental yield curves being a sign a recession/credit risk or should they be modelled as being due to a lack of liquidity? (...with such curves evolving into a ...
2
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0answers
35 views

Formal Proof of Immunization Techniqu

Please correct me if I am wrong in understanding the Immunisation Technique behind bond interest rate risk management. It says that any change in interest rate can be neutralised by reinvesting the ...
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0answers
56 views

Should portfolio be optimized by marking to the future than marking to market (excluding currencies)?

Observing the negative interest bonds in Switzerland, Denmark, GErmany the value of higher presently (credit-free) outgoing cash flows seems less important than the value of lower future (credit-free) ...