The kelly-criterion is a risk management strategy (or wagering system) providing an optimal risk apportionment system that relies on having 2 calculated probabilities.

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Implementation of Kelly in multivariate case using modeled distributions

I am exploring how to determine an "optimal" portfolio in the context of real life data and systems. Specifically, I want to calculate a Kelly Optimal Portfolio (see this paper, especially section 8.4 ...
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Optimize Kelly Criterion in these circumstances for Binary Options

For simple bets with two outcomes, one involving losing the entire amount bet, and the other involving winning the bet amount multiplied by the payoff odds, the Kelly bet is: f* is the fraction of ...