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4
votes
2answers
703 views

what's the difference between Peak-Load pricing and price discrimination?

i just don't get it. Peak-load pricing wiki page gives example: in public goods such as public urban transportation, where day demand (peak period) is usually much higher than night demand ...
0
votes
0answers
18 views

DOL (Department of labour) API does not showing most recent results when requested instead shows unauthorized

I have recently been experimenting with backtesting swing trading FX strategies using quandl economic data and now that the time to deploy these models has arrived I have signed up for a developer ...
3
votes
4answers
183 views

What are the canonical global-macro investing books?

What is a good reading list for Global Macro investing? What does Bridgewater, Bervan Howard, Soros, AQR etc. use to teach their staff about macroeconomic investing? Let us assume a top-class ...
1
vote
0answers
21 views

Regression on default rates and backward extrapolation

Suppose that we have bankruptcy data representative for Small and Medium-sized enterprises in a country. We can therefore calculate default rates. Furthermore suppose that we found that GDP, ...
1
vote
0answers
30 views

Through the Cycle calibration of PD values

It is a known fact that default rates seem to exhibit cyclic behavior. Most probability of default models use one-year averages of default rates to calibrate the models. The one-year averages should ...
1
vote
0answers
16 views

Are COFER unallocated resource changes meaningful?

I've been looking at the currency reserves (COFER) data on the IMF site: http://data.imf.org/?sk=E6A5F467-C14B-4AA8-9F6D-5A09EC4E62A4&ss=1408202647052 What caught my eye was the 5% drop in ...
-3
votes
1answer
33 views

Liquidity effect in case MS decrease

What is the result if the liquidity effect is grater than other effects in case of decreased money supply? I got this question on the exam, In case of an increase in the money supply by the central ...
1
vote
1answer
29 views

A citizen's life as an investment project (from the State's PoV)

An average citizen's life can be seen as an investment project: the State starts investing into prenatal care, the child's education etc., a young man starts making money and paying taxes (breaks even ...
1
vote
2answers
58 views

Can the money market break in a crisis situation?

I am researching the question, what happens during a crisis situation to the money market. Can it break? In 2007-08 there is evidence that liquity hoarding from banks became a rather common problem. ...
1
vote
1answer
44 views

Stressing the going up of LIBOR - Which balance sheet variables to stress?

Analysts expect the LIBOR to rise in the next two years. Hence, all companies that have foreign currency loans will face problems. I am preparing a study on this topic, but data is an extreme issue. ...
1
vote
0answers
19 views

Sample data of quarterly (annualized) real GDP growth

I am looking for a database that provides me the quarterly (annualized) real GDP growth (quarter t and t-1) of US, Germany and England. For the US data i went here: ...
0
votes
1answer
149 views

Looking for a definition of financial entropy

In Science, Entropy is generally considered to be the irreversibility of stuff. Google defines entropy as: lack of order or predictability; gradual decline into disorder The 'gradual decline in ...
1
vote
1answer
38 views

What is the gross accounting relation of Cobb-Douglas function?

We have Cobb-Douglas function like this $Y=AK^\alpha L^{1-\alpha}$, in one of the book, it deduce like this: How can we get this formula? $$\frac{\Delta Y}Y = \frac{\Delta A}A+\alpha\frac{\Delta ...
4
votes
3answers
270 views

What are the most effective market variables to measure liquidity/illiquidity in the market?

I'm trying to find/create a variable that measures liquidity in financial markets in order to assess, for instance whether credit conditions tightened? Does anyone know any relevant literature ...
2
votes
1answer
116 views

How does trade deficit affect the economy of a country

How does trade deficit for a prolonged period(say 10-15 years) affect a country's economy? I have read that it should affect it adversely, but the US trade deficit has been negative since the mid ...
3
votes
5answers
175 views
2
votes
1answer
124 views

Economic indicators leading the yield curve

There is a lot of research on how the government yield curve can be used to predict the economy. The government yield curve is often seen as a leading indicator. But for which variables is the curve a ...
0
votes
1answer
69 views

Liquidity and Prices

Do fewer transaction costs and higher liquidity relate to lower market prices? Are there any good resources that deal with these topics in more detail?
2
votes
1answer
154 views

Fixed Income free research available online

As from the title, I would like to know where it is possible to find free research focused on fixed income markets' themes and topics, such as interest rates, credit risk related fundamentals, new ...
4
votes
1answer
144 views

Relating Quantitative Easing to the rally in the SPX

The Fed's balance sheet has been expanding over the last few month due to QE3. When the Fed goes out to buy treasuries or MBS, it's taking those securities out of the market and exchanging them with ...
3
votes
0answers
496 views

What is the use of the Euler equation in the Ramsey growth model?

I apologise for being brief, but I don't understand how is Euler equation used in the Ramsey growth model. I am reading a textbook "Dynamic General Equilibrium Modeling" and there is mentioned about ...
2
votes
1answer
136 views

How to reconstruct a discontinued economic time series such as the Fed's CP rate?

The old 3-Month Commercial Paper Rate (CP3M) on FRED was discontinued in 1997. I would like to reconstruct this series in a reasonable fashion, so I can use it to analyze more recent events. I was ...
9
votes
2answers
927 views

How do I replicate John Hussman's recession forecasting methodology?

John Hussman has a recession forecasting methodology he often posts about on his blog, and I am trying to replicate it using publicly available data. I would like to assess his accuracy in predicting ...
5
votes
1answer
373 views

Will price levels fall even though money supply increases?

Given this equation, according to the article at this location , which provides the following equation as an argument, the author claims that he predicts "deflation" in the last paragraph of the ...