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1answer
80 views

Generating random yields

I would like to test different methods for fitting a yield curve, like the Nelson-Siegel, cubic splines etc. I would like to generate random yield to maturity data, that somehow reflects the common ...
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0answers
57 views

Modeling Interest-only Mortgages

First post on this forum - happy to be here. Please give feedback if this is off-topic so I can more meaningfully contribute moving forward. Can we infer a range of future all-in costs for I/O ARMs ...
1
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1answer
79 views

Obtaining the drift of a Wiener process formed from a random walk

I'm trying to understand how the equation for Geometric Brownian Motion is formed from a random walk. I'm following the book 'Statistics of Financial Markets' but I'm struggling to follow how the ...
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0answers
41 views

Is there anyone tried to use simultaneous stochastic differential equations?

I am looking for some examples or attempts of using simultaneous stochastic differential equations for financial analysis but there has been none so far. Is it just so nasty to apply such thing in ...
1
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1answer
38 views

Fitting (marginal/multivariate) distributions to financial return data

I have calculated the simple arithmetic return on a number of different financial securities and am fitting both a Student-T and Generalised Pareto Distribution. My question is can I just use the ...
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0answers
243 views

Modelling long run relationship between dividend and earnings

I am working on a paper where I have to model the long run relationship between earnings and dividends. I have downloaded the raw data from shillers website. I have converted the series to log(...
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0answers
218 views

Modeling asset performance to Bitcoin revenue

I'm attempting to model asset performance to Bitcoin revenue, which is a driving force in the Bitcoin community. Question Is there any model, or research being done that tracks "hashes per second" (...
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1answer
224 views

How to forecast bond price with time series

I have the goal of being able to develop a model that can forecast the future prices of european government bond (or other private bonds), particularly from the historical prices and returns of the ...
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1answer
53 views

GNP/GDP and modelling [closed]

Is GNP a continuous, static or a dynamic model ? What about GDP ? What I do know is that it has yearly discrete values. However, when it is modeled, it becomes a continuous graph. So what exactly is ...
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1answer
76 views

Making portfolios better than others for a 16 week portfolio game? [closed]

I'm going to participate in a game of making portfolios. The objective of the game is to make the portfolio with the bigger ROI over 16 weeks. Over each week every player can see the ROI of each ...
0
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1answer
34 views

Modeling EOD ETFs price returns together or individually?

Let's say you want to model the next day price returns for a set of US equities large cap ETFs (a relatively homogenous group). Would you model all the ETFs as a single, 15 years data set, or each ETF ...
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1answer
205 views

Numerical difficulties in fitting option prices

In [1], the authors state that "Although some studies apply the curve-fitting method directly to option prices, the severely nonlinear relationship between option price and strike price often leads to ...
0
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1answer
398 views

Using OpenCL video cards to offload Quant Finance calculations, what features should I look for?

I'm benchmarking some software and am looking for cards that are better at parallel multiplication vs parallel addition. Is there any prior work that may have this information? What GPU features ...
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0answers
9 views

Calibration: comparing models

Exponential Lévy models fall in two main categories: jump diffusion models and infinite activity Lévy models. For my paper, I study jump diffusion models and in particular Merton's model (i.e normall ...
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0answers
20 views

How to measure practically the performance of Venture Capital backed tech firms following an IPO?

I am currently writing a thesis about whether the fact that a tech firm backed by venture capital companies achieves higher returns following an IPO (Horizon of 3 years). I have about 800 tech ...
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0answers
26 views

How to fit model implied forward curve with market forward curve for Ornstein-Uhlebeck?

I have a spread option model of 2 correlated Ornstein-Uhlenbeck commodity prices that I estimate the parameters of with Maximum Likelihood. What is the formula for introducing the additional ...
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3answers
83 views

Is there a way to meaningfully generate daily returns from monthly?

I have a set of 7 investments in a portfolio and I need to optimize the weightings based on some exposures to various markets/styles/economic factors. I was hoping to do some sort of simple exposure ...
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3answers
191 views

Step By Step method to calculating VaR using MonteCarlo Simulations

In trying to find VaR for 5 financial assets with prices over a long period of time(2000 days worth of data) how would I do the following: Carry out monte-carlo simulation in order to find a VaR ...
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0answers
52 views

Modelling commodity price uncertainty with brownian motion - time period impacts

background I have two separate models of a metals resources company. Each model produces a series of accounting and cashflows forecast for different assets, and consolidates these to a overall ...
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0answers
89 views

residential mortgage prepayment modelling

I'm trying to develop a model for predicting prepayments, after reading several arcticles about it over the net. the model should use market data and be behavioral model (i.e. regression/survival ...
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0answers
88 views

Examples for the option model validation

When implementing a code for the new model, even if it provides sensible price, it is still a good idea to compare it against some benchmarks, even in the special case of constant volatility Black-...
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0answers
59 views

calibration of Gaussian two factor short rate model

I am trying to calibrate the gaussian two factor short rate model whose dynamics is given by r(t)=x(t)+y(t)+phi(t) Now to calibrate the model to term structure ...
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0answers
121 views

Modelling interest rate: AR(2) modelling

I have a time series of spread that follows an $AR(2)$ (Autoregressive model of Order 2). I need an interest rate model that represents that dynamics. What model should I use?
-1
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1answer
230 views

Can Beneish's model for detecting earnings manipulation be applied to companies in the UK?

As I understand it this model derived from data for US companies. Is it valid to apply the model as is to UK companies or does it require any modifications? Description of the model: http://www....
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1answer
674 views

Tutorial for working with tick data? [closed]

Can you recommend a good tutorial for working with tick data for the purpose of algorithmic trading? Is the data normally stored in a database and only bits are read into memory at a time? Is there ...
-2
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1answer
594 views

Interest Rate Swaps on Mortgages [closed]

Is it possible to get interest rate swaps on mortgages? If not, why not? Are there models that describe this? Any direction would be great.