A theoretical framework for analyzing investment portfolios based on their expected return and risk.

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Combining modern portfolio theory and Kelly betting?

I'm using modern portfolio theory to compute the frontier of efficient portfolios. I'd like to pick the best one in the spirit of Kelly betting, ie. maximising expected growth. I'm looking for a ...
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412 views

Why is the CAPM securities market line straight?

Let $\gamma$ be the expected return, in terms of its exponential growth rate, of the market asset. If we set $\gamma=\mu-\sigma^2/2$ as explained by the Doléans-Dade exponential, then the expected ...
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37 views

Relation between mean and variance of a portfolio in modern portfolio theory:

I hope that this is the right place to ask my question! Let a market with $N\ge1$ risky assets and denote by $(R_i,i=1,\cdots, N)$ their returns and $R$ the vector of these $N$ returns. In addition, ...
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47 views

Interpreting different factor models w.r.t. correlation matrix and min variance portfolio weights

Background In Eric Zivot's analysis of factor models he uses three models The sample (.sample) Single index model (.si) Barra factor industry model (.ind) PCA model (.pca) You can download his ...
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57 views

Finding mean vector and covariance matrix for annual returns given quarterly returns

I am currently trying to calculate a vector for the mean annual returns of 4 different asset classes along with their 4x4 covariance matrix in excel. However, I am having problems since the data I ...
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65 views

Reference Request: Horse Race for Portfolio Allocation

Probably the most popular horse race study for portfolio strategies is Optimal versus Naive Diversification: How Inefficient Is the 1/N Portfolio Strategy?, with DeMiguel, L. Garlappi and R. Uppal....
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72 views

Residual Covariance Matrix, and MVO for Residual Variance and Alpha

My overall goal is to find an efficient frontier using QP in terms of $\alpha$ and residual variance ($\omega^2$) for a portfolio $P$ given a benchmark $B$. We know the equation for residual variance ...
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585 views

Portfolio Optimization with Monte Carlo Simulation - How to do it with Excel?

If I have three asset classes and their historical weekly returns for five years, how can I construct a minimum variance portfolio and an efficient frontier plot with Excel? To do that do I have to ...
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2answers
411 views

Why does it “say” portfolio diversification not suitable during market turmoil?

Currently I am trying to get a hold of MPT, asset allocation and related applications. While reading a particular resource, it says diversification works best for "normal" financial markets and ...
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303 views

Basic question on Portfolio Theory

I was revising my stuff about portfolio theory and I noticed that every single time, expected return and corresponding variance or covariance are given! (not calculating ourselves). So I'm just ...
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1answer
450 views

What are some “Must Know” investment/portfolio management theories out there?

What are the most important portfolio management theories you must know in order to competently manage an investment portfolio? In order to keep the topic focused, I would like to narrow down the set ...
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216 views

how can we know the residual return will be uncorrelated with the market return

I was reading that if we know a portfolios beta we can break the excess return on that portfolio into a market component and a residual component. ...
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101 views

Mean Variance Portfolio theory and real-world problem?

There are many assumptions on mean-variance portfolio theory and they seem to be very unrealistic, for example 1) investors have the same information at the same time: calculating expected returns ...
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2k views

Definition of Return of A Long/short Portfolio

This can either be a silly question or a question with no sure rigorous answer but defined with some convention. Any way, here it is. What is the (industrial recognized) definition of the return of a ...
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213 views

Comparing Cash Equivalent of risky portfolios

To compare two risky portfolios, Mean-Variance (M-V) portfolios for example, many compare their Cash Equivalent ($CE$). $CE$ is defined as the amount of cash that provides the same utility as the ...
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123 views

When to adjust portfolio weights?

In portfolio allocation literature there is lot of effort made in obtaining 'better' portfolio weights, for example via improving parameter estimates, introducing Bayesian approaches, incorporating ...
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1answer
279 views

What are the assumptions of portfolio optimisation with higher moments?

I was wondering whether there are a set of assumptions for portfolio optimisation with higher moments (including kurtosis and skewness) as there are for regular mean-variance optimisation?
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1answer
783 views

Is it possible to derive the “risk tolerance” from the portfolio efficient frontier?

I am trying to solve the Portfolio Optimization Problem using a "Multi-objective Evolutionary Algorithm". After obtaining the efficient frontier, I would like to know if we can infer for each point of ...
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1answer
65 views

How to calculate a hypothetical minimum-variance point?

If we have $N$ assets which are uncorrelated, but have the same mean return of $\mu$ but the variances are different where $\sigma_i^2$ is the variance of each asset $i = 1, 2,...,N$ how can you write ...
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83 views

Does anyone know where I can find a free efficient frontier tool, or an informative and legitamate/academic graph of the efficient frontier?

I'd like to build a portfolio based upon modern portfolio theory and I'd like to find a tool I can use to calculate the proper mix of asset classes. Can anyone help with this? I think a good chart/...
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2answers
186 views

2 stocks, no shorting vs shorting. (concrete questions, mean-variance)

I'd appreciate help with the following questions. Suppose there are two stocks $A$ and $B$ with expected returns $E_A, E_B >0$ and volatilities $v_A, v_B >0$, respectively . Also, suppose ...
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1answer
31 views

Can adding an uncorrelated high vol strategy to a low vol portfolio result in a portfolio with even lower volatility?

Let's say I have fund A with 20% annualized volatility and portfolio B with 15% annualized volatility. If A and B have 0 correlation, can the combination of these funds have volatility < 15% ? Are ...
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469 views

short-sale constraint with nonpositive-definite matrix in portfolio optimization

I need help about portfolio optimization in R. I have inverted matrix and I want to use it as an input in portfolio optimization. It was non-positive definite before I have handled it. In portfolio ...
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1answer
121 views

Is the volatility of a trader's wealth equal to the volatility of the underlying assets traded?

Assume that a trader trades in several stocks with different volatilities. The return of the trader's portfolio would be the weighted average of returns and the risk would be a function of the the ...
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1answer
444 views

In Mean-Variance Analysis, why not the efficient frontier being pushed to the left near the axis?

I took some classes in portfolio theory, and learnt the Markowitz Mean-Variance Analysis. If only two risky assets, the efficient frontier would be a hyperbola passing through the two points; now if ...
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246 views

Portfolio risk-return when assets have limited and inconsistent historical data / time series?

Lets say we have "today's" snapshot of asset allocation and need to determine the 6mo, 1 yr and 5 yr risk and returns of this portfolio. If the time series for every asset is very long, longer than ...
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164 views

Calculate efficient frontier using fPortfolio with incomplete set of returns

I want to calculate the efficient frontier for a set of 140 assets using returns from the past 10 years. However, some of these assets came into existence only more recently, so for some assets I have ...
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177 views

Portfolio optimization with absolute position constraints

I'm looking to optimize a portfolio maximizing expected return for a particular risk budget, but with absolute constraints on the individual instrument positions. I've been experimenting with QP, ...
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3answers
2k views

Calculate correlation between two sub portfolios and the combined portfolio

I have two sub portfolios (lets call them portfolio a & portfolio b - a portfolio is just a vector of weights that sum to 1) that combine to create a total portfolio. I also have a 2 x 2 ...
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496 views

VaR Calculation - Covariance matrix is not positive semidefinite

This is a basic question. I have three assets, equally weighted, and all the mutual covariances are -1. Then, the covariance matrix looks like - ...
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3answers
353 views

Finding Expression for Optimal Markowitz Weights

So there are two assets with return rates $r_1$ and $r_2$ which have identical variances and a correlation coefficient $p$. The risk free rate is $r_f$. I need to find an expression for the optimal ...
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1answer
280 views

reference question about portfolio optimization

I know the "classical" modern portfolio theory. However I have quite a lot of different sources. It seems that there is not a book which cover this topic in a rigorous way: theory application ...
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1answer
73 views

Portfolio optimization

first I just hope that this question is in the right place. I have started working on portfolio optimization and the formulation of the problem and their solution : For example in the Markowitz ...
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50 views

MPT and the connection to asset prices / initial capital

I have some question about MPT. Suppose we want to build a portfolio given $N$ assets: $A_1,\dots,A_N$. At time $t$ we build the portfolio using MPT, which yields some weight vector $w_t=(\lambda_1,\...
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1answer
158 views

How to score a portfolio's diversity based on security returns?

What is the best way to score a portfolio's diversity based on it's returns covariance matrix? I know that if my portfolio has two securities and their returns' correlation coefficient is -1 that is ...
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1answer
156 views

What's wrong with this asset growth simulation?

Sorry if this is too basic, but I have this spreadsheet that simulates asset growth of a portfolio under a given return and risk using MPT. Here is a plot of probability distribution of asset ...
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1answer
133 views

Find a paper about portfolio management

Where to find the following paper of the noble prize Paul Samuelson (2003) “When and Why Mean-Variance Analysis Generically Fails,”. I was looking for it desperately on Google and Google Scholar but ...
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398 views

Use of AI in portfolio optimization

A new Danish hedge fund has received quite a large amount of attention in the last month or so. They are launching a new investment fund that uses proprietary AI to select stocks to invest in. They ...
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351 views

Proxy for risk in portfolio theory when return can take only two values

I'm trying to adapt tools from portfolio theory for another use, and I have a question about how I might do so. Suppose that instead of having normally distributed returns, the return $R_i$ is ...
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40 views

How to compute the foreign exchange volatility within a portfolio

Suppose I have a portfolio of 5 assets. Assets 1 and 2 have foreign exchange exposures and therefore foreign exchange volatility. How can I calculate the marginal contribution to the total portfolio ...
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55 views

Understanding portfolio weights and purchasing stock in modern portfolio theory

Recently I've been learning about the markowitz algorithm. It's pretty interesting, but I'm curious how we apply this in practice. Lets say I have some optimal portfolio: $R_p = x_aR_a + x_bR_b$ ...
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1answer
101 views

Risk minimization by investing in all assets with positive expected return

Suppose I have an amount $T$ to invest and $N$ available assets. The stochastic return per invested unit of asset $i$ is $R_i$. The variance and the expectation of $R_i$ are $\sigma^2_i$ and $\...
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1answer
81 views

On a source for a mean-variance portfolio optimization result

In the context of a mean_variance framework consider an optimizing investor who chooses at time $T$ portfolio weights $w$ so as to maximize the quadratic objective function: $$U(w) = E[R_p] - \frac{\...
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1answer
218 views

Why model the variance-covariance matrix as an inverse-Wishart distribution in bayesian portfolio analysis?

I am following Risk and asset allocation (Attilio Meucci,2007). I must say I am enjoying this reading quite a lot so I hope nobody takes my question as a critique on the text. When we are introduced ...
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3answers
506 views

Portfolio Optimization - Zero beta portfolio

I am trying to solve a optimization portfolio in R in which I do the following constraints: Set weight sum to within a boundary Set return to a certain value Set portfolio beta to 0 The purpose ...
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1answer
203 views

Efficient Frontier Derivation: why minimize half the portfolio variance instead of just the variance?

In Robert Merton's derivation of the efficient frontier of a portfolio, he minimizes $\frac{1}{2}\sigma^2 $ over the investment weights in each asset, where $\sigma^2$ represents portfolio variance. ...
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2answers
31 views

How exactly are correlated defaults used/analyzed?

I've read a lot about correlate defaults but I can't seem to understand how they're used practically in a portfolio theory setting. Suppose I have two (?) companies, X and Y, and historic default ...
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62 views

What does an optimized portfolio really tell us?

I am very new to this field, and have very recently started doing some self study on this topic. After reading some papers and reproducing some of the results in them, I am not very clear about what ...
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93 views

Calculating the global minimum variance portfolio in R?

I am attempting to use the globalMin.portfolio command to calculate the global minimum variance portfolio in RStudio. My code is as follows (note that several libraries have been included which may ...
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64 views

Tangency portfolio and CML - Why does it have the highest sharpe ratio?

In the book that I am studying, the tangent portfolio was defined as the regular efficient portfolio in the case with $n$ risky assets and 1 riskfree asset with the extra requirement that the ...