Questions about models for the valuation of option contracts.

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2
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3answers
81 views

Distribution of pay-off of an exotic option

Can any assumptions be made about the pay-off of an exotic option? For example, might we say the distribution of the pay-off a vanilla option would be Normal? I have built a valuation tool that ...
0
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0answers
12 views

Replicant portfolio with commissions (Jarrow Rudd)

I have created a Jarrow Rudd three for a call option that I know how to replicate with a portfolio. A replicating portfolio of a option works this way: At time 0 we form a replicating portfolio ...
0
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1answer
30 views

Stochastic volatility and forward start contracts

Why is it more accurate to use stochastic volatility when pricing let's say a forward start option (ie an option priced today but striked in a future date) ?
9
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1answer
165 views

How do different models impact option Greeks?

If I trade an option using delta, vega, Prob OTM, etc. these are derived from a model. How do leading models impact valuations in terms of the Greeks? I suppose to form a baseline it would have to be ...
7
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2answers
230 views

How to price an option allowing to change a call into a put?

A recruiter asked me this question: Suppose you have the following contract: a call option with maturity T = 2 years the possibility to change this call into a put at t = 1 year What is the price ...
0
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2answers
39 views

Overpricing Bermudan swaption using Shifted LMM

I am trying to model a callable range accrual note linked to the EUR CMS spread, 20Y-10Y, with cap and floor. The note is Bermudan, callable starting year 3, every 3 years till maturity at 30 year. We ...
2
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0answers
75 views

Problems with a Black-Scholes modified equation

I haven't really studied much financial mathematics until about 2 months ago so I'm quite new to this stuff, so I'm sorry if this is a trivial question. At the moment I'm trying to work out what the ...
3
votes
1answer
90 views

Why is the value of an adaptive stochastic process known at time t?

I am having a hard time to understand the concept of an adapted stochastic process. Using an analogy to finance, I have been told we can think of adaptiveness of a stock price process as having an ...
5
votes
3answers
508 views

Debunking risk premium via “hedging” argument? (or why even in the real world $\mu$ should equal $r$)

Since I began thinking about portfolio optimization and option pricing, I've struggled to get an intuition for the risk premium, i.e. that investors are only willing to buy risky instruments when they ...
4
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1answer
78 views

What are the answers to these questions on card deck and option pricing?

here are 3 questions I have some trouble dealing with. Your help will be greatly appreciated! 1 - We have a deck card: 26 red, 26 black. we play a game: you draw a card from the deck without putting ...
0
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1answer
48 views

shifted SABR - ATM vol

quick question guys. I know that for Shifted SABR (or any other Shifted model), we simply model the underlying price process (lets say the forward interest rate F), as F' = F + x, x being the shift. ...
6
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2answers
214 views

The Upper Bound of an American Put Option

I have just read the following paragraph (in bold) and have a question on the upper bound of an american put option: http://www.sharemarketschool.com/option-valuation-upper-and-lower-bounds-part-...
1
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1answer
61 views

Isn't Black's approximation for American options inconsistent?

I have came across a formula suggested by Fisher Black (Fact and fantasy in the use of options, FAJ, July–August 1975, pp.36) for approximating the price of an American call written on a dividend-...
1
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2answers
147 views

How do you calculate price of non-existant call option on commodity future

I've been stumped on this for awhile now. I'm trying to determine the price of a call option on a commodity futures contract that expires in the future. My issue is that while the future's contracts ...
2
votes
4answers
245 views

Is there any other way to measure option pricing model performance than proximity to market prices?

Short version Why do we take market prices as the prices to be estimated and predicted? The common answer is efficient markets hypothesis as in "Market agents do their best effort given their ...
0
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0answers
73 views

Applying Black-Scholes to valuing index options

I am currently attempting to use the Black-Scholes model to value index options. My issue is; what should I use as the price of the underlying? Say I want to value a call option on the German DAX with ...
3
votes
1answer
68 views

Qualitative properties of call

I have read somewhere that we can show by using arbitrage argument the following relationship for call option : $$\frac{\partial{C_t(T,K)}}{\partial{K}}\leq0$$ $$\frac{\partial^2{C_t(T,K)}}{\...
4
votes
1answer
75 views

Butterfly spread model price

Consider a butterfly spread with strikes $K_1, K_2, K_3$. My professor wrote the model price, $V$, was equal to the following: $$V = exp(-rT) * P(K_1<S_T<K_3) * (1/2) \Delta K$$ where $\Delta K ...
4
votes
2answers
99 views

Is complete market or not if appreciation rate is random?

Consider the stock price process satisfies the following SDE: $dS_t=\mu_t S_tdt + \sigma S_t dW_t , S_0=s $ and the appreciation rate process $\mu_t$ satisfies the following SDE: $d\mu_t=(a-\mu_t)...
5
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2answers
170 views

How to calculate Implied Volatility for out-of-the-money options?

I'm trying to calculate the implied volatility for out-of-the-money options, and to a lesser extent, in-the-money options. Most of the literature estimations I could find for implied volatility were ...
1
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1answer
73 views

Arbitrage opportunity in discrete time

Say we have the following binary option $B$ on asset $S$ with strike K and expiration time T, assume also that the following relation holds at time $0$: $B > N*C(K,T)-N*C(K+1/N,T)$ Where $N$ is ...
2
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0answers
45 views

Capital increase: which stock price to use as input to Black-Scholes formula?

For an exercise we have to calculate the theoretical value of a scrip / preferential right on its issue day (23 April) in the context of a capital increase. The scrips are issued on 23 April. The ...
1
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2answers
79 views

Counting random paths

Assume the path of a certain stock can be modeled using a binomial tree. The initial price of the stock at time $t=0$ is 1024. The upstage factor of the stock price is $x=1.25$ and downstage factor of ...
2
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1answer
56 views

Option pricing: Risk neutral probability calculation

Let $u=1.3$ $d=0.9$ $r=.05$ $S(0)=50, X = \text{strike} = 60$. Assume binomial model Why isn't the risk neutral probability found by solving the following for $p$: $$E[S(T)]=p65+(1-p)45=S(0)(1+r)^T=...
3
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5answers
377 views

Estimate probability of limit order execution over a large time frame

I have a negligible amount of money (\$5000) that I would like to invest in a stock. I would like to buy the stock at some point in the next year, and get the lowest possible price. I would like to ...
1
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1answer
92 views

Monte Carlo Option Pricing: Averaging Price Per Path

In Glasserman's book, he computes the price of an option by first computing the average price over each simulated price path. Once all the paths have been simulated, the average of all the payoffs is ...
0
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0answers
13 views

Proving the convexity of put price [duplicate]

Prove that the price of the European put option is a convex function of the strike price in one-step binomial model. In other words, if $P_E(X)$ is the price of the European put option in one-step ...
0
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0answers
44 views

Portfolio replication option pricing: Money market position

Why when replicating a call option, the money market position (bond, risk free investment) is negative and when replicating a call option, the money market position is positive? Please explain ...
1
vote
1answer
57 views

Put-on-call option confusion

So the question asks: Given a 3-steps Binomial Tree model with $S(0) = 50$, $U = 20%,D = 􀀀20%$, and $R = 5%$. A European call option has the strike price $X = 40$ and maturity time $T = 3$. Also, a ...
0
votes
1answer
73 views

Replication strategy of European call option

So the question asks: L et $S(0) = 120$ dollars, $u = 0.2$, $d = −0.1$ and $r = 0.1$. Consider a call option with strike price $X = 120$ dollars and exercise time $T = 2$. Find the option price and ...
0
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0answers
34 views

Connecting Call price computed discretely to call price computed under continuous time case

I want to connect the call premiums calculated discretely via the binomial pricing method to the Black-Scholes-Merton formula for the call premium which applies to continuous time case. The framework ...
1
vote
1answer
44 views

Put call parity: when are the premiums the same?

Please explain why put call parity could be compared to the payoff of a long forward contract. ie. $C_E-P_E=V_X(0)$ where $C_E,P_E$ are the call/put premiums and $V_X(0)$ is the value of a long ...
1
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2answers
147 views

Why is the term structure of the implied volatility surface non-monotonic?

Does this reflect expectations & uncertainty about interest rates (exposure to rho?), event driven concerns about the underlying, or something else?
1
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1answer
85 views

option time value in the pricing models

option price = intrinsic value + time value where intrinsic value (in other words payoff at N) is defined generally as difference between the underlying asset price and strike price (order depending ...
3
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3answers
97 views

Construct option and stock portfolio

If a riskless security costs 100 today and will cost 120 at time T, a stock costs 50 today and will either be 70 or 30 at time T, and call options on the stock have strike price 50 expiring at time T, ...
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0answers
53 views

Binary American Call Option (Cash or Nothing)

Suppose we have a stock with current price $S(0)=X$ and the interest rate is zero. When the stock reaches level $\$ H$ for the first time ($H>X$), the option can be exercised and its payoff is $\$ ...
0
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3answers
78 views

Linear combination of payoffs of bull and bear spreads

Write the following payoffs as linear combination of call options with different strikes and possibly some cash and give the closed form formula for them. Attempted solution: The payoff for the bear ...
0
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1answer
36 views

Known future volatility and difficulty in predicting final P/L

I have started Chapter 1 of Dynamic Hedging by Taleb and it starts by saying "Even if traders knew the exact future volatility but hedged themselves (rebalanced the gamma) at discretely spaced ...
4
votes
1answer
84 views

Lookback option to find stock price

Consider the payoff equation for the lookback option $\psi(T)= max(S_t-S_T)$, where $t\in[0,T]$ and $S_t$ is modeled by the geometric Brownian motion with constant parameters. Find the price of stock ...
1
vote
1answer
57 views

A clarification on the Heston option pricing formula

I have carefully reconstructed all the computations that lead to the Heston option pricing formula for a call. I end up with this formula for the "adjusted" probabilities $$ P_j\left(x,v,T;\ln K\...
1
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0answers
40 views

Pricing function $P(S,t)$ is convex in $S$ for all $t$

I am now reading Alternative Characterization of American Put Options by Carr et all (available at http://www.math.nyu.edu/research/carrp/papers/pdf/amerput7.pdf). There is a theorem called 'Main ...
0
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1answer
56 views

Interpolating on the BS parameters and injecting in the BS formula vs interpolating directly on option prices

Let's consider a simple European call option. In practice, the way the Black-Scholes formula is used to price it is by injecting all of the parameters and paying special attention to the volatility ...
5
votes
3answers
135 views

Binary Option in B-S model - technical question

I want to price Binary Option in Black-Scholes model. The payoff is of the form $f(S_{T})=I_{\{S_{T}-K>0\}}$. If we assume that $t=0$ this is easy, because then we have $C_{0}=\mathbb{E}^{*}\...
1
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1answer
52 views

Potential Arbitrage profit or proof problem

So the question asks: Consider 4 following European call and put options with the same maturity time: Call option with strike price $100$ sell for $45$ Call option with strike price $110$ sell for $...
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0answers
50 views

Euler discretization bias, heston model

I am performing option pricing using Heston model and Euler discretization. I'm getting the following result: ...
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0answers
76 views

recent developments in American options?

I have read the paper written by Egloff (2005) using machine learning techniques to solve the optimal stopping problem. Is there any development in pricing American options during 2005-2016? (based ...
10
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3answers
381 views

Historical Volatility vs Implied Volatility Performance in Pricing Options

I consistently read on academic papers, when pricing options, using implied volatility is better than using historical volatility. Because, market is more "forward-looking" and historical data is "...
5
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2answers
2k views

Basket option pricing: step by step tutorial for beginners

I would like to learn how to price options written on basket of several underlyings. I've never tried to do it and I would appreciate if you can provide some documents, papers, web sites and so on in ...
2
votes
1answer
98 views

Why is $N(d_2)$ not needed for hedging?

I'm trying to understand delta hedging. If I sell a plain vanilla call option, in order to delta hedge it, I have to buy delta amount of stocks. What I don't understand is that the BS price of the ...
2
votes
2answers
129 views

$E[F_T] = F_0 \ \rightarrow \ \text{or} \ \leftarrow \ p = \frac{1-d}{u-d}$?

From Ch 12 in Hull's OFOD, we compute the risk-neutral probabilities for a futures contract: Later in Ch 17, futures options are valued, and we have the same result: In relation to ...