Questions about models for the valuation of option contracts.

learn more… | top users | synonyms (1)

5
votes
2answers
163 views

How to calculate Implied Volatility for out-of-the-money options?

I'm trying to calculate the implied volatility for out-of-the-money options, and to a lesser extent, in-the-money options. Most of the literature estimations I could find for implied volatility were ...
1
vote
1answer
70 views

Arbitrage opportunity in discrete time

Say we have the following binary option $B$ on asset $S$ with strike K and expiration time T, assume also that the following relation holds at time $0$: $B > N*C(K,T)-N*C(K+1/N,T)$ Where $N$ is ...
2
votes
0answers
44 views

Capital increase: which stock price to use as input to Black-Scholes formula?

For an exercise we have to calculate the theoretical value of a scrip / preferential right on its issue day (23 April) in the context of a capital increase. The scrips are issued on 23 April. The ...
1
vote
2answers
79 views

Counting random paths

Assume the path of a certain stock can be modeled using a binomial tree. The initial price of the stock at time $t=0$ is 1024. The upstage factor of the stock price is $x=1.25$ and downstage factor of ...
2
votes
1answer
55 views

Option pricing: Risk neutral probability calculation

Let $u=1.3$ $d=0.9$ $r=.05$ $S(0)=50, X = \text{strike} = 60$. Assume binomial model Why isn't the risk neutral probability found by solving the following for $p$: ...
3
votes
5answers
355 views

Estimate probability of limit order execution over a large time frame

I have a negligible amount of money (\$5000) that I would like to invest in a stock. I would like to buy the stock at some point in the next year, and get the lowest possible price. I would like to ...
1
vote
1answer
90 views

Monte Carlo Option Pricing: Averaging Price Per Path

In Glasserman's book, he computes the price of an option by first computing the average price over each simulated price path. Once all the paths have been simulated, the average of all the payoffs is ...
0
votes
0answers
13 views

Proving the convexity of put price [duplicate]

Prove that the price of the European put option is a convex function of the strike price in one-step binomial model. In other words, if $P_E(X)$ is the price of the European put option in one-step ...
0
votes
0answers
42 views

Portfolio replication option pricing: Money market position

Why when replicating a call option, the money market position (bond, risk free investment) is negative and when replicating a call option, the money market position is positive? Please explain ...
1
vote
1answer
57 views

Put-on-call option confusion

So the question asks: Given a 3-steps Binomial Tree model with $S(0) = 50$, $U = 20%,D = ō€€€20%$, and $R = 5%$. A European call option has the strike price $X = 40$ and maturity time $T = 3$. Also, a ...
0
votes
1answer
63 views

Replication strategy of European call option

So the question asks: L et $S(0) = 120$ dollars, $u = 0.2$, $d = āˆ’0.1$ and $r = 0.1$. Consider a call option with strike price $X = 120$ dollars and exercise time $T = 2$. Find the option price and ...
0
votes
0answers
32 views

Connecting Call price computed discretely to call price computed under continuous time case

I want to connect the call premiums calculated discretely via the binomial pricing method to the Black-Scholes-Merton formula for the call premium which applies to continuous time case. The framework ...
1
vote
1answer
43 views

Put call parity: when are the premiums the same?

Please explain why put call parity could be compared to the payoff of a long forward contract. ie. $C_E-P_E=V_X(0)$ where $C_E,P_E$ are the call/put premiums and $V_X(0)$ is the value of a long ...
1
vote
2answers
133 views

Why is the term structure of the implied volatility surface non-monotonic?

Does this reflect expectations & uncertainty about interest rates (exposure to rho?), event driven concerns about the underlying, or something else?
1
vote
1answer
85 views

option time value in the pricing models

option price = intrinsic value + time value where intrinsic value (in other words payoff at N) is defined generally as difference between the underlying asset price and strike price (order depending ...
3
votes
3answers
96 views

Construct option and stock portfolio

If a riskless security costs 100 today and will cost 120 at time T, a stock costs 50 today and will either be 70 or 30 at time T, and call options on the stock have strike price 50 expiring at time T, ...
1
vote
0answers
50 views

Binary American Call Option (Cash or Nothing)

Suppose we have a stock with current price $S(0)=X$ and the interest rate is zero. When the stock reaches level $\$ H$ for the first time ($H>X$), the option can be exercised and its payoff is $\$ ...
0
votes
3answers
76 views

Linear combination of payoffs of bull and bear spreads

Write the following payoffs as linear combination of call options with different strikes and possibly some cash and give the closed form formula for them. Attempted solution: The payoff for the bear ...
0
votes
1answer
36 views

Known future volatility and difficulty in predicting final P/L

I have started Chapter 1 of Dynamic Hedging by Taleb and it starts by saying "Even if traders knew the exact future volatility but hedged themselves (rebalanced the gamma) at discretely spaced ...
4
votes
1answer
83 views

Lookback option to find stock price

Consider the payoff equation for the lookback option $\psi(T)= max(S_t-S_T)$, where $t\in[0,T]$ and $S_t$ is modeled by the geometric Brownian motion with constant parameters. Find the price of stock ...
1
vote
1answer
57 views

A clarification on the Heston option pricing formula

I have carefully reconstructed all the computations that lead to the Heston option pricing formula for a call. I end up with this formula for the "adjusted" probabilities $$ P_j\left(x,v,T;\ln ...
1
vote
0answers
40 views

Pricing function $P(S,t)$ is convex in $S$ for all $t$

I am now reading Alternative Characterization of American Put Options by Carr et all (available at http://www.math.nyu.edu/research/carrp/papers/pdf/amerput7.pdf). There is a theorem called 'Main ...
0
votes
1answer
53 views

Interpolating on the BS parameters and injecting in the BS formula vs interpolating directly on option prices

Let's consider a simple European call option. In practice, the way the Black-Scholes formula is used to price it is by injecting all of the parameters and paying special attention to the volatility ...
5
votes
3answers
133 views

Binary Option in B-S model - technical question

I want to price Binary Option in Black-Scholes model. The payoff is of the form $f(S_{T})=I_{\{S_{T}-K>0\}}$. If we assume that $t=0$ this is easy, because then we have ...
1
vote
1answer
51 views

Potential Arbitrage profit or proof problem

So the question asks: Consider 4 following European call and put options with the same maturity time: Call option with strike price $100$ sell for $45$ Call option with strike price $110$ sell for ...
1
vote
0answers
50 views

Euler discretization bias, heston model

I am performing option pricing using Heston model and Euler discretization. I'm getting the following result: ...
5
votes
0answers
75 views

recent developments in American options?

I have read the paper written by Egloff (2005) using machine learning techniques to solve the optimal stopping problem. Is there any development in pricing American options during 2005-2016? (based ...
9
votes
3answers
369 views

Historical Volatility vs Implied Volatility Performance in Pricing Options

I consistently read on academic papers, when pricing options, using implied volatility is better than using historical volatility. Because, market is more "forward-looking" and historical data is ...
5
votes
2answers
2k views

Basket option pricing: step by step tutorial for beginners

I would like to learn how to price options written on basket of several underlyings. I've never tried to do it and I would appreciate if you can provide some documents, papers, web sites and so on in ...
2
votes
1answer
97 views

Why is $N(d_2)$ not needed for hedging?

I'm trying to understand delta hedging. If I sell a plain vanilla call option, in order to delta hedge it, I have to buy delta amount of stocks. What I don't understand is that the BS price of the ...
2
votes
2answers
129 views

$E[F_T] = F_0 \ \rightarrow \ \text{or} \ \leftarrow \ p = \frac{1-d}{u-d}$?

From Ch 12 in Hull's OFOD, we compute the risk-neutral probabilities for a futures contract: Later in Ch 17, futures options are valued, and we have the same result: In relation to ...
32
votes
9answers
2k views

Are there any new Option pricing models?

Back in the mid 90's I used the Black-Scholes Model and the Cox-Ross-Rubenstein (Binomial) Model's to price Options. That was nearly 15 years ago and I was wondering if there are any new models being ...
1
vote
0answers
101 views

Computation of option vega under CEV

It is easy to define the option vega $\nu=\frac{\partial C}{\partial \sigma}$ under Black Scholes model since volatility is a single quantity. However, under CEV or local volaility model, it is ...
4
votes
1answer
136 views

How to use the Black-Scholes formula with LIBOR rates?

I want to price an FX option using the Black-Scholes model, but I don't know the risk free rate, nor the volatility. I only know the LIBOR rates, the strike, and that the expiration day is 87 days ...
1
vote
2answers
63 views

How to price jumps in payoffs

I specifically want to know how to model a jump condition while valuing a derivative.Example :- the jumps which are observed in digital product payoffs, or barriers and knockouts. Although a ...
3
votes
2answers
388 views

Places to make quant code/tools publicly avaliable

Over the years I have developed several tools - including pricing, optimization and calibration tools - most in VBA, C# and C++ I would like to make them publicly avaliable. Aside from putting up my ...
0
votes
1answer
60 views

Payoff of a butterfly c++

I would like to price options (call, put,, butterfly) with monte-carlo method, but actually I need the expression of the butterflay payoff; Could you ^please help me !
0
votes
0answers
49 views

Delta hedge compound option

Delta hedge portfolio should be adjusted from one period to the other, as the ratio changes. How does it work with compound options though? Suppose, I have a put on a call option on a stock, in 2 time ...
3
votes
2answers
91 views

Difference in implied volatility calculation

I've been using vollib to calculate IV, but my answers have been different by tenths from other sources like NASDAQ and Yahoo. The answers range +- 0.5, sometimes even more. The inputs are: $S$ ...
-1
votes
1answer
88 views

Black_scholes formula for a butterfly option

Im wondering if I can apply Black-Scholes formula to valorate a butterfly option, i.e: $$B(T)=Vcall(S(T)-K,0)+Vcall(S(T)-K',0)-2Vcall(S(T)-K'',0)$$ with $K<K''<K'$, just evaluating each call ...
0
votes
2answers
93 views

Price of an equity

An equity has a value of 100 Euros, and pay a dividend of 5 Euros in 6 months. The interest rate of 6 months is 5% and the interest rate for 1 year is 6%. I would like to compute the value of the ...
3
votes
1answer
84 views

Approximation of an option price

The value of an option in the money is 11.50 Euros. The parameters of the market are: -The price of the underlying stock: 81.4 Euros. -The volatility ofthe underlying is : 34.65 % The ...
0
votes
2answers
148 views

Discrepancy between binomial model, Black-Scholes and Monte-Carlo Simulation

I try to use Monte-Carlo Simulation to price a 10-year call option. Based on below parameter, S = 1, X = 1, volatility = 80%, T = 10, risk-free rate = 0.22% The option value based on Monte-Carlo ...
3
votes
1answer
126 views

Example of options that cannot be priced with least-square Monte Carlo

Can you give some example of options that cannot be priced with least-square Monte Carlo? Intuitively, this is any option for which a payoff depends on a previous exercise decision. It's relatively ...
0
votes
2answers
250 views

Difference between Closing Price, Last traded price and Settlement Price for option contracts?

What is the difference between Closing price, Last traded price and settlement price ? I got the difference between Closing Price and Settlement price from previous post : The difference between ...
1
vote
0answers
66 views

School project about Black Scholes with stochastic volatility

In a university project I am looking at Black Scholes model with a stochastic volatility. Iā€™m still not quite sure about my focus (I am in the beginning 'Idea phase'). I want to explain the theory ...
0
votes
0answers
108 views

Ideas for speeding up greek calculations

My current calculations using the vollib library averages 0.5 seconds. Is there any way to get it faster? Any tips/best practice notes will be helpful. This is for a scripting language such as ...
3
votes
1answer
127 views

Question in “Computational Methods in Finance” by Ali Hirsa - Chapter 2: Derivatives Pricing via Transform Techniques"

Reference: "Computational Methods in Finance" by Ali Hirsa - Chapter 2: Derivatives Pricing via Transform Techniques" - Page 37* Background: The author prices call option using the Fourier Transform. ...
0
votes
0answers
88 views

Analytical solution to the Black-Scholes equation with time-dependent volatility

I am stuck with the following exercise and I would appreciate any help with it. I have to calculate the analytical function for the price of a call option given the following process for the ...
2
votes
1answer
83 views

Pricing homogeneous Basket Default Swap

Consider a basket with $K=10$ names. Default times of the names, $\tau_k$, are i.i.d. random variables with distribution $P(\tau_k \leq t) = 1 - e^{-\lambda t}$. Suppose that each name in the ...