Questions about models for the valuation of option contracts.

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178 views

Implied state price density (Question 1 - derivation of the formula)

I came upon the term "implied state price density" in a couple of papers. As far as I understand the concept one basically tries to extract the "pricing density" from the market data. For the sake ...
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1answer
281 views

Is Behavioral Finance relevant to quants?

This topic has been prompted by the following question: Measuring Behavioral Finance Effects in Fund/Portfolio Manager Analysis After reading it and the comments below I started thinking whether ...
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112 views

Practical implementation of Least Squares Monte Carlo (tweaks and pittfalls)

The Longstaff-Schwartz LSM approach is nowadays ubiquitous(at least in the academic literature) in pricing path dependant derivatives. Up to now I have mostly worked with lattice methods. My ...
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1answer
301 views

Asset-or-nothing Option Valuation in the Black and Scholes model

In standard Black-Scholes Model, compute the price of an asset-or-nothing put and asset-or-nothing call options. Write down the put-call parity relation between the asset-or-nothing call and put ...
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1answer
78 views

Pricing options with two assets

I'm studying for a test and am stuck on this practice question: With interest rates equal to 0, two different stocks $S_1$ and $S_2$, both valued at \$1 today, can be worth \$2 or \$0.50 at some ...
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175 views

How are quants able to verify whether their calculated prices are any good

This question is related to the discussion on Model Validation Criteria However it appeard to be very high level to me and I would like to go more into detail. Not working at a pricing desk the ...
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2answers
204 views

Price an option and find a replicating portfolio

I got stuck on the following question whilst learning about basic option pricing. A stock is valued at \$75 today. An option will pay \$1 the first time the stock reaches \$100 in value, which it ...
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2answers
151 views

why is the BNS model the way it is

what I am puzzled about is, why dont we instead of having \begin{equation} dX_t = \sqrt{V_t} dB_t - (\frac{1}{2} V_t^2-r-\lambda\Phi(\rho)) dt - \rho dZ_{\lambda t}\nonumber \end{equation} we just ...
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148 views

Basket Option weight sensitivity calculation

I am looking to find/estimate the "greeks"/option price sensitivities/derivatives for a basket option situation. In specific the change in price of a put option associated with a change in weight of a ...
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1answer
104 views

Model calibration to illiquid assets when pricing options with long maturities

Let us assume one is interested in pricing an option with a very long maturity (up to 20 or 30 years) on a liquid underlying. The market won't have liquid quotes for the higher maturities. Still you ...
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1answer
143 views

binary tree options pricing model with dividend value - How should I discount the option at?

the expected value of the option given the next period up, down values is: $ Pexp = (p Price_{next, up} + (1 - p) Price_{next, down})/R$ where p is defined as $p = \frac{\exp(-r \times \Delta t) - ...
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2answers
128 views

What information about the stochastic process is available from path-dependent options?

Assume the stock follows a process, which is defined by the following stochastic differential equation $$\frac{dS}{S}=r(t)dt+\sigma(S,t)dW,$$ so that the stock price process has local volatility. ...
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3answers
208 views

Is it wrong to use 'real world' probabilities for option valuation?

Is it wrong to use 'real world' probabilities for option valuation, even when the market is not liquid enough to delta hedge the option? My instinct is that it is wrong, because the time value of ...
3
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1answer
126 views

Derivation of the Stochastic Vol PDE

I'm trying to follow the derivation of the stochastic vol pde for an option price - as given in Gatheral (The vol surface), Wilmott on Quant Finance and many other places. As usual one starts off with ...
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0answers
56 views

Multivariate interpolation for estimating FDM in-between grid points

After implementing some FDM to price some option, there are gaps between our grid points that may be of interest. From reading around, it appears common to use bilinear interpolation to estimate ...
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2answers
869 views

Value of American Call vs Value of European Call when using implicit finite differences

I calculated values for put options (european and american) using the implicit finite difference method and compared them to black/scholes values. The values for american put options are higher than ...
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1answer
136 views

How does Vega of a call/put behave under the Black-Scholes model?

I have two questions. I would prefer a reference if possible. Is the value of vega bounded for $\sigma\in [0,\infty)$? (I assume so, I imagine it goes to 0 as $\sigma$ go to infinity.) Are there any ...
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2answers
153 views

Time-zero price of two specific contingent claims

I am unsure how to start with the following problem. I have two contingent claims where contingent claim (1) pays $\int_0^T S_u du$ and contingent claim (2) pays $(\log S_T)^2$ at time $T$ Now I ...
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1answer
281 views

Price of a down-and-out call in terms of European call

If $EC(S_0, K, \sigma, r, T)$ represents the price of a European call option with strike $K$, expiry $T$, initial price $S_0$, volatility $\sigma$ and where the constant interest rate is $r$, then I ...
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1answer
227 views

a good book on option pricing from theoretical and practical aspect

This is the situation someone I know is in: She has good understandings of stochastic calculus and the very basics about black-scholes and binomial model, but nothing more. Her background is in ...
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2answers
302 views

Expected value of Black-Scholes

(Apologies for any formatting mistakes) Within the Black Scholes model, given that you are estimating the volatility from historical data - and all other parameters assumed exact - one usually ...
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1answer
91 views

Calculating deltas of call options?

From a continuous standpoint, I understand why an ATM call has delta = 0.5 and for ITM call, the delta approaches 1 since each move in the underlying corresponds to same unit of value change in call ...
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1answer
212 views

Arbirtage free price process question in Bjork's Arbitrage Theory in Continuous Time

I am currently working through questions in Bjork's Arbitrage Theory in Continuous Time. However, I am unable to solve the following question, 7.2 in the book. A solution would be greatly appreciated. ...
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1answer
135 views

Finite difference methods

I am simulating the price of a basket option with the help of equations from the report ...
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3answers
251 views

How to choose a risk-neutral measure when the market is incomplete?

I am more of a probabilist than a financial mathematician. I am currently working on the features of American put options under a particular stochastic volatility model. Like most stochastic ...
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1answer
218 views

Closed form european option prices for a variance gamma process with a randomly distributed drift, volatility, and variance rate

Does an option pricing model with a closed form European option price exist that takes into account randomly distributed drift, volatility, and variance rate? I prefer a modification to the variance ...
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341 views

Finding Probabilities Using The Binomial Model

I was not able to find a similar question when searching, but if I've missed one please feel free to point me to it. Unfortunately the closest example in the textbook was not terribly helpful either. ...
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1answer
265 views

How to explain the path dependency in binomial tree model to price options?

I'm new to quantitative finance, so I'm confused with the so-called path dependency in binomial tree model. Originally I thought the path dependency exists because in binomial tree model, we will ...
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281 views

R or Matlab code for Multi-Barrier-Options (3 or more underlyings)

I am looking for R or Matlab code examples of multi-barrier-options (or multi-barrier reverse convertibles) with at least 3 underlyings. Do you have such code or can you point me to a place where I ...
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103 views

The basic principle of the construction a portfolio of options

I have a question like this. Assume today's date is 9 January 2016 and XYZ's share price stands at $10. On 8 November 2016 there is a Presidential election and you believe that depending on who is ...
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5answers
479 views

Consensus on Cauchy distribution for stock prices

What is the general consensus for using a Cauchy distribution to model stock prices? I can't find much after researching online and wonder if it has been tried and discarded. My motivation is to find ...
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114 views

What is the stochastic differential of a general semimartingale?

By using the canonical representation of a semimartingale in Eberlein, Glau and Papapantoleon's "Analysis of Fourier Transform Valuation Formulas and Applications", on page 3: $$H = B + H^c + h(x) ...
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192 views

How to construct the binomial model for European option?

The annual interest rate is 5.3% and the annualized volatility of a non-dividend paying stock over the next six months will be 12.5% (annualized). i) Construct binomial trees of 5, 10 and 30 periods ...
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461 views

compute sharpe ratio for options?

Calculating sharpe ratio for shares is a straight forward task: (average returns - risk free ) / standard deviation. However i remain baffled as to how to tackle the task for options, can someone ...
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15 views

Where to find, d/l specific (OCC) historical Option data beyond the free 2 years [duplicate]

The OCC www.optionsclearing.com/‎ provides a nice breakdown for CBOE options data, however they only go back 2 years on any given day. Is there a good not-too-high-cost database one can recommend for ...
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4answers
2k views

Risk Neutral Probability

I read that an option prices is the expected value of the payout under the risk neutral probability. Intuitively why is the expectation taken with respect to risk neutral as opposed to the actual ...
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674 views

From Fourier Transforms to Option Values

I am trying to understand how Fourier transforms & Characteristics functions can be used to calculate option values. However, I am having difficulty following the process that is used in several ...
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1answer
180 views

Can option prices be characterised by an ODE?

If a stock price, $S(t)$, is governed by a geometric brownian motion. Is it possible to characterise the value of an option $V(S,t)$ as an ODE rather than a PDE (given $S$ is itself a function of ...
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256 views

Pricing options and bid-ask spread

Consider a non-liquid option market with a wide bid-ask spreads across all strikes. Spot: \$52 A snapshot of the \$50 strike shows: ...
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2answers
294 views

Is there a contradiciton between option prices being martingales and the use of options for speculation?

It seems like there is a contradiction between the fact the option pricing is risk-neutral and the large amount of option trading that is done for speculation. Since the option is risk-neutral, a ...
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116 views

Do you use software for finite element valuation or do you roll your own?

Engineers put a lot of time and effort in developping high quality finite element (FE) software (deal.II, Dune, Elmer,...). So I was wondering if some of those tools would be suitable for quantitative ...
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165 views

reinsurance pricing equivalent to option pricing

Is it true that pricing a reinsurance contact is equivalent to pricing an option. Basically a reinsurance just cuts off the risk exposure of the insured institution to a threshold say $K$. So if we ...
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1answer
2k views

Seagull option strategy - clear example

It looks like the subject of seagull option strategy is not as clearly explained as for other strategies (butterly, bull,bear spread). Thus, can someone provide a clear example of what you buy and ...
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101 views

Basket option density in BS model

Let X and Y be two GBM’s, they have each a univariate log-normal distribution for some time t, that is $X_t\sim{LnN(µ_x, σ^2_x)}$, $Y_t\sim{LnN(µ_y, σ^2_y})$ and $Z_t=[X_t,Y_t]\sim{ MvLnN(μ, Σ)}$ ...
3
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1answer
231 views

options pricing using vwap

This is a question about why options prices do not take volume into account. The popular option valuation formula "black-scholes" certainly does not account for this and I don't suggest that it does. ...
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87 views

Do some option pricing models allow for misspecification and what does it mean?

This is to some extent a theoretical question and maybe we can work together to produce some input and output. Diverse option pricing models are reported to be misspecified in various studies. One ...
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219 views

How does out-of-sample option pricing work in practice?

When estimating in-sample option prices, one usually estimates the structural parameters $\theta_t$ using all information up to time $t$, and then prices the option at time $t$ using the obtained ...
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130 views

Am I reading this correctly? probability way too small with BS model

For a stock trading at $27, $28 strike, 0% interest, 15% annual vol, and one day until expiration there is about a 1 in 17000 chance of it being exercised? $d_2 = ...
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111 views

Symmetry of option-implied probability density

I was wondering whether the option implied probability density of the log returns: $x = \ln\left(\frac{S}{S_0}\right)$ with S the value of a certain stock, is always symmetric ? I was asking myself ...
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278 views

how to calculate more efficient volatility figure than historical volatility?

can we use alpha value to calculate option price instead of historical volatility. And if we can please explain how. I am doing my MMS in Finance and this for a project i am doing. the project is ...