Questions about models for the valuation of option contracts.

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9
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2answers
240 views

Historical Volatility vs Implied Volatility Performance in Pricing Options

I consistently read on academic papers, when pricing options, using implied volatility is better than using historical volatility. Because, market is more "forward-looking" and historical data is ...
2
votes
2answers
224 views

Pricing options under a specific framework

I have a specific framework in mind and I would like to value options under this framework. I am not sure whether a closed form solution exists or Monte Carlo methods would work. The framework I have ...
1
vote
2answers
112 views

How do you calculate price of non-existant call option on commodity future

I've been stumped on this for awhile now. I'm trying to determine the price of a call option on a commodity futures contract that expires in the future. My issue is that while the future's contracts ...
6
votes
1answer
133 views

How to price a futures spread option?

Let's say I have two futures contract $F_1(0,T)$ and $F_2(0,T)$ on two different correlated underlyings. If I assume that both underlying follow a GBM with volatility $\sigma_1$ and $\sigma_2$ ...
4
votes
1answer
100 views

Extrapolating SVI

In his paper Gatheral presents the following parametrization of the implied total variance $w(k,T) = \sigma_{BS}(k,T)^2T$ $$ w(k) = a + b\{\rho (k-m) + \sqrt{(k-m)^2 + \sigma^2} \}.$$ Assuming that ...
3
votes
1answer
126 views

Hedging - calculating option prices using implied volatility surface

To hedge a strategy is it accurate "enough" to price an option using an implied vol curve vs moneyness (strike/spot) assuming sticky delta? The moneyness can be read off the chart, its corresponding ...
2
votes
1answer
157 views

american option and cash dividends

Can someoe help with this : What is the precise arbitrage argument demonstrating that the price of an american option should be continuous around an ex-dividend date? Thanks
2
votes
1answer
214 views

A question about pricing convertible bond with two different underlying assets

I have a question regarding the pricing of convertible bond. If I value the convertible bond with two different underlying assets, how can I incorporate two volatility and the correlation in the ...
1
vote
1answer
60 views

Delta of an option derived from the binomial model

I have the following function $V=V(S,t)$, $V^- = V(vS,t+\delta t)$, $V^+ = V(uS, t +\delta t)$. The book proceeds to explain that if we use Taylor series expansion on the above we will confirm that ...
1
vote
1answer
81 views

Computation of option vega under CEV

It is easy to define the option vega $\nu=\frac{\partial C}{\partial \sigma}$ under Black Scholes model since volatility is a single quantity. However, under CEV or local volaility model, it is ...
1
vote
1answer
80 views

Complicated American style option contract with numerous non-standard features (simultanous exercise, additional premium, etc.)

I want to value the following contract for times $0<t<T$, i.e. determine $V(t,\cdot)$ where $\cdot$ refers to all other dependences (strike, spot, volatility, etc.). The contract is long and ...
0
votes
1answer
58 views

option time value in the pricing models

option price = intrinsic value + time value where intrinsic value (in other words payoff at N) is defined generally as difference between the underlying asset price and strike price (order depending ...
0
votes
1answer
300 views

Which distribution do I get?

Let's assume the stock moves according to a classic Black-Scholes model, and makes a proportional jump with an unknown proportion. Say, it is either +1% or -3% of the stock value, and we know for sure ...
0
votes
1answer
214 views

“Hedging” a put option, question on exercise

I have a question on the following exercise from S. Shreve: Stochastic Calculus for Finance, I: Exercise 4.2. In Example 4.2.1, we computed the time-zero value of the American put with strike ...
-1
votes
1answer
56 views

Numerical computation of Heston model Integral: Simpsone Rule or Gauss-Legendre Method

I want to price a call option using the Heston model for a given set of parameters. theory from URL: http://elis.sigmath.es.osaka-u.ac.jp/research/Heston-original.pdf The integral equation (18) ...
0
votes
0answers
81 views

Calculating historical implied volatility

I know that each individual option has it's own implied volatility, but how do you go about calculating the overall implied volatility for an underlying? For example when someone sais the IV of a ...
0
votes
0answers
29 views

Price a Fixed Strike Lookback Call Option

I'm having an issue working out the following: Consider a three-period asset price model with interest rate 1+r =6/5 in each period. The initial price of the asset is 4 dollars, while in each period ...
0
votes
0answers
37 views

How to find the fx lookback floating/fixed strike options prices?

Currently, I'm working on my thesis in which I'm trying to describe how are the FX lookback options priced. I need to find the real ...
0
votes
0answers
72 views

Discrete Hedging of Options

Assume that a stock $S_t$ follows simple geometric Brownian motion. Let's say we sold option whose payoff is $f(S_T)$. Now, we are only allowed to trade 2 times in the interval [0,T]. What kind of ...
0
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0answers
65 views

Examples for the option model validation

When implementing a code for the new model, even if it provides sensible price, it is still a good idea to compare it against some benchmarks, even in the special case of constant volatility ...
0
votes
0answers
45 views

What's the risk-neutral expectation of the arithmetic average of stock price?

All Black-Scholes assumptions apply ($y$ is yield): what's $E(A_T), E(A_T^2)$ and $Var(A_T)$ where $A_T=\frac{\int_0^T S_tdt}{T}$ is the continuous-sampling arithmetic average of the stock price ...
0
votes
0answers
44 views

Benchmarking option pricing under stochastic interest rates

I priced a long-term option (10 or 20 years) using two different models: one assumes constant interest rates, the other assumes stochastic interest rates. Is there a way (e.g. a benchmark) to ...
0
votes
0answers
118 views

Vanna-Volga Adjustment

I'm reading Uwe Wystup's "FX Options and Structured Products" to understand Vanna-Volga pricing, which, in his book Chapter $\S3.1$ is called "The Trader's Rule of Thumb". I generally got the idea ...
0
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0answers
41 views

Multinomial Representation Theorem

In the context of pricing models, the Binomial Representation Theorem (BRT) tells us if we have a binomial price process $S$ that is a $\mathbb{Q}$-martingale (MG), and any other $\mathbb{Q}$-MG $M$, ...
0
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0answers
55 views

Binomial function use in Bezier smoothing

I am using the Bezier method to smooth option volatility curves, which utilised the binomial distribution. Is someone able to clearly explain the interpretation of the binomial distribution in the ...
0
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0answers
39 views

Invoice Discount pricing model

I was wondering whether there exist pricing models in particular for Invoice Discounting contracts and short-term financing solution where credit risk plays a major role. Specifically, assuming that ...
0
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0answers
39 views

Price a put option on a CPPI

I want to price a put option on a CPPI using Monte Carlo. I have found so far this article which prices a call on a CPPI. I was wondering if I could use the put/call parity here, and and if so, how ...
0
votes
0answers
6 views

Will a back month leg in call calendar lose value if underlying goes down

If I buy a call calendar and underlying drops 5%, the front month short call will get further out of money and will lose value, resulting in a gain since I am short the front month option. What about ...
0
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0answers
51 views

Why does the OTM call sometimes have a higher theta than the ATM call?

In this AAPL option chain on Mar20 call options, the OTM calls have a slightly higher theta than the ATM calls. Why is this? Is not time value(and thereby time decay) supposed to be highest for ...
0
votes
0answers
17 views

Will implied volatilities rise by same amount across time and across strikes in lieu of an earnings report or a news event

It is said that implied volatility of an option rises leading up to an earnings report or a pending news event like FDA trial, a possible takeover,elections(?) etc. My question is, implied volatility ...
0
votes
0answers
400 views

R or Matlab code for Multi-Barrier-Options (3 or more underlyings)

I am looking for R or Matlab code examples of multi-barrier-options (or multi-barrier reverse convertibles) with at least 3 underlyings. Do you have such code or can you point me to a place where I ...
0
votes
0answers
119 views

The basic principle of the construction a portfolio of options

I have a question like this. Assume today's date is 9 January 2016 and XYZ's share price stands at $10. On 8 November 2016 there is a Presidential election and you believe that depending on who is ...