Questions about models for the valuation of option contracts.

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115 views

Is there any other way to measure option pricing model performance than proximity to market prices?

Short version Why do we take market prices as the prices to be estimated and predicted? The common answer is efficient markets hypothesis as in "Market agents do their best effort given their ...
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1answer
153 views

Implied state price density (Question 1 - derivation of the formula)

I came upon the term "implied state price density" in a couple of papers. As far as I understand the concept one basically tries to extract the "pricing density" from the market data. For the sake ...
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2answers
126 views

Basket Option weight sensitivity calculation

I am looking to find/estimate the "greeks"/option price sensitivities/derivatives for a basket option situation. In specific the change in price of a put option associated with a change in weight of a ...
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1answer
129 views

binary tree options pricing model with dividend value - How should I discount the option at?

the expected value of the option given the next period up, down values is: $ Pexp = (p Price_{next, up} + (1 - p) Price_{next, down})/R$ where p is defined as $p = \frac{\exp(-r \times \Delta t) - ...
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1answer
131 views

How does Vega of a call/put behave under the Black-Scholes model?

I have two questions. I would prefer a reference if possible. Is the value of vega bounded for $\sigma\in [0,\infty)$? (I assume so, I imagine it goes to 0 as $\sigma$ go to infinity.) Are there any ...
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1answer
195 views

Arbirtage free price process question in Bjork's Arbitrage Theory in Continuous Time

I am currently working through questions in Bjork's Arbitrage Theory in Continuous Time. However, I am unable to solve the following question, 7.2 in the book. A solution would be greatly appreciated. ...
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1answer
163 views

reinsurance pricing equivalent to option pricing

Is it true that pricing a reinsurance contact is equivalent to pricing an option. Basically a reinsurance just cuts off the risk exposure of the insured institution to a threshold say $K$. So if we ...
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1answer
84 views

Does a delta hedged short option guarantee profit of extrinsic value at expiration?

If a trader shorts an option and dynamically delta hedges to ensure the delta is equal to 0 if that option expires out of the money does the trader profit that options extrinsic value at the time of ...
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74 views

Pricing binary options with kernel density estimation

Suppose I have a large enough set of prices of an asset, from which I can extract the following function: $f:T\to\mathcal{D}$, where $T$ is a fixed finite set of time intervals (say, 1 minute, 2 ...
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0answers
58 views

A question about pricing convertible bond with two different underlying assets

I have a question regarding the pricing of convertible bond. If I value the convertible bond with two different underlying assets, how can I incorporate two volatility and the correlation in the ...
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0answers
44 views

American Swaption Pricing with PDE discretization

So I am still trying to price an american swaption. (MC approach here: American Swaption Pricing with Monte-Carlo method) I've found in Paul Wilmott, The mathematics of financial derivatives, a PDE ...
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2answers
142 views

Pricing an american style option on a bond future

what is the good way to pricing american option on bond future? From bonk fixed income securities 3rd by Tuckman, I understand how to pricing European option on bond future, but I still have no clue ...
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44 views

Incorporating a stochastic correlation structure into a multi-factor model

I am considering extending a multi-factor fixed income stochastic model (e.g. LIBOR-Market) to use stochastic correlation matrices instead of determinstic ones. For pricing instruments with short ...
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1answer
186 views

Closed form european option prices for a variance gamma process with a randomly distributed drift, volatility, and variance rate

Does an option pricing model with a closed form European option price exist that takes into account randomly distributed drift, volatility, and variance rate? I prefer a modification to the variance ...
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0answers
242 views

Pricing options and bid-ask spread

Consider a non-liquid option market with a wide bid-ask spreads across all strikes. Spot: \$52 A snapshot of the \$50 strike shows: ...
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0answers
116 views

Do you use software for finite element valuation or do you roll your own?

Engineers put a lot of time and effort in developping high quality finite element (FE) software (deal.II, Dune, Elmer,...). So I was wondering if some of those tools would be suitable for quantitative ...
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0answers
284 views

Implied volatility and greeks for american option with discrete dividends

What methods are available to calculate IV and greeks for an american option with discrete dividends, and how do they compare? Should I use Roll-Geske-Whaley and solve for a given option price?
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132 views

How to statistically compare the pricing errors of various option pricing models?

I have three different option pricing models, for which I computed the in-sample and out-of-sample pricing errors. Now I want to test the pricing performance of these three option pricing models ...
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0answers
152 views

Pricing a Power Contract derivative security

I'm trying to price a "power contract" and would appreciate guidance on the next step. The payoff at time $T$ is $(S(T)/K)^\alpha$, where $K > 0$, $\alpha \in \mathbb{N}$, $T > 0$. $S$ is ...
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1answer
129 views

Am I reading this correctly? probability way too small with BS model

For a stock trading at $27, $28 strike, 0% interest, 15% annual vol, and one day until expiration there is about a 1 in 17000 chance of it being exercised? $d_2 = ...
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1answer
191 views

Exotic option pricing

I'm trying to price an option with payoff $\max\{a\cdot S_t - K,0\}$ where $a$ is a known constant. Ideally I'm looking for a closed form, continuous-time solution. Where should I begin?
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1answer
261 views

Does an option's price “ratio” with the underlying security price?

I'm trying to understand option pricing better. Let's say security ABC is \$40, and a 38 PUT option with 40% implied volatility (and 90 days till expiration) is priced at X. If security ABC then ...
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1answer
105 views

Reference on SDE driven by jump processes

Are there reference on SDE driven by jump proccesses? e.g. Shepard-Nielson Model
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1answer
457 views

Which prediction market model is efficient and simple to use?

For a college project I'm tasked with implementing prediction market. Which model of it I'd better choose? I want something useful and simple enough for other people to quickly understand and use. ...
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1answer
219 views

What are the rules for quoting option prices on the market?

I have implemented a monte carlo pricer for an option. I simply don't know how many decimals I need to include in the quoted price. Can anyone please provide guidelines?
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3answers
105 views

Divergence between binomial pricing and monte carlo simulation for vanilla european call?

I notice a divergence in my own code, but it's evident even in public code: http://www.thalesians.com/finance/index.php/Knowledge_Base/Finance/Option_Pricing_in_Python_and_Simple_English Pricing a ...
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1answer
257 views

Asset-or-nothing Option Valuation in the Black and Scholes model

In standard Black-Scholes Model, compute the price of an asset-or-nothing put and asset-or-nothing call options. Write down the put-call parity relation between the asset-or-nothing call and put ...
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1answer
105 views

Intuitive understanding of Black-Scholes pricing

The Black-Scholes formula entails market completeness, so the price of an option is only the cost associated with dynamically hedging the option. Where does this cost come from? I don't see how ...
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1answer
62 views

Sample size and historical correlation matrices

I was wondering whether any literatures existed on how to properly estimate correlation matrices from historical data. Obviously the entire procedures allows a lot of leeway. The frequency of ...
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2answers
122 views

why is the BNS model the way it is

what I am puzzled about is, why dont we instead of having \begin{equation} dX_t = \sqrt{V_t} dB_t - (\frac{1}{2} V_t^2-r-\lambda\Phi(\rho)) dt - \rho dZ_{\lambda t}\nonumber \end{equation} we just ...
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4answers
428 views

compute sharpe ratio for options?

Calculating sharpe ratio for shares is a straight forward task: (average returns - risk free ) / standard deviation. However i remain baffled as to how to tackle the task for options, can someone ...
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1answer
108 views

Symmetry of option-implied probability density

I was wondering whether the option implied probability density of the log returns: $x = \ln\left(\frac{S}{S_0}\right)$ with S the value of a certain stock, is always symmetric ? I was asking myself ...
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1answer
156 views

Numerical difficulties in fitting option prices

In [1], the authors state that "Although some studies apply the curve-fitting method directly to option prices, the severely nonlinear relationship between option price and strike price often leads to ...
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1answer
291 views

Question on OptionMetrics: “Strike Price times 1000” differs too much from Index price

I have a question regarding the strike price that is given on OptionMetrics. My goal is to primarily retrieve options prices of a specific maturity with strike prices that are 20% in-the-money, ...
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54 views

The option values are different from two r package - foptions,rquantlib

The results are very different.I know the code from quantlib and the result of quantlib seem right(close to market price). Is there anyone know why the value from fOptions is so large or fOptions used ...
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0answers
39 views

Is it possible to graph the option price with respect to the greeks

Is it possible to graph a European option's price as a function of say, its delta? I've been wondering this since, for example, for a call, the option price is given by $$Se^{-q*t}\Phi (d_1) - ...
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24 views

Price of portfolio with target volatility

Consider the following: We have two assets, S1 and S2, and with each asset is associated a volatility, v1 and v2, respectively. Now let's say v1 < v2, and we want to create a portfolio of S2 and ...
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33 views

Credit Spread - pricing Option and Fixed Income

hi how do you handle credit spread 1. For Option with Equity underlying 2. For Fixed Income/Bond I understand there're two options: a. Expected Loss from Probability of Default & Recovery Rate ...
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0answers
58 views

America option early exercice boundary via Monte Carlo simulation

I am trying to calculate an american option price via the simulation of the early exercise boundary using the method presented in this document: Monte Carlo Method For pricing a put Option. I have ...
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0answers
91 views

Java Implied Volatility Solving

After using RQuantLib and RCaller from Java I am desiring a bit more speed on my implied volatility calculations (for anyone who has used this knows it is quite slow). I need to price a large number ...
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54 views

EMM in incomplete markets

The simply put question is as follows: do we need to restrict ourselves to EMM exclusively when pricing European contingent claims (=option payoffs) even if markets are incomplete? In particular, a ...
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1answer
78 views

Pricing options with two assets

I'm studying for a test and am stuck on this practice question: With interest rates equal to 0, two different stocks $S_1$ and $S_2$, both valued at \$1 today, can be worth \$2 or \$0.50 at some ...
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271 views

R or Matlab code for Multi-Barrier-Options (3 or more underlyings)

I am looking for R or Matlab code examples of multi-barrier-options (or multi-barrier reverse convertibles) with at least 3 underlyings. Do you have such code or can you point me to a place where I ...
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101 views

The basic principle of the construction a portfolio of options

I have a question like this. Assume today's date is 9 January 2016 and XYZ's share price stands at $10. On 8 November 2016 there is a Presidential election and you believe that depending on who is ...
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1answer
181 views

How to construct the binomial model for European option?

The annual interest rate is 5.3% and the annualized volatility of a non-dividend paying stock over the next six months will be 12.5% (annualized). i) Construct binomial trees of 5, 10 and 30 periods ...
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Where to find, d/l specific (OCC) historical Option data beyond the free 2 years [duplicate]

The OCC www.optionsclearing.com/‎ provides a nice breakdown for CBOE options data, however they only go back 2 years on any given day. Is there a good not-too-high-cost database one can recommend for ...
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2answers
204 views

Change option B&S pricing

Consider a market composed by two stocks whose prices $X$ and $Y$ are given by B&S diffusion $$dX_t= \mu X_t dt+ \sigma X_tdW_t$$ $$dY_t= \mu Y_t dt+ \sigma Y_tdB_t$$ Supposing the market is ...
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True or False? An option's price will always be greater than or equal to its intrinsic value

Since if the option's price is lower than its intrinsic value (eg. strike price - current stock price for puts), then an arbitrage opportunity arises from buying the option at bargain and then ...