Questions about models for the valuation of option contracts.

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8
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2answers
3k views

Are there comprehensive analyses of theta decay in weekly options?

Are there comprehensive analyses of how much theta a weekly options loses in a day, per day? I know what the shape of theta decay looks like, in theory, where the decay towards zero happens more ...
2
votes
1answer
285 views

Why is IV different between put and call of same strike

In his book 'Dynamic Hedging' Nassim Taleb says that the volatility of an OTM put should be exactly equal to that of a corresponding in the money call of same strike. But in option chains, the ...
0
votes
2answers
112 views

Annual dividend yield using option prices

If I have only strike, call and put prices for European options, how do I work towards computing the continuous dividend yield?
1
vote
1answer
94 views

Determining swaption prices using the characteristic function

There exist multiple techniques to determine call option prices that make use of the characteristic function. These techniques boil down to some integral expression of the option price in terms of the ...
1
vote
2answers
218 views

Put-Call relationship for Option on Forward

The forward price of a forward contract maturing at time T on an asset with price St at time t is, $$ F=S_te^{(r-q)(T-t)} $$ where $r$ is the risk free rate and $q$ is the continuous dividend rate ...
4
votes
6answers
4k views

Call vs. Put Option

I have two interrelated questions that have been bothering me for some time. I have read all the stuff online and it still doesn't make sense to me: Let us assume: 0% interest rate (both hedge ...
2
votes
2answers
1k views

What does “convergence” in Monte Carlo simulation mean?

I have read about convergence in terms of MC simulation for derivative pricing, but I am not clear on what it exactly means. Let us suppose I price an option 100,000 paths twice and both result in the ...
1
vote
2answers
118 views

Value a structured note with Black-Scholes

Apologies in advance if this seems like a straight forward question but I'm really unsure how to go about it. Say I have the payoff for a structured note benchmarked against an index and I have a ...
1
vote
1answer
75 views

Call option pricing using CCR model - derivation problem

I'm viewing the following derivation of a Call Option price using the CRR model. There is one piece of the derivation which I cannot understand. \begin{align} C_0 &= e^{-rT} \sum_{i=0}^{N} ...
15
votes
8answers
7k views

Probability of touching

For a vanilla option, I know that the probability of the option expiring in the money is simply the delta of the option... but how would I calculate the probability, without doing monte carlo, of the ...
1
vote
1answer
87 views

Hedging behind the decomposition of american put options

Now I'm reading a paper:"alternative characterizations of american put options" , the authors are Carr,Jarrow,Myneni http://www.math.nyu.edu/research/carrp/papers/pdf/amerput7.pdf After theorem 1 ...
2
votes
1answer
120 views

Effect of vol smile on risk neutral probability of ITM

I was asked in an interview about how the vol smile affect the price of a binary option, which is essentially the Prob(ITM) under risk neutral measure. My thought is that the implied vol at spot ...
1
vote
1answer
83 views

binomial option pricing model - problem with risk-neutral probability

I have a little problem: in the binomial option pricing model, the price of a european derivative security $V_{n}$ satisfies: $V_{n}=[1/(1+r)]*[\tilde{p}*optionUp +\tilde{q}*optionDown]$ where: ...
1
vote
2answers
94 views

Numerical delta of Bond Options

I'm trying to calculate the delta for bond Call options. I'm using the vasicek model which gives the following solution for a Zero-coupon bond call option: $Z = N P(t,S) \Phi(d_1) - K P(t,T) ...
4
votes
3answers
131 views

Price of an asian option with squared of average payoff

Is there a closed form solution of the following price formula? Assuming $dS_t=rSdt+\sigma S_t dW_t$ under the Q dynamics $e^{-r(T-t)}\mathbb{E}_t^\mathcal{Q}[(\frac{(\int_0^T S_u du)}{T})^2]$ I ...
1
vote
2answers
146 views

Pricing of Binary or Digital Options or more generally options with discontinuous payoffs using PDEs

I am trying to find references (books, papers, etc.) for calculating $\mathbb E f(X_T)$, where $X_T$ is a diffusion and $f$ is a real function that is not continuous, by means of solving a PDE or ...
0
votes
1answer
107 views

Why theta multipled by days to expiry exceeds the total time premium of the option

Sometimes, I find an option where the total time value of the option may be 5 cents(rest is intrinsic value) and there are about 15 days to expiry and theta is .08 (8 cents). How is this possible. If ...
1
vote
1answer
51 views

Does a call calendar lose its entire value if underlying increases well past the strike?

If I buy a call calendar spread, and the underlying increases, both options are in the money by the expiry of the short call. So both options increase in value, but the short one increases less ...
4
votes
2answers
245 views

Does higher vega imply higher IV and vice versa

If an option A has higher vega than option B, does that also mean that A has a higher IV than B? I understand that by definition, a higher vega means that A's price is more sensitive to its IV than B. ...
2
votes
1answer
88 views

If an option went down in value, how much is due to theta decay and how much due to fall in IV

Let us say that there was a stock trading at 100 and the 105 call was trading at 3 $. with 1 month to go Now stock went up to 104 after 15 days, and the call dropped to 2.80 $, to the call buyer's ...
0
votes
1answer
56 views

Pricing of a call option in one period binomial model

You are given a $5\%$ call option worth $\$2.66$. The strike price $k$ is $\$41.00$. $S(0)=40$, $Sd=35$ (i.e the lower price of the stock at $t=1$) find $Su$ (i.e the high price of the stock at ...
1
vote
1answer
186 views

Why implied volatility is less for the back month option even though the back month option is more expensive

Why is the implied volatility of this option at the ATM strike (18$) greater in the front month (March) than in a further month (Oct). The Oct month has 43%, but the front month has 54%. Should not ...
3
votes
2answers
133 views

Black Scholes: How does it help to transform uncertainty and still not be able to calculate a fair price?

Recapitulating the history of Black-Scholes: Nobody knows the fair price of options. Revolution: BS! You put in all the parameters and get a price -> A Nobel Prize for that one! Wait: Nobody knows ...
12
votes
4answers
8k views

How should I calculate the implied volatility of an American option in a real-time production environment?

There are many models available for calculating the implied volatility of an American option. The most popular method, employed by OptionMetrics and others, is probably the Cox-Ross-Rubinstein model. ...
1
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2answers
173 views

How to price an European call on zero-coupon from the yield curve?

It is known that the price of an European call of maturity $T^*$ on zero-coupon of maturity $T$ is given by $$p(0,T)= B(0,T^*)\mathbb E ^{\mathbb Q_{T^*}}\left[ (B(T^*,T)-K)^+\right]$$ where ...
1
vote
0answers
67 views

How to apply the chain rule for partial derivatives to transformations?

I'm currently working to solve the Black-Scholes model partial differential equation (it's a model for a.o. stock option prices). The Black-Scholes equation for a calloption C(S,t) is given by $ ...
2
votes
1answer
121 views

option pricing with limitation on the change of underlying daily changes

how are we supposed to price an European option given the fact that the daily return of the underlying is limited within -X% to X%? For example, if X = 5, the price of the underlying cannot go up 8% ...
1
vote
1answer
31 views

Spread options on prices or returns?

I need some clarifications regarding spread options. I have always found them characterized as paying, at maturity, the difference between the prices of two underlying assets: $$ (S_1(T)-S_2(T)-K)^+ ...
3
votes
2answers
407 views

Pricing an american style option on a bond future

what is the good way to pricing american option on bond future? From bonk fixed income securities 3rd by Tuckman, I understand how to pricing European option on bond future, but I still have no clue ...
8
votes
2answers
5k views

What causes the call and put volatility surface to differ?

I currently have a local volatility model that uses the standard Black Scholes assumptions. When calculating the volatility surface, what causes the difference between the call volatility surface, ...
-2
votes
1answer
68 views

Magrabe Exchange Option: not equal drifts

I need to calculate the price of exchange option between 2 assets $S_1$ and $S_2$ The formula is given here Wiki: Magrabe formula or here Quant Stack Exchange. In the derivation of the formula it is ...
-1
votes
2answers
89 views

Option greeks: sensitivity to 1% move

In a Black&Scholes framework how can I compute the following sensitivities: to 1% move in the underlying price to 1% move in implied volatility I would like the greeks to tell me how many ...
2
votes
2answers
228 views

Is it fair to assume $(ud=1)$ in the binomial tree option pricing model?

I have discussion with my colleague on why a general assumption $$ud=1$$ in binomial tree option pricing model would be necessary? I take it a simplification of the problem, otherwise, there will be ...
3
votes
1answer
191 views

Data Selection for Empirical Pricing Kernel Estimation (Stochastic Discount Factor)

I want to estimate an empirical pricing kernel for an index. Hence, I need to estimate a physical and risk neutral density. For estimating the physical density, only the index data in an observed time ...
2
votes
1answer
244 views

Some questions about implied volatilities and how to generate theoretical prices when market prices are not available

I am building a little Excel file that take some option prices in input and plots the volatility smile/surface. I have a script that reads market prices from the option chain for 3 different ...
2
votes
1answer
94 views

Price an option whose strike price is always lower than the future price of the security

Suppose it is known that the price of a certain security after one period will be one of the $m$ values $s_1,\ldots,s_m$. What should be the cost of an option to purchase the security at time $1$ for ...
1
vote
0answers
72 views

Value of an option to exchange an asset for another

I'm working out the examples in the paper "Changes of Numeraire, Changes of Probability Measure and Option Pricing", corollary 3. An option of exchanging asset 2 against asset 1 at time T, its time-0 ...
2
votes
3answers
159 views

Replication of a call option by cash-or-nothing digital option

I am so stuck on this question: Consider a two-asset model where asset 0 is cash, so that the price of asset 0 is $B_t=1$ for all $t \geq0$. Asset 1 has prices given by $dS_t = a(S_t) dW_t$, where the ...
2
votes
1answer
142 views

Asymptotic behavior of theta of vanilla call option

It is well known that the theta of call option is always negative. Also, the theta of (at the money call option) goes to infinity as the time approaches to the maturity. On the other hands, (ITM and ...
6
votes
1answer
144 views

How to price a futures spread option?

Let's say I have two futures contract $F_1(0,T)$ and $F_2(0,T)$ on two different correlated underlyings. If I assume that both underlying follow a GBM with volatility $\sigma_1$ and $\sigma_2$ ...
2
votes
3answers
164 views

Pricing exotic option whose payout depends on the stopping time

I am struggling with this question: Let $B$ be a standard Brownian motion. In a Black-Scholes model, at time $t$, the stock price is given by \begin{equation} S_t = \exp \{ \sigma B_t + ( r- ...
1
vote
3answers
584 views

forward implied volatility skew

I would like to calculate implied forward volatility skew. I have stochastic volatility monte carlo. What kind of payoff do I need to price and how to use Black() formula to calculate the implied ...
1
vote
2answers
624 views

Price of a composite option

how would you calculate the fair value of an option on a fx'ed underlying, e.g. a put on a USD-stock which is changed into EUR? How should I get, in practice, the fx spot vol/correl? Purpose is to ...
4
votes
1answer
200 views

Analysis of Unbalanced Covered Calls

Hello I am doing an analysis on covered calls with and extra amount of naked calls. Ignore the symbol and current macroeconomic events. I couldn't find any reference to this strategy (unbalanced is ...
1
vote
2answers
245 views

Dupire model and Local Volatility model

In the context of Option pricing model. Is there a difference between the Dupire Model and the Local volatility model ? Thanks Achal
0
votes
1answer
157 views

Implication of the Greeks under jump diffusion model

Consider jump diffusion model proposed by Merton and Kou. As far as i know, most paper only dealt the valuation of option under the jump diffusion model. As i expected, because of the ...
0
votes
2answers
284 views

Why gamma for ATM option decreases as volatility increases

Why is the gamma for an at the money option less when volatility increases. Intuitively ,I thought that increasing volatility means more uncertainty,hence the option price will be more sensitive to ...
6
votes
1answer
935 views

What are the main flaws behind Ross Recovery Theorem?

Stephen Ross’ new paper claims that it is possible to separate risk aversions and historical probabilities if the Stochastic Discount Factor is transition independent using Perron-Frobenius Theorem. ...
8
votes
4answers
951 views

Software for decomposing structured products into plain vanilla products

Nowadays structured products (or packages) with complex payoff diagrams are omnipresent. Do you know of any software, add-ons, apps, code whatever, that enables you to enter a payoff diagram or a ...
1
vote
1answer
59 views

Pricing rule shall be a martingale measure

In the book "Financial Modelling with jump processes" by Cont and Tankov there is a chapter that explains martingale pricing principles. It is not extremely formal, but gives the idea underlying the ...