Questions about models for the valuation of option contracts.

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1answer
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Overpricing Bermudan swaption using Shifted LMM

I am trying to model a callable range accrual note linked to the EUR CMS spread, 20Y-10Y, with cap and floor. The note is Bermudan, callable starting year 3, every 3 years till maturity at 30 year. We ...
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1answer
49 views

What are the answers to these questions on card deck and option pricing?

here are 3 questions I have some trouble dealing with. Your help will be greatly appreciated! 1 - We have a deck card: 26 red, 26 black. we play a game: you draw a card from the deck without putting ...
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1answer
20 views

shifted SABR - ATM vol

quick question guys. I know that for Shifted SABR (or any other Shifted model), we simply model the underlying price process (lets say the forward interest rate F), as F' = F + x, x being the shift. ...
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2answers
195 views

The Upper Bound of an American Put Option

I have just read the following paragraph (in bold) and have a question on the upper bound of an american put option: ...
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1answer
46 views

Isn't Black's approximation for American options inconsistent?

I have came across a formula suggested by Fisher Black (Fact and fantasy in the use of options, FAJ, July–August 1975, pp.36) for approximating the price of an American call written on a ...
7
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1answer
128 views

How do different models impact option Greeks?

If I trade an option using delta, vega, Prob OTM, etc. these are derived from a model. How do leading models impact valuations in terms of the Greeks? I suppose to form a baseline it would have to be ...
2
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1answer
56 views

Why is the value of an adaptive stochastic process known at time t?

I am having a hard time to understand the concept of an adapted stochastic process. Using an analogy to finance, I have been told we can think of adaptiveness of a stock price process as having an ...
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0answers
12 views

Black-Sholes call value as a function of Company’s Spot Price S-Option Driven [on hold]

Consider a call option on ABC Inc. with the following information: Strike price $1 Maturity: 1 year Volatility: σ Interest rate: 0% No dividends. Let c(S) be the Black-Sholes call value as ...
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1answer
126 views

Calculating historical implied volatility

I know that each individual option has it's own implied volatility, but how do you go about calculating the overall implied volatility for an underlying? For example when someone sais the IV of a ...
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0answers
15 views

how to compute the call and put prices from the state-price vector? [on hold]

If I know the matrix a and vector p, I can derive the state price vector, but how can I derive the call price then?
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2answers
140 views

How do you calculate price of non-existant call option on commodity future

I've been stumped on this for awhile now. I'm trying to determine the price of a call option on a commodity futures contract that expires in the future. My issue is that while the future's contracts ...
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4answers
238 views

Is there any other way to measure option pricing model performance than proximity to market prices?

Short version Why do we take market prices as the prices to be estimated and predicted? The common answer is efficient markets hypothesis as in "Market agents do their best effort given their ...
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0answers
49 views

Applying Black-Scholes to valuing index options

I am currently attempting to use the Black-Scholes model to value index options. My issue is; what should I use as the price of the underlying? Say I want to value a call option on the German DAX with ...
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0answers
57 views

Solution for american perpetual put

I have been attempting an exercise in which I have to determine the value of an american perpetual put, $P$ in terms of the asset value $S$. The solution to the exercise says: When $S>S_f$ (the ...
3
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1answer
61 views

Qualitative properties of call

I have read somewhere that we can show by using arbitrage argument the following relationship for call option : $$\frac{\partial{C_t(T,K)}}{\partial{K}}\leq0$$ ...
4
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1answer
67 views

Butterfly spread model price

Consider a butterfly spread with strikes $K_1, K_2, K_3$. My professor wrote the model price, $V$, was equal to the following: $$V = exp(-rT) * P(K_1<S_T<K_3) * (1/2) \Delta K$$ where $\Delta K ...
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2answers
94 views

Is complete market or not if appreciation rate is random?

Consider the stock price process satisfies the following SDE: $dS_t=\mu_t S_tdt + \sigma S_t dW_t , S_0=s $ and the appreciation rate process $\mu_t$ satisfies the following SDE: ...
5
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2answers
144 views

How to calculate Implied Volatility for out-of-the-money options?

I'm trying to calculate the implied volatility for out-of-the-money options, and to a lesser extent, in-the-money options. Most of the literature estimations I could find for implied volatility were ...
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1answer
68 views

Arbitrage opportunity in discrete time

Say we have the following binary option $B$ on asset $S$ with strike K and expiration time T, assume also that the following relation holds at time $0$: $B > N*C(K,T)-N*C(K+1/N,T)$ Where $N$ is ...
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1answer
258 views

A question about pricing convertible bond with two different underlying assets

I have a question regarding the pricing of convertible bond. If I value the convertible bond with two different underlying assets, how can I incorporate two volatility and the correlation in the ...
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3answers
64 views

Distribution of pay-off of an exotic option

Can any assumptions be made about the pay-off of an exotic option? For example, might we say the distribution of the pay-off a vanilla option would be Normal? I have built a valuation tool that ...
0
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1answer
360 views

Which distribution do I get?

Let's assume the stock moves according to a classic Black-Scholes model, and makes a proportional jump with an unknown proportion. Say, it is either +1% or -3% of the stock value, and we know for sure ...
2
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1answer
95 views

Delta of an option derived from the binomial model

I have the following function $V=V(S,t)$, $V^- = V(vS,t+\delta t)$, $V^+ = V(uS, t +\delta t)$. The book proceeds to explain that if we use Taylor series expansion on the above we will confirm that ...
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0answers
42 views

Capital increase: which stock price to use as input to Black-Scholes formula?

For an exercise we have to calculate the theoretical value of a scrip / preferential right on its issue day (23 April) in the context of a capital increase. The scrips are issued on 23 April. The ...
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2answers
76 views

Counting random paths

Assume the path of a certain stock can be modeled using a binomial tree. The initial price of the stock at time $t=0$ is 1024. The upstage factor of the stock price is $x=1.25$ and downstage factor of ...
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1answer
167 views

Hedging - calculating option prices using implied volatility surface

To hedge a strategy is it accurate "enough" to price an option using an implied vol curve vs moneyness (strike/spot) assuming sticky delta? The moneyness can be read off the chart, its corresponding ...
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1answer
102 views

Complicated American style option contract with numerous non-standard features (simultanous exercise, additional premium, etc.)

I want to value the following contract for times $0<t<T$, i.e. determine $V(t,\cdot)$ where $\cdot$ refers to all other dependences (strike, spot, volatility, etc.). The contract is long and ...
2
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1answer
52 views

Option pricing: Risk neutral probability calculation

Let $u=1.3$ $d=0.9$ $r=.05$ $S(0)=50, X = \text{strike} = 60$. Assume binomial model Why isn't the risk neutral probability found by solving the following for $p$: ...
5
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1answer
129 views

Extrapolating SVI

In his paper Gatheral presents the following parametrization of the implied total variance $w(k,T) = \sigma_{BS}(k,T)^2T$ $$ w(k) = a + b\{\rho (k-m) + \sqrt{(k-m)^2 + \sigma^2} \}.$$ Assuming that ...
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1answer
274 views

“Hedging” a put option, question on exercise

I have a question on the following exercise from S. Shreve: Stochastic Calculus for Finance, I: Exercise 4.2. In Example 4.2.1, we computed the time-zero value of the American put with strike ...
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5answers
336 views

Estimate probability of limit order execution over a large time frame

I have a negligible amount of money (\$5000) that I would like to invest in a stock. I would like to buy the stock at some point in the next year, and get the lowest possible price. I would like to ...
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1answer
82 views

Monte Carlo Option Pricing: Averaging Price Per Path

In Glasserman's book, he computes the price of an option by first computing the average price over each simulated price path. Once all the paths have been simulated, the average of all the payoffs is ...
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Proving the convexity of put price [duplicate]

Prove that the price of the European put option is a convex function of the strike price in one-step binomial model. In other words, if $P_E(X)$ is the price of the European put option in one-step ...
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0answers
39 views

Portfolio replication option pricing: Money market position

Why when replicating a call option, the money market position (bond, risk free investment) is negative and when replicating a call option, the money market position is positive? Please explain ...
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1answer
50 views

Put-on-call option confusion

So the question asks: Given a 3-steps Binomial Tree model with $S(0) = 50$, $U = 20%,D = 􀀀20%$, and $R = 5%$. A European call option has the strike price $X = 40$ and maturity time $T = 3$. Also, a ...
0
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1answer
36 views

Replication strategy of European call option

So the question asks: L et $S(0) = 120$ dollars, $u = 0.2$, $d = −0.1$ and $r = 0.1$. Consider a call option with strike price $X = 120$ dollars and exercise time $T = 2$. Find the option price and ...
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0answers
31 views

Connecting Call price computed discretely to call price computed under continuous time case

I want to connect the call premiums calculated discretely via the binomial pricing method to the Black-Scholes-Merton formula for the call premium which applies to continuous time case. The framework ...
1
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1answer
42 views

Put call parity: when are the premiums the same?

Please explain why put call parity could be compared to the payoff of a long forward contract. ie. $C_E-P_E=V_X(0)$ where $C_E,P_E$ are the call/put premiums and $V_X(0)$ is the value of a long ...
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2answers
118 views

Why is the term structure of the implied volatility surface non-monotonic?

Does this reflect expectations & uncertainty about interest rates (exposure to rho?), event driven concerns about the underlying, or something else?
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1answer
84 views

option time value in the pricing models

option price = intrinsic value + time value where intrinsic value (in other words payoff at N) is defined generally as difference between the underlying asset price and strike price (order depending ...
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3answers
91 views

Construct option and stock portfolio

If a riskless security costs 100 today and will cost 120 at time T, a stock costs 50 today and will either be 70 or 30 at time T, and call options on the stock have strike price 50 expiring at time T, ...
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0answers
39 views

Binary American Call Option (Cash or Nothing)

Suppose we have a stock with current price $S(0)=X$ and the interest rate is zero. When the stock reaches level $\$ H$ for the first time ($H>X$), the option can be exercised and its payoff is $\$ ...
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3answers
75 views

Linear combination of payoffs of bull and bear spreads

Write the following payoffs as linear combination of call options with different strikes and possibly some cash and give the closed form formula for them. Attempted solution: The payoff for the bear ...
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1answer
36 views

Known future volatility and difficulty in predicting final P/L

I have started Chapter 1 of Dynamic Hedging by Taleb and it starts by saying "Even if traders knew the exact future volatility but hedged themselves (rebalanced the gamma) at discretely spaced ...
4
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1answer
77 views

Lookback option to find stock price

Consider the payoff equation for the lookback option $\psi(T)= max(S_t-S_T)$, where $t\in[0,T]$ and $S_t$ is modeled by the geometric Brownian motion with constant parameters. Find the price of stock ...
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1answer
53 views

A clarification on the Heston option pricing formula

I have carefully reconstructed all the computations that lead to the Heston option pricing formula for a call. I end up with this formula for the "adjusted" probabilities $$ P_j\left(x,v,T;\ln ...
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1answer
50 views

Why are there two expressions for the Black-Scholes hedging portfolio

I am new to derivatives pricing and am trying to understand why there are two different expressions for the Black-Scholes hedging portfolio. The first approach, used in books like Hull, stipulates ...
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38 views

Pricing function $P(S,t)$ is convex in $S$ for all $t$

I am now reading Alternative Characterization of American Put Options by Carr et all (available at http://www.math.nyu.edu/research/carrp/papers/pdf/amerput7.pdf). There is a theorem called 'Main ...
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1answer
50 views

Interpolating on the BS parameters and injecting in the BS formula vs interpolating directly on option prices

Let's consider a simple European call option. In practice, the way the Black-Scholes formula is used to price it is by injecting all of the parameters and paying special attention to the volatility ...
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3answers
126 views

Binary Option in B-S model - technical question

I want to price Binary Option in Black-Scholes model. The payoff is of the form $f(S_{T})=I_{\{S_{T}-K>0\}}$. If we assume that $t=0$ this is easy, because then we have ...