A contract that gives the owner the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell a security at a fixed price in the future.

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1answer
23 views

Mean reversion time estimation

I am new to mean reversion trading, and I would like to get some good references about how to estimate the time it takes to a mean reverting provess to cross it's long term mean Thanks
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0answers
23 views

Black Scholes Model and Dividends

My question can be summarised as such: Consider a portfolio. Say it has a price $\Pi = x$. Portfolio consists of a stock and a sequence of call options underlying on the stock. It has been announced ...
2
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1answer
47 views

Black Scholes Formula, drift term

In the formula, the stock return is modelled as a brownian motion that is a drift + a stochastic term, ok I get that. But the drift term is then modelled as r - volatility ^ 2 / 2. I am not sure how ...
3
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2answers
90 views

What's the point of discounting in risk-neutral pricing?

Let $\phi$ be a self-financing strategy that replicates a time $T$ option payoff $X$ on stock $S$. By definition of a trading strategy, $\phi$ is previsible. Finally, let $V_t$ be the time $t$ value ...
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2answers
33 views

Is the Binomial Tree Model not self-financing?

Consider a 2-period binomial tree where the derivative price is $f$ and the stock price is $S$. Also, let the bond be deterministic with continuous growth rate $r$ and initial value $B_0$. binomial ...
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1answer
25 views

simple, intuitive barrier option derivation

Is there a simple integral that gives barrier option prices without having to deal with messy, hard PDEs and change of variables I understand there is a reflection principle such that the simulation ...
3
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1answer
70 views

Why must a replicating portfolio be self-financing?

If I have a trading strategy such that at each time $t$ I own $\Delta_t$ units of stock $S_t$ and $\psi_t$ units of bond $B_t$, it is a replicating strategy for some claim with time $T \geq t$ payoff ...
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2answers
80 views

Estimate simple option price without a calculator

I have been to two different interviews for jobs related to option trading, and both time I have been asked a question, which is pretty basic, and still I could not answer it. If you have an European ...
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1answer
41 views

Can not understand options pricing [closed]

As we are seeing here http://www.theoptionsguide.com/strike-price.aspx Relationship between Strike Price & Call Option Price Relationship between Strike Price & Put Option Price I do not ...
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1answer
32 views

Negative time value european options

I have a basic question for which I feel like I should have found the answer by googling it, but I didn't get a definitive answer, so here I am: Can the time value for a plain vanilla (European) ...
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0answers
44 views

Black-Scholes model [closed]

You take a short position in one European put option contract, with strike price 100 and maturity six months, on a stock that is trading at 100. The annual volatility of the stock is constant and ...
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0answers
33 views

Short volatility strategy using strangles

For a short volatility strategy using option strangles, is it better to target a fixed premium to earn? Or a fixed vega? Objective is to maximise the return/risk (sharpe) of the strategy. Any help ...
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0answers
49 views

Cointegration and variance of time series

Given that $X_t , Y_t$ are two cointegrated random processes, what can we say about the relationship between variance of the two increments $var(X_{t+h}-X_t)$ , $var(Y_{t+h}-Y_t)$ for a given ...
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0answers
63 views

Black Scholes Model Replicating Strategy Delta Hedged Exam Question

A share is currently priced at 640p. A writer of 100,000 units of a one year European put option with an exercise price of 630p has delta-hedged the option with a portfolio which holds cash and is ...
2
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1answer
56 views

Pricing digital options in discrete time

I am stuck in this exercise from my textbook: Consider a one-period market model with $N+1$ assets: a bond, a stock and $N-1$ call options. The prices of the bond are $B_0=1$ and $B_1 = 1+r$, ...
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2answers
128 views

Intuitive Reasoning for Using Risk-Neutral Measure

Although we thoroughly covered risk-neutral pricing in university I never fully understood it in the context of continuous-time processes. But first of all, lets consider a discrete time example: ...
0
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1answer
47 views

Buying OTM puts and then selling stock

What is to stop someone from first buying a bunch of OTM puts and then selling short enough stock to make the puts go up high enough to make a profit? Or conversely, buying OTM calls and then buying a ...
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0answers
43 views

Modeling market sentiment and pricing options by volume, open interest

Are there any empirically-proven methods/formulas for weighting IV surfaces, pricing a discount/premium in an option, and/or adjusting any of the 1st- or 2nd-order Greeks for the magnitude (volume or ...
2
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1answer
50 views

Solving a Non-Linear PDE using a Finite Difference Scheme

I have the following non-linear PDE and I have no idea how to go about solving it using a finite difference scheme in Python. Can someone get me started and/or point me to an algorithm for doing this? ...
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0answers
43 views

variance ratio for pair-trading

I am using the variance ratio test to check whether my sequence is mean reverting in that test there is a parameter n, How in general I choose this n? or what is the meaning of this parameter? ...
3
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1answer
126 views

The meaning of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck parameters

I am trying to understand theOrnstein-Uhlenbeck process $dX_t = \kappa(\theta-X_t)dt + \sigma dW_t$ my question is what is the meaning of the parameters? and assuming that we know those parameters ...
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0answers
38 views

Binomial function use in Bezier smoothing

I am using the Bezier method to smooth option volatility curves, which utilised the binomial distribution. Is someone able to clearly explain the interpretation of the binomial distribution in the ...
3
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6answers
294 views

Why the expected return rate of a stock has nothing to do with its option price?

OK, I admit that this is a frequently asked question. But I couldn't find a satisfying answer after I read the explanations of books, went through the derivations of B-S formula, and searched answers ...
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1answer
42 views

Good book about replicating portfolios

I want to know if anybody can suggest me a good textbook which explains in detail and in an understandable way how to create replicating portfolios of financial instruments like options "cash or ...
2
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2answers
93 views

Braess's paradox in quantitative finance: When optionality leads to lower value…?

One of the standard tenets of quantitative finance is that options should have an intrinsic value because optionality as such (in the sense of having more choices) should bring about value. This ...
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1answer
52 views

Binomial tree vs trinomial tree in pricing options

Very new to pricing models. Is there a general guideline when to use binomial tree and when trinomial tree is preferred? As far as I know, unlike binomial tree, trinomial tree only gives a range ...
2
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2answers
165 views

Is implied volatility flawed?

Was going through how Implied Volatility is used by option traders and in delta hedging. Correct me if I am wrong, doesn't IV consider a standard deviation of the stock price over say the past 1 year? ...
3
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2answers
128 views

What is the use of options pricing formulas

This may seem like a dumb question, but if the EMH is generally true, wouldn't options already be correctly priced? Why do we need all these intricate formulas, unless we think the prices are wrong or ...
3
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1answer
154 views

US options market/microstruture research

Can someone point out where to find up to date market/microstruture research in the options market?
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0answers
16 views

Principal Protected Notes

I have a few questions on the structuring of principal protected notes. Let's say that the note has a call option on the S&P500 so that it has the following payoff at maturity: $PPN_T=100\% + A ...
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1answer
52 views

Symbols for options on gold futures

I have a historical data set containing only options on gold futures. If I print out a unique list of option symbols I get: ...
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0answers
24 views

Calculate minimum IV increase to offset theta

How would one calculate the minimum implied volatility increase necessary to offset theta decay? IV is typically a percentage, while theta is a dollar value. In theory I think I could look at what ...
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0answers
6 views

Finding the price of an option that will be exercised [duplicate]

I am reposting this question because it was originally unclear, and I didn't get the answers I was hoping for. In my finance book I have the following question T-bills currently yield 5.5 percent. ...
0
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2answers
152 views

Pricing a call when minimum stock price above strike with certainty

I am editing this question because it was originally unclear, and I didn't get the answers I was hoping for. In my finance book I have the following question T-bills currently yield 5.5 percent. ...
3
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1answer
99 views

Covariance structure of call option surface

Assume the observed call option prices $C(K_i,T_i)$ for $i = 1,\dots,N$ are disturbed by some unknown measurement noise $\epsilon$. What would an appropriate covariance structure be for $\epsilon$? ...
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14 views

How discount TVaR of a put option?

Let say I want to calculate the TVaR of a put option. After I simulated possible outcomes in real-world, how do I discount the outcomes? Is there a difference if I am hedged or not? I tried to use ...
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0answers
19 views

Price a put option on a CPPI

I want to price a put option on a CPPI using Monte Carlo. I have found so far this article which prices a call on a CPPI. I was wondering if I could use the put/call parity here, and and if so, how ...
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0answers
23 views

Literature on “Risky Risky” Method

Trying to get some information/examples on a method called "risky risky" in the context of equity option/convertible bond valuation.
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39 views

Hedge volatility decreases

My particular options positions are typically a long delta, and long vega. Decreases in implied volatility, or specifically the VIX, can drastically alter the profitability of my position. Is there a ...
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1answer
50 views

asian option – exotic option – real data, authentic examples?

I would be pleased if any of You can give me the real example of an asian option (or other exotic option) that is being traded or that is offered by some institution. I have been searching the whole ...
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1answer
99 views

Risk Neutrality Necessary for Dual Delta Calculation?

I have an option chain for a specific expiry date. Then calculate dP/dK numerically for each pair of strikes. My hunch is that this calculation is not risk neutral in the strictest sense of the word ...
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33 views

Impact of Implied skew variations on future prices

I want to test the relationship between of the oil implied volatility skew and oil future prices. I'm lost regarding the method to test the relationship. I was thinking about a regression but I'm ...
0
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1answer
62 views

binomial option pricing model - problem with risk-neutral probability

I have a little problem: in the binomial option pricing model, the price of a european derivative security $V_{n}$ satisfies: $V_{n}=[1/(1+r)]*[\tilde{p}*optionUp +\tilde{q}*optionDown]$ where: ...
9
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6answers
524 views

What is the fair price of this option?

Without having to use Black-Scholes, how do I price this option using a basic no-arbitrage argument? Question Assume zero interest rate and a stock with current price at \$$1$ that pays no dividend. ...
2
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2answers
88 views

Calculating time value of an option

Can someone provide me with a robust way of calculating the future time value of an option or point in the direction? I have been reading a lot about the factors that affect it and about betas and ...
1
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1answer
42 views

Does a call calendar lose its entire value if underlying increases well past the strike?

If I buy a call calendar spread, and the underlying increases, both options are in the money by the expiry of the short call. So both options increase in value, but the short one increases less ...
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1answer
78 views

Convert a call spread to a butterfly to mitigate risk

I do not have a source for this (apologies), but sometimes, I hear about option traders initiating a vertical spread(short) and then converting that call spread to a butterfly spread to mitigate risk. ...
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1answer
54 views

Why vega increases further out in time

Why do back months options have a higher vega than front month options? If possible , kindly explain on an intuitive level without a lot of math.
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1answer
31 views

How to manage risk on a call calendar when underlying is falling

Let us say I bough a call calendar spread. Now, at expiry of the short option, the underlying has decreased significantly, and I am approaching my max loss(i.e both the options are close to 0). In ...
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1answer
38 views

Pricing of a call option in one period binomial model

You are given a $5\%$ call option worth $\$2.66$. The strike price $k$ is $\$41.00$. $S(0)=40$, $Sd=35$ (i.e the lower price of the stock at $t=1$) find $Su$ (i.e the high price of the stock at ...