A contract that gives the owner the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell a security at a fixed price in the future.

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1answer
2k views

Historical Value At Risk on option portfolio

I am new to Value at Risk subject in fact everything related to quant. Can any body validate the Value at Risk Model on the option price ? I am using a below explained approach . our portfolio ...
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1answer
1k views

what is the best way to calculate the probability of an equity option ending in the money?

Given historical implied volatility and all other know variables (stock price, option strike price, option expiration date, dividend rate, interest rate) what is the best way to calculate the ...
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2answers
366 views

What changes to put-call parity are necessary when evaluating american options on non-dividend paying assets?

If an underlying doesn't pay dividends (for our purpose defined as any distribution to the underlying's holder) directly or indirectly (e.g. options on futures) how does put-call parity change from ...
4
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0answers
170 views

How to price an option with two volatilities?

Imagine you have two volatilities, the second which is "activated" when the stock crosses a barrier called $p_b$. The present price is $p_1$. ($p_b>p_1$). This can be used to price options after a ...
3
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2answers
239 views

Pricing when arbitrage is possible through Negative Probabilities or something else

Assume that we have a general one-period market model consisting of d+1 assets and N states. Using a replicating portfolio $\phi$, determine $\Pi(0;X)$, the price of a European call option, with ...
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4answers
5k views

Why is short term implied volatility typically higher?

Why do short term implieds move more than long term?
3
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1answer
101 views

How to derive an option price for an asset with these dynamics?

Assuming my underline asset price follows the process: $$d\ln (F_{t,T})=-(1/2)\sigma ^2e^{-2\lambda(T-t)}dt+\sigma e^{-\lambda(T-t)}dB_t $$ How should I derive an option price formula?
3
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1answer
112 views

Why are there two expressions for the Black-Scholes hedging portfolio

I am new to derivatives pricing and am trying to understand why there are two different expressions for the Black-Scholes hedging portfolio. The first approach, used in books like Hull, stipulates ...
3
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1answer
122 views

What is the correlation between these two functions of GBMs?

Let's say that I have two correlated GBMs: $$dA_t = A_t \sigma^A dW^A_t$$ $$dR_t = R_t \sigma^R dW^R_t$$ $$dW^R_t dW^A_t = \rho dt$$ I am trying to price a derivative which payoff at time $T$ is: $$...
2
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1answer
69 views

Calculating probability of options with normal/lognormal distribution: does time make a difference?

I'm trying to calculate the probability of a calendar spread resulting in a profit at expiration, when estimating it is modeled as a lognormal distribution, by getting: ...
2
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3answers
120 views

Greeks for binary option?

How to derive an analytic formula of greeks for binary option? We know a vanilla option can be constructed by an asset-or-nothing call and a cash-or-nothing call, does that help us? Wikipedia states ...
2
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2answers
174 views

Calculating time value of an option

Can someone provide me with a robust way of calculating the future time value of an option or point in the direction? I have been reading a lot about the factors that affect it and about betas and ...