A contract that gives the owner the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell a security at a fixed price in the future.

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2
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1answer
65 views

Calculating probability of options with normal/lognormal distribution: does time make a difference?

I'm trying to calculate the probability of a calendar spread resulting in a profit at expiration, when estimating it is modeled as a lognormal distribution, by getting: ...
2
votes
3answers
113 views

What is the theoretical expected growth in an option's value over a given period of time?

Say an option with five years left before maturity has a value of $x$ today. Theoretically, under the B/S framework, what is its expected value in five years (upon maturity)? Do we assume it will ...
1
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0answers
101 views

Computation of option vega under CEV

It is easy to define the option vega $\nu=\frac{\partial C}{\partial \sigma}$ under Black Scholes model since volatility is a single quantity. However, under CEV or local volaility model, it is ...
4
votes
1answer
132 views

How to use the Black-Scholes formula with LIBOR rates?

I want to price an FX option using the Black-Scholes model, but I don't know the risk free rate, nor the volatility. I only know the LIBOR rates, the strike, and that the expiration day is 87 days ...
0
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3answers
102 views

Put-Call Parity Application

In the binomial model, how that the Delta of a call option $\Delta^{call}$ and the Delta of a put option $\Delta^{put}$ with the same maturity and strike satisfy $$\Delta^{call}_t - \Delta^{put}_t = ...
3
votes
1answer
135 views

Find call and put volatilities using ATM, Risk reversal and Butterflies volatilities

I have to plot the implied volatility surface for EUR/USD. So, my goal is to produce something like that, from put delta 10 to call delta 10: Searching for informations, I found that I could find ...
2
votes
6answers
343 views

What is the Benefit of holding a short option?

i am new to corporate finance and ask myself why a investor is interested in being short on a Option? The only he can win is a premium but he can loose much more. I understand with being a short I can ...
3
votes
2answers
224 views

stock option strategies long vs short

What makes an option strategy long or short? I got the impression that if it is a net debit (you pay to open the strategy) it is classified 'long' (strangle, straddle) Then I learned about the call ...
2
votes
3answers
166 views

Option greeks vs Position greeks

I know that when it comes to delta, you would calculate your position delta (of a stock position) as follows: option delta * position size * 100 For example if I ...
2
votes
2answers
251 views

Greeks and Option Premium

If a linear sum of options is constructed such that the premium payout is zero, then does it mean that resultant greeks of the cumulated options positions will be nearly zero. For simplicity, lets ...
0
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0answers
54 views

Why is the probability of first touch equation so complicated?

http://marcoagd.usuarios.rdc.puc-rio.br/hittingt.html The (cumulative) probability distribution of hitting times for the above case is given by the equation below. This equation is 1 less the ...
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2answers
129 views

Which volatility to use?

For calculating the greeks http://www.vollib.org/html/apidoc/vollib.black.greeks.html Should I use historical volatility or implied volatility?
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3answers
148 views

delta hedging strategy for OTM option

Wondering how you would think about the following thought experiment - suppose you sell an OTM call option and plan to implement a delta hedging strategy whereby if the price of the stock were to ...
3
votes
2answers
171 views

Risk-Neutral Probabilities, Trinomial Model

My professor has many grammatical mistakes and errors in his questions, so apologies ahead of time. I am just trying to understand what he wants for this question, In trinomial model, let $S_0 = 1$, ...
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2answers
96 views

Analysis of exercising a call option early

Most options traders sell their call options early instead of exercising them, as you would make a bigger profit this way due to being able to salvage some remaining extrinsic value. For example: ...
0
votes
0answers
47 views

Delta of an option in two cases

Let C be the prime of a call in fi=unction of the price in term F, Strike K, volatilité $\sigma$ and maturity t: $C(F,K,\sigma,t,r) $ We assume that we know $\delta$ ...
0
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0answers
46 views

Delta hedge compound option

Delta hedge portfolio should be adjusted from one period to the other, as the ratio changes. How does it work with compound options though? Suppose, I have a put on a call option on a stock, in 2 time ...
1
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1answer
71 views

Options and bond related to convexity

Relevant definition: Assumption 2.1 (No dominance). If the payoff $P$ of a financial instrument is nonnegative, then the price $p$ of the financial instrument is nonnegative. Notation: $T$ - the ...
4
votes
1answer
92 views

Call options and portfolio of the same options worth less?

A portfolio of long positions in call options with the same maturity and strikes on different assets is worth more than a call option on a portfolio of the same assets with the same weight; i.e. ...
3
votes
1answer
126 views

Example of options that cannot be priced with least-square Monte Carlo

Can you give some example of options that cannot be priced with least-square Monte Carlo? Intuitively, this is any option for which a payoff depends on a previous exercise decision. It's relatively ...
0
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2answers
247 views

Difference between Closing Price, Last traded price and Settlement Price for option contracts?

What is the difference between Closing price, Last traded price and settlement price ? I got the difference between Closing Price and Settlement price from previous post : The difference between ...
0
votes
1answer
79 views

Open interest and short selling

Open interest of SPY: https://finance.yahoo.com/q/op?s=SPY+Options If someone sell short a contract the open interest adds up or down? The open interest on yahoo finance is a reliable Information of ...
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0answers
43 views

Hedging portfolio of options with different underlyings

Suppose i have call options for 90 of the 100 stocks of NASDAQ100. How can i hedge the risk using NASDAQ futures? Also, how can I get rid of the residual risk?
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vote
1answer
47 views

About the Feller Condition in Heston Calibration

I have noticed when reading (many) articles about Heston Calibration that not all (few actually) do care about the Feller condition. Below is a compilation of calibration results from some different ...
0
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0answers
33 views

Most recent work on American option **ANALYTIC** pricing

I am studying American options and inquisitive on why they lack an analytic pricing formula. I found a paper by Kim,1990 on analytic valuation of these options and then Byun,2005 paper which studies ...
1
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0answers
64 views

How was this probability of negative U.S rates by end 2017 calculated?

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-01-26/bets-on-negative-u-s-rates-by-end-2017-jump-above-10-chance Options markets show some investors are taking out protection in case rates instead ...
0
votes
1answer
59 views

out of the money time value versus in the money time value

For an out of the money option the time value is entirely positive, then if it moves into the money the time value has a negative impact on the new intrinsic value, ok, but it looks like the negative ...
0
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0answers
84 views

Analytical solution to the Black-Scholes equation with time-dependent volatility

I am stuck with the following exercise and I would appreciate any help with it. I have to calculate the analytical function for the price of a call option given the following process for the ...
13
votes
4answers
28k views

How to compute Implied Volatility Calculation?

We all know if you back out of the BS option pricing model you can derive and solve what the options is "implying" as its volatility. However, what is the formula used to derive Implied Volatility ...
3
votes
3answers
130 views

Implied volatility of a complex options position

Assume I have a "complex" options position like a straddle, strangle, or iron condor. In other words, several options traded together as a single position against one underlying asset (not a basket ...
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1answer
44 views

Where are the prices of real European Call options listed?

In order to solve an exercise, I need data from real European Call Options (on the same underlying). It sounds definitely trivial, but actually I feel a bit lost...do you mind giving a link/suggestion ...
0
votes
1answer
110 views

Price of call/put is convex in $K$ (strike price)

Let $\lambda\in(0,1)$. Then $$C(T, \lambda K_1 + (1 - \lambda)K_2, S, t) \leq \lambda C(T, K_1, S, t) + (1 - \lambda)C(T, K_2, S, t)$$ $T$ - the maturity $K_1$,$K_2$ - Strike prices $S$ - stock ...
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vote
2answers
54 views

Martingale correction for Andersen scheme with Interest Rate

I have implemented martingale correction to my Andersen scheme for Heston model, as it is in the paper (page 19-22): ...
3
votes
1answer
86 views

How to get Correlation using Options data?

I can calculate the "Implied Beta" using implied volatility for the option stock, and implied volatility for the market (VIX). Is there any way to calculate also the correlation without performing a ...
0
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0answers
28 views

Listed Equity Options - Should the expected future payoff be discounted?

Just wondering, given daily margining of exchange traded futures/options (e.g. Eurostoxx 50), basically any difference in the risk neutral expected future payoff that is refelcted in the daily price ...
2
votes
3answers
70 views

How would I exploit arbitrage if risk-neutral pricing doesn't hold? (Option Pricing)

We are just learning about binomial option pricing, and how the up-factor and the down-factor must match the risk-neutral price. p * u + (1 - p) * d = continuous risk free rate compounded CRR ...
1
vote
2answers
257 views

Barrier option : Monte carlo simulation

I am trying to price a Down-and-Out Call using Monte Carlo simulation. The problem is that I get the right price for the vanilla option (same price as the analytic formula of Black and Scholes) but I ...
5
votes
2answers
98 views

Calculating probability of Yuan's slump from options market

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-01-06/if-options-traders-are-right-the-yuan-s-slump-is-far-from-over Contract prices indicate a 79 percent probability that the currency will weaken ...
3
votes
4answers
182 views

Model Price vs Market Price in terms of Fair Price (Options)

Before I start: Ok, this is something I investigated for a fair amount of time and my question is semi-academic. To simplify, I will introduce the short bit (TLDR) of my question and then lay out ...
2
votes
1answer
75 views

Option analysis

Assume zero dividend and that the strike price for a European call option on a stock at a fixed maturity T and strike price K is given by C(K).Suppose that $C(K)=e^{-k}$ for all $K\geq 0$ ,then, I ...
3
votes
1answer
102 views

VAR of portfolio containing options, equities and forwards

If we want to calculate VAR of a portfolio using variance covariance matrix (delta normal method), containing equities, forwards and options, how do we treat each asset class for making the variance ...
1
vote
1answer
89 views

QuantLib: New Instrument derived from VanillaOption + PricingEngine that must work for both VanillaOption and the derived class

The derived class is a Vanilla Option on a Future and I need to specify the expiry of the underlying future which is in general different (later) than the expiry of the Vanilla Option. I have ...
1
vote
1answer
64 views

AmericanOptionImpliedVolatility strange answers for calls IV's

My data provider includes the greeks. I tried to compute the IV's myself using RQuantLib and see if they match -- for Puts it's generally close, for Calls however certain values are way way off -- any ...
1
vote
1answer
98 views

Option Chain Implied Volatility Calculation

I have the following EOD options data for the SPY containing IV data for each strike. ...
0
votes
1answer
174 views

AmericanOptionImpliedVolatility - root not bracketed issue in QuantLib/R

I'm trying to compute an implied volatility -- I am trying to match real data I see in Yahoo finance which shows an IV of about 27%. My call in 'R' for the same params returns a root not bracketed ...
3
votes
5answers
158 views

Why don't real-world probabilities affect the price of a call in a 1-step binomial model?

I was a bit hesitant to post this question because it seems so basic...but I wasn't able to figure it out on my own. Say we setup a one-step binomial tree with $S_0=100$, $S_u=110$ and $S_d=90$, ...
8
votes
2answers
268 views

Derivation of Stochastic Vol PDE

A couple questions regarding stochastic vol PDE derivation. Following Gatheral, a general stochastic vol model is given by \begin{align*} dS(t) & = \mu(t) S(t) dt + \sqrt{v(t)}S(t) dW_1, \\ dv(t) ...
1
vote
1answer
112 views

Estimating profit/loss of a Gold Futures option using Theta and Gamma

HELP! I am trying to find how much the underlying price of a gold futures option must move in order to breakeven on owning an option for a day. I was hoping someone versed in pricing options could ...
0
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1answer
103 views

Notional Value in Equity Options

I have calculated the NPV of an Equity option and need to account the notional for it and have issues understanding the NPV <-> notional relation. Example: Strike price 100 Spot rate: 107.41 NPV ...
33
votes
9answers
4k views

Option pricing before Black-Scholes

According to the Wikipedia article, Contracts similar to options are believed to have been used since ancient times. In London, puts and "refusals" (calls) first became well-known trading ...