A contract that gives the owner the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell a security at a fixed price in the future.

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586 views

In Black-Scholes, why is $\log{\frac{S_{t+\triangle t}}{S_t}} \sim \phi{((\mu - \frac{1}{2}\sigma^2)\triangle t, \sigma^2 \triangle t)}$?

Namely, I dont understand why the mean is $(\mu - \frac{1}{2}\sigma^2)\triangle t$ and not just $\mu \triangle t$. I am aware that it is supposed to represent a lognormal distribution, but I guess I'm ...
4
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5answers
8k views

How to calculate stock move probability based on option implied volatility and time to expiration? (Monte Carlo simulation)

I am looking for one line formula ideally in Excel to calculate stock move probability based on option implied volatility and time to expiration? I have already found a few complex samples which took ...
4
votes
1answer
927 views

Simple model for option premium (for covered call simulation)?

Given a historical distribution of weekly prices and price changes for a stock, how can I estimate the the option premium for a nearly at-the-money (ATM) option, say with an expiration date 3 months ...
4
votes
2answers
3k views

Why FX Vanilla Options are quoted in volatility

I've been curious why vanilla options are quoted (and traded) in terms of volatility. Considering that every financial institution has its own options pricing model, volatility as an input would cause ...
4
votes
2answers
286 views

How to quickly sketch a second order greek profile for a vanilla position?

Assume that you are given an arbitrary payoff profile for European vanilla position (e.g. butterfly). How to make a back of the envelope sketch of a second order greek profile for it (i.e. plot ...
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1answer
743 views

Can American options with no dividends and zero risk-free rate be treated as European?

Let's say you've got American options on a future of a stock index. There are no dividends, and no risk-free rate either (assume $r=0$). Can these options then be treated as European from the ...
4
votes
1answer
2k views

Call option arbitrage opportunity

I am having trouble wrapping my head around some text provided to us by our lecturer (unfortunately he is currently unavailable). If we let $c$ be the price of a European call option, $S_0$ the ...
4
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1answer
186 views

Hedging with actual volatility: problem understanding the math behind the result

From this paper. page 3 We get that the total profit at expiration is the difference in value between the price of the option with actual volatility and the one with implied volatility. I have tried ...
4
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1answer
129 views

questions on VAR manipulation

The book of Financial Risk forecasting by Danielsson gives the following example about VAR manipulation. I have two questions: 1) If $0> VAR_1 > VAR_0$ , why the following figure plots it as ...
4
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1answer
213 views

Estimating early exercise boundary for American put

I am trying to estimate the early exercise boundary for an American put option. I can find the put value through the Longstaff-Schwartz LSM method. How do I obtain the early exercise boundary within ...
4
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4answers
2k views

How to calculate the implied volatility using the binomial options pricing model

I want to calculate IV for american options with dividends. So far I have found algorithms to calculate the option price given a volatility. Please can you point me to paper or implementation (R, ...
4
votes
1answer
667 views

Science behind options pricing into Earnings event

I am wondering about studies regarding the uncanny options pricing into public company's earnings reports. The phenomenon being that the price of a straddle before earnings costs near exactly the ...
4
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1answer
124 views

What does the “-E” mean at the end of a CBOE options symbol?

Below is are some option quotes taken directly from the CBOE website. I am wondering what the -E, -4, -8, -A, -B, -I, -J etc..that are at the end of the options ...
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1answer
108 views

What is the mechanism of Asian option?

I have no problem with the mathematical definition of an Asian option. For example, assume the strike price is $K$, the expiration date is $T$, the underlying asset has price $S(t)$, and the payoff is ...
4
votes
1answer
373 views

What are the main flaws behind Ross Recovery Theorem?

Stephen Ross’ new paper claims that it is possible to separate risk aversions and historical probabilities if the Stochastic Discount Factor is transition independent using Perron-Frobenius Theorem. ...
4
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2answers
1k views

Basket option pricing: step by step tutorial for beginners

I would like to learn how to price options written on basket of several underlyings. I've never tried to do it and I would appreciate if you can provide some documents, papers, web sites and so on in ...
4
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3answers
266 views

self-consistent parametric form for equity implied volatility

I recall reading a paper, but can't remember where I found it. In short, there was a parametric form for volatility smile/skew that fit both index and single stock vol slices and had intuitive ...
4
votes
1answer
283 views

What are good conditions to roll a leap further out in time?

If you're hedging with a back month / leap option, what are good underlying / market conditions to move this option out even further in time? For simplicity, let's say you own a call with 6 months ...
4
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1answer
407 views

Standard Deviations out the money where options will respond to underlying asset price changes

Is there an understood way of determining how far out the money an option can be, before it starts/stops responding to the underlying asset price changes? I usually look at the greeks, gamma, delta, ...
4
votes
2answers
823 views

How to derive appropriate volatility for a binary option (with strike/term) from market data?

I am valuing a binary FX option (european) with a defined strike and term (2Y). I'm using a closed form solution based on Black-Scholes framework. How can I derive the appropriate volatility to use ...
4
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1answer
201 views

Option based portfolio insurance in practice

My question is about option based portfolio insurance in practice. Some insurance companies offer products where there is a mutual fund (equity and bonds) and a guarantee attached. This guarantee is ...
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2answers
487 views

Does put-call parity hold for a compound option with underlying American option?

Say there is an American put option that expires $N$ months from today. A call-on-put (CoP) option provides the owner the right to buy the American put option in exactly $M < N$ months (but no ...
4
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1answer
4k views

How to replicate a digital call option

Call Option S=100 K=100 Payoff=1 (option is not available) How can i replicate this (payoff) with calls and puts with strike prices with multiples of 5$ Thanks for help
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2answers
729 views

Heuristics for calculating theoretical probabilities of being ITM at time T for listed options

I'm looking for a heuristic way to calculate the probabilities of being in the money at expiry for non-defined risk options combinations (listed options). I use delta as a proxy for this probability ...
4
votes
1answer
185 views

Analysis of Unbalanced Covered Calls

Hello I am doing an analysis on covered calls with and extra amount of naked calls. Ignore the symbol and current macroeconomic events. I couldn't find any reference to this strategy (unbalanced is ...
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1answer
562 views

Need historical prices of EUREX American and European style options

I am trying to get the historical price data on selected American and European style options at EUREX. I am not familiar with their system. Does any one know whether they have something like yahoo ...
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0answers
84 views

Risk neutral measure in exponential levy model

Is there a method of finding a risk-neutral measure for assets driven by the levy process? I understand there is the esscher transform but I think it tends to transform the processes into ...
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0answers
145 views

How to price an option with two volatilities?

Imagine you have two volatilities, the second which is "activated" when the stock crosses a barrier called $p_b$. The present price is $p_1$. ($p_b>p_1$). This can be used to price options after a ...
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0answers
174 views

How companies choose earnings release dates, & effect on Implied Volatility

A company's earnings release date significantly affects weekly or monthly option prices/implied volatility. For companies that typically release earnings on the cusp of monthly options expiration, ...
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votes
5answers
8k views

Why do some people claim the delta of an ATM call option is 0.5?

I am looking for a mathematical proof in terms of differentiating the BS equation to calculate Delta and then prove it that ATM delta is equal to 0.5. I have seen many books quoting delta of ATM call ...
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2answers
203 views

Why an option has sometimes and implied volatility greater than 100%?

Sometimes, in an option chain, the implied volatility of an option is greater than 100% . How is this possible? I mean, it is possible for 100$ stock to increase more than 100%, but not decrease more ...
3
votes
3answers
2k views

Does implied vol vary for calls vs puts?

Volatility skew tells us that options with the same maturity at different strikes can have different implied vol. However, can a corresponding call and put for the same strike and maturity have ...
3
votes
2answers
1k views

Why do ATM call options have a delta of slightly bigger than 0.5 and not 0.5 exactly?

From the formula of the delta of a call option, i.e. $N(d1)$, where $d_1 = \frac{\mathrm{ln}\frac{S(t)}{K} + (r + 0.5\sigma^2)(T-t)}{\sigma\sqrt{T-t}}$, the delta of an ATM spot call option is ...
3
votes
2answers
274 views

Why are options called what they are called?

This may be a very obvious question, but can someone tell me where and when the names call and put originated? And similarly, where do the terms American and European option come from? Aside from the ...
3
votes
3answers
403 views

Papers and algorithms on bidding schemes for best order execution?

I'm building an automated option trading bot that executes common options multi-leg strategies (straddles, spreads) and I want to learn the best way to execute my orders. As you know, the bid-ask ...
3
votes
5answers
807 views

how expected moves are priced into options

I understand that expected price changes of underlying assets are usually priced into options, but I don't understand how. For instance, before upcoming earning reports the option values are inflated ...
3
votes
2answers
118 views

Endogeniety of Black-Scholes

I know this is a naïve question but how does the BS formula have a closed form solution? It seems from what I am reading Price impacts delta, price influences volatility which in turn influeces delta ...
3
votes
1answer
159 views

How do I model risks for specific short-term short calls in a portfolio with limited data?

I'm trying to do some risk analysis on a portfolio of bonds, currency, stocks and short calls. The short calls expire in approximately 15-30 days and I've only got around 20 days of pricing data on ...
3
votes
2answers
128 views

Is there a better way to price options than with historical volatility?

I know that annualized historical volatility calculated with closing prices is a much rougher estimate than implied volatility for the correct "volatility" parameter in options pricing models. ...
3
votes
2answers
206 views

Lower bound of ITM Calls when computing Implied Volatility

Assuming the Black Scholes model and pricing formula of a European call option. Then, if the call is ITM, i.e. if $ln(\frac{S}{K})>0$, the $d_1$-term will go towards infinity as $\sigma$ goes to ...
3
votes
1answer
2k views

Seagull option strategy - clear example

It looks like the subject of seagull option strategy is not as clearly explained as for other strategies (butterly, bull,bear spread). Thus, can someone provide a clear example of what you buy and ...
3
votes
1answer
276 views

options pricing using vwap

This is a question about why options prices do not take volume into account. The popular option valuation formula "black-scholes" certainly does not account for this and I don't suggest that it does. ...
3
votes
1answer
84 views

Which volatility to use to price options on futures contract?

I have some questions regarding pricing futures options and I just want to be sure that my thoughts are correct. I am trying to price options on futures for american & european style. In the ...
3
votes
1answer
137 views

Data Selection for Empirical Pricing Kernel Estimation (Stochastic Discount Factor)

I want to estimate an empirical pricing kernel for an index. Hence, I need to estimate a physical and risk neutral density. For estimating the physical density, only the index data in an observed time ...
3
votes
1answer
170 views

SABR calibration: simple explanation and implementation

I would like to learn more about the SABR model and ho it is used in modeling smiles in equity, FX and rates markets. How would you explain the process and its implementation in simple steps? Any web ...
3
votes
2answers
168 views

Using Fourier Transforms for stock option pricing with stochastic interest rates

Can Fourier transforms be used to derive the joint probability density function of stochastic interest rates and stock price Brownian motions of call options under stochastic interest rates? So lets ...
3
votes
2answers
131 views

Effect of interest rate on options prices

This might be another basic derivatives question. When interest rate rises, stock prices generally fall. Assuming an option's underlying is a stock, this should lower the option's price as well. ...
3
votes
1answer
264 views

Can a long put trade be profitable through Vega even if the underlying moves upwards?

Generally speaking, I know when implied vol increases, option prices increase for calls. However, does the same occur for puts? If I am expecting implied volatility to increase for an option on an ...
3
votes
3answers
350 views

Basic question about Black Scholes derivation

In the derivation of the Black Scholes equation, the value of the portfolio at time $t$ is given by $$P_t = -D_t + \frac{{\partial D_t}}{{\partial S_t}}S_t $$ where $P_t$ is the value of the ...
3
votes
1answer
131 views

Do Bond Put Dates always fall on Coupon Dates (for non-zero coupon bonds). Calculation rules for Coupon Dates

This may not be the most appropriate SE site to ask this question, but I can't seem to find a better place to ask, so here goes: Do Puttable Bonds' put dates always fall on Coupon Dates? When they ...