A contract that gives the owner the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell a security at a fixed price in the future.

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5answers
918 views

how expected moves are priced into options

I understand that expected price changes of underlying assets are usually priced into options, but I don't understand how. For instance, before upcoming earning reports the option values are inflated ...
3
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6answers
351 views

Why the expected return rate of a stock has nothing to do with its option price?

OK, I admit that this is a frequently asked question. But I couldn't find a satisfying answer after I read the explanations of books, went through the derivations of B-S formula, and searched answers ...
3
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2answers
119 views

Endogeniety of Black-Scholes

I know this is a naïve question but how does the BS formula have a closed form solution? It seems from what I am reading Price impacts delta, price influences volatility which in turn influeces delta ...
3
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1answer
165 views

How do I model risks for specific short-term short calls in a portfolio with limited data?

I'm trying to do some risk analysis on a portfolio of bonds, currency, stocks and short calls. The short calls expire in approximately 15-30 days and I've only got around 20 days of pricing data on ...
3
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1answer
208 views

Closed form solution of PDE of Option Price

Let $V=V(S_t,t)$ be the option price and \begin{align} V_t+\mu\,S\,V_S+\frac{1}{2}\sigma^2\,S^2\,V_{SS}=0\\ V(S_T,T)=\ln (S_T)^{2}. \end{align} My question: How can I obtain a closed form solution of ...
3
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2answers
157 views

Is there a better way to price options than with historical volatility?

I know that annualized historical volatility calculated with closing prices is a much rougher estimate than implied volatility for the correct "volatility" parameter in options pricing models. ...
3
votes
2answers
526 views

Black Scholes vs Binomial Model

I'm trying to confirm my understanding of the 2 models. It is my understanding that the black-scholes is a special case of a binomial model with infinite steps. Does this mean that if I were to start ...
3
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2answers
264 views

Lower bound of ITM Calls when computing Implied Volatility

Assuming the Black Scholes model and pricing formula of a European call option. Then, if the call is ITM, i.e. if $ln(\frac{S}{K})>0$, the $d_1$-term will go towards infinity as $\sigma$ goes to ...
3
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1answer
3k views

Seagull option strategy - clear example

It looks like the subject of seagull option strategy is not as clearly explained as for other strategies (butterly, bull,bear spread). Thus, can someone provide a clear example of what you buy and ...
3
votes
1answer
336 views

options pricing using vwap

This is a question about why options prices do not take volume into account. The popular option valuation formula "black-scholes" certainly does not account for this and I don't suggest that it does. ...
3
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1answer
125 views

Option prices in Bates SVJ model?

In this [post] discussed the European put and call price formulas under the Heston Stochastic Volatility model. There exists an important extension of Heston model to include diffusion jumps, known ...
3
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2answers
107 views

Do futures follow physical or risk-neutral distributions

I've spent a while looking for an answer to this question and while I feel it is a simple question I have not found an answer. I know prices of option contracts follow an implied, risk-neutral ...
3
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1answer
102 views

Which volatility to use to price options on futures contract?

I have some questions regarding pricing futures options and I just want to be sure that my thoughts are correct. I am trying to price options on futures for american & european style. In the ...
3
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2answers
144 views

How do I calculate the probability of a stock being above or below a value using the Heston model?

How can I use the Heston Model to calculate the probability of a stock being above or below a certain value on a given date in the future?
3
votes
1answer
157 views

Data Selection for Empirical Pricing Kernel Estimation (Stochastic Discount Factor)

I want to estimate an empirical pricing kernel for an index. Hence, I need to estimate a physical and risk neutral density. For estimating the physical density, only the index data in an observed time ...
3
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1answer
326 views

SABR calibration: simple explanation and implementation

I would like to learn more about the SABR model and ho it is used in modeling smiles in equity, FX and rates markets. How would you explain the process and its implementation in simple steps? Any web ...
3
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2answers
186 views

Using Fourier Transforms for stock option pricing with stochastic interest rates

Can Fourier transforms be used to derive the joint probability density function of stochastic interest rates and stock price Brownian motions of call options under stochastic interest rates? So lets ...
3
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2answers
153 views

Effect of interest rate on options prices

This might be another basic derivatives question. When interest rate rises, stock prices generally fall. Assuming an option's underlying is a stock, this should lower the option's price as well. ...
3
votes
1answer
271 views

Can a long put trade be profitable through Vega even if the underlying moves upwards?

Generally speaking, I know when implied vol increases, option prices increase for calls. However, does the same occur for puts? If I am expecting implied volatility to increase for an option on an ...
3
votes
3answers
356 views

Basic question about Black Scholes derivation

In the derivation of the Black Scholes equation, the value of the portfolio at time $t$ is given by $$P_t = -D_t + \frac{{\partial D_t}}{{\partial S_t}}S_t $$ where $P_t$ is the value of the ...
3
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1answer
136 views

Do Bond Put Dates always fall on Coupon Dates (for non-zero coupon bonds). Calculation rules for Coupon Dates

This may not be the most appropriate SE site to ask this question, but I can't seem to find a better place to ask, so here goes: Do Puttable Bonds' put dates always fall on Coupon Dates? When they ...
3
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1answer
230 views

Eurodollar Options Stike Price > 100 bps

Looking at Eurodollar IR options market data coming down from CME, I can see a whole host of options where the strike is > 100 bps. My understanding in this case is that puts will always be in the ...
3
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1answer
289 views

Which approach is better for modeling option exercise strategies, rational or behavioral?

This question is most relevant to the evaluation of embedded options, such as the refinancing option granted to borrowers in the mortgage and bank loan markets, or the call option present in some ...
3
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1answer
362 views

European turbo warrants

Totally new to the world of quant finance, so perhaps this is an odd question... Does there exist an American equivalent to the German style "knock out zertifkate"? (The name might be slightly ...
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2answers
429 views

Hedgefund-like behavior for covered call selling account?

I make money selling covered calls on FX spot options, and some of my friends want to buy in to this without having to trade their own accounts. One method is for each of them to get an account, ...
3
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2answers
51 views

Implied volatility and nonconstant volatility

John Hull states in his text that "AS the maturity of the option is increases the percentage impact of nonconstant volatility on (option) prices becomes more pronounced, but its percentage impact on ...
3
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1answer
93 views

Why must a replicating portfolio be self-financing?

If I have a trading strategy such that at each time $t$ I own $\Delta_t$ units of stock $S_t$ and $\psi_t$ units of bond $B_t$, it is a replicating strategy for some claim with time $T \geq t$ payoff ...
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2answers
136 views

What is the use of options pricing formulas

This may seem like a dumb question, but if the EMH is generally true, wouldn't options already be correctly priced? Why do we need all these intricate formulas, unless we think the prices are wrong or ...
3
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2answers
129 views

Time-independent local volatility

Suppose somebody provides us with a surface of European call prices $C(\tau,K)$ where $\tau$ stands for time-to-maturity and $K$ for the strike. By Dupire's results, there is a unique local volatility ...
3
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1answer
138 views

Literature on Empirical Option Pricing

When I started combing through the literature I was astonished about how little the option pricing models are tested against market data and benchmarks are limited. The main barrier is of course ...
3
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1answer
200 views

How to synthesize a futures spread option?

Is it possible to synthesize a futures spread option using only the options on the spread's underlyings? If so, how? If not, is there another way? As an example, please show me how to synthesize ...
3
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1answer
153 views

Different Exercise Style Options on Same Underlying

Some equities on European markets have options traded in two different exercise styles: American and European. Examples: ABB and ABB (european) on Eurex Banco Santander on MEFF Consider ...
3
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1answer
280 views

how to define liquidity in equity, index, and etf options

i've heard several ways to put a metric on liquidity of options.. obviously liquidity isn't a constant.. things like the Bid/Asks spread, liquidity of the underlying.. Trying to find a way to ...
3
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1answer
468 views

Choice of epsilon for numerical calculation of vega in binomial option pricing model

I have a binomial option-pricing model (I don't think the details of how its implemented are relevant). However, when I go to calculate vega, I am essentially running the model a second time with new ...
3
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1answer
263 views

Value options when the currency’s risk free rate is negative?

How would you handle a negative interest rate in index/equity options valuation? An example would be negative rates for short term maturities for Swiss Frank (CHF).
3
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2answers
1k views

How to calculate COMPOSITE underlying implied volatility from ATM (near month) option prices?

I am trying to calculate the implied volatility of an underlying given observed prices of call and puts. There are two scenarios: The ATM strike is pinned by the market (i.e. underlying level == ...
3
votes
2answers
110 views

American vs European Options on equity index options

I have a question regarding the usage of European vs American Options. According to Professional Risk Mgr Handbook 2010, American-style options are used mostly on equities whereas European-style ...
3
votes
1answer
79 views

Numerical example of how to calculate local vol surface from IV surface

I'm looking for an excel example (not a copy of Dupire's eqn) of how to convert an IV surface to a local vol surface. If unsuccessful I'll work through Dupire's eqn but would be helpful to look at an ...
3
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1answer
107 views

Distribution of Black Scholes call option price at time 0<t <T

Does anyone know how to find the probability law (distribution) under P* of a Black Scholes Call Option price $C_t$ for $0 < t < T $? (Under P*, $ dC_t = \frac{\partial c}{\partial s}\sigma S_t ...
3
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1answer
190 views

Backtesting on historical option data

I have downloaded some daily historical option data for a timespan of 10 years and want to perform trading backtests with them. Data are European index options, on ODAX. My question is about realistic ...
3
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1answer
180 views

Valuation of Cox-Ross-Rubinstein Model

We have a Cox-Ross-Rubinstein model with parameters $u$ ("up"), $d$ ("down") , $r$ (interest rate) and $q$ (equivalent martingale probability) $(q=(1+r-d)(u-d)^{-1})$ . We have a contingent claim with ...
3
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2answers
1k views

Equity option portfolio greeks with underlying

I'm curious about how to construct the five basic greeks for an equity option portfolio when there are shares of the underlying in the portfolio. For example, a portfolio of 100 call options and 100 ...
3
votes
2answers
957 views

Pair Trading Index Options

Suppose the trade is between Index Options of two Indices X and Y which are quite similar (but not exactly). So for the equivalent strikes, one can quote option on Index X and cover in Index Y. But ...
3
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1answer
36 views

Boundary Condition for Convertible Bond under Two-factor Model Interest Rate

I want to find Boundary conditions for Convertible Bond under Two-factor Model Interest Rate.The portfolio contains stock where stochastic differential equation for the stock price is \begin{align} ...
3
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1answer
41 views

Why risk-free interest is needed for Margrabe's Formula?

The source code for Margarble's formula in QuantLib is here. The implementation requires a forward price be computed: ...
3
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0answers
97 views

Pre- Versus post-2008 Crisis Rates Modeling

Modeling for interest rate derivatives (such as bermudan swaptions) is said to have undergone significant changes since the crisis. Prior to the crisis, counterparty default risk was often ignored, ...
3
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0answers
61 views

Forecasting amount of slippage in executing option spreads

Is there a good quantitative model to estimate how much slippage is required to execute a particular option spread trade? For example, let's say you want to execute an Iron Condor. Given X, Y, Z ...
3
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0answers
230 views

Does Bakshi, Kapadia and Madan (2003) VIX building approach underestimate volatility?

From a paper that shortly addresses an alternative approach to VIX-like index building: To test this approach, I've built a fake book of B&S options with constant volatility equal to ...
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0answers
112 views

Estimating risk aversion (power or exponential utility) from options prices

I came across this literature and it seems like there are a number of ways people do this. You can do it for an option on any underlying as long as you can create the risk-neutral p.d.f. If you agree ...
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0answers
190 views

What is the longest number of consecutive days that options implied volatility has stayed “extremely high” for any particular underlying?

Curious as to whether or not there is any sort of all time record. Any index, future, or stock will do. Volatility must be well above the average 1 year volatility for all periods.