A contract that gives the owner the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell a security at a fixed price in the future.

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1k views

How do I calculate probability distribution of stock prices given option prices?

I'd like to calculate a probability distribution for prices given the option prices for that stock? Any ideas how to do this? My desire is to do this daily and then see how the price PD changes over ...
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2answers
848 views

Can we replicate a call option without borrowing and make it cheaper in this way?

I learned how to price a European call option using this video lecture. The considered case is very simple. The call option gives the right to buy 100 Euros for 100 Dollars in one month from now. The ...
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1answer
68 views

Black Scholes Formula, drift term

In the formula, the stock return is modelled as a brownian motion that is a drift + a stochastic term, ok I get that. But the drift term is then modelled as r - volatility ^ 2 / 2. I am not sure how ...
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2answers
354 views

SVCJ (SVJJ) Duffie et. al Model implementation in Matlab

I'm attempting to implement aforementioned SVCJ model by Duffie et al in MATLAB. so far without success. It's supposed to price vanilla (european) calls . parameters provided, the expected price is: ...
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1answer
85 views

How do I prove that $\lim_{K\searrow0}\frac{P(K,T)}{K} = \mathbb P(S_T=0)$?

I am trying to prove that $$\lim_{K\searrow0}\frac{P(K,T)}{K} = \mathbb P(S_T=0)$$ where $P(K,T)$ denotes the put option price with maturity $T$ and strike $K$ for some stock $S$. Assuming interest ...
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2answers
125 views

When can a derivative be considered to be path dependant?

The typical example of path dependant derivatives are knock-ins and knock-outs. At the same time vanilla American options can also be considered to be highly path dependant. Does a more or less ...
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2answers
185 views

Options with a stochastic strike

Do options where the strike itself is a stochastic process exist? If they do - what are the motivations for such a product and where is it used ? Example: Call-Option with stochastic strike: ...
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2answers
2k views

Delta Neutral / Gamma Neutral Positions

I've been trying to find out more about options positions which are both delta neutral and gamma neutral--created with some kind of calendar spread. Supposedly, such a trade will be perfectly hedged ...
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2answers
588 views

Index arbitrage with Options when not all underlyings have options listed?

One arbitrage strategy involves looking at the price of the Index Futures price compared with the prices of the options contracts for the underlyings. My question is, can this arbitrage strategy ...
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2answers
1k views

backtesting options strategies in R

I would like to backtest an options strategy in R. I require the ability to delta hedge and rebalance to options in the portfolio at different frequencies (daily, monthly,etc.) What packages are the ...
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1answer
138 views

Question on OptionMetrics: when are adjustments for discrete dividends needed?

Bakshi et. al. (1997) analyzes the empirical performance of some alternative option pricing models. I am interested to do this as well - hence applying different models - but I am unsure how to handle ...
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1answer
101 views

How literature come up with risk-neutrality problem, considering that market is not really risk-neutral?

I am searching on real-option pricing deficiencies to encounter risk-neutrality. As we know risk-neutrality assumption, is not hold in real situations. The problem is that I could not classified ...
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3answers
233 views

What noun is used to describe whether an option is call or put?

I'm not sure if this should be asked elsewhere, but it seems like a good place as any. Options have a strike price, they have an underlying instrument, and they have an expiry. They are also either ...
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1answer
208 views

Call option on a Mutual Fund

I am trying to price a call option on a mutual fund. Given the lack of market implied data, I am going to estimate the fund´s expected volatility using as a reference its historical volatility ...
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3answers
194 views

Why are short expiries associated with more pronounced volatility skews?

I've noticed that for a given strike price, the shorter expiration dates of options have more pronounced volatilities why is that?
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1answer
466 views

How to replicate this option?

I have a question I am not sure how to approach: Suppose interest rates is 50%, a stock worth \$1 today can be worth \$2, \$1, \$0.5 next year. If the option that pays \$1 only when S = \$2 is ...
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2answers
160 views

Time-zero price of two specific contingent claims

I am unsure how to start with the following problem. I have two contingent claims where contingent claim (1) pays $\int_0^T S_u du$ and contingent claim (2) pays $(\log S_T)^2$ at time $T$ Now I ...
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214 views

What is most reasonable approach to determine side of a multi-leg options order?

Say, 4-legged multi-leg options order with below leg ...
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2answers
353 views

Hedging credit risk using Put equity options

I am looking for some paper or similar which deal with this topic: hedging bankruptcy on firm's debt using Put options written on that firm's equity price. This should be based on the assumption that ...
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1answer
391 views

Calculating the probability of a price change using an options pricing formula

I don't know if I'm doing this right and I'd greatly appreciate help. I'm trying to use an option pricing formula to backout the likelihood of the Euro dropping below $1.27, even for a minute, at any ...
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1answer
221 views

Greeks and Option Premium

If a linear sum of options is constructed such that the premium payout is zero, then does it mean that resultant greeks of the cumulated options positions will be nearly zero. For simplicity, lets ...
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1answer
98 views

How to hedge a put under the Black-Scholes model?

To hedge a call, one would invest the option price proceeds into $\Delta_t*S_t + B_t = c_t$. (ok) However, a put has negative delta, so I would short $\Delta_t*S_t$ and invest ...
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1answer
66 views

Pricing digital options in discrete time

I am stuck in this exercise from my textbook: Consider a one-period market model with $N+1$ assets: a bond, a stock and $N-1$ call options. The prices of the bond are $B_0=1$ and $B_1 = 1+r$, ...
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2answers
101 views

Braess's paradox in quantitative finance: When optionality leads to lower value…?

One of the standard tenets of quantitative finance is that options should have an intrinsic value because optionality as such (in the sense of having more choices) should bring about value. This ...
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1answer
162 views

Some questions about implied volatilities and how to generate theoretical prices when market prices are not available

I am building a little Excel file that take some option prices in input and plots the volatility smile/surface. I have a script that reads market prices from the option chain for 3 different ...
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1answer
355 views

Effect of time to maturity on european put option

Let $C(K,T,S_0)$ denote the price of an European call option with strike K and maturity T on underlying price $S_0$. Assume interest rate $r>0$. Then of course $C(K,T,S_0) \geq 0$ and $C(K,T,S_0) ...
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1answer
111 views

Asymptotic behavior of theta of vanilla call option

It is well known that the theta of call option is always negative. Also, the theta of (at the money call option) goes to infinity as the time approaches to the maturity. On the other hands, (ITM and ...
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1answer
71 views

Exercise on American call option and dividends

Consider an americal Call option on an underlying paying dividends. Then it is often argued that it is only optimal to exercise right before the dividend is paid out, otherwise one will not exercise. ...
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1answer
449 views

How does Volatility Pairs Trading work?

I've read some material related to pairs trading for equities and I understand the process of finding non-stationary pairs price series that can be cointegrated to form a stationary series. The basic ...
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2answers
164 views

what is the actual point of vega on real option data

For a call option, we know that the vega is the derivative of the price wrt to the volatility. However the volatility, in that context, actually refers to the implied volatility of the specific call ...
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2answers
496 views

Black Scholes vs Binomial Model

I'm trying to confirm my understanding of the 2 models. It is my understanding that the black-scholes is a special case of a binomial model with infinite steps. Does this mean that if I were to start ...
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1answer
135 views

QuantLibXL - Optionlet bootstrapping failure

I am trying to bootstrap the Optionlet volatility surface from a Cap/Floor volatility surface using QuantLibXL. To be specific, the data is from ICAP: ...
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1answer
312 views

Implied probability density (Question 2 - Applications and Interpretation)

Using the second derivative of the Call-Option-Price one can try to recover the pricing density. Formally: Assuming a constant interst rate $r$ and also not making any assumptions on the model ...
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1answer
521 views

Aprox intraday implied volatility using intraday option prices and EOD greeks

I have two options datasets: EOD IV and Greeks Tick option and underlying prices I'm looking to calculate IV for each tick. Is there a way to approximate the ticks' IV using last EOD Greeks and ...
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1answer
134 views

Hedging differences between equity and index options?

Suppose we hedge an index option using futures on that index. How would the hedging strategy be different if the underlying could be traded directly (from a risk point of view)?
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1answer
151 views

OTC Equity Options' Dynamics

This only applies to options that do not have marketable equivalents since margin can be marked to them. I've never been able to find this on my goog. How is margin typically calculated for OTC ...
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2answers
1k views

How to calculate Vomma of Black Scholes model

This source (PDF) gives the closed-form for vomma (or volga, i.e. the second derivative of price w.r.t. volatility) of the Black Scholes option pricing model as: ...
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1answer
406 views

Is there any evidence that an option delta approximates ITM expiry probability?

Several sources (online and offline) that discuss the delta of a listed vanilla option, state that its delta is a (guesstimate?) of the probability of said option expiring ITM (in the BSM framework). ...
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2answers
462 views

Why don't options traders use charts? Or do they?

Retail trading platforms typically offer equity charts but only instantaneous quotes on options. It seems like even a few minutes of historical data would be useful when entering an order. Are charts ...
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1answer
773 views

What exactly is the annualized forward premium?

A forward contract has a premium of $ 0$ because it is an obligation to buy or sell something in the future (hence there is more risk). Call and put options, on the other hand, have premiums of $C$ ...
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1answer
42 views

Why can't you arb skew by buying options with low implied vol and selling high implied vol in the same month and dynamically hedging?

there's something I've been trying to understand for a while now and I just can't quite understand with regards to skew. In the same month, why can't you buy a option that have low implied vol on the ...
2
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1answer
61 views

Options on Volatility Control Index

I have two question. Does an option on volatility control index exist? If I google it, it seems like there is such an option, but I can't find the option on any of exchanges. So this is my first ...
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1answer
71 views

Using FX ATM/RR/BF Volatility to Estimate Smile

Suppose $S$ is some FX rate, EUR/USD say, and $\sigma_{S}(K,T)$ is the implied volatility for some option written on $S$, sourced from the surface $\sigma_{S}(\cdot,\cdot)$ (alternatively, consider ...
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1answer
61 views

Black Scholes Model and Dividends

My question can be summarised as such: Consider a portfolio. Say it has a price $\Pi = x$. Portfolio consists of a stock and a sequence of call options underlying on the stock. It has been announced ...
2
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1answer
54 views

Solving a Non-Linear PDE using a Finite Difference Scheme

I have the following non-linear PDE and I have no idea how to go about solving it using a finite difference scheme in Python. Can someone get me started and/or point me to an algorithm for doing this? ...
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2answers
208 views

How to break down an FX option P&L?

I am comparing the mark-to-market (MtM) valuations of two risk systems, with respect to FX Options. My question is can I quantify the difference in MtM given the following: System1 AUD/JPY, MTM = ...
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3answers
393 views

Any New Discoveries in Quantitative Finance?

It seems like the field has become stagnant in the decades following the enormously successful and influential Black Scholes model. (The original paper has been cited a staggering 25,000 times - more ...
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2answers
157 views

How to compute the VaR for European Call, using the delta-normal method?

I have a European call option with current stock price $S_0$, strike $K$, risk-free rate $r$, volatility $\sigma$, and time to maturity $T$ years. I assume that the stock price at time $t$, which is ...
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1answer
73 views

Binary option expression

Given r=0, σ(K)=const Binary=lim┬(ε→0)⁡〖((C(K,σ(K))-C(K+ε,σ(K+ε))))/ε〗 What is the analytical expression for the binary option value? σ(K)=const Therefore, Binary=lim┬(ε→0)⁡〖((C(K)-C(K+ε)))/ε〗 ...
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1answer
212 views

Does anyone have a C# implementation of the Barone Adesi Whaley options pricing model?

Thanks. Can't seem to find it through google. Worst case, if you can provide me the code in Java or C++ I can convert it to C#.