A contract that gives the owner the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell a security at a fixed price in the future.

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382 views

Calculating the probability of a price change using an options pricing formula

I don't know if I'm doing this right and I'd greatly appreciate help. I'm trying to use an option pricing formula to backout the likelihood of the Euro dropping below $1.27, even for a minute, at any ...
2
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1answer
215 views

Greeks and Option Premium

If a linear sum of options is constructed such that the premium payout is zero, then does it mean that resultant greeks of the cumulated options positions will be nearly zero. For simplicity, lets ...
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2answers
53 views

Braess's paradox in quantitative finance: When optionality leads to lower value…?

One of the standard tenets of quantitative finance is that options should have an intrinsic value because optionality as such (in the sense of having more choices) should bring about value. This ...
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147 views

Some questions about implied volatilities and how to generate theoretical prices when market prices are not available

I am building a little Excel file that take some option prices in input and plots the volatility smile/surface. I have a script that reads market prices from the option chain for 3 different ...
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1answer
199 views

Effect of time to maturity on european put option

Let $C(K,T,S_0)$ denote the price of an European call option with strike K and maturity T on underlying price $S_0$. Assume interest rate $r>0$. Then of course $C(K,T,S_0) \geq 0$ and $C(K,T,S_0) ...
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1answer
97 views

Asymptotic behavior of theta of vanilla call option

It is well known that the theta of call option is always negative. Also, the theta of (at the money call option) goes to infinity as the time approaches to the maturity. On the other hands, (ITM and ...
2
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1answer
60 views

Exercise on American call option and dividends

Consider an americal Call option on an underlying paying dividends. Then it is often argued that it is only optimal to exercise right before the dividend is paid out, otherwise one will not exercise. ...
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2answers
153 views

what is the actual point of vega on real option data

For a call option, we know that the vega is the derivative of the price wrt to the volatility. However the volatility, in that context, actually refers to the implied volatility of the specific call ...
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2answers
416 views

Black Scholes vs Binomial Model

I'm trying to confirm my understanding of the 2 models. It is my understanding that the black-scholes is a special case of a binomial model with infinite steps. Does this mean that if I were to start ...
2
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1answer
124 views

QuantLibXL - Optionlet bootstrapping failure

I am trying to bootstrap the Optionlet volatility surface from a Cap/Floor volatility surface using QuantLibXL. To be specific, the data is from ICAP: ...
2
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1answer
262 views

Implied probability density (Question 2 - Applications and Interpretation)

Using the second derivative of the Call-Option-Price one can try to recover the pricing density. Formally: Assuming a constant interst rate $r$ and also not making any assumptions on the model ...
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1answer
477 views

Aprox intraday implied volatility using intraday option prices and EOD greeks

I have two options datasets: EOD IV and Greeks Tick option and underlying prices I'm looking to calculate IV for each tick. Is there a way to approximate the ticks' IV using last EOD Greeks and ...
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130 views

Hedging differences between equity and index options?

Suppose we hedge an index option using futures on that index. How would the hedging strategy be different if the underlying could be traded directly (from a risk point of view)?
2
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148 views

OTC Equity Options' Dynamics

This only applies to options that do not have marketable equivalents since margin can be marked to them. I've never been able to find this on my goog. How is margin typically calculated for OTC ...
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2answers
1k views

How to calculate Vomma of Black Scholes model

This source (PDF) gives the closed-form for vomma (or volga, i.e. the second derivative of price w.r.t. volatility) of the Black Scholes option pricing model as: ...
2
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1answer
397 views

Is there any evidence that an option delta approximates ITM expiry probability?

Several sources (online and offline) that discuss the delta of a listed vanilla option, state that its delta is a (guesstimate?) of the probability of said option expiring ITM (in the BSM framework). ...
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2answers
454 views

Why don't options traders use charts? Or do they?

Retail trading platforms typically offer equity charts but only instantaneous quotes on options. It seems like even a few minutes of historical data would be useful when entering an order. Are charts ...
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1answer
734 views

What exactly is the annualized forward premium?

A forward contract has a premium of $ 0$ because it is an obligation to buy or sell something in the future (hence there is more risk). Call and put options, on the other hand, have premiums of $C$ ...
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3answers
388 views

Any New Discoveries in Quantitative Finance?

It seems like the field has become stagnant in the decades following the enormously successful and influential Black Scholes model. (The original paper has been cited a staggering 25,000 times - more ...
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2answers
125 views

How to compute the VaR for European Call, using the delta-normal method?

I have a European call option with current stock price $S_0$, strike $K$, risk-free rate $r$, volatility $\sigma$, and time to maturity $T$ years. I assume that the stock price at time $t$, which is ...
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1answer
194 views

Does anyone have a C# implementation of the Barone Adesi Whaley options pricing model?

Thanks. Can't seem to find it through google. Worst case, if you can provide me the code in Java or C++ I can convert it to C#.
2
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1answer
108 views

How would you price this kind of derivative?

I am somewhat familiar with options but am wondering how to price calls/puts on this one: European exercise "Jumps" in underlying may occur Takes physical delivery upon exercise (is this even ...
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2answers
231 views

Why do some stock options have expiration dates for a given month, while others don't?

Take two stocks, WWE and XPO, both traded on NYSE. Today, May 28, 2014, XPO has options expiring August 2014... ...while WWE doesn't: Why is that? From my experience, the missing expiration ...
2
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1answer
152 views

Valuation of Cox-Ross-Rubinstein Model

We have a Cox-Ross-Rubinstein model with parameters $u$ ("up"), $d$ ("down") , $r$ (interest rate) and $q$ (equivalent martingale probability) $(q=(1+r-d)(u-d)^{-1})$ . We have a contingent claim with ...
2
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1answer
583 views

IB API quotes and speed

The title says it all. I trade futures options exclusively and wanted to see if anyone had insight into the quote speedsrobustness coming into the API. I'm using the Excel DDE right now just building ...
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1answer
572 views

GARCH(1,1) prediction in R - Basic Questions

Background to question: Hi, I was trying to fit a GARCH(1,1) model to the variance of log returns of a series, and ARMA(0,0) for the mean. I was using the fGarch package to do this. The aim of the ...
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1answer
548 views

Monte Carlo Options Probability Calculation

I have a fairly simple problem for an application I am writing currently. How do you calculate the options probability of being in the money or touching a certain strike price. I know there are at ...
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2answers
204 views

How to synchronize put and call option-data?

I recently retrieved a large amount of European option data, for call and put prices, from OptionMetrics. Doing so for the same time period I get a file consisting of 62558 rows of call prices & ...
2
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1answer
804 views

How to calculate implied volatility and greeks in Bull Put Spread option strategy?

Ok, obviously I am buying lower strike put and selling higher strike put. What is the recommended volatility and greeks to consider in my trade? Volatility: Average volatility between both legs? ...
2
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1answer
224 views

In a covered call strategy, should I hold the call or sell/roll if the delta becomes too small?

I am tweaking a covered call algorithm. The short leg consists of out of the money call options. The goal is to collect the tim premium, but an equally favorable circumstance is when the call ...
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2answers
78 views

Calculating time value of an option

Can someone provide me with a robust way of calculating the future time value of an option or point in the direction? I have been reading a lot about the factors that affect it and about betas and ...
2
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2answers
105 views

Time-independent local volatility

Suppose somebody provides us with a surface of European call prices $C(\tau,K)$ where $\tau$ stands for time-to-maturity and $K$ for the strike. By Dupire's results, there is a unique local volatility ...
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91 views

Why is this delta-hedging/P&L example on a variance swap call correct?

I'm looking into this article about var swaps: http://sbossu.com/docs/VarSwaps.pdf and not sure how to correctly interpret Exhibit 2.1.1. "In this example an option trader sold a 1-year call ...
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1answer
86 views

Price an option whose strike price is always lower than the future price of the security

Suppose it is known that the price of a certain security after one period will be one of the $m$ values $s_1,\ldots,s_m$. What should be the cost of an option to purchase the security at time $1$ for ...
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0answers
167 views

What equation will convert implied yield volatility to implied price volatility?

I am trying to figure out how to turn implied yield volatility of a short-term interest rate into implied price volatility. Is there an equation to do this? I have come across the equation for a ...
2
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0answers
53 views

What is the main reasons to use Miltersen & Schartz (1998) model for commodity futures options

versus a standard Generalised Black and Scholes model (if there are any?) I have read the paper but I am not to sure about its practical implications as would people with more experience using this ...
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0answers
75 views

At-the-money Call Spread approximation

In a trading manual I got during a course, the value of the ATM Call-Spread is approximated by $CS_{ATM}=\frac{1}{2}StrD+(F-m)\times\Delta CS$ The lecturer skipped the part where he derived this ...
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0answers
121 views

Zakamouline Optimal Hedging of Options with Transaction Costs

I've read that the Zakamouline method suggests the best optimal hedging of options when taking transaction costs into account. I've read the article but am having difficulty understanding it well ...
2
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0answers
53 views

Forecasting amount of slippage in executing option spreads

Is there a good quantitative model to estimate how much slippage is required to execute a particular option spread trade? For example, let's say you want to execute an Iron Condor. Given X, Y, Z ...
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0answers
200 views

Does Bakshi, Kapadia and Madan (2003) VIX building approach underestimate volatility?

From a paper that shortly addresses an alternative approach to VIX-like index building: To test this approach, I've built a fake book of B&S options with constant volatility equal to ...
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0answers
52 views

How to interpret CME's specification regarding grains options expirations?

Looking at the contract specifications for Soybean Meal and Soybean Oil (same for Corn, Wheat, and other major stuff I checked) serial options on CME I see the following expiration rule: the last ...
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0answers
120 views

Pre-Trade Slippage Costs For Option Spread Execution

Is there a quant model that can help estimate how much slippage one would have to give up in order to get an "option spread" (vertical, butterflies, etc.) order executed? What factors should one look ...
2
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0answers
93 views

Option symbol conversion [closed]

Maybe more of a programming question, Is there a Ruby gem to facilitate conversion of an option symbol notation from one form to another? For example, one source provides TZA1220J18 but an API for ...
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0answers
79 views

Any thoughts on how Warren Buffet's B of A warrants might be “marked-to-market” by either counterparty?

It's not too long since Berkshire Hathaway got its 10-year warrants in Bank of America alongside its \$5 billion purchase of preferred stock. At the time I saw some discussion about the value of ...
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0answers
132 views

How to find the upper bound of a digital option given some market data?

Given the price of a call equals to 5 with Strike 100, please find the upper bound (sup) of the digital option with strike 105. I am not sure about the solution, but I write the condition like this, ...
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0answers
158 views

What is the highest frequency greek for options on futures on bonds?

I'm considering exchange traded options of futures on bonds. Options on bond futures are usually American, thus the Black model is out of question. Which is the most imporatant Greek with respect to ...
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0answers
199 views

Tian third moment-matching tree with smoothing - implementation

I was wondering if someone has an implementation of the Tian third moment-matching tree (http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1030143) with smoothing in code (e.g. c++, vba, c#, etc.)? ...
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292 views

Can you implement a condor options trading strategy in a spreadsheet? [closed]

Can you implement a condor options trading strategy in a spreadsheet? Could you give an example?
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787 views

Understanding the concept of Martingale pricing

I am a bit confused about how to formulate a problem where I have to price an option on a stock. Many papers say that stock prices are best modeled using a geometric Brownian motion (GBM), and I ...
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3answers
164 views

What is the name of this product?

Consider the payoff =$S_T1_{S_T>K}$ where $S_T$ is the asset price at maturity. What is this type derivative called? and is it a liquid option?