A contract that gives the owner the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell a security at a fixed price in the future.

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456 views

Gamma Imbalance Explanation

Can someone please give me an explanation as to what put-call gamma imbalance specifically refers to (imbalance of what?), and why they may exacerbate volatility from a market perspective, and why the ...
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1answer
61 views
2
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3answers
218 views

Why can't you arb skew by buying options with low implied vol and selling high implied vol in the same month and dynamically hedging?

there's something I've been trying to understand for a while now and I just can't quite understand with regards to skew. In the same month, why can't you buy a option that have low implied vol on the ...
2
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1answer
200 views

Feynman Kac Formula for path-dependent options

Consier geometric Brownian motion: $dS_t/S_t=\mu dt+\sigma dW_t$ Feynman Kac theorem tells us that the conditional expectation $v(t,x)=E[ e^{-rT}\Psi(S_T) | S_t=x]$ can be computed by solving the ...
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1answer
125 views

VIX Calculation - weighting of strikes

The formula for calculating the VIX from SPX options is given on page 4 of this document: https://www.cboe.com/micro/vix/vixwhite.pdf My question is, why is the option price at each strike weighted ...
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1answer
58 views

Interpretation of vega out of BS formula

I am comparing Monte Carlo estimates of VaR (using importance sampling) under both the normal and student distributions. I am also considering risk factors other than log-prices; in particular, ...
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1answer
84 views

What exotic options are exchange-traded?

There are a number of exchanges that trade vanilla Call/Put American/European options on various underlyings (equities, indices, futures). There have been some trading in digital options on certain ...
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1answer
312 views

Why is this delta-hedging/P&L example on a variance swap call correct?

I'm looking into this article about var swaps: http://sbossu.com/docs/VarSwaps.pdf and not sure how to correctly interpret Exhibit 2.1.1. "In this example an option trader sold a 1-year call ...
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3answers
4k views

Papers about backtesting option trading strategies

I am looking for all kinds of research concerning option trading strategies. With that I mean papers that publish results on different option trading strategies properly backtested with real-world ...
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1answer
76 views

Citable source: Why implied volatility over dollar prices

I am aware of the reasoning of quoting vanilla options as implied volatilities rather than dollar values. However, I would like to have a literature reference where this is explained, to quote / cite ...
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0answers
49 views

Risks Associated with Option Arbitrage Portfolio

If my math is correct, if I construct the following portfolio of options the worst that I can do regardless of what the underlying does is profit $1.74 (less commissions). Is this correct? Are there ...
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1answer
102 views

Option writing optimal sell time

When selling options, e.g. a straddle I read often the optimal time for selling options is 30-40 days until expiration. For me intuitively the optimal time would be around one week until expiration ...
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1answer
20 views

Where do Over-allotment (Greenshoe) option shares come from?

I'm just wondering, if following an IPO the share price goes up and the underwriter calls the option, where do those extra 15% shares come from? Does the company have to issue more stock to cover the ...
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3answers
102 views

Is it realistic to assume that the current price of a stock takes into account the probability of it going up or down in the future?

I'm currently reading the following lecture notes: http://www1.maths.leeds.ac.uk/~jitse/math2515/lecture04.pdf On the second page, under the subsection titled "The Risk-Neutral World" it points out ...
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6answers
14k views

How to calculate stock move probability based on option implied volatility and time to expiration? (Monte Carlo simulation)

I am looking for one line formula ideally in Excel to calculate stock move probability based on option implied volatility and time to expiration? I have already found a few complex samples which took ...
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2answers
142 views

Linear combination of geometric Brownian motion

Let $X_t= e^{\left(\mu-\sigma^2/2 \right)t+\sigma W_t}$ be a geometric Brownian motion with drift $\mu$ and volatility $\sigma$. I am trying to find an analytical solution to $$\mathbb{E}\left[ \max(...
3
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1answer
495 views

Option prices in Bates SVJ model?

In this [post] discussed the European put and call price formulas under the Heston Stochastic Volatility model. There exists an important extension of Heston model to include diffusion jumps, known ...
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2answers
151 views

How do I calculate the probability of a stock being above or below a value using the Heston model?

How can I use the Heston Model to calculate the probability of a stock being above or below a certain value on a given date in the future?
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1answer
720 views

Need historical prices of EUREX American and European style options

I am trying to get the historical price data on selected American and European style options at EUREX. I am not familiar with their system. Does any one know whether they have something like yahoo ...
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1answer
230 views

US options market/microstruture research

Can someone point out where to find up to date market/microstruture research in the options market?
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2answers
154 views

American vs European Options on equity index options

I have a question regarding the usage of European vs American Options. According to Professional Risk Mgr Handbook 2010, American-style options are used mostly on equities whereas European-style ...
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7answers
844 views

What is the fair price of this option?

Without having to use Black-Scholes, how do I price this option using a basic no-arbitrage argument? Question Assume zero interest rate and a stock with current price at \$$1$ that pays no dividend. ...
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0answers
159 views

negative probabilities in the bivariate tree heston model

I am trying to implement the bivariate tree approach for the Heston model by Beliaeva and Nawalkha. I currently have the problem that given the specifications in their examples, I always obtain ...
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2answers
6k views

How to replicate a digital call option

Call Option S=100 K=100 Payoff=1 (option is not available) How can i replicate this (payoff) with calls and puts with strike prices with multiples of 5$ Thanks for help
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223 views

how we can derive $PIDE$ of double exponential Jump-diffusion model (we know as kou model)?

I'm working in double exponential Jump-diffusion model (we know as kou model) with following form , under the physical probability measure $P$: \begin{equation} ‎\frac{dS(t)}{S(t-)}=\mu‎‏ ‎dt+\sigma ‎...
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4answers
180 views

analytic formula for the value of an American put option

It seems to be a foolish question but I can't take my mind off from , Is it true that there is no analytic formula for the value of an American put option on a non-dividend-paying stock (or a divident ...
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0answers
50 views

What's the risk-neutral expectation of the arithmetic average of stock price?

All Black-Scholes assumptions apply ($y$ is yield): what's $E(A_T), E(A_T^2)$ and $Var(A_T)$ where $A_T=\frac{\int_0^T S_tdt}{T}$ is the continuous-sampling arithmetic average of the stock price $S_t$?...
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2answers
172 views

Exercise on American call option and dividends

Consider an americal Call option on an underlying paying dividends. Then it is often argued that it is only optimal to exercise right before the dividend is paid out, otherwise one will not exercise. ...
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0answers
136 views

Simulation of Heston process

I am currently working on implementing Heston model in matlab for option pricing (in this case I am trying to price a European call) and I wanted to compare the results I obtain from using the exact ...
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0answers
14 views

negative yield (interest rate) and Option Pricing [duplicate]

If i have negative yield (interest rate) can I still proceed with Standard Black and Scholes or Simple Binomial Model? any Adjustment is required to the model? how does it effect the pricing model in ...
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1answer
73 views

Calculate put price with Black-Scholes and one discrete dividend

I try to solve this exercise: a) Calclculate the price of a 3-month European put option on a non-dividend-paying stock with a strike price of 45 when the current stock price is 40, the risk-free ...
5
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2answers
137 views

Do futures follow physical or risk-neutral distributions

I've spent a while looking for an answer to this question and while I feel it is a simple question I have not found an answer. I know prices of option contracts follow an implied, risk-neutral ...
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2answers
1k views

Is there a popular curve fitting formula of options skew vs strike price or vs Delta?

I was trying to build a options trading/optimization system. But it often gets more inaccurate as it scans through the far from ATM options because, you know, options skews. That is because I did ...
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2answers
90 views

Implied volatility and nonconstant volatility

John Hull states in his text that "AS the maturity of the option is increases the percentage impact of nonconstant volatility on (option) prices becomes more pronounced, but its percentage impact on ...
5
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1answer
249 views

Closed form solution of PDE of Option Price

Let $V=V(S_t,t)$ be the option price and \begin{align} V_t+\mu\,S\,V_S+\frac{1}{2}\sigma^2\,S^2\,V_{SS}=0\\ V(S_T,T)=\ln (S_T)^{2}. \end{align} My question: How can I obtain a closed form solution of ...
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1answer
106 views

Transaction costs on option trades

It looks like the commissions alone for a non-index option trade is around 2-5%. For example, a BAC June ATM Call is currently trading at \$0.20; Interactive Brokers charges $0.7 per contract, which ...
3
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1answer
73 views

Boundary Condition for Convertible Bond under Two-factor Model Interest Rate

I want to find Boundary conditions for Convertible Bond under Two-factor Model Interest Rate.The portfolio contains stock where stochastic differential equation for the stock price is \begin{align} ...
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2answers
204 views

asian option – exotic option – real data, authentic examples?

I would be pleased if any of You can give me the real example of an asian option (or other exotic option) that is being traded or that is offered by some institution. I have been searching the whole ...
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2answers
651 views

good R package for vectorized option pricing

I am using for now the package fOptions but it doesn't allow for vectorized computation of black76 prices and delta. Which package can be used to do that? As noted ...
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1answer
60 views

Why risk-free interest is needed for Margrabe's Formula?

The source code for Margarble's formula in QuantLib is here. The implementation requires a forward price be computed: ...
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2answers
8k views

How to derive the implied probability distribution from B-S volatilities?

The general problem I have is visualization of the implied distribution of returns of a currency pair. I usually use QQplots for historical returns, so for example versus the normal distribution: ...
3
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1answer
232 views

Numerical example of how to calculate local vol surface from IV surface

I'm looking for an excel example (not a copy of Dupire's eqn) of how to convert an IV surface to a local vol surface. If unsuccessful I'll work through Dupire's eqn but would be helpful to look at an ...
3
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1answer
114 views

Boundary conditions of PDE from SV model with stochastic interest rate

The PDE for the American put option price $P(S,\sigma ,r,t)$ is \begin{align*} 0 =& P_t+P_SS(r-\delta)+P_\sigma a(\sigma)+P_r\alpha (r,t) \\ +& \frac{1}{2}P_{SS}S^2\sigma ^2 + \frac{1}{2}...
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1answer
85 views

Local volatility parametrization using the spot

Is it possible to estimate the local volatility using the spot price S at time t instead of the strike price K and the expiry date T ? Any help would be appreciated.
3
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2answers
105 views

Hedging portfolio and extraction PDE of SV model with stochastic interest rate

How can I extraction this PDE \begin{align*} 0 =& P_t+P_SS(r-\delta)+P_\sigma a(\sigma)+P_r\alpha (r,t) \\ +& \frac{1}{2}P_{SS}S^2\sigma ^2 + \frac{1}{2}P_{\sigma \sigma}b^2(\sigma)+\frac{...
4
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1answer
140 views

Options on Volatility Control Index

I have two question. Does an option on volatility control index exist? If I google it, it seems like there is such an option, but I can't find the option on any of exchanges. So this is my first ...
2
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2answers
563 views

How to break down an FX option P&L?

I am comparing the mark-to-market (MtM) valuations of two risk systems, with respect to FX Options. My question is can I quantify the difference in MtM given the following: System1 AUD/JPY, MTM = ...
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0answers
98 views

Price of an American call option [closed]

I'm working through revision questions at the moment and we are asked to compute the price of an American call option. Suppose that $dS_t = \sigma S_t dW^*_t, S_0 >0$ Let $0<U<T$ be fixed ...
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1answer
130 views

How to hedge a put under the Black-Scholes model?

To hedge a call, one would invest the option price proceeds into $\Delta_t*S_t + B_t = c_t$. (ok) However, a put has negative delta, so I would short $\Delta_t*S_t$ and invest $p_t+\Delta_t*S_t>...