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2
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1answer
207 views

Predicting stock returns - in a panel data specification or by using portfolio formation strategies?

I'm working on an empirical analysis where I try to predict stock returns using weekly data. Ideally, I would like to use a panel data model like the following: $$ ...
2
votes
1answer
120 views

Is the volatility of a trader's wealth equal to the volatility of the underlying assets traded?

Assume that a trader trades in several stocks with different volatilities. The return of the trader's portfolio would be the weighted average of returns and the risk would be a function of the the ...
2
votes
1answer
826 views

Using alpha to evaluate trading strategy

I have a trading strategy that generates returns $R_{t}$. I want to test the strategy by looking at the alpha: $R_t - R_{f,t} = \alpha + \beta (R_{m,t} - R_{f,t}) + e_t$ I compare my alpha against ...
2
votes
0answers
58 views

Liquidity Adjusted Asset Pricing Model

I have a data set with 4000 companies and I have calculated a liquidity measure of each of the company in the dataset as Where, Turnover is the monthly average ratio of daily volume to shares ...
2
votes
0answers
46 views

Behaviour of out of sample efficient frontier

I am comparing the efficient frontier of a set of portfolios that are in and out of sample. The first period is from 1991-01-03 until 1992-10-03 and the second one from 1992-10-03 until 1994-03-03. I ...
2
votes
0answers
38 views

How to calculate the estimation error of portfolio variance using propagation results?

I am trying to find a conservative approximation for the propagated estimation error of a investment portfolio's variance (comprising two assets), given we know the estimation error for the variance ...
2
votes
0answers
72 views

Ledoit-Wolf portfolio weights calculation

I am trying to implement the Ledoit-Wolf minimum variance portfolio strategy on a real-world stock dataset. ...
2
votes
1answer
113 views

Completeness and Hedging Question

A question in some private notes I'm struggling to work through (exam. prep.). (iii) is where I hit a wall with my understanding & I'm lost thereafter. Any help/clarification gratefully received. ...
2
votes
0answers
30 views

Budget Constraint in Duffie's book

On Page 5 of Duffie's Dynamic Asset Pricing Theory, the budget-feasible set is defined as: $$X(q,e) = {e+D^T\theta \in R_+^s:\theta \in R^N, q\theta \leq 0}$$ Compared to Kerry Back's presentation of ...
2
votes
0answers
39 views

Portfolio optimised for diversification and regular yield. How to hedge?

Here is a portfolio optimisation for equity dividend and yield designed to diversify holdings and produce regular monthly returns using only ETFs complete with R code. ...
2
votes
0answers
49 views

Sharpe Ratio for loans

I am trying to calculate the sharpe ratio for a set of loans. These loans have already matured and I know if they were good or not: grades are the different grades of the loans. interest rate is the ...
2
votes
0answers
167 views

What happened to Mountain View Analytics?

I stumbled over Thomas Cover's work on algorithmic portfolio selection; apparently, an outfit called "Mountain View Analytics" attempted to implement the suggestions from Cover's research. ...
2
votes
1answer
116 views

Why does my posterior mean differs from Idzorek's results?

I have implemented two different expressions (Idzorek p.6, Walters p.51) of a posterior mean return calculation within a Black-Litterman framework. My results are the same, irrespective of the ...
2
votes
0answers
84 views

Portfolio insurance with a coherent risk measure (CVaR)

I would like to analysis of portfolio insurance under a coherent risk-measure method (CVaR), How can I achieve that? Is there a way to turn the problem into a linear programming problem? or to ...
2
votes
0answers
731 views

How to correctly construct a value- and equally weighted portfolio consisting of property-types?

A problem of which I couldn’t find the answer on the forum is about the construction of equally-weighted and value-weighted portfolio. I want to compute the equally-weighted property-type portfolio ...
2
votes
0answers
131 views

Calculating stock weight for SEC13F filers

I am trying to evaluate weight of stocks in portfolio for an investor. For this purpose I use SEC13F filings for particular quarters and historical prices from Yahoo. There are stocks in portfolio ...
1
vote
1answer
66 views

Portfolio construction

Suppose I have 3 stocks. Their historical returns and some variables like RSI, ATR, EMAs for all 3 of them. The goal is to compute the weights each stock should have in a portfolio. If I do something ...
1
vote
1answer
50 views

optimization with absolute constraints

Suppose I have an optimization where I need to impose ADV-like constraint (for a case where Shorting is allowed): $\max \mu'w - \lambda w'\Sigma w$ $ |w| \le V $ $ Aw = 0$ and I want to use a ...
1
vote
2answers
103 views

Calculate alpha (CAPM) in “cross country-portfolio”

Assume I wanted to compute the alpha (in CAPM sense, i.e. $r_i - r_f = \alpha_i + \beta_i(r_m - r_f) + \epsilon_i$) of a stock. So I take, say, monthly returns of a stock $i$ for 1 year. Subtract the ...
1
vote
1answer
570 views

Given a correlation martrix, calculate portfolio's correlation with its assets

Find correlation vector like $[ d e f ]$ where d, e and f represent correlation of P(portfolio) with its assets A, B and C respectively. The assets A, B, C can be another portfolio. In order for ...
1
vote
2answers
154 views

Statistics of difference between two GBMs

if I have two asset prices modeled separately as geometric brownian motions. How do i go about calculating the expected statistics of their difference? Like given the sigmas and mus of both processes, ...
1
vote
1answer
196 views

Calculate CVaR for a portfolio

I would like to calculate the Conditional Value at Risk for a portfolio. To be honest, I'm trying for a few days to find an example to calculate for an entire portfolio, not just for one security and ...
1
vote
1answer
97 views

Risk minimization by investing in all assets with positive expected return

Suppose I have an amount $T$ to invest and $N$ available assets. The stochastic return per invested unit of asset $i$ is $R_i$. The variance and the expectation of $R_i$ are $\sigma^2_i$ and ...
1
vote
2answers
279 views

Risk management of options

Your client would like to buy a digital call option. the digital call option pays the buyer in one years time (i.e at maturity ) N=1m SGD, if the SGD USD spot rate at maturity is above a prescribed ...
1
vote
1answer
191 views

Portfolio Management in R

I’ve been looking around for a R-package that will allow me to track my stock portfolio - basically I would like to enter stocks that I own, track the trades I make, calculate my open position & ...
1
vote
1answer
55 views

Rebucketing Risk using PCA/other methods

was working on a project and could use some help. New to the community and looking fwd to being an active part of it. My question is, let's say we have a vector of securities V, and it trades with ...
1
vote
3answers
98 views

What's the disadvantage of using linear programming for portfolio optimization?

I am a MFE student and we have project on the Markowitz portfolio optimization problem. i am wondering how much impact there will be, if I use a simpler linear optimizater instead of a quadratic ...
1
vote
1answer
71 views

FX Portfolio Volatility Targeting

If I have 3 different currency trades (ex short EURSEK, short NZDUSD, long USDJPY), how do I size each trade if I wish to allocate risk equally in order to target a 12% portfolio volatility (allowing ...
1
vote
1answer
42 views

Portfolio Selection formulation

I was just wondering why in http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1601412 on page 22, the constraint (48) is a strict equality for the minimum variance formulation. Whereas in a different ...
1
vote
1answer
49 views

Desperate for help with simple derivative

Can someone help explain how differentiating the following with respect to $x$: $$ \frac{1}{2} \alpha \mathbf{x}^T \Sigma \mathbf{x} + (\mathbf{\mu} - R\mathbf{1})\mathbf{x} $$ Yields the following: ...
1
vote
2answers
54 views

Distribution of the value of a portfolio

Suppose there are k different stocks in a stock market. All of their prices are independent from each other. One year from now the price of the i-th stock will be $X_i^2$, where $X_i \sim ...
1
vote
1answer
59 views

What do “Exposure Bounds” mean in Portfolio Optimization?

I've just started reading up on Portfolio Optimization models and have come across the use of exposure bounds to mitigate the sensitivity of the optimized model solution, owing to parameter estimation ...
1
vote
1answer
143 views

Arbitrage Strategy Proof in Bjork

In Tomas Bjork's Arbitrage Theory in Continuous Time (or here), $\exists$ this proposition Proposition 2.9 Suppose that a claim X is reachable with replicating portfolio h. Then any price at t=0 of ...
1
vote
3answers
153 views

Greeks of self-financing portfolio

I would like to learn more about the Greeks of portfolios of options: In textbooks and websites, I commonly encounter the unqualified claim that "The Greek measure of a portfolio is the sum of the ...
1
vote
1answer
520 views

derivation of formula for portfolio skewness and kurtosis

Where can I find derivation of formula for portfolio skewness and kurtosis? I can find formulas everywhere, but not their derivations? For example, the portfolio variance formula is well known and I ...
1
vote
1answer
37 views

Calculating Portfolio Returns Across Sectors

I have a table of asset (mutual fund) returns and the percentage that each asset is in a particular stock sector: ...
1
vote
0answers
84 views

Determining the investment strategy

I have the following problem: Consider the 5 year investment strategy and given the yearly portfolio returns $S_{t+1}/S_t$ and dividends $D_{t+1}$ paid at $t+1$ which are modeled as: ...
1
vote
0answers
47 views

How to build a bond model portfolio (Invested in Emerging markets) [closed]

I have to build a model portfolio from the data of a portfolio composed of bonds from Emerging Markets accounted in $ (So exclusively corporate bonds from emerging markets). Do you have any ...
1
vote
1answer
56 views

Monte Carlo VaR assuming logistic distribution

I have a Monte Carlo model which measures the Value at Risk (VaR) for given portfolio. I use the geometric brownian motion to model the prices. But let's say I assumed the returns of prices follow the ...
1
vote
0answers
26 views

Can anyone suggest book about fixed-income portfolio management? [closed]

Can anyone suggest books about fixed-income portfolio management? Thx
1
vote
0answers
20 views

How to understand stock return comovement

In his book "Asset Pricing" chapter 20, Cochrane said For example, suppose that average returns were higher for stocks whose ticker symbols start later in the alphabet. (Maybe investors search ...
1
vote
0answers
75 views

bandwith portfolio rebalancing in python

I want to calculate a bandwith rebalancing machanism for a portfolio of two assets. As soon as the performance of one ov the assets gets bigger or smaller than the other one + a defined tolerance ...
1
vote
0answers
49 views

Investing in all assets with positive expected return and allowing for positive correlation

How does the answer to this question Risk minimization by investing in all assets with positive expected return change if assets can be positively correlated (but not perfectly) and short sales are ...
1
vote
0answers
169 views

Tangent portfolio weights without short sales?

Consider a mean-variance investor in a world with a risk-free asset. Let $R_f>0$ be the return of the risk-free asset, $\mathbb{E}(R_i)>R_f$ the expected return of the risky asset $i$ and ...
1
vote
1answer
46 views

In theory historical performance of a portfolio

I am looking at the quantitative model our team is using for analyzing the performance of a portfolio of stocks. However I don't understand what the model is trying to achieve. The model is supposed ...
1
vote
1answer
114 views

Combine together different strategies in one portfolio [closed]

Hi I have generate equity of my strategies which invest in commodities and currencies at daily interval. What the best method to combine together all strategies in one portfolio? I want to make the ...
1
vote
0answers
56 views

how to find CVaR/AVaR for triangular fuzzy no

While going through different methods of risk measure i came across AVaR/CVaR, while i was calculating AVaR/CVaR in credibilistic environment using VaR, i got stuck in the calculations eg. For ...
1
vote
1answer
177 views

Resampled efficient frontier length of simulation

I was provided with a VBA program from my lecturer that applies the resampled efficient frontier. We have an investment horizon $T$ (6 years) and he uses a multivariate normal distribution with ...
0
votes
3answers
114 views
0
votes
1answer
399 views

Portfolio optimzation : efficient frontier with respect to risk aversion parameter with R

I am currently trying to write a little script in R to determine the optimal weights given a fixed risk aversion parameter. The problem I have is that by increasing the risk aversion parameter I think ...