The tag has no usage guidance.

learn more… | top users | synonyms

4
votes
0answers
490 views

Algorithms for predicting a couple points in the future

I'm familiar with supervised learning algorithms like regression and neural networks which look at a bunch of input points and learn a function which outputs a value (the value varying depending on ...
2
votes
0answers
180 views

Good criteria to sort state-space $\beta_{t}$ according to Kalman filter output

Let the usual state-space linear model (without constant term for the sake of simplicity): $y_{t}=\beta_{t} X_{t}+\epsilon_{t}$ If we use Gaussian Kalman filter to estimate $\beta_{t}$ we get ...
1
vote
0answers
72 views

How to choose a window for curve fitting and prediction?

I am using Pareto distribution to fit a serie of survival rates (with least square). My ultimate goal is to use this fitting curve for prediction. Thus I would mainly focus on the tail of the ...
1
vote
0answers
467 views

Oscillatory time-series forecasting

I was wondering if this mean(160)-reverting/oscillatory time series "SUM" can be considered chaotic & forecastable to some extend short-term? ...
0
votes
0answers
94 views

predict next day's close price using hmm

I am reading this paper(Stock market forecasting using hidden Markov model: a new approach) and get confused about how they predict the next day's close price. Below is what the authors say about how ...
0
votes
0answers
14 views

Modeling EOD ETFs price returns together or individually?

Let's say you want to model the next day price returns for a set of US equities large cap ETFs (a relatively homogenous group). Would you model all the ETFs as a single, 15 years data set, or each ETF ...
0
votes
0answers
78 views

Estimating the next tick movement in Chinese markets

I'm working on high frequency trading in the Chinese Futures market and I've been having a bit of trouble with getting orders to go through due to the lack of liquidity and large fluctuations. To ...
0
votes
0answers
69 views

How to display stock prediction results?

I'm not sure if this is a question for "Quantitative Finance" or "Personal Finance & Money" so forgive me if this one is irrelevant for this site. The Situation So I wrote a program (in vb.net ...