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11
votes
8answers
3k views

Has spectrum analysis ever been used successfully to analyse historical price data?

Spectrum analysis is often used to analyse waveforms. A common configuration, for example, is to create a graph where X is time, Y is frequency, and the brightness of each position represents ...
9
votes
2answers
366 views

local price return and volume relationship

I wanted to see how the stock price and volume relationship is locally. So I tried ranking both the daily return (at day t) and volume (at day t) base on a 30 day rolling window with historical daily ...
6
votes
4answers
1k views

Threshold calculation for buying a mean-reverting asset

I am trying to figure-out an optimal policy for buying a unit when its price follows a mean-reverting price process (Ornstein–Uhlenbeck), when I have a finite time deadline for buying the unit. I ...
3
votes
2answers
166 views

How to simulate one-minute bars data from one-day bars?

I need to generate one-minute bars out of one-day bars to test the performance of an algorithm (speed, memory usage, etc). I don't need them to resemble real data, but they should be consistent with ...
2
votes
2answers
139 views

Normalizing SPY ETF time series data with its sector ETFs?

I am looking to compare the returns of a sector rotation strategy between the various SPDR sector ETFs XLY, XLP, XLE, XLF, XLV, XLI, XLB, XLK, XLU vs. ...
2
votes
3answers
83 views

Commodity market. Why would actual sellers / buyers bother about speculative price?

Investopedia says: The following are two types of futures traders: hedgers speculators An example of a hedger would be an airline buying oil futures to guard against potential ...
2
votes
1answer
95 views

Quick way to extrapolate call price as function of strike

Let's say I know the price of a call for two different values of strike. Is there a quick way to guess the price for another value of strike ? Actually, I know that C(100)=15 and C(90)=20 and I have ...
2
votes
2answers
138 views

How current prices is formulated in markets?

I can't understand how immediate prices are formulated in stock & currency (Forex) markets. I have been informed that every tick means one new deal that closed in current price, but this can't be ...
2
votes
1answer
283 views

In Yahoo! Finance, what determines the number of decimals for a stock/index quote?

In Yahoo! Finance, we see the following quotes among others: ...
2
votes
1answer
75 views

How to distinguish trending/consolidating market conditions programatically?

Can someone please suggest me a method to programatically identify trending/consolidating market condition by reading ohlc data? Currently I'm thinking of checking the current price within last n ...
2
votes
0answers
73 views

Why do leveraged and inverse leveraged WTI ETNs have this price relationship?

UWTI: 3x leveraged exposure to WTI DWTI: 3x leveraged inverse exposure to WTI The inverse relationship between these two symbols seems to trend toward the origin on a log-log plot (using log base ...
2
votes
0answers
99 views

Finding relative price strength as defined in CANSLIM stock picking methodology

I am wondering if there is any website that provides relative price strength as is defined in CAN SLIM stock picking methodology. For the CAN SLIM difinition I am looking at this article: ...
2
votes
0answers
131 views

Calculating stock weight for SEC13F filers

I am trying to evaluate weight of stocks in portfolio for an investor. For this purpose I use SEC13F filings for particular quarters and historical prices from Yahoo. There are stocks in portfolio ...
1
vote
2answers
103 views

Art market specificities

I am looking for some reference on the art market in light of quantitative finance. I am interested in some things: The market in general, how is it compared to financial market ? What about common ...
1
vote
2answers
96 views

Why is volume a totally independent variable from price?

In Martin Pring's book "Technical analysis explained", when talking about volume, he asserts that it is "a totally independent variable from price" Why is this?
1
vote
1answer
1k views

Probability of stock closing over a certain price

A stock has beta of 2.0 and stock specific daily volatility of 0.02. Suppose that yesterday's closing price was 100 and today the market goes up by 1%. What's the probability of today's closing price ...
1
vote
1answer
233 views

Why most of apple stock price since 10years have been gained overnight?

I've been playing with stock data and I've discovered a terrible truth : in 10 years apple stock price passed from roughly 3\$ to 100$. However this gain isn't due to intraday price variation ...
1
vote
2answers
58 views

Correlation: Use Price or Return? Return doesn't make sense [closed]

I am trying to find the correlation between the returns of two indices over a long period of time (10 years+) . Should I be using the index daily price level or the index daily total return? Most ...
1
vote
3answers
133 views

What is the difference between market equilibrium and market efficiency? equilibrium implies efficiency?

The market efficiency hypothesis means securities are traded at their fair price. If the market is at the equilibrium, does it mean the market is efficiency? If equilibrium cannot implies ...
1
vote
1answer
62 views

Strategies to merge bid, offer and trade price time series into a single price time series?

I'm doing intraday analysis on low volume stocks. There are just a few trades every day, but a whole host of bids and offers. In order to reduce the sparsity of the time series data I'd like to ...
1
vote
1answer
157 views

Proving there exists no arbitrage opportunities given 3 states and 2 assets

Assume there are 3 states of the world: w1, w2, and w3. Assume there are two assets: a risk-free asset returning Rf in each state, and a risky asset with Return R1 in state w1, R2 in state w2, and R3 ...
1
vote
1answer
56 views

Share price of Precision Imaging Corporation of America on March 13, 1991

Where can I find the share price of Precision Imaging Corporation of America, Inc. on March 13, 1991? I realize the company no longer exists and the shares are now worthless but I would like to know ...
1
vote
0answers
26 views

Finding metal price data from LME

Does anyone know any sites that allows you to download free historical monthly metal (copper and aluminium) price data, the best would be LME data. I need historical spot prices, inventory, ...
1
vote
0answers
14 views

Which rate have to be considered by using multiliteral netting?

I do have a netting structure consisting of four companies (A,B,C,D) and a netting center. The center also takes place in the netting process. The netting center uses the EUR as currency. Company A ...
1
vote
0answers
46 views

simple game - fair value

Suppose a person A has the following game: there are 2 red balls, 2 green balls and 1 white ball in a bag you take 1 ball (don't put it again in the bag) and then a second ball if you take the white ...
1
vote
0answers
41 views

What is the minimum price change required for a trading position increase of 1?

Suppose I have a trading system that calculates the daily risk adjusted position from the annualized risk, that is, the standard deviation of the returns of a stock over an arbitrary period of time. I ...
1
vote
0answers
66 views

Calculating Asset Returns

The question pertains to a simple phenomenon. There is gold futures listed on Exchange A and Exchange B. Exchange A and Exchange B overlap times with A and B starting 8 hours later and A and B ...
1
vote
1answer
49 views

Differential equation involving bond price and forward rate

Given forward rate f(t,T) and bond price P(t,T) where $f(t,T) = - \frac{\partial}{\partial T} \ln P(t,T)$, $P(T,T) = 1 = P(t,t)$, T>0 and $t \in [0,T]$ Does it follow that $P(t,T) = ...
1
vote
0answers
27 views

price engine configuration [closed]

My question is about forming market data which is received from the LPs. Some tools work with these parameters: min spread, max spread, bid spread, ask spread. If current spread < min spread or ...
1
vote
0answers
63 views

For futures contracts, do we need to do price adjustment during live testing?

I am trying to do pair trading on a pair of future contracts, e.g. CME gold and silver. During the training of my trading model, I do forward adjustment on the pair of future contracts. Let the ...
0
votes
1answer
67 views

The Dog That Did Not Bark?

I've been reading Cochrane's 2006 paper "The Dog that did not bark: A Defense of Return Predictability", but i am still struggling to understand what the dog was, and why it wasn't barking? If anyone ...
0
votes
1answer
101 views

How to estimate today's closing price?

I'm working on interday trading algorithm and I have a basic question: How can I estimate today's closing price? I need it to predict tomorrow closing price. Should I use the price few moments before ...
0
votes
1answer
198 views

How to forecast bond price with time series

I have the goal of being able to develop a model that can forecast the future prices of european government bond (or other private bonds), particularly from the historical prices and returns of the ...
0
votes
1answer
874 views

Determine state price vectors?

I have 3 states with two assets, stocks and bonds. The bond has a payoff of 1 in every state of the world. And the stock has a current price of $S_0 = 100$ and ...
0
votes
1answer
43 views

Design models using adjusted or unadjusted stock prices (time series prediction)?

I'm creating a predictive model for closing price of stocks (using neural network and support vector machines.). Is it appropriate to use adjusted prices or unadjusted prices for this prediction ...
0
votes
1answer
64 views

Finding circumstances for price of call = price of put

Here is a problem in Hull's book and the given solution: My approach was to compute the profit $\pi = \pi_{SP} + \pi_{LC}$ (short put, long call). One can show that $\pi = \pi_{SP} + \pi_{LC} = ...
0
votes
0answers
35 views

Where can I find historical P/E values of Russell 2000 Value and Russell 2000 Growth index?

I have no problems finding the current values, but historical (ie yearly) is harder and even my commercial databases have failed. Only need the last ~15 years or so, and yearly is enough. Do any one ...
0
votes
1answer
162 views

Difference in weekly and monthly data

I am confused about the following: I checked daily and weekly prices for Exxon (and also GE). But the values for Open, Low, High, Close, Vol., Adj. Close for both data streams seem to differ from each ...
0
votes
1answer
241 views

Calculating the Sum of Squared Deviations between two Normalized Price Series

How can I calculate the sum of square deviations between two normalized price series according to (Gatev et. co 2006)? My normalized price series of stocks $X$ and $Y$ consist of the cumulative total ...
-1
votes
1answer
27 views

How does Fed Qe affect the housing sales in the US? Why does it happen to be that way?

From my research, Fed's Qe should encourage house sales, however the graph shows houses price in the state seem to gradually go down after 2009. Isn't that contradicting itself? Ain't the increase in ...
-2
votes
1answer
53 views

What does “percent of change” mean? [closed]

Whenever a price is changed, you can find the percent of increase or the percent of decrease by using the following formula: $$\frac{\text{percent of change}}{100}=\frac{\text{change in ...