Quantitative trading strategies use quantitative signals and a set of predefined systematic rules to make trading decisions. Strategies operate within parameters based on historical analysis (backtesting) and real world market studies (forward testing). Strategies may be executed manually (by a ...

learn more… | top users | synonyms

1
vote
1answer
132 views

quadratic programming portfolio optimisation

I am using MATLAB to do an optimisation. The QP minimisation problem is set up in the standard form shown below. The optimisation is used to calculate the weights (x vector in the equation below) of a ...
1
vote
0answers
161 views

Models for volatility estimation of high frequency data?

I have read on several news articles and research papers, "Contrary to popular belief, high frequency trading reduces volatility in stock markets rather than exacerbates it". Do you know the models ...
1
vote
0answers
69 views

robust regions in grid search

I have a strategy f that takes parameters x,y (for x,y taking values in integer ranges). I get two grids (of returns and volatility values) from computing f(xi,yi) for integer ranges x1 <= xi <= ...
1
vote
0answers
160 views

trading strategy outperforms passive strategy in absolute terms, but in returns vice versa. how could this be?

Background: I want to compare two trading strategies in term of profitability. The red one is an active trading strategy, which involves many entry and exit to a specific market. The blue one is a ...
1
vote
0answers
131 views

Calculating index arbitrage

I have a days-worth of level 2 market data. I am calculating S&P500 index arbitrage. I have a few questions about the calculation: 1) Should I be summing all the bids and asks from the stocks ...
1
vote
0answers
78 views

How to trade risk-adjusted returns?

Why does dividing daily returns by daily range eliminates fat tails and results in an (almost) gaussian distribution? And how could that distribution be exploited to enter trades?
1
vote
0answers
599 views

Using volatility cycles to switch between trend following & range bound trading? [closed]

"...a low volatility environment is usually a good environment for trend following strategies; see Jez Liberty’s state of trend following report here..." ...
1
vote
1answer
74 views

What does NPV ASSENTED after stock name mean?

For a project, I have to quantitatively implement a strategy for value investing in EURO STOXX 50. I pulled the data from Datastream. When I was checking some data plots for dividend yields and total ...
0
votes
3answers
157 views

Research methodology of systematic strategies

Can someone please share your research methodology of systematic trading strategies? I feel like I am always using the a same data driven procedures over different underlyings and would like to get ...
0
votes
1answer
187 views

Quantitative finance mentality for success [closed]

I have a strong statistical background (particularly in Time Series analysis) and previously have spent a lot of time modelling sports, Baseball in particular. After reading "Analysis of Financial ...
0
votes
2answers
130 views

what volatility do we calculate using GARCH model

what volatility do we calculate using GARCH model, Historical vol or Implied vol or Future Vol or Actual vol.
0
votes
1answer
750 views

Asset-or-nothing Option Valuation in the Black and Scholes model

In standard Black-Scholes Model, compute the price of an asset-or-nothing put and asset-or-nothing call options. Write down the put-call parity relation between the asset-or-nothing call and put ...
0
votes
1answer
492 views

Selecting timeframe for time series analysis

In technical analysis, we may use confluence of direction for 3 timeframes to roughly gauge bias of market now. Similarly, if we use time series forecasting methods to predict(say daily data-whether ...
0
votes
2answers
170 views

Who holds stock overnight?

I have heard from several different sources, e.g. professors, books and traders, that daytraders and quants avoid holding positions overnight and during holidays and weekends. Instead, they sell their ...
0
votes
1answer
208 views

What would be the impact of the US Credit Rating downgrade on Crude Oil Prices? [closed]

From a modeling point of view, here are my primary assumptions for Monday: a) I would expect the US$ to depreciate and crude oil to rise in the long term. b) Expect crude oil to dip in the short run ...
0
votes
0answers
26 views

Test for NonLinearity

I am doing a regression, returns of stocks(cross section of stock returns at a given time) against some fundamental factors. And look at the residuals to get a normalized view when trying to rank the ...
0
votes
0answers
19 views

Choosing an optimal dependent variable, regression/model fitting

When I select a certain target variable and model that with either linear regression or some other technique, say naive bayes, I hope to finally arrive at a model which has statistical significance, ...
0
votes
1answer
57 views

Binomial tree vs trinomial tree in pricing options

Very new to pricing models. Is there a general guideline when to use binomial tree and when trinomial tree is preferred? As far as I know, unlike binomial tree, trinomial tree only gives a range ...
0
votes
0answers
11 views

use of recurrence quantification analysis for deterministic signal identification and classification

The recurrence quantification analysis (RQA) is a method of nonlinear data analysis which quantifies the number and duration of recurrences of a dynamical system presented by its state space ...
0
votes
0answers
45 views

Calculating Asset Returns

The question pertains to a simple phenomenon. There is gold futures listed on Exchange A and Exchange B. Exchange A and Exchange B overlap times with A and B starting 8 hours later and A and B ...
0
votes
0answers
37 views

How to make the algo decide over a optimal selling point?

Please don't bully if its a basic question.Kinda new to the topic hence experimenting. Problems to construct trading algorithm.For the example I assume I am getting a buy signal from the DMI/ADX ...
0
votes
0answers
21 views

Correct term for position accumulation relative to price?

I've been looking at various accumulation algos and it appears that the greater majority are predicated on building a position largely relative to a time component or market volume for obvious ...
0
votes
0answers
163 views

How to calculate returns of backtested strategy?

Lets say I have some strategy (long/short) backtested for certain period. Strategy has entries/exits only at the end of the day and may have overnight positions hold. Now I would like to compare ...
0
votes
0answers
46 views

Fixed Income Swap Sharpe Ratio Calculation

I have a Fixed Income based strategy based on swaps. Q1.) Given that swaps are based on a "notional" principal and no actual exchange of principal's takes place, is it fair to assume a funding cost ...
0
votes
0answers
39 views

Significance of Data

The following is a result I get from a pair trading model. I am trying to figure out the significance of the below but failing. Can someone help me out i.e. a resource or possibly an explanation on ...
0
votes
0answers
32 views

measuring the performance of round-trips on stocks

can you provide me with some ideas to assess the profitability of round-trips? That is when I buy 100 shares of IBM at 10\$ and I resell them two days later at 11\$, how can I measure the profit made? ...
0
votes
0answers
273 views

Fluid dynamics for order book depth modelling

Would someone be able to give me an idea what type of fluid dynamics I could look at for modelling the order book? My background is more signals-related maths (correlation, covariance, fourier etc). ...
0
votes
0answers
40 views

Inferring Returns From Minimal Data Points [duplicate]

Possible Duplicate: How much data is needed to validate a short-horizon trading strategy? Suppose I have daily returns for a trading strategy against one month of data. Before starting ...
-1
votes
2answers
104 views

Automatic trading strategies - what are benchmarks for PL on serious backtesting?

There are plenty books and sites which offer automatic trading strategies (robots) and claim they are very profitable. On the other hand many people do not believe in such things, saying that: if ...
-1
votes
1answer
78 views

conservative approach payoff table

With the conservative approach, we choose the decision which maximises minimum payoff. I was wondering which decision is chosen if 2 decisions have equal minimum payoff (which is the maximum)? ...
-1
votes
1answer
1k views

Can end-to-day trading be profitable? If not, why? [closed]

Many academics argue that end-to-day trading, where you go long or short before opening and sell your security at the end of the day, is not profitable. Various explanations are given for this ...
-2
votes
1answer
380 views

How to test the efficiency of Exponential Moving Averages as a trading startegy? [closed]

I would like to know how I can test the efficiency of Exponential Moving Averages when it comes to forex trading. Can i have any papers that point to the efficiency of this strategy? Thank you. :)
-3
votes
1answer
479 views

Trading Strategies and Portfolio Constructions based on Cross Sectional Regression? [closed]

I often see trading strategies and portfolio construction that are based on cross-sectional regression. For example, I often see regressing some numbers against some factors. I was wondering how ...
-4
votes
1answer
569 views

Target daily ROI for a market-making algorithm

I'm designing a market-making algorithm, I was wondering what a decent ROI / day would be to aim for in such a system?
-4
votes
1answer
653 views

How to calculate the weight of the stocks using the linear regression?

I do a simple example with the follow three series(stocks prices): ...