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1
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1answer
111 views

GARCH model and prediction

I have a question about the prediction of volatility and returns of a time series. Basically it is a question about prediction in the ...
2
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1answer
31 views

Hidden Markov Models methods for selecting optimal number of states

Package RHmm (R) I have a vector which I fit into a hmm model in an attempt to select an optimal number of states for a hidden markov model. ...
1
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1answer
62 views

GARCH(1,1) good fit found, how to predict one day volatility ahead?

I used SPY data to fit GARCH(1,1) in my model. My data starts from Jan, 2000 until Dec, 2013. I compared the volatility using runSD on the 21 rolling window and GARCH(1,1). It looks a pretty good fit ...
0
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0answers
36 views

Java Implied Volatility Solving

After using RQuantLib and RCaller from Java I am desiring a bit more speed on my implied volatility calculations (for anyone who has used this knows it is quite slow). I need to price a large number ...
3
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1answer
155 views

quantiative risk measure how they are implemented in R and their use

So far I have just theoretical knowledge of risk measure and never used them in application. Therefore I have some basic question how risk measures are used in reality and how they are implemented in ...
15
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6answers
4k views

What tools exist for order book analysis and visualization?

What tools exist for order book analysis and visualization? In particular, if one wanted to examine a limit order book and understand how it changes throughout the day where would you turn for ...
3
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1answer
942 views

Valuing Total Return Swaps

In my quest for simulated data, I am trying to generate prices for Total Return Swaps by calculating the NPVs of the fixed and floating leg. My problem: Given the fixed leg, how do I set the spread on ...
10
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1answer
266 views

Is creating constrained random portfolios a hard problem?

Creating random portfolios with weights $x_i$ can be thought of as sampling from the surface of a simplex given by $$Ex = f$$ and $$Ax \le b$$ Where $E$ and $A$ are constraint matrices for equality ...
0
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1answer
63 views

I want to keep a column in getSymbols or get.hist.quote with the Date as as.Date format [closed]

I use getSymbols to download historical information over an environment with 200 tickers but I cannot seem to keep the date information from becoming an index. I ...
2
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3answers
509 views

Library for interactive financial charts

For my recent project I am looking to build a software capable of visualizing financial charts in a dynamically and interactive matter. The workflow is as follows: I gather data from my data ...
4
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1answer
308 views

analyze strategy performance with given matrix of weights/time and weekly returns in R

I have a matrix of 259 weekly returns, 50 assets and a portfolio composition for each of the 259 weeks. I would like to test the performance of the portfolio during 52 weeks, rebalancing every 12 ...
2
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0answers
69 views

What R-packages for SOCP problems are there?

Currently, I am looking deeper into the topic of second-order cone programming. Could you suggest packages that solve SOCP-problems in R? With your answer, please provide a short description of ...
2
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2answers
2k views

Cointegration tests

I'm trying to figure out how to perform cointegration tests in R between 2 time series. I'm using po.test from the package ...
0
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0answers
162 views

IB with R which package?

I want to implement my models in R and trade according to them with my IB account. Now I am wondering, how I should solve this problem? Do I need to program with C an access ...
3
votes
1answer
159 views

Calculating and interpreting cumulative returns is R

I have buy and sell signals,and accordingly, I artificially generate a signal series,for which,I assign 1 to every buy and -1 to every sell: ...
5
votes
3answers
6k views

Calculating log returns using R

I am trying to calculate the log returns of a dataset in R using the usual log differencing method. However, the calculated data is simply a vector of zeroes. I can't see what I'm doing wrong. Here ...
2
votes
1answer
251 views

Interpretation of cross-correlation matrix when one sample distribution is not normal

I am looking at the variance of (log) price changes in securities vs. the amount of social media discussion about them. I'm not interested in building a model. I'm just looking to see if there is a ...
34
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11answers
12k views

Switching from C++ to R - limitations/applications

I've only recently begun exploring and learning R (especially since Dirk recommended RStudio and a lot of people in here speak highly of R). I'm rather C(++) oriented, so it got me thinking - what are ...
0
votes
1answer
165 views

How to plot custom hourly data into R with quantmod?

I'm trying to get into R because for some personal project, I need R and quantmod to create OHCL charts for me. I'm stuck at the candleChart creation step, and I'm not sure I understand why. Using a ...
2
votes
1answer
551 views

ADF test in R yielding perfect cointegration. How is this possible?

I am using the famous conintegrated pairs tutorial to just different stocks for cointegration. The adf.test yeilds perfect cointegration, which I feel must be incorrect. Here is why: When I run ...
5
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2answers
2k views

Using variance ratios to test for mean reversion

Can you use the variance ratio test to determine whether or not a time series is mean reverting? I'm using the Lo.Mac function in the ...
3
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0answers
446 views

What is the best solution to use QuantLib within Excel?

Excel is likely the most widespread instrument across all not-only-quants desks; in addition, we have to keep in mind that Bloomberg and Reuters allow to easily import real time data in Excel, and ...
4
votes
1answer
184 views

Definition of gearings, spreads and curve in RQuantLib's Floating Rate Bond function

Consider the RQuantLib package function FloatingRateBond(). This takes as inputs gearings ...
7
votes
3answers
1k views

R: Fast and efficient way of running a multivariate regression across a (really) large panel (First pass of Fama MacBeth)

I am attempting to run a rolling multivariate regression (14 explanatory variables) across a panel of 5000 stocks: For each of the 5000 stocks, I run 284 regressions (by rolling over my sample ...
2
votes
0answers
366 views

FIGARCH estimation in R

I am trying to estimate a FIGARCH(1,1) model in R for Value-at-Risk purposes. As I understand it, the rugarch package does not support FIGARCH or FIEGARCH. To that end, I used the garchOxFit function ...
10
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1answer
286 views

A non parametric study of VaR with kernel density

I'm working in order to compare the calculation of the VaR between the methodology of copulas and kernel density, all this by using the software r. The process that I follow is: Obtain a sample ...
18
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3answers
969 views

Tools in R for estimating time-varying copulas?

Are there libraries in R for estimating time-varying joint distributions via copulas? Hedibert Lopes has an excellent paper on the topic here. I know there is an existing packaged called copula but ...
0
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2answers
210 views

garchOxFit in R

Could someone please help me with trying to get the Ox interface to work in R. I followed the steps outlined in this paper (http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1752095), but I get the ...
3
votes
2answers
5k views

How to fit ARMA+GARCH Model In R?

I am currently working on ARMA+GARCH model using R. I am looking out for example which explain step by step explanation for fitting this model in R. I have time series which is stationary and I am ...
3
votes
0answers
228 views

Definition of risk factors for market risk scenario testing

I am doing a research for stress testing in market risk. The usual process I found out for scenario testing is: Define risk factors upon the portfolio Define the desired scenarios Vary the risk ...
4
votes
1answer
594 views

Cointegrating relationships - Johansen in R

I read the posts, How to interpret results of Johansen Test? and How to interpret the eigenmatrix from a Johansen cointegration test? But still I am quite confused by the output. I have a project with ...
3
votes
1answer
7k views

How to interpret results of Johansen Test?

I have two time-series a & b. The objective is to find out whether two series are cointegrated or not. I am using Johansen Test in R to find this out. I am using urca package of R. Here is the ...
8
votes
1answer
203 views

rugarch: Joint estimation leads to different results

I want to fit an ARMA-GARCH model to my data using rugarch package in R. First of all, I look at the acf and pacf: ...
7
votes
0answers
657 views

Tools/R code for predicting Dragon-Kings

The theory of the so called Dragon-Kings, esp. by Didier Sornette (ETH Zürich), basically states that financial crises and crashes are predictable (contrary to the theory of black swans). The ...
2
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1answer
458 views

Counterintuitive time varying Beta with Kalman filter

If you're used to play with R, you'll enjoy the following reproducible code: ...
1
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0answers
72 views

RCaller & RQuantlib error in java

I am receiving the following error: ...
2
votes
2answers
283 views

Loading HF stock data into excel

Are there any free, open source VBA addins or R packages that can be linked using the yahoo finance/Google finance/other data sources api to continuously download intraday data into excel or R? ...
2
votes
1answer
261 views

Stepwise Cointegration

This is more of a general question at this point, but if my thought process makes sense I will follow up with an R implementation. I have read a number of papers on cointegration analysis for pairs ...
1
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0answers
32 views

How to set up Heston and Rouwenhorst regression? [duplicate]

Heston and Rouwenhorst (1994) devised an empirical estimation strategy to decompose stock returns into three components: a pure industry effect, a pure country effect, and a world-factor return. ...
2
votes
0answers
127 views

Any one know how to implement the Heston and Rouwenhorst country-sector effects regression in R?

Heston and Rouwenhorst (1994) devised an empirical estimation strategy to decompose stock returns into three components: a pure industry effect, a pure country effect, and a world-factor return. ...
2
votes
0answers
102 views

How to simulate a Geometric Binomial Process with state/tie dependent increments?

I want to simulate a geometric binomial process with state/time dependent increments. So the model is given by \begin{align}R_t=\frac{X_t}{X_{t-1}}\end{align} \begin{align}P(R_t=u)=p(X_{t-1},t) ...
2
votes
0answers
187 views

Error term/Innovation process in ARCH/GARCH processes?

I am wondering about the distribution of the error term/innovation process in a ARCH/GARCH process and its implementation, I am not sure about some points. The basic assumption is ...
6
votes
1answer
999 views

Forecasting using rugarch package

I want to do one step ahead in-sample forecasts. My data can be found here. This is just a data frame with the date as the rownames. I specify my model and do the fit and show the plots with ...
2
votes
2answers
497 views

RQuantLib, Hoadley and Bloomberg YAS: fixed rate bond pricing differences?

I'm trying to price a fixed rate bond one year from now on. The bond is the PEUGOT 7 ⅜ 03/06/18, whose ISIN code is FR0011439975. I'm using such a specific example because in this way everyone can ...
2
votes
2answers
723 views

backtesting options strategies in R

I would like to backtest an options strategy in R. I require the ability to delta hedge and rebalance to options in the portfolio at different frequencies (daily, monthly,etc.) What packages are the ...
1
vote
0answers
239 views

Interpolate option volatility in delta space in R

I have a bunch of deltas and option implied vols at those deltas. I would like to interpolate them in R. Interpolating them in delta space seems difficult, since normally you would like the ATM calls ...
2
votes
0answers
235 views

Philips-Ouliaris test for cointegration

I'm trying to implement cointegration tests using the R urca package. I've figured out the Johansen test (ca.jo), but I'm having trouble with the Philips-Ouliaris test (ca.po). I have two questions: ...
3
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0answers
124 views
1
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0answers
496 views

portfolio optimization with a loop

I am attempting to minimize the variance of a 3 stock portfolio using optimization within a loop. What I have done is calculated the stock returns and cov matrix from dates 1980-01-01 to 1989-12-31 ...
3
votes
2answers
485 views

Fitting distributions to financial data using volatility model to estimate VaR

I want to fit a distribution to my financial data using a volatility model to estimate the VaR. So in case of a normal distribution, this would be very easy, I assume the returns to follow a normal ...