The identification, assessment, and prioritization of risks, followed by coordinated and economical application of resources to minimize, monitor, and control the probability and/or impact of unfortunate events or to maximize the realization of opportunities.

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2
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3answers
121 views

Hedge Fund risk management on a daily basis

Since Hedge Funds/Fund of Funds report on a monthly basis usually within 10 days after the month end, monitoring and managing (hedging) potential risks is quite a difficult task. Having done some ...
0
votes
2answers
102 views

Stochastic process theory question

*S follows a process $dS= mSdt + oSdz$ where m and o are constant. What is the probability followed by $ Y=(Se)^{(r-t)} $. If S follows a process $ dS= k (b-S) dt + oSdz $ where k, b, o are ...
8
votes
1answer
170 views

When did volatilities start to smile in capital markets?

Glimpsing through literature, I read that volatilities in the equity market started to display a smile after the crash in 1987. But when did volatilities start to smile in capital markets?
6
votes
1answer
107 views

How to perform risk budgeting for non-linear portfolios?

I am using this question to compute optimal weights following a risk budgeting approach. The problem is I am using non-linear portfolios (options,equity,fixed income,fx). What I am looking for is ...
0
votes
1answer
22 views

CDS spread scenarios from historical market data

I'm searching for information on the best way to generate scenarios to be used in VaR or ES calculations, for CDS spreads. Given that we need significant historical data in order to achieve a decent ...
0
votes
1answer
51 views

Currency risk USD>EUR>EGP

Seeking input on hedging risk on USD to Euro with a 3rd component of payroll issued in Egyptian Pounds. We are a US corp invoicing a Germany entity in Euro with massive payroll being paid in Egyptian ...
-1
votes
1answer
101 views

conservative approach payoff table

With the conservative approach, we choose the decision which maximises minimum payoff. I was wondering which decision is chosen if 2 decisions have equal minimum payoff (which is the maximum)? ...
-1
votes
1answer
89 views

Math basics of Equally-weighted Risk contributions

i'm writing my BA Thesis about "Equally-weighted Risk contributions". Can anyone recommend math books for further understanding of Risk contributions?
-3
votes
1answer
255 views

What's the disadvantage of ARMA-GARCH model?

I want to ask why ARMA-GARCH is more and more popolar, and what's the advantage of this model.
7
votes
0answers
605 views

Examples of Spectral Risk Measures

Let's take the usual definition of a spectral risk measure. If we look at the integral we see that spectral risk measures have the property that the risk measure of a random variable $X$ can be ...
3
votes
0answers
51 views

Modelling the Cost of Risk

I would like to read something about the cost of risk. Could anyone recommend some reference about how it is calculated or modelled?
3
votes
0answers
30 views

conferences for credit portfolio managers

What are worth conferences for credit portfolio managers? I appreciate your recommendations! PS:I am aware that this question is not the typical quant.SE question, BUT I couldn`t find reliable ...
3
votes
0answers
152 views

Quantitative risk management strategy for a large participant in an illiquid market

Are there any practical quantitative risk management strategies for a large participant in an illiquid market with a few dominant players? By a large partcipant I mean someone who has significant ...
2
votes
0answers
38 views

Want to understand the links and relationship between all the risk metrics?

For Example : if Risk weighted asset (RWA) increased or decreased this month, which other risk metrics could have influenced RWA to increase or decrease. Also in different situations like, upward ...
2
votes
0answers
160 views

Modified duration in multi-currency portfolio

I was thinking about how to figure aut duration for portfolio of bonds denominated in different currencies… I would like to compare sensitivity of portfolio to shift of yield with competitive ...
2
votes
0answers
104 views

Empirical distribution function of overlapping time series data

If we model asset return volatility for periods of more than one (say more than one day) there is the square-root rule which holds true under some assumptions. The situation is more tricky if we look ...
2
votes
0answers
100 views

Beta distribution - Holding period

Let's say I have a risk factor that is defined between [0,1], such as recovery rates. Assuming I have daily data, I can estimate the "daily VaR", i.e. the tails over 1 day period, since the data is ...
2
votes
0answers
205 views

regarding Basel III IRB method for credit risk

Would the exposures between standard method and internal rating based method for credit risk under Basel III remain same?I could not find any documents for IRB approach under Basel III. Is it still ...
1
vote
0answers
27 views

Commercial Vendors for Risk Management and Portfolio Optimization and Performance Attribution

So this question is directly about companies such as Axioma, Barra, Northfield, and etc. that provide risk management, portfolio optimization, and performance attribution related services. I want to ...
1
vote
0answers
47 views

How to calculate break-even point of merged plant/company?

The question goes like this : ...
1
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0answers
17 views

Multiple similar values simulation

Perhaps some of you came across the following task that I am trying to automate for @RISK, VOSE or other simulation software? I have a question as we are trying to use the software to estimate the ...
1
vote
0answers
91 views

Create Markets Bubble Indicator

I am trying to replicate a Bubble Indicator described here. The indicator is strictly based on calculating the regularity of price behavior to determine herding in multiple time frames. I tried the ...
1
vote
0answers
198 views

How to calculate global exposure via commitment approach for FX swaps?

How would you calculate global exposure for FX swaps using the commitment approach? In particular, would you take into account both legs? CESR guidelines (CESR/10-788) defines that the exposure for ...
1
vote
0answers
113 views

Fixed Income risk attribution in the historical simulation of a sovereign bond portfolio

We use historical simulation for risk analysis. I.e. for each bond there is a repricing of the form $$ P_j = PV(\text{yield curve in scenario } j), $$ where the yield curve is the zero rates curve of ...
1
vote
0answers
143 views

Risk measures, Risk Management and Financial Risk Area

I'm currently searching material about market risk and I learned about coherent risk measures, VaR, CVaR (or expected shortfall), volatility. All that because I have to make a Financial Risk Area for ...
1
vote
0answers
18 views

Standard errors clustered along the time dimension in pooled panel logit model

I'm trying to estimate a logit model on pooled panel data set (unit of observation is firm-year). My dependant variable is default indicator and I have several macro variables as independant ...
1
vote
0answers
38 views

Doubt on risk cost criterion

I want to minimize some kind of risk sensitive cost. But, I am confused what cost criterion should I use. I am aware of only expected exponential utility. I want to know what are the other such ...
1
vote
0answers
52 views

proper choice of risk aversion parameter in the risk-sensitive cost-criterion

Suppose I want to minimize certain risk sensitive cost. Is it a valid question to ask what is the proper (also in which sense) choice of risk aversion parameter in the risk-sensitive cost-criterion ? ...
1
vote
0answers
94 views

How to show that the risk contribution function is or is not injective?

Assume a portoflio $w \in \mathbb{R}^n$, you can get the total risk contribution $\psi_i$ of asset $i$ by doing: $$\psi_i = w_i \frac{\partial \sigma(w)}{\partial w_i}= \frac{1}{\sigma(w)} \left[ ...
1
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0answers
170 views

Market Exposure and Hedging

Normally the Market exposure associated with your stock/portfolio is your delta for that stock/ portfolio. Basic idea of hedging involved here is buying/selling respective futures depending upon ...
0
votes
0answers
7 views

Non-parametric estimator - CVAR / Expected shortfall

Is the estimation of the CVAR using known non-parametric methods (histogram , kernels) is different than the estimation of any other R.V.? If the answer is yes, then I am interested to know whether ...
0
votes
0answers
8 views

Standardized and Advanced IRB together

Is it possible to use Standardized approach and AIRB together for the same asset class? For example sovereigns see a risk weight of 0% if AAA, but in AIRB they might not be seeing 0 weight. Is it ok ...
0
votes
0answers
66 views

Large deviations theory and extreme value theory

I'll enter into details of both, sooner or later, but for the moment I'm concerned about the differences (and relationships, if any) between these two theories. Can someone give me a brief, but still ...
0
votes
0answers
26 views

Portfolio Analytic Metrics for Portfolios with Serially Correlated Returns

I just read Andrew Lo's paper from 2002 "The Statistics of Sharpe Ratios" and am wondering if anyone knows of any other papers/docs/resources that explore the impact of serially correlated returns on ...
0
votes
0answers
17 views

Portfolio construction for signals of varying time scales?

Wondering if anyone is aware of any research on combining/portfolio construction of signals on different time scales. For example, if I have a trading signal (alpha) that generates trades every hour ...
0
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0answers
31 views

Lambda in RiskMetrics for fixed income

What is the default lambda proposed in RiskMetrics for fixed income?
0
votes
0answers
42 views

Value at risk computation for a diffusion process

Given a hypothetical process $X_{t}$ defined by : $$ X_{t} = \int_0^t b_{s} ds + \int_0^t W_{s} ds + \sum_{i=1}^{N_{t}} \gamma_{T_{i}} Y_{i}$$ $ W_{t}$ is a standard brownian motion, $b_{t} ...
0
votes
0answers
50 views

how best to equalize individual pair risk in a portfolio of stock pairs?

I am building a portfolio of stock pairs in which each pair is individually hedged via beta/hedge ratio adjustment. I am looking for a method to ensure that I am taking the same risk in each pair that ...
0
votes
0answers
39 views

Performance analysis for a changing portfolio

I am trying to do a performance analysis of an investment in five different funds (A to E). I am investing a fixed amount at each fund (say 10m in A, 20m in B, 10m in C, 20m in D, 10m in E) but the ...
0
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0answers
28 views

Hypothetical actuary working with a life company

If you are an actuary with a life company, how would you show that your capital assessment complies with the rules of Solvency II (or related regulations) that stipulate the minimum of capital that ...
0
votes
0answers
117 views

continuous dividend yield - european option

Can someone help with following task? You need to use a 5-period forward binomial model to price options, which is constructed by specifying the up and down moves as follows: u = exp {(r − δ) · h + ...
0
votes
0answers
39 views

Invoice Discount pricing model

I was wondering whether there exist pricing models in particular for Invoice Discounting contracts and short-term financing solution where credit risk plays a major role. Specifically, assuming that ...
0
votes
0answers
73 views

Minimum PD under Basel II retail asset?

I have been told that under Basel II the minimum PD that one can assign to any portfolio/segment classified under the retail asset class is 0.33%. But Google searches return nothing and I can't seem ...