The simulations tag has no wiki summary.
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0answers
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Problems with exact Heston simulations
I am just wondering if there is any problem with the so-called "exact" Heston simulations? So far what I have seen are the good things about it, what are the disadvantages? Because if it is so ...
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0answers
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Credit spreads vs default events dependence
Reading this note it strikes me that credit spreads and defaults seem not to be commonly modeled jointly (e.g. more or less directly in structural models), but at best with some kind of "ex post" ...
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2answers
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Simulation of GBM
I have a question regarding the simulation of a GBM. I have found similar questions here but nothing which takes reference to my specific problem:
Given a GBM of the form
$dS(t) = \mu S(t) dt + ...
3
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1answer
286 views
How to simulate a Merton Jump Diffusion process?
I am talking about the Merton Jump Diffusion model, on this page, where they give the following formula:
$$ dS_t = \mu S_t dt + \sigma S_t dW_t + (\eta-1) dq$$
where $W_t$ is a standard brownian ...
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1answer
1k views
How to simulate stock prices with a Geometric Brownian Motion?
I want to simulate stock price paths with different stochastic processes. I started with the famous geometric brownian motion. I simulated the values with the following formula:
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3answers
602 views
How to account for transaction costs in a simulated market environment?
I am simulating a market for my trading system. I have no ask-bid prices in my dataset and use adjusted close for both buy and sell price. To account for this I plan to use a relative transaction ...
3
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1answer
377 views
Michaud's Resampled Efficient Frontier - Out of Sample Simulation Testing
I will be putting ALL my account points on bounty to whoever answers this question [if your answer is crap but it's the only answer, you're getting the 165 points]. You will have to wait 2 days or so ...
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2answers
453 views
When to use Monte Carlo simulation over analytical methods for options pricing?
I've been using Monte Carlo simulation (MC) for pricing vanilla options with non-lognormal underlyings returns.
I'm tempted to start using MC as my primary option-valuating technique as I can get ...
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1answer
118 views
transaction size and liquidity in simulation of US stocks
i am developing a simulation trading in US stocks.
i have 1 transaction a day per stock, assumed for simplicity to be executed at the daily closing price.
in order to determine a reasonable maximal ...
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2answers
334 views
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3answers
209 views
Are there any standard techniques for adding realistic synthetic microstructure noise to a price series?
This may seem like a strange question, but for my particular application we need to actually add synthetic microstructure noise to real time charts. The signal should still be representative of the ...
9
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3answers
399 views
Literature on generating synthetic time series for testing
I have some market data (daily time series) for bond prices and CDS indices and I would like to generate synthetic versions of these which are statistically "similar" for testing trading strategies. ...
5
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1answer
511 views
How to simulate correlated assets for illustrating portfolio diversification?
I have seen multiple instances where people try to explain the diversification effects of having assets with a certain level of correlation, especially in the "most diversified portfolio" literature. ...
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6answers
824 views
How to generate a random price series with a specified range and correlation with an actual price?
I want to generate a mock price series. I want it to be within a certain range and have a defined correlation with the original price series.
If I choose, say, oil, I want as many time series which ...
8
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3answers
376 views
How to test for and how to simulate price rise/fall asymmetry in the stock market
One of the stylized facts of financial time series seems to be a fundamental asymmetry between smooth upward movements over longer periods of time followed by abrupt declines over relatively shorter ...
6
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1answer
262 views
Simulating conditional expectations
There is a multidimensional process X defined via its SDE (we can assume that its a diffusion type process), and lets define another process by $g_t = E[G(X_T)|X_t]$ for $t\leq T$.
I would like to ...
6
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1answer
240 views
How to reduce variance in a Cox-Ingersoll-Ross Monte Carlo simulation?
I am working out a numerical integral for option pricing in which I'm simulating an interest rate process using a Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process. Each step in my Monte Carlo generated path is a ...
7
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1answer
397 views
Monte carlo portfolio risk simulation
My objective is to show the distribution of a portfolio's expected utilities via random sampling.
The utility function has two random components. The first component is an expected return vector ...
10
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1answer
294 views
Enhancing Monte-Carlo convergence (crude method)
I am currently doing a project involving Monte-Carlo method. I wonder if there is papers dealing with a "learning" refinement method to enhance the MC-convergence, example :
Objective : estimate of ...
8
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2answers
446 views
Is Walk Forward Analysis a good method to estimate the edge of a trading system?
Do you think Walk Forward Analysis is a good method to estimate the predictability or edge of a trading system? Are there similar methods to know (estimate) how much alpha can capture an algo (in the ...
6
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1answer
129 views
What tradeoff is there to using an accurate estimate with a large confidence interval?
I am working on calibrating a Heston model from simulated historical stock data.
After obtaining an accurate estimate of the model parameters I found very large 95% confidence intervals for these ...
10
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2answers
664 views
Simulating Returns
I'll start this off with a rather broad question: I am trying to simulate returns of a large number of assets within a portfolio of different classes - equity and fixed income in a first step, say 100 ...
3
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1answer
617 views
Valuing Total Return Swaps
In my quest for simulated data, I am trying to generate prices for Total Return Swaps by calculating the NPVs of the fixed and floating leg. My problem: Given the fixed leg, how do I set the spread on ...
