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4
votes
0answers
74 views

pdf of simple equation, compound Poisson noise

I would like to find the probability density function (at stationarity) of the random variable $X_t$, where: \begin{equation*} dX_t = -aX_t dt + d N_t, \end{equation*} $a$ is a constant and $N_t$ is a ...
4
votes
0answers
158 views

Integral-differential equation for forward rates

I am struggling in this question: Let $P(t,T)$ denote the price of a zero-coupon bond (with marturity at time $T$) at time $t \in [0,T]$. As usual, at time $t$ for maturity $T$, the forward rate is ...
4
votes
0answers
133 views

Simple question concerning Jump process (Lévy process) model for a risky actif price process [closed]

Consider $X= \left( X_t \right)_{t\geq 0}$ is a Lévy process whose characteristic triplet is $\left( \gamma, \sigma ^2, \nu \right)$ and where its Lévy measure is $$ \nu \left( dx\right) = A ...
3
votes
3answers
231 views

Show that $E[B_t|\mathscr{F}_s] = B_s$

Given prob space $(\Omega, \mathscr{F}, P)$ and a Wiener process $(W_t)_{t \geq 0}$, define filtration $\mathscr{F}_t = \sigma(W_u : u \leq t)$ Let $(B_t)_{t \geq 0}$ where $B_t = W_t^3 - 3tW_t$. ...
3
votes
1answer
108 views

Stochastic Differential

Let $W_t$ be a Wiener process. It is clear to me that $dW_t$ is of size $\sqrt{dt}$. This can be seen because $$ \mathrm{Var}(W_{t+\Delta} - W_{t})=\Delta. $$ But am I allowed to actually write ...
3
votes
2answers
710 views

Financial Mathematics - Martingales example

Was hoping somebody could help me with the following question. Prove that under the risk-neutral probability $\tilde{\mathsf P}$ the stock and the bank account have the same average rate of growth. ...
3
votes
1answer
146 views

How to get Black Scholes' Geometric Brownian Motion differential form form the closed form?

My instructor has mostly self contained notes, where our textbook is mostly a reference. She has it written that: $$S_t = S_0e^{(\mu - \frac{\sigma^2}{2})t + \sigma W_t} \iff dS_t = S_t(\mu dt + ...
3
votes
2answers
168 views

CVaR/VaR Ratio as alpha goes to 1

I am having trouble taking the following limit of CVaR/VaR for a normal distribution as alpha approaches 1: $\lim_{\alpha \to 1} \frac{\mu + \sigma \frac{\phi^{-1}(\alpha)}{1-\alpha}}{\mu + \sigma ...
3
votes
6answers
337 views

Why the expected return rate of a stock has nothing to do with its option price?

OK, I admit that this is a frequently asked question. But I couldn't find a satisfying answer after I read the explanations of books, went through the derivations of B-S formula, and searched answers ...
3
votes
1answer
98 views

Computation of Expectation

This question has so long preoccupied my mind.Please help me to solve it. Question: Assume $X_t$ described by the following stochastic differential equation $$dX_t^{\,\alpha}=\alpha X_t^{\,\alpha} ...
3
votes
1answer
198 views

Closed form solution of PDE of Option Price

Let $V=V(S_t,t)$ be the option price and \begin{align} V_t+\mu\,S\,V_S+\frac{1}{2}\sigma^2\,S^2\,V_{SS}=0\\ V(S_T,T)=\ln (S_T)^{2}. \end{align} My question: How can I obtain a closed form solution of ...
3
votes
1answer
83 views

How can I calculate $Cov\left(\int_{0}^{s}W_u\,du\,\,\,,\,\int_{0}^{t}W_v\,dv\right)$

How can I calculate? \begin{align} Cov\left(\int_{0}^{s}W_u\,du\,\,\,,\,\int_{0}^{t}W_v\,dv\right) \end{align} Thank you for your attention.
3
votes
1answer
115 views

Lipschitz condition in mathematical finance

I am interested in a rigorous explanation on why the Lipschitz condition plays a major part in stochastic calculus, most significantly in mathematical finance. To be specific, suppose we want to ...
3
votes
1answer
288 views

What is augmented data when simulating stochastic differential equations using Gibbs Sampler?

I am reading this paper on Bayesian Estimation of CIR Model. Basically, it is about estimating parameters using Bayesian inference. It estimates this stochastic differential equation: $$dy(t)=\{ ...
3
votes
1answer
69 views

Why $W_{t}^3$ is not a martigale?(by Definition)

If $W_t$ be a wiener process then,how can i show that $W_{t}^{3}$ is not a martingale by definition?
3
votes
1answer
215 views

generalized black scholes

I understand how to derive the black scholes solution if $dS_t$ = $\mu S_tdt$ + $\sigma S_tdW_t$ and r is constant. The solution is c(t, x) = $xN(d_{+}(T - t), x))$ - K$e^{-r(T - t)}N(d\_(T - t), x))$ ...
3
votes
1answer
144 views

Derivation of the Stochastic Vol PDE

I'm trying to follow the derivation of the stochastic vol pde for an option price - as given in Gatheral (The vol surface), Wilmott on Quant Finance and many other places. As usual one starts off with ...
3
votes
1answer
331 views

Integrating log-normal

The usual log normal model in differential form is: $dS = \mu S dt + \sigma S dX$ where $dX$ is the stochastic part, so $\frac{dS}{S} = \mu dt + \sigma dX$ (1) and we normally solve this by ...
3
votes
1answer
585 views

Regime switching in mean reverting stochastic process

Let you have a mean reverting stochastic process with a statistically significant autocorrelation coefficient; let it looks like you can well model it using an $ARMA(p,q)$. This time series could be ...
3
votes
1answer
105 views

Distribution of Black Scholes call option price at time 0<t <T

Does anyone know how to find the probability law (distribution) under P* of a Black Scholes Call Option price $C_t$ for $0 < t < T $? (Under P*, $ dC_t = \frac{\partial c}{\partial s}\sigma S_t ...
3
votes
2answers
197 views

Uniqueness of equivalent martingale measure in Black Scholes-Model

Let's consider standard Black-Scholes model with price process $S_t$ satisfying SDE $$dS_t = S_t(bdt + \sigma dB_t)$$, where $B_t$ is standard Brownian Motion for probability $\mathbb{P}$. I ...
3
votes
3answers
350 views

Why is the CAPM securities market line straight?

Let $\gamma$ be the expected return, in terms of its exponential growth rate, of the market asset. If we set $\gamma=\mu-\sigma^2/2$ as explained by the Doléans-Dade exponential, then the expected ...
3
votes
2answers
59 views

Stochastic Calculus Rescale Exercise

I have the following system of SDE's $ dA_t = \kappa_A(\bar{A}-A_t)dt + \sigma_A \sqrt{B_t}dW^A_t \\ dB_t = \kappa_B(\bar{B} - B_t)dt + \sigma_B \sqrt{B_t}dW^B_t $ If $\sigma_B > \sigma_A$ I ...
3
votes
0answers
71 views

Stochastic control (HJB) for wealth process involving stopping times

Given a wealth process that evolves as $$d w_t = r w_t dt + \theta_t ( \sigma dW_t + (\mu-r) dt) - c_t dt.$$ where $\theta_t$ is the worth of holding at time $t$ and $c_t$ is the consumption stream. ...
2
votes
3answers
124 views

For $B_t$ a Brownian motion what is the probability that $B_1>0$ and $B_2<0$?

Let $B_t$ be a Brownian Motion. What's the probability that $B_1>0$ and $B_2<0$?
2
votes
1answer
206 views

Simple question about stochastic differential

What is the equivalent of product rule for stochastic differentials? I need it in the following case: Let $X_t$ be a process and $\alpha(t)$ a real function. What would be $d(\alpha(t)X_t)$?
2
votes
1answer
140 views

Ho and lee derivation for short rates model

A silly question that is bugging me. I am working my way through Baxter and Rennie (again) and I am getting my wires crossed on the short rate models in particular the straight forward Ho and Lee ...
2
votes
2answers
365 views

SVCJ (SVJJ) Duffie et. al Model implementation in Matlab

I'm attempting to implement aforementioned SVCJ model by Duffie et al in MATLAB. so far without success. It's supposed to price vanilla (european) calls . parameters provided, the expected price is: ...
2
votes
3answers
271 views

Quadratic variation question

Here I have this question (i) state Ito's formula (ii) hence or otherwise show that $\int^t_0B_s dB_s = \dfrac{1}{2}B^2_t -\dfrac{1}{2} t$ (iii) define the quadratic variation $Q(t)$ of Brownian ...
2
votes
1answer
319 views

Covariance matrix and Cholesky decomposition

I am simulating a spread option with stochastic volatility using Monte Carlo simulation. I have the positive-definite covariance matrix $$ \rho = \left( \begin{array}{cccc} 1 & \rho_{1,2} & ...
2
votes
1answer
87 views

stochastic calculus - brownian motion

I don't know how to prove this : let be $X_t = \int_{0}^{t}\sigma_{u}dW_{u}$ where $\sigma_{t}$ is a predictable process. If $|\sigma_{t}| = c$ a.s. how can I prove that $X_{t}=c*\beta_{t}$ ...
2
votes
2answers
105 views

Stochastic Differentials - Ito's formula for a self-financing portfolio

Suppose I have a portfolio of stocks $(S)$ and savings account ($\beta_t$) then, the value is $$V = a_t S_t + b_t \beta_t$$ and for this portfolio to be self replicating, we need by Ito's lemma $$dV ...
2
votes
2answers
58 views

Conditional expectation of a non stochastic process

In an example I was working through it was shown that $W_{t}^{2} - t$ was a martingale with respect to the Brownian motion filtration $\mathcal{F}_{s}^{W}$ with $t>s$. Everything was fine except a ...
2
votes
1answer
223 views

Variance of Multi-Dimensional OU process

I'm trying to implement this model shown here: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304407611000388 As part of the modelling process I have to calculate the unconditional variance of X ...
2
votes
1answer
41 views

Distribution of stochastic integral

Suppose that $f(t)$ is a deterministic square integrable function. I want to show $$\int_{0}^{t}f(\tau)dW_{\tau}\sim N(0,\int_{0}^{t}|f(\tau)|^{2}d\tau)$$. I want to know if the following approach is ...
2
votes
0answers
283 views

Test for stationarity and make use of non-stationary points in financial market?

I have two questions to ask: What are the best methods to determine stationarity in a financial market (such as stocks) using MATLAB? What methods would you recommend to use in order to change from ...
2
votes
0answers
175 views

Measure change in a bond option problem

This is not a homework or assignment exercise. I'm trying to evaluate $\displaystyle \ \ I := E_\beta \big[\frac{1}{\beta(T_0)} K \mathbf{1}_{\{B(T_0,T_1) > K\}}\big]$, where $\beta$ is the ...
2
votes
0answers
169 views

Stochastic discount factor (aka deflator or pricing kernel) and class D processes

When (under what assumptions on the model) does a Stochastic Discount Factor need to be of Class D? What would be the implications if it was not? Is it connected to one of the no-arbitrage notions?
1
vote
2answers
103 views

Is the Brownian motion multiplication rule a definition or is it a theorem?

Is the Brownian motion multiplication rule a definition or is it a theorem? Refer to the highlight part of http://i.stack.imgur.com/doQuT.png where $dw_1(t)dw_1(t)=dt$
1
vote
1answer
412 views

How to get Geometric Brownian Motion's closed-form solution in Black-Scholes model?

The Black Scholes model assumes the following dynamics for the underlying, well known as the Geometric Brownian Motion: $$dS_t=S_t(\mu dt+\sigma dW_t)$$ Then the solution is given: ...
1
vote
2answers
95 views

Using Black-Scholes to price a geometric average price call

Sorry if this is the wrong exchange for this question. It seems to be the most relevant, anyway. I'm trying to learn and understand the Black-Scholes framework, with a focus on the stochastic ...
1
vote
1answer
88 views

Black Scholes model: condition of payout function

Given: Consider a two-asset, continuous time model (B,S) where $$dB_t = B_t r dt, \quad dS_t = S_t ( \mu dt + \sigma dW_t)$$ Clearly, the martingale deflator is: $$Y_t = e^{(-r - ...
1
vote
1answer
232 views

Trading over a Ornstein/AR process

For a OU/AR(1) process is there anyway to analytically calculated most probable period of time the process is likely to diverge from the average, before turning to converge. Basically I am looking ...
1
vote
1answer
99 views

Differenced Brownian Motion covariance

I am having some difficult showing what the following equals, where $x$ and $y$, $x>y$, distinct times: $\mathbb{E}[\Delta W_x \Delta W_y]$ where each $\Delta W_t = W_t - W_{t-1}$. I have ...
1
vote
1answer
74 views

Stochastic calculus: what am I doing wrong?

it is just the computation of a second moment but however is creating debate !!... Can someone spot the error?
1
vote
2answers
112 views

How can I make this portfolio self-financing?

$a_t S_t$ = number of shares ($S_t$ is stock price at $t$), $S_0 = 1$ $b_t \beta _t$ = saving account value , $d \beta_t = r \beta_t dt$, $r=$ interest rate So the value of the portfolio: $$V_t = ...
1
vote
1answer
48 views

equality in distribution

I encounter the following problem : I have the equality in distribution: for all $\lambda >0, ((1/\lambda)*\int_{0}^{\lambda t}\sigma_{u}^{2}du,t\geq0)=(\int_{0}^{t}\sigma_{u}^{2}du,t\geq0)$ ...
1
vote
1answer
42 views

forward option, stochastic calculus

I encounter a problem to understand this: The price of a forward option is : $C(K,t,T)=\mathbb{E}[((S_{T}/S_{t})-K)+]$ OK The option should only depend on $T-t$ because the yield randomness (for a ...
1
vote
2answers
139 views

Discounted Stock Price

I have the following Question : Prove that under the risk-neutral probability p the stock and the banjaccount have the same average rate of growth. In other words, if $ S_0 , S_N $ are the initial ...
1
vote
1answer
69 views

What are the units of the variables appearing in a standard stochastic differential equation for a Wiener process?

The Black Scholes model assumes the following form for the Wiener process describing the evolution of the stock price S: $dS=\mu S dt + \sigma S dX$ Clearly $S$ ...