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2
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1answer
79 views

Real time stationarity test

I have a trading system based on Machine Learning which is trading 8 symbols intraday. From the results I found out that some weeks of trading are successful for some symbols, then it usually switches ...
2
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0answers
66 views

Johansen cointegration test interpretation in R

I want to test my time series for cointegration using the Johansen test in R. I got the following result and so I know now that at least 5 out of 9 of my time series are cointegrated. My question is, ...
1
vote
1answer
62 views

Faster way to backtest/Walkforward

I am currently using Ninja Trader to program and test my strategies and the forward testing in very time intensive. I am thinking of writing my own code in either c++ or c#. The question I have is ...
1
vote
1answer
69 views

Historical Scenario analysis for stress testing

I am doing historical scenario analysis in order to calculate stressed VAR for which I have taken 2007-2008 US crisis. I have two question in this regard:- 1) As we have to take prices for stocks ...
1
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0answers
35 views

Considerations when programming back testing engine

I am at the beginning of writing a back testing engine and wanted to get some Feed back on considerations I should take into account , design ideas etc.
0
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0answers
42 views

Stress Testing of the portfolio containing Equities, Bonds and Options

I have a portfolio containing equities, bonds and options for which I have calculated VAR through variance covariance matrix. No I want to calculate the stressed VAR for which I have adopted the ...
3
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0answers
92 views

Strategy Testing

Firstly I am a newbie so I will apologise in advance if this is in the wrong forum. My question concerns testing for an equity trading strategy and I would appreciate any comments as to whether my ...
3
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0answers
46 views

Test for difference in security returns before and after financial regulation

I'm going to study the effect of corporate credit rating changes (Moody's) on stock prices before and after a specific financial regulation. So far i have used an event study where i have divided the ...
1
vote
1answer
211 views

Local volatility pricer

I am testing a local volatility pricer by comparing its results under two settings: Pricing a 5yr ATM call option with a flat volatility of $0.194$ Pricing the call option with the typically shaped ...
2
votes
0answers
32 views

Specifying integration level of time series [closed]

Following model was estimated on 200 observations. How to specify the level of integration of $X_t?$ In brackets there are standard errors and p-value of Breusch-Godfrey test is also shown. $X_t=0,02+...
0
votes
1answer
51 views

Determining significant difference between to return series

I want to analyse whether two return series are different. I was told to run the following regression: ...
3
votes
1answer
157 views

Compare events effect on stock prices from different time periods

I’m going to test for the effect corporate credit rating announcements have on stock prices through different economic climates (good times vs. bad times). I want to research whether or not the stock ...
6
votes
1answer
432 views

What are the main market efficiency measures in the stock market?

I'm going to test for the effect of the change in market efficiency on the stock market portfolio, and, I want to know what are the main measures known in the academic literature in order to compare ...
8
votes
0answers
192 views

Here is an approach for measuring Data Snooping; is it new?

I came up with an approach for measuring data snooping, or overfitting. My question is whether this approach was published and expanded-on already, or is it new? My approach relies on the observation ...
1
vote
1answer
44 views

Residuals in the Ljung box test

does anybody know what type of residuals is used in the Ljung box test in R? raw or standardized? Because basically when I fit a GARCH model using garchFit, the summary() function gives me all the ...
0
votes
0answers
45 views

Compare performance buy-and-hold strategies after stock-split

QUESTION: How should I analyze the statistical significance of the difference between two buy-and-hold strategies (or the relative performance) when the samples are not independent? Background: I ...
0
votes
0answers
41 views

Impact of Implied skew variations on future prices

I want to test the relationship between of the oil implied volatility skew and oil future prices. I'm lost regarding the method to test the relationship. I was thinking about a regression but I'm ...
1
vote
0answers
256 views

How to statistically compare the pricing errors of various option pricing models?

I have three different option pricing models, for which I computed the in-sample and out-of-sample pricing errors. Now I want to test the pricing performance of these three option pricing models ...
2
votes
1answer
274 views

Testing for stationarity in large sample sizes

I keep struggling with testing 9 samples if they are stationary. Each of these samples is a real valued time series with 714.000 values. If I use the KPSS test with the each compleete sample set, the ...
17
votes
3answers
636 views

Tests that any system must pass to be taken seriously

In an interview from '96 Bill Eckhardt points out that there are tests that any system must pass to be taken seriously. That is: tests for (1) overfitting, (2) post-dictiveness, (3) maldistribution ...
2
votes
1answer
769 views

a simpler test for normality given skewness, kurtosis and autocorrelation and size of time series

I typically do a JB (Jarque Bera) test and DW (Durbin Watson) tests for check for normality given skewness, kurtosis and autocorrelation of the data. However this requires a CHI distribution table ...
2
votes
1answer
343 views

Testing a simple stock market trading hypothesis? [closed]

I have a simple stock market trading hypothesis ... Something along these lines: Based on a certain deviation from a stock market index over a 30-day period, 5 certain stocks tend to drift ...
14
votes
1answer
753 views

What techniques are used for testing order book implementations?

I am finishing the implementation of a limit order book for modeling NASDAQ. The order book works off of the ITCH feed. My question is what techniques are typically used for testing order books. I am ...