A sequence of events measured at uniform intervals of time.
17
votes
2answers
1k views
How much data is needed to validate a short-horizon trading strategy?
Suppose one has an idea for a short-horizon trading strategy, which we will define as having an average holding period of under 1 week and a required latency between signal calculation and execution ...
30
votes
5answers
5k views
Efficiently storing real-time intraday data in an application agnostic way
What would be the best approach to handle real-time intraday data storage?
For personal research I've always imported from flat files only into memory (historical EOD), so I don't have much ...
12
votes
5answers
3k views
What is the intuition behind cointegration?
What is the intuition behind cointegration? What does the Dickey-Fuller test do to test for it? Ideally, a non-technical explanation would be appreciated.
Say you need to explain it to an investor ...
9
votes
6answers
832 views
How to generate a random price series with a specified range and correlation with an actual price?
I want to generate a mock price series. I want it to be within a certain range and have a defined correlation with the original price series.
If I choose, say, oil, I want as many time series which ...
22
votes
6answers
5k views
How are correlation and cointegration related?
In what ways (and under what circumstances) are correlation and cointegration related, if at all? One difference is that one usually thinks of correlation in terms of returns and cointegration in ...
23
votes
5answers
2k views
How do I graphically represent the evolution of a covariance matrix over time?
I am working with a set of covariance matrices evaluated at various points in time over some history. Each covariance matrix is $N\times N$ for $N$ financial time-series over $T$ periods. I would ...
9
votes
2answers
1k views
How do I calculate the skewness of a portfolio of assets?
I need to calculate the skewness of a portfolio consisting of 6 assets. I know that for that I would need the co-skewness matrix between the assets. Does anybody know the formula for co-skewness or ...
13
votes
3answers
2k views
Time-series similarity measures
Suppose I have two time series $X$ and $Y$ of stock prices. How do I measure the "similarity" of $X$ and $Y$?
(I'm being deliberately vague as I don't have a particular application, and I'm curious ...
16
votes
3answers
2k views
What is a stationary process?
How do you explain what a stationary process is? In the first place, what is meant by process, and then what does the process have to be like so it can be called stationary?
12
votes
4answers
1k views
Are two identical time series cointegrated?
I did cointegration test on two identical time series, and the result shows that they are not cointegrated, but intuitively, I think they are.
Can anyone share some thoughts on this? Thanks!
11
votes
2answers
900 views
How to update an exponential moving average with missing values?
Say you have an Exponential Moving Average being continuously updated over a time series using 1-second-long time periods. What should happen if there is no value for the next second, e.g. there were ...
7
votes
4answers
706 views
How to interpolate gaps in a time series using closely related time series?
I am trying to construct a daily time series of prices and returns for some large universe of securities. However, all I have available are a monthly time series of the prices/returns (as well as ...
12
votes
6answers
2k views
What is the best data structure/implementation for representing a time series?
I was wondering what is best practice for representing elements in a time series, especially with large amounts of data. The focus/context is in a back testing engine and comparing multiple series.
...
8
votes
3answers
377 views
How to test for and how to simulate price rise/fall asymmetry in the stock market
One of the stylized facts of financial time series seems to be a fundamental asymmetry between smooth upward movements over longer periods of time followed by abrupt declines over relatively shorter ...
14
votes
3answers
2k views
Can the concept of entropy be applied to financial time series?
I am not familiar with the concept of entropy for time series. I am looking for good reference papers and examples of use.
10
votes
2answers
587 views
How to forecast expected volatility from high-frequency equity panel data?
I'm wading through the vast sea of literature on realized volatility estimation and expected volatility forecasting (see, e.g. Realized Volatility by Andersen and Benzoni, which cites 120 other ...
13
votes
2answers
763 views
Is there a standard method for getting a continuous time series from futures data?
I would like to be able to analyse futures prices as one continuous time series, so what kinds of methods exist for combining the prices for the various delivery dates into a single time series?
I am ...
7
votes
5answers
6k views
How to check if a timeseries is stationary?
I'm using KPSS Method to check if the series is stationary, but I would also like to use another test to confirm if the series is stationary or not, what method coudl I use?
2
votes
1answer
557 views
How to fit ARMA+GARCH Model In R?
I am currently working on ARMA+GARCH model using R. I am looking out for example which explain step by step explanation for fitting this model in R. I have time series which is stationary and I am ...
9
votes
2answers
312 views
How to “uncluster” a set of financial data?
I am attempting to evaluate and compare the profit factor of different "test runs" of a FOREX trading strategy.
My problem is that, despite an average time between orders of 2hr+, some of these runs ...
4
votes
1answer
338 views
How to apply quasi-Monte Carlo to path-dependent options?
Following up on my recent question on variance reduction in a Cox-Ingersoll-Ross Monte Carlo simulation, I would like to learn more about using a quasi-random sequence, such as Sobol or Niederreiter, ...
2
votes
2answers
2k views
Calculating Portfolio Skewness & Kurtosis
I need to calculate the skewness and kurtosis of 2 asset portfolio, can someone please help me with the formulas and definition of terms? Thank you.
I have been using the matrices method and I am not ...
