Attempting to profit from short-term fluctuations in a security's price as opposed to investing in the security for use or income.

learn more… | top users | synonyms

1
vote
1answer
101 views

What are some quantitative trading strategies used by high-frequency trading companies to make a killing on a market crash day on 24Aug2015?

http://blogs.barrons.com/focusonfunds/2015/08/24/high-frequency-trading-firms-just-made-a-killing/ Virtu Financial (VIRT), the high-speed trading firm that went public earlier this year, was one ...
2
votes
1answer
78 views

Up and Down days in GBPUSD and a Filter

I want to study if the odds of an up or down day in a forex pairs is 50-50. I just count the total number of up and down days in X years and compare it with the total days. The results are very ...
0
votes
0answers
18 views

Choosing Optimum Sampling Frequency

There was an interesting post made by Jonathan Kinlay where he discusses the use of a Fourier Transform to discover a potentially optimum bar frequency to choose as an input to a trading system. I am ...
3
votes
1answer
92 views

Pair trading based on cointegration - equity line

I'm preparing a project at my Uni where I have to make a simple pair trading strategy using cointegration between two stocks. I'm stuck on the equity line calculation. I have prepared opening and ...
2
votes
1answer
101 views

Self-Frontrunning Arbitrage

If I have a large order to fill, shouldn't I always buy a derivative in the same direction to profit from the market impact? E.g. I sell 1 million shares and so I buy a put, which will hence almost ...
0
votes
3answers
61 views

How can a share price be different on its open than it was on the previous close?

The changing in price of shares are down to the number of people buying or selling stock. So, if there is a large demand for a stock then the share price will increase, and if there are lots of people ...
5
votes
2answers
182 views

Is there any research on pyramiding techniques of entering/exiting a trend?

I am looking for any research about optimal strategies for gradually building (scaling in) positions inside a trend as well as optimal gradual exit strategies on pullbacks/reversals to minimise ...
0
votes
0answers
25 views

short term trading does it really add value and to whom?

Short term traders who flip their stocks within 5-10 minutes, do they really add value to any one? Text book answer is yes, they help price discovery and provide liquidity. Within that 5 minutes ...
0
votes
2answers
396 views

Orderbook Arbitrage

The order-books of trading exchanges are often hidden as so-called "Dark Pools". The measure was taken to avoid apparent market manipulation strategies executed by traders back then. Which such ...
0
votes
2answers
68 views

Johansen test on two stocks (for pairs trading) yielding annoying results

I hope you can help me with this one. I am using cointegration to discover potential pairs trading opportunities within stocks and more precisely I am utilizing the Johansen trace test for only two ...
0
votes
4answers
86 views

How can one get broker order data?

Is there any chance to get order data from any broker with a label from which account it came from? The accounts can be anonymized, i just need to identify an account's orders sent. Any help will ...
1
vote
0answers
26 views

Major categories of tradable securities and the ETF's that track them?

I'm just starting to learn about quantitative finance and I'm overwhelmed by the amount of tradable securities out there. I'm seeing all these things like VXX, TLT, TMF, SPY, SPXL, HYG, VWEHX and so ...
6
votes
4answers
485 views

If I have found a way to predict stocks trend with 58% accuracy, is it good?

Say I have found a way through technical analysis to predict how stocks would behave with 58% accuracy, how good is this percentage?
1
vote
0answers
35 views

ISM PMI data - sector trend through ranking and seasonal decomposition

I have monthly data for each of the 18 sectors in the ISM PMI. Each datapoint shows the trend of a sector: growing, contracting or neutral. It also tells the strength of that trend with a number: ...
2
votes
4answers
204 views

How to short an option?

It appears to me that retail investors can only buy calls and puts, but not short them through any standardized way (except maybe borrowing the option from a friend ;) ). Is that correct, or how can ...
0
votes
2answers
86 views

How can index futures trade 24/7 when the index doesn't change?

I have read that the E-Mini S&P 500 Futures trade 24/7, how is that possible? I mean the underlying stocks which form the index are traded from 9:30am-4pm - so outside of these hours the S&P ...
0
votes
0answers
30 views

How does a stop loss affect the P/L of a trader

In his book 'Dynamic Hedging', Nassim Taleb writes: Problem: A trader is given a stop loss of 100,000 in any given month (he would have to close his books and go home until the end of the month). ...
3
votes
1answer
170 views

How to calculate the JdK RS-Ratio

Anyone have a clue how to calculate the JdK RS-Ratio? Let's say I want to compare the Relative strength for these: EWA iShares MSCI Australia Index Fund EWC iShares MSCI Canada Index Fund EWD ...
7
votes
3answers
313 views

Application of Control Theory in Quantitative Finance

I have recently completed an MSc in Control Systems from a top university. It seems to me that control theory must have an application within quantitative finance. I would like to apply my degree ...
0
votes
0answers
19 views

Stochastic Optimal Control for ratios

Do you know any good papers on methods of Stochastic Optimal Control and Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman(HJB) for optimization of different ratios(Sharpe, M2, Sortino, Sterling, etc.)? Meaning that using ...
3
votes
0answers
169 views

Discrete Trading to reduce speculation

I recently read a paper by Terje Lensberg (2014) "Costs and benefits of financial regulation: Short-selling bans and transaction taxes" where he analyzed the effects of financial regulation (short ...
1
vote
0answers
85 views

forecasting trading costs with end of day data

I am trying to create a model that forecasts trading costs (using end of day data, so no intra day data). My trading cost (also called Implemented Shortfall (IS) is defined as such for a single stock, ...
4
votes
3answers
149 views

Technical analysis - Calculating Aroon Indicator Serie

I'm trying to build a class to create Aroon series. But it seems I don't understand the steps well. I'm not sure about what purpose I have to use the period parameter. Here is my first attempt: ...
0
votes
0answers
95 views

Java Implied Volatility Solving with Newtons Method

Hi I am currently working on implementing my newtons method to guess implied volatility and I have the same code as you do. However, my vol result goes to infinity and I have not figured out why my ...
1
vote
1answer
129 views

Can you explain me these comments on high frequency data?

I was reading some slides on high frequency data and i came across these statements: data discreetness induces high degree of kurtosis and Non synchronous trading and risk premium are ...
0
votes
1answer
186 views

How important is the limit order book?

I'm trying to understand how important the limit order today for NYSE, NASDAQ, Euronext and LSE. For example, when we talk about the volume traded during the day, what share of that volume has been ...
4
votes
2answers
212 views

Impact on bid/offer due to volume/size of trades placed

When observing bid/offer in the market I came across a question. How much trading a bond would impact its spread for subsequent trades ie. what is the impact on bid/offer due to volume/size of ...
0
votes
0answers
76 views

Understanding how to calculate position profits and trading profits

I am analysing a data set of trader transactions and would like to implement the methodology found in the paper by Fishe and Smith 2012. The main problem I am having is understanding the difference ...
0
votes
1answer
274 views

Gamma and delta P&L example question

I'm trying to get a basic understanding of this example delta ladder ...
2
votes
1answer
70 views

Why asset management firms shouldn't be custodian of its own funds?

I am reading the Madoff case. One of the issue is BMIS Firm (Bernie Madoff Investment Securities) were acting as a Asset Management Firm, broker as well as Custodian. Why is it an issue? What sort of ...
1
vote
1answer
63 views

Longer term average probabilities of fills at fx ECNs?

I am wondering whether anyone can share experiences and longer term average probabilities of fills when quoting inside the spread at various fx ECNs. I need to make an assumption of the probability of ...
2
votes
1answer
224 views

Various ways to choose bonds for a butterfly strategy?

What are the various ways to choose bonds for a butterfly strategy? For eg., I already know the most common one i.e., choosing short and long term for the wings (barbell) and the medium term for the ...
1
vote
1answer
70 views

Market Timing Performance for a single stock

It seems there are models that study the market timing ability of funds. Models such as the Treynor-Mazuy and Merton-Henriksson. One can also study the bull beta and compare it to a bear beta. My ...
3
votes
1answer
382 views

How trading in currency pair works, underlying techniques and mechanisms

I am somewhat experienced in Forex trading, but I have a question which has bothered me for quite some time. If we for instance go back in time four months, to before the beginning of value loss the ...
0
votes
2answers
129 views

Historical data resources for Indian market

What is the best source for historical EOD data for Indian stock market? The data from Yahoo finance for some companies is not up-to-date and Google finance doesn't provide adjusted close prices. What ...
1
vote
1answer
82 views

Data on margin volumes?

I came across a Financial Times article today that said "Peaks in margin trading have been a precursor to bear runs in the past, notably in March 2000 and July 2007." I'm curious if anyone here would ...
1
vote
1answer
43 views

End-of-day holdings vs overnight inventory

I am wondering whether these two terms identify the same thing: overnight inventory end-of-day holdings The way I would explain it intuitively, the inventory that is held overnight should be ...
2
votes
2answers
188 views

Problem when calculating the daily return on a forex trade, what is the best way to do such a calculation?

I intend to calculate the daily return on my investment in forex. Assume a trader invests $\$$40 at a leverage of 100:1, so in total he is trading $\$$4000 worth of currency, and assume the position ...
0
votes
3answers
74 views

What is meant by “position at a given time” in the context of a series of forex trades?

Suppose you are only talking about a single currency pair, say EUR/USD. Throughout some period of time, you engage in trades with various other parties, sometimes buying, sometimes selling. The rates ...
0
votes
0answers
24 views

What's the best filter to implement in order to assess the persistency of a FX devaluation?

I'm trying to to analyze the impact of a FX devaluation in companies' exports and earnings?
0
votes
2answers
197 views

Can selling put equity options be a good business?

In one of his last books Jack D. Schwager suggested that selling equity puts can be a good business. The puts are like insurance policies against market downturns and there is a natural demand. ...
6
votes
4answers
288 views

Efficient Markets Paradox

Basically all Quant Finance theory is build on No-Arbitrage presumption and Efficient Markets Hypothesis. The known Grossman-Stiglitz Paradox says: if one can't make money from trading, one wouldn't ...
1
vote
1answer
308 views

HAR-RV, realized GARCH and HEAVY model for realized volatility

I don't have much experience with volatility modeling using intraday data but I'm in the process of collecting 5mins data. Currently I have ~6 months of data. Is it enough to use these models with ...
4
votes
1answer
375 views

Why would an exchange choose one matching algorithm over another?

There are a number of different matching algorithms at different exchanges. Time-based FIFO is most common, but there is also mixed FIFO/pro-rata, pure pro-rata, size priority, etc. Why would an ...
1
vote
2answers
545 views

Backtesting with Simulated Historical Data?

The trading strategies that are going to backtest well are the ones that pick the winners from the past. For example, if a trading strategy simply bought apple stock it would backtest extremely well. ...
0
votes
0answers
47 views

How to compute return of a variance swap?

How does one calculate the investment of a zero initial investment asset, specifically a variance swap? In this asset the payoff is given by the difference between the realized variance in a certain ...
1
vote
1answer
176 views

How to projectP&L or drawdowns on pair trading , trading and portfolios? [closed]

This is for planning and risk management. I am stuck on the following thoughts - Back-test the trading strategy for a period similar to the one you expect and then project. Do the above using ...
2
votes
1answer
278 views

How Much Capital is Needed to Start an Arbitrage Strategy?

I'm trying to experiment with a simulated simple arbitrage strategy. I'm not doing this to actually invest, I'm just curious if the market is inefficient enough for this to be feasible. Every ...
2
votes
2answers
355 views

How to combine trading signals to achieve higher capital efficiency?

I trade use a completely automated approach where all signals are generated by proprietary trading strategies. However, recently I encountered an challenging problem: Imagine we have 3 Strategies ...
1
vote
2answers
117 views

Is the purchase of a stock publicly accessible?

If an investor bought a stock, could another private party access that information anywhere? Does the SEC/exchange itself create a real time/ historical record of who holds what stocks, and is that ...