Attempting to profit from short-term fluctuations in a security's price as opposed to investing in the security for use or income.

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12
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5answers
2k views

Applications of Fourier theory in trading

What are fashionable applications of Fourier analysis in trading? I have heard vague ideas of applications in High Frequency Trading but can somebody provide an example, maybe a reference? Just for ...
0
votes
2answers
167 views

Interpretation of PCs

I have computed PC1 and PC2 wts on future contracts derived from cumulative log differences. How can I use them to get back the theoretical price of each contract using those 2 pcs? Thanks in ...
6
votes
4answers
600 views

What are the options for a mathematician to break into QF without working for a fund?

I have a degree in mathematics, and I've worked as a statistician and done some programming work. I'm very strong in my math/stats/programming background and have browsed some QF books, and I'm very ...
0
votes
1answer
402 views

Selecting timeframe for time series analysis

In technical analysis, we may use confluence of direction for 3 timeframes to roughly gauge bias of market now. Similarly, if we use time series forecasting methods to predict(say daily data-whether ...
2
votes
3answers
1k views

Is MATLAB-generated code good enough for use in live trading?

I know that MATLAB has mechanisms for generating code, but I've never used them. Have you? If you have - is it good enough (=fast enough, I guess) to be used in live trading systems? Anything one ...
2
votes
2answers
552 views

.NET statistical packages recommendation

What open source or commercial .NET statistical package would you guys recommend? I am doing statistical arbitrage in options. The functions I need mainly are regressions, optimizations..etc. It would ...
2
votes
2answers
753 views

Does Interactive Brokers (IB) have a Web friendly API?

The requirement I am given is to implement a web ppplication which utilizes Interactive Brokers's API to fetch data. I went through the IB API web page and came across two viable methods: TWS and IB ...
1
vote
2answers
546 views

Evaluating forecasting algorithm

I am trying to evaluate a forecasting algorithm for stock price prediction. However, the performance of the algorithm may be very much tied to the trading strategy. Is there a systematic way for ...
8
votes
2answers
1k views

What is “high frequency quoting” or “quote spam”?

What is called "high frequency quoting" or "quote spam" in the context of high frequency trading? Why do some people consider that as a problem for the market?
2
votes
1answer
127 views

Analyzing an incomplete set of trades

Say I have access to logs of all trades executed on an ECN with the price maker and taker named. These traders are only executing some of their flow on this ECN (anywhere from 5%-80% of their ...
5
votes
1answer
340 views

With there being such a high demand for electronic trading or just trading in general why are market hours so limited?

I am curious why a lot of market hours are something like 9 to 3 or 9 to 4 pm when there is such demand and so many prop shops and more out there. I know certain markets are continuous trading but a ...
6
votes
1answer
195 views

Estimate price movement per unit of volume for daily data

I'm working on backtesting a number of stock trading strategies and need to estimate how much the execution price will likely deviate from the historical close price for that asset using daily data; ...
1
vote
4answers
2k views

What are the common trading systems for hedge fund automated trading?

Is there any common trading system that is implemented by hedge fund, especially for equity or forex automated trading? I know some big names like Sungard and Bloomberg. Is there any other choices ...
3
votes
2answers
2k views

GJR-GARCH Model In R

Any idea how to estimate GJR-GARCH models in R? Is there any particular library like fGarch that supports such models?
10
votes
2answers
420 views

Exploiting breakdowns in correlation of estimated volatility

In the attached image I have a plot of the rolling correlation of 90-day historic volatility (using the Garman Klass estimator based on Sinclair's Volatility Trading) of JPM v. the S&P. As can be ...
1
vote
1answer
458 views

Arbitrage between markets

I'm trying to understand how arbitrage works, but I'm having some difficulties based on some restrictions: I have markets A, B and C. The currencies that are traded are X <-> Y, and X <-> Z. ...
-1
votes
1answer
1k views

Can end-to-day trading be profitable? If not, why? [closed]

Many academics argue that end-to-day trading, where you go long or short before opening and sell your security at the end of the day, is not profitable. Various explanations are given for this ...
12
votes
2answers
2k views

statistical arbitrage option overlay strategies / volatility trading

Here's an interesting trading puzzle that I would love to get the community's input on. Let's say there exists an alpha signal that does a good job of sorting equities expected excess returns over ...
3
votes
1answer
2k views

C++ training from scratch to quantitative trading? [closed]

I have been trading for decades, and I have a solid knowledge of technical analysis but also VB as professional programmer. I would like to start learning C++ from scratch, then specialised in C++ ...
5
votes
3answers
426 views

Means of inferring trading algorithms from competition trade data

I'm analyzing trades from several participants in a trading competition, and I was wondering - are there known mechanisms for analysis and inference of the logic in a set of trades done by one ...
4
votes
1answer
327 views

Is there any measure that is a non-trivial combination of VWAP and TWAP?

Is there any measure that is a non-trivial combination of VWAP and TWAP? For example: \begin{equation} \textrm{VTWAP} = \frac{\textrm{VWAP}+\textrm{TWAP}}{2} \end{equation} I'm thinking about ...
2
votes
0answers
173 views

Can a higher P/E ratio be beneficial under certain circumstances? [closed]

I am new to investing. I understand that the P/E ratio along with other data can be used to determine whether a stock may or may not be undervalued. Are there situations where a HIGH P/E is actually ...
4
votes
3answers
305 views

Given markets usually fall fast and rise slowly, are there trading mechanisms to take advantage of this?

Per a previous question on this topic -- markets generally fall fast and rise slowly: what options strategies or other strategies can one use to take advantage of this common occurrence?
6
votes
2answers
2k views

Which algorithm should I look into to kick off my research in algorithmic trading? [closed]

I have recently undertaken a research into automated algorithmic trading algorithms. The aim of the research is to focus on studying algorithmic trading and trying to improve a basic implementation ...
11
votes
3answers
3k views

How to combine multiple trading algorithms?

Is it possible to combine different algorithms so as to improve trading performance? In particular, I have read that social media sentiment tracking, digital signal processing and neural networks all ...
8
votes
3answers
664 views

What strategy would benefit most from having the fastest connection to the exchange?

Imagine that you have the fastest connection to the exchange (receive quotes 1 ms earlier than everyone else) for both stocks and derivatives. How would you benefit from this? Of course almost any ...
7
votes
1answer
852 views

What are the most common/popular exotics in the interest rate markets these days?

By "exotic" I mean anything that is not a plain vanilla swap, swaption, cap or floor. Also any IR hybrids if appropriate. Possible examples would be: CMS and CMS spread options Multi-callable swaps ...
23
votes
1answer
2k views

Is my trading strategy search methodology sound?

I'm building an algorithmic trading business. I'd be grateful for informed comments and opinions on my trading strategy search methodology. Goal Develop (profitable!) fully automated intra-day ...
15
votes
5answers
3k views

Skew arbitrage: How can you realize the skewness of the underlying?

It's not clear to me how to realize skewness. In other words, how do you implement skew arbitrage? There seems to be no well-known recipe like in volatility arbitrage. Volatility arbitrage (or ...
7
votes
3answers
331 views

Is there data on market participants at a particular moment?

I am looking for data on market participants at a particular moment (or some proxy/approximation). For example, how can I tell whether mostly big players and HFTs are dominating the market in ...
8
votes
4answers
1k views

What kind of specialized hardware is used in trading?

What kind of computer hardware, in additional to the 'conventional' fare, is actually used in trading? And what languages is it typically programmed in? I'm interested in ASICs, FPGAs, that sort of ...
4
votes
2answers
859 views

How to calculate optimal standard deviation bands for trading?

I am trading with standard deviation bands (6 bands) on de-trended data. How can I find the most profitable signals with neural network or GA with standard deviation bands? Should I first find the ...
11
votes
3answers
3k views

How do I find the most diversified portfolio, or least correlated subset, of stocks?

I have a trading system that chooses top 10 stocks in Nasdaq 100 ranked on relative strength and some other factors. However, I'd like to take positions in only 5 of these 10 stocks based on how ...
0
votes
1answer
208 views

What would be the impact of the US Credit Rating downgrade on Crude Oil Prices? [closed]

From a modeling point of view, here are my primary assumptions for Monday: a) I would expect the US$ to depreciate and crude oil to rise in the long term. b) Expect crude oil to dip in the short run ...
5
votes
4answers
611 views

Are there any brokerages which use URL-based web APIs?

We already have a list of brokerages that provide apis. What about brokerages that provide web apis? For example, Collective2 has a url-based web api for entering trades. Are there any brokerages ...
1
vote
0answers
605 views

Hobbyist Quants [closed]

I'm interested in investing some money in the stock market, and I have the math background that will make following the math used in quantitative finance possible (with some work). What are the ...
27
votes
3answers
8k views

How can we reverse engineer a market-making algorithm (HFT)?

Consider a market participant $A$ who is mechanically following an automated liquidity providing algorithm (HFT) in a number of large cap stocks on a specific exchange. Assume furthermore that we are ...
9
votes
2answers
1k views

How to simulate slippage

I'm backtesting a trading strategy, using free OHLC data from yahoo or google. I'm simulating friction by lopping a flat percentage (say 0.5%) off my returns for each day that I make a trade. Whats ...
4
votes
2answers
440 views

S&P 500 list of stocks since 1960

I am looking for the S&P 500 index list of stocks for each day since January 1, 1960. Does anyone know where I can find these lists?
9
votes
3answers
2k views

Order submission strategies of a rational market maker?

Consider a market maker that has decided to try to make a round-trip trade in stock A in order to capture the bid-ask spread. Assume furthermore that he has no current inventory in the stock A. To ...
6
votes
1answer
988 views

A generic limit order book: What are the most important queries it should be able to answer?

Assume a class LimitOrderBook which represents a limit order book in a trading system. To be able to represent the limit order book a data handler reads a feed ...
4
votes
2answers
3k views

When should we use SWIFT versus FIX?

I've read documents that claim that SWIFT and FIX are not competing protocols for financial transactions and messaging. And yet, I have not come across a clear articulation of when to use SWIFT versus ...
4
votes
3answers
8k views

Trade matching versus affirmation

I'm looking for a clearly articulated description of the difference between trade matching (e.g. Omgeo's CTM) and trade affirmation (e.g. Omgeo's Oasys). From what I understand, they both involve ...
20
votes
8answers
2k views

How to design a custom equity backtester?

I was thinking about writing my own backtester and I realize I have to make some assumptions. So I was hoping I could post what I am planning on doing and hopefully some of you can give me some ideas ...
7
votes
4answers
1k views

Can the futures market's open interest predict commodity, treasury, and equity returns?

I came across this article and became curious. Can the futures market's open interest really predict market action?
2
votes
0answers
815 views

Which CEP platform is most popular for trading systems? [closed]

I heard that trading firms employ CEP platforms such as StreamBase, Marketcetera, JBoss Drools, and etc., to implement trading systems. I wonder which one is most popular and the recent trend of ...
21
votes
8answers
10k views

Digital Signal Processing in Trading

There is a concept of trading or observing the market with signal processing originally created by John Ehler. He wrote three books about it. Cybernetic Analysis for Stocks and Futures Rocket Science ...
10
votes
2answers
2k views

Is there a standard method for quantifying mean-reversion for use in directional trading?

Assuming a directional strategy (no pairs or spread trades) is there a "standard" method for quantifying mean-reversion? Should auto-correlation, variance ratios, hurst exponent, or some other measure ...
6
votes
1answer
517 views

Are special condition identifiers (e.g. AIG+) standardized?

Suffixes indicating class, preferred, new, etc., are well defined for NASDAQ and NYSE, but I can't find anything documenting the meanings of the trailing punctuation. For example, here's some that I ...
11
votes
4answers
3k views

Volatility pumping in practice

The fascinating thing about volatility pumping (or optimal growth portfolio, see e.g. here) is that here volatility is not the same as risk, rather it represents opportunity. Additionally it is a ...