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4
votes
1answer
57 views

Realized variance in SVJJ (Heston with jumps) model

I am working with the stochastic volatility model with jumps in both the price and volatility dynamics, ie. the risk neutral dynamics are of the form: $\mathrm{d}V_t = \kappa(\theta - V_t)\mathrm{d}t ...
0
votes
1answer
29 views

What is the formula for variance in estimating exchange rate?

I was watching this Youtube Video. He used a exchange rates of Euro to Dollar for a few days and apply GARCH(1,1) to get the predicted price. However, I didnt understand variance that he calculates ...
6
votes
0answers
663 views

Formula for the efficient portfolios (mean-variance optimisation)?

Consider the setting of mean-variance portfolio optimisation: $n$ assets with expected returns $\overline{r}_1,...,\overline{r}_n$ and standard deviations $\sigma_1,...\sigma_n$. For a certain fixed ...
2
votes
0answers
38 views

How to calculate the estimation error of portfolio variance using propagation results?

I am trying to find a conservative approximation for the propagated estimation error of a investment portfolio's variance (comprising two assets), given we know the estimation error for the variance ...
1
vote
0answers
48 views

Fourier transform covariance estimator

I am estimating realized variance and covariance by the estimator described in this paper, and relying on Fourier Transform. Now, as my data is one day of data in ultra high frequency, so that the ...
1
vote
0answers
90 views

How to measure if variance is greater at a certain time of day?

I'm not very fluent in the quant vernacular, so perhaps the nature of my question will be better illustrated as a hypothesis. One market has closed and another market elsewhere on Spaceship Earth is ...
1
vote
0answers
539 views

portfolio optimization with a loop

I am attempting to minimize the variance of a 3 stock portfolio using optimization within a loop. What I have done is calculated the stock returns and cov matrix from dates 1980-01-01 to 1989-12-31 ...
0
votes
0answers
32 views

Forecasting conditional variance using fGARCH

I am forecasting the conditional standard deviation using ARMA(1,0)-GJRGARCH(1,1) in R using the fGarch package. Here is a sample code: ...
0
votes
0answers
33 views

scale alpha forecasts to align with covariance matrix

I have a set of monthly alpha forecasts and my covariance matrix has been annualized. I would like to do a mean variance optimization with a linear tcost penalty term. How do I rescale my alpha ...
0
votes
0answers
81 views

Mean-variance minimizser

I am working on a project that involves pricing european call options in incomplete markets. Now I need to find a unique measure $Q^*$ such that $$Q^* = \min_{M_e} E_Q [V(T)-F(w)]^2 = \min_{u} E_Q ...