Tagged Questions

A measure of the variation in price over time. Also a measure of the risk of a financial instrument.

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VXV vs. VIX futures: arbitrage opportunities?

At a first glance, VXV and VIX futures should not be compared at all: VXV is an underlying index, whilst VIX futures are derivatives written on a different underlying index, that is, VIX. As instance,...
17k views

How to calculate historical intraday volatility?

Sorry for what must be a beginner question, but when I went to write code I realized I didn't understand exactly how historical volatility, or statistical volatility, is defined. Wikipedia tells me "...
101 views

GJR-GARCH with $\alpha = 0$ as parameter estimate

I am estimating a GJR-GARCH(1,1) model with variance targeting in R. As data I am using returns on some stock indices. While calculating the GARCH models I obtain $\alpha=0$ for some indices. From ...
55 views

Events effect on intraday volatility and large outliers

I have an event that takes place over a period of a few days, and I want to estimate the effect it has on market volatility using intraday data with one minute frequency. The problem is, that e.g. ...
230 views

Why is volatility said to be persistent?

Persistence in volatility of stock returns is one of the common 'stylized facts' when it comes to analyzing time series. However, I am wondering for theoretical arguments why (estimated) volatility ...
59 views

Higher moments arbitrage

Is there concrete evidence that statistical arbitrage (historical vs. implied) on higher moments, specifically skewness and kurtosis, can be (significantly) done? Working from this source, the author ...
380 views

Historical Volatility vs Implied Volatility Performance in Pricing Options

I consistently read on academic papers, when pricing options, using implied volatility is better than using historical volatility. Because, market is more "forward-looking" and historical data is "...
594 views

How to calculate implied volatility smile of basket using correlations?

For a basket, the realized volatility can be calculated using: $$\sqrt{\sigma_1^2 + \sigma_2^2 + 2 \sigma_1 \sigma_2 \rho}$$ If I have the volatility surface of two underlyings S1,S2 (strike space). ...
157 views

Evaluation of portfolio other than Sharpe Ratio

Is Sharpe ratio always the best way to evaluate a portfolio? I'm not really sure what this potential interview question wants me to answer. I have read that Sharpe ratio essentially explains how ...
62 views

CCC-Garch predict

So I'm trying to measure the VaR of 2 stock with a multivariate GARCH model, so im using the CCC model. I need to predict the standard-diviation and the mean but the ...
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Master thesis in Finance in search of topic concerning investor sentiment and financial crash

Is there any good idea that combines low volatility, risk aversion level of investors and prediction of financial crash ? Is there any literature?
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Constructing a minute-by-minute volatility curve

For market making in front month vanilla commodity options we need a volatility curve that updates every second or so as the underlying and the options change prices. If all the strikes have a good ...
1k views

Problems with dealing with GARCH models and intra-day data

A Short question would be "Which type of model from GARCH family is most suitable for modeling 5-minute data returns ?" but I've added some story to it. A Long time ago I was preparing my thesis, one ...
177 views

Find call and put volatilities using ATM, Risk reversal and Butterflies volatilities

I have to plot the implied volatility surface for EUR/USD. So, my goal is to produce something like that, from put delta 10 to call delta 10: Searching for informations, I found that I could find ...
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Intraday Volatility over multiple timezones

I'm in the Europe/Berlin Timezone and I need to calculate a global volatility indication Monday to Friday at 12:00. My portfolio can somewhat accurately represented by 60/30/10 S&P500, ...
132 views

Which volatility to use?

For calculating the greeks http://www.vollib.org/html/apidoc/vollib.black.greeks.html Should I use historical volatility or implied volatility?
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Appropriate measure of risk if return are not normally distributed

Normally standard deviation of an assets is used as an proxy for the risk in the financial market. In reality distribution of return is more peaked at the center and higher mass in the tail as ...
65 views

What is the formula that determines when VIX futures expire?

Or a source that will allow me to just get the list of dates into a program, I'm trying to do this in python but I want it to be able to figure out the next expiration automatically, or something like ...
101 views

How to determine volatility for private company for Black-Scholes

I am trying to determine the volatility to use Black-Scholes to value some warrants for a private company. Very few comps are public or they are large diversified businesses. Any thoughts on how to ...
52 views